Monday 7/4/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 08:35 AM

Monday’s games

National League
Miami (37-40) @ Washington (29-52)
— Garrett is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-1, 13.50 in one start (2.2 IP) vs Washington.

— Miami is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Marlins are 11-1 vs Washington this year.
— Marlins are 23-21 on road.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-32-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3.2

— Corbin is 3-3, 7.67 in his last six starts.
— Nationals are 4-12 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He is 5-6, 4.22 in 16 starts vs Miami.

— Washington lost its last four games.
— Nationals are 14-30 at home.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 25-47-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-4

Cubs (32-47) @ Milwaukee (46-35)
— Steele is 2-0, 3.64 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 1-1, 4.85 in three starts vs Milwaukee TY.

— Cubs are 14-23 in their last 37 games.
— Cubs are 15-20 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 32-79
— record in first 5 innings: 30-36-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-8.2-7

— Lauer is 1-2, 8.44 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 9-5 in his starts
— over 3-1-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-5
— He is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Chicago TY.

— Brewers won eight of last eleven games.
— Milwaukee is 19-15 at home.
— over 8-1-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-81
— record in first 5 innings: 34-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-3

San Francisco (40-37) @ Arizona (35-44)
— Rodon is 3-0, 0.67 in his last four starts.
— San Francisco is 7-8 in his starts
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona

— Giants are 3-10 in their last 13 games.
— San Francisco is 19-17 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-76
— record in first 5 innings: 35-29-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-8

— Bumgarner is 1-6, 5.59 in his last seven starts.
— Arizona is 2-7 in his last nine starts
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-1
— He is 1-1, 3.94 in three starts vs his old team.

— Diamondbacks are 13-21 in last 34 games.
— Arizona is 19-22 at home.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 19-78
— record in first 5 innings: 27-32-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

NY Mets (49-30) @ Cincinnati (27-51)
— Walker is 3-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 9-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He is 0-1, 9.00 in one start (5 IP) vs Cincinnati.

— Mets are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Mets are 23-17 on road.
— over 23-13-2 last 38 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-79
— record in first 5 innings: 41-23-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-3.1

— Greene is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-12 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Reds lost 12 of last 17 games.
— Cincinnati is 13-25 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-78
— record in first 5 innings: 22-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

St Louis (44-37) @ Atlanta (46-34)
— Hudson is 2-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 8-7 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 0-0, 3.38 in two games (1 start) vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals lost three of last four games.
— St Louis is 20-21 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-32-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-6.1-2.1

— Wright is 4-1, 3.52 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 10-5 in his starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

— Braves won 23 of their last 30 games.
— Atlanta is 24-17 at home.
— under 8-3 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-81
— record in first 5 innings: 44-28-9

— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1

Colorado (34-44) @ Los Angeles (49-29)
— Freeland is 3-0, 3.27 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 1-1, 7.45 in two starts vs Los Angeles TY.

— Colorado lost seven of last 11 games.
— Rockies are 12-23 on road.
— under 11-6-1 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-78
— record in first 5 innings: 25-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-7-4

— Urias is 3-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 10-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 1-1, 11.05 in two starts vs Colorado TY.

— Dodgers are 10-5 in their last fifteen games.
— Los Angeles is 23-13 at home.
— under 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-78
— record in first 5 innings: 45-20-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-2.2-2

American League
Texas (37-40) @ Baltimore (36-44)
— Dunning is 0-3, 4.05 in his last five starts.
— Rangers are 0-8 in his last eight starts.
— under 11-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-4
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Rangers are 1-3 in last four games.
— Texas is 20-20 on road.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-77
— record in first 5 innings: 27-34-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-2.1

— Kremer is 2-0, 0.76 in his last four starts.
— Baltimore is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 0-0, 1.93 in one start (4.2 IP) vs Texas.

— Orioles are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Baltimore is 18-17 at home.
— under 11-3-1 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-80
— record in first 5 innings: 27-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

Cleveland (40-36) @ Detroit (30-47)
— Plesac is 1-1, 2.40 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 6-8 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4
— He is 4-1, 1.91 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Quantrill is 1-1, 4.13 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 6-8 in his starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five games (2 starts) vs Detroit

— Guardians are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Cleveland is 20-19 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-76
— record in first 5 innings: 28-32-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7-2

— Hill is making his first MLB start.
— He is 2-2, 4.06 in eight AAA starts this year.
— He was also 2-0, 2.25 in seven AA starts this year.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He obviously hasn’t pitched against Kansas City

— bullpen game

— Tigers lost 13 of their last 19 games.
— Detroit is 19-24 at home.
— three of last four games under.
— scored run in first inning: 17-77
— record in first 5 innings: 19-45-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4.1

Tampa Bay (43-36) @ Boston (44-35)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won its last three games, scoring 24 runs.
— Rays are 18-19 on road.
— over 8-2-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 38-25-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-6.2-3

— Wacha is 3-0, 3.38 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 9-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-4
— He is 1-3, 6.98 in four starts vs Tampa Bay

— Red Sox won 21 of last 29 games.
— Boston is 20-16 at home.
— under 8-4-2 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 35-26-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-7

Kansas City (29-48) @ Houston (51-27)
— Heasley is 0-1, 9.24 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 3-6 in his starts
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-2
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in one start vs Houston.

— Kansas City lost five of last eight games.
— Royals are 15-23 on road.
— under 11-5-1 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 21-77
— record in first 5 innings: 26-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-4.1

— Odorizzi is 3-0, 1.19 in his last four starts.
— His last start was May 16
— Astros are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He is 3-6, 5.48 in 14 starts vs Kansas City.

— Astros won 15 of their last 19 games.
— Houston is 24-11 at home.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 25-78
— record in first 5 innings: 46-21-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

Minnesota (45-37) @ White Sox (38-39)
— Bundy is 1-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 4-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 5-0, 3.46 in six starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Twins are 20-19 on road.
— under 14-6-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-82
— record in first 5 innings: 44-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3

— Cueto is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 3-0, 0.90 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Chicago is 20-23 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten
— scored run in first inning: 17-77
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

Toronto (44-36) @ A’s (26-55)
— Manoah is 4-1, 2.79 in his last six starts.
— Toronto is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-3
— He is 1-0, 6.55 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Blue Jays lost their last three games.
— Toronto is 19-18 on road.
— over 31-8 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-80
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-11.1-4.1

— Irvin is 0-4, 5.48 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 3-10 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-3
— He is 1-1, 6.97 in two starts vs Toronto.

— A’s are 12-36 in their last 48 games.
— Oakland is 8-28 at home.
— under 13-5-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-81
— record in first 5 innings: 25-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-7

Interleague games
Seattle (39-42) @ San Diego (47-34)
— Flexen is 2-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 5-10 in his starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He is 0-2, 21.21 in two starts vs San Diego (12 runs in 4.2 IP).

— Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
— Seattle is 19-22 on road.
— under 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 30-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2.1

— Manaea is 0-0, 5.63 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 9-1-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He is 8-6, 3.46 in 15 starts vs Seattle.

— Padres lost seven of last ten games.
— San Diego is 21-16 at home.
— under 11-6 last seventeen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-81
— record in first 5 innings: 40-26-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:05 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Pick Three (Races 6-7-8) / $1 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Starter Allowance $50,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 3:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ALL FOUR WINDS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ALL FOUR WINDS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dista nce/surface. MAXIM MOMENT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PAPALE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven d ays. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BALADI: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	ALL FOUR WINDS	2/1	5/1
2	MAXIM MOMENT	5/2	6/1
1	PAPALE	9/5	6/1
4	BALADI	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	ALL FOUR WINDS	6	2/1	Front-runner	88	83	70.2	70.2	64.7
2	MAXIM MOMENT	2	5/2	Stalker	82	86	73.9	82.5	78.0
1	PAPALE	1	9/5	Stalker	87	89	66.4	79.4	74.4
4	BALADI	4	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	81	85.3	69.2	63.7
5	SHORTMAN	5	8/1	Trailer	81	70	66.3	73.5	63.5
3	TAKEITTOTHEBANK	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	70	45.2	45.2	33.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:06 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 4 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 TEAM HOT LINE 5/1
# 6 DUNVEGAN DOLL 3/1
# 3 GRAY ROYALITY 7/2

I've got to go with TEAM HOT LINE. Has run admirably when running a dirt route race. DUNVEGAN DOLL - Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 67 Equibase speed fig which is one of the best in this group of horses. Should be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. GRAY ROYALITY - Ought to go to the lead and may never look back. Should land in the top three without any worries.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:06 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:40pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $90,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#1 DEMANDSRESPECT (ML=7/2)
#5 PRECURSORY (ML=2/1)
#4 HOP PICKER (ML=7/2)

DEMANDSRESPECT - Great chance for this steed. Big late speed and should have good position. A repeat of that recent performance on May 7th where she earned a speed figure of 81 looks high enough to win in this race. I look for an increased ability right here with the addition of Lasix for the 2nd time. Got to like a equine athlete who can make up a ton of ground in the stretch. This filly came flying late sprinting last time out and should relish the longer distance of today's race. PRECURSORY - This filly is in nice form. Ended up third on Jun 9th. It looks like Rosario had to come to know this filly on June 9th when riding her for the first time. Back on again today. I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per race in here today. The addition of blinks usually means that a trainer wants a thoroughbred to show more zip or to keep her attention focused. HOP PICKER - McGaughey has this filly spotted in the perfect race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DON'T OVERLOOK ME (ML=3/1), #6 QUOTABELLE (ML=9/2),

DON'T OVERLOOK ME - This entrant hasn't shown very much in the last pair of races. Garnered a common rating last time out in a Maiden Special race on June 5th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. QUOTABELLE - Difficult to take this runner at the odds after the finish (seventh) in the last event. This steed ran a pedestrian speed figure last time out. She shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat today running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 DEMANDSRESPECT is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:07 PM

Belmont Park Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-4-6
Race 2: 2-1-5-3
Race 3: 5-3-6-2
Race 4: 4-5-3-1
Race 5: 5-2-1-7
Race 6: 1-4-3-5
Race 7: 6-3-8-4
Race 8: 5-6-3-1
Race 9: 3-1-2-5
Race 10: 3-10-8-2
**Most Likely: Maxwell Esquire #6 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Foolish Ghost #2 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:07 PM

Churchill Downs Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 4-6-5-3
Race 2: 4-10-5-2
Race 3: 7-3-5-8
Race 4: 8-2-4-6
Race 5: 1-4-7-5
Race 6: 2-3-1-6
Race 7: 7-4-1-5
Race 8: 6-3-1-7
Race 9: 5-3-10-9
**Most Likely: Enid #1 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Fun And Feisty #4 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:07 PM

Lone Star Park Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-8-1
Race 2: 5-3-2-7
Race 3: 5-6-4-1
Race 4: 1-5-3-2
Race 5: 3-8-9-2
Race 6: 3-8-2-4
Race 7: 9-3-7-10
Race 8: 5-10-6-4
Race 9: 6-11-7-4
**Most Likely: Defender #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Charmingside #9 (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:08 PM

Monmouth Park Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 6-4-3-7
Race 2: 5-4-8-7
Race 3: 4-7-6-1
Race 4: 2-6-3-7
Race 5: 3-9-6-10
Race 6: 8-7-1-3
Race 7: 7-1-2-3
Race 8: 2-3-7-1
Race 9: 10-11-5-7
**Most Likely: Reckless Place #3 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Nonna Patrizia #5 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:08 PM

Parx Racing Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 1-4-2-5
Race 2: 1-2-7-5
Race 3: 6-1-7-5
Race 4: 6-8-1-2
Race 5: 7-1-2-6
Race 6: 6-3-2-5
Race 7: 5-2-6-9
Race 8: 5-7-3-6
Race 9: 7-4-5-3
Race 10: 7-8-1-3
**Most Likely: Indirectly #1 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Precious #7 (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:08 PM

Belmont Park Picks: Manila Stakes should produce fireworks on July 4
By J.N. Campbell

Belmont Park Picks - Monday, July 4, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-4-6
Race 2: 2-1-5-3
Race 3: 5-3-6-2
Race 4: 4-5-3-1
Race 5: 5-2-1-7
Race 6: 1-4-3-5
Race 7: 6-3-8-4
Race 8: 5-6-3-1
Race 9: 3-1-2-5
Race 10: 3-10-8-2
**Most Likely: Maxwell Esquire #6 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Foolish Ghost #2 (Race 2)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 7: Maxwell Esquire #6, 5/2):

Trainer Linda Rice fate continues in limbo, but she still is sending runners out to the track. This horse by Discreet Cat ran for Christophe Clement, and competed ably. He made the switch to Rice, and tried him on the turf at Belmont, a place he has called home. The result was a miss against the likes of Voodoo Zip. Now, he drops down a bit to this level, and I expect the result to be in-line with his last attempt with Clement. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, he should have a great chance to make it to the winner’s circle.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #6

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 2: Foolish Ghost #2, 4/1):

If you are looking for a sound play at a nice price, then do not miss Ray Handal’s gelding by Mineshaft. In against state breds for a tag, he is coming off-the-bench after a superb ’21 campaign. He was strong at Saratoga last season, and Handal has him ready. Pairing with Dylan Davis, a rider of exceptional talent, we should expect this one to make a splash on this holiday. The price could be even better come post time … let’s hope that bettors shy away … 5/1? Yes, please …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Turf, 1 Mile, Manila S., $100k, 3):

The “highlight” on Monday’s card at Belmont is the annual renewal of the Manila S., which should be an interesting puzzle to try and solve. HOF trainer Todd Pletcher has a pair entered on the turf, ala Chad Brown. Both Chanceux #1 and Annapolis #2 look strong in the class category. The former should be pretty fit after ending up 3rd in both the Woodhaven S. and the Paradise Creek S. The job of piloting falls to Flavien Prat, and that makes me think that his mount will not end up at 8/1. As for the “other” Pletcher runner, he is no slouch for Bass Racing, after scoring in the Pilgrim S. (G2) at Belmont last October. Even though his debut in the Penn Mile S. (G2) was a short-priced miss in early June, there is nothing to suspect that he cannot rally in this spot. In am willing to take a stand against both uncoupled entries, and instead, go after a juicier price with Brad Cox’s Ready to Purform #3. I could be wrong, but I think this one will be overlooked on the tote. Cox gets little in the way of respect at NYRA tracks, and with Joel Rosario in the irons, the colt by Kitten’s Joy has a super chance. In the JW Murphy S. $100k at Pimlico, he just missed at the wire. The folks at Donegal Racing have a good one on their hands. Here is the wager that I am going to muster …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 3 w 1/2 w 1/2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:09 PM

Rocket Picks ��: Belmont Park and Churchill Downs for July 4, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Happy 4th of July to everyone! Hopefully you have a fun and safe holiday! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for closing day at Churchill Downs for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out.

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

Belmont Park July 4, 2022

Race 7: Allowance Optional Claiming

#3 Artemus Citylimits has been close at this level in his last several starts and will be tough to beat again today in this spot. He should be the one setting the early pace, while Luis Saez jumps aboard this time out. #6 Maxwell Esquire won at this level two starts back; however, did not run well in her first start for Rice last time out.

Race 8: Maiden Special Weight
freestar

#5 Precursory improved in her last start when going one-mile and is the one to beat today if she can run back to that effort. Rosario will jump aboard once again today. #6 Quotabelle faced a tough field on debut and should improve in her second career start today. Look for her to set the early pace.

Race 9: Manila Stakes

#2 Annapolis was second in his return to the races last time out in the Penn Mile. We should see an improved effort, while it should help that he gets back to a firm turf course. #4 Coinage has been in some tough spots this year. He should enjoy what looks to be an easier spot for him today.

Race 10: Maiden Claiming

#2 Dorothys the Boss was decent in her turf debut last time out, finishing fourth at this level. She should improve in her second start over the surface. #4 Mo Damorninggrouch drops down back down to the maiden claiming ranks for this one, which was she was competitive in her first two starts.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 3,4,6 / 1,5,6 / 2,4 / 2,3,4,8,9 – $45

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:09 PM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Monday, July 4

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Monday's meetings at Ayr, Worcester and Ripon.

AYR

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.50 Dornoch Castle

2.25 Polam Lane

3.00 Classy Al (nb)

3.35 Glasses Up

4.10 Quest For Fun

4.45 Yaaser

5.15 Flying Moon

GIMCRACK

1.50 Dornoch Castle

2.25 Polam Lane

3.00 Wrecked It Ralph

3.35 Golden Flame

4.10 Quest For Fun (nap)

4.45 Yaaser

5.15 Tele Red

Northerner – 1.50 Dornoch Castle (nap); 2.25 Polam Lane (nb).

WORCESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.00 Drumlee Watar

1.35 Lord Bryan

2.10 Intrepide Sud

2.45 American Sniper

3.20 Tiger Orchid

3.55 Karannelle

4.30 Pillar Of Steel

5.05 Lessankan

GIMCRACK

1.00 Drumlee Watar

1.35 Coral

2.10 Western Safire

2.45 American Sniper

3.20 Tiger Orchid

3.55 My Poem

4.30 Pillar Of Steel

5.05 Bird On The Wire

RIPON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

6.15 Claretina

6.45 Marbuzet (nap)

7.15 Poet’s Dawn

7.45 Myristica

8.15 Kaatibb

8.45 Bicep

GIMCRACK

6.15 Greycious Anna

6.45 Ramamaras Boy

7.15 Deputy

7.45 Myristica

8.15 Glam De Vega

8.45 Kendred Fire (nb)

Newmarket – 6.15 Liberation Bay (nb); 8.15 Glam De Vega (nap)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:09 PM

Belmont Horses in Focus for Monday, July 4
Posted on July 3, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 7: BALLYDOOLEY (#2)

The short prices in this optional claimer are a little tough to swallow. That’s especially true for #3 Artemus Citylimits, who just seems to have developed an aversion to winning races. He’s finished in the money in every start since his last victory a year ago, but he just consistently fails to get the job done despite working out good trips. I don’t dispute that he possesses the best form in this field, but he’s just hard to support from a win perspective. I also have some reservations about #6 Maxwell Esquire, who looks like the clear second choice. He defeated Artemus Citylimits two back when getting a good setup from off the pace. However, he didn’t look like himself in his first start of the claim for Linda Rice last time, never hitting his best stride in a race that was won from off the pace by Voodoo Zip. He has to do better here, though he is getting some class relief. #4 Fauci is another coming out of some tough races, but I didn’t like his effort last time when he came off the bridle a long way from home. I don’t see a ton of speed in this race aside from Artemus Citylimits, and I won’t be surprised if his connections try to get him off the pace here based on the way he coughed up leads in his last two starts. That could make #2 Ballydooley dangerous on the front end. I know he comes in with form that doesn’t quite stack up against the rest, but Michelle Nevin is bringing him back off the layoff in an ambitious spot. He’s a horse who showed steady improvement last year and proved dangerous any time he was left alone on the front end. It certainly doesn’t hurt to get Joel Rosario aboard and Michelle Nevin has been in the midst of a very strong meet.

RACE 8: HOP PICKER (#4)

A solid case can be made for 5 of the 6 runners in this field competitive maiden field and even outsider Dolce Sera ran a competitive race at this level three back. The horse to beat is probably #5 Precursory, who earned a solid speed figure when finishing third at this level last time. She’s already proven she handles the one-mile distance, which is a question for some others in here. She ranged up like she might win last time but just flattened out a bit in the late stages. Perhaps that’s why Bill Mott adds blinkers for this third start, and she shows a nice workout over the training track last week. Todd Pletcher has a pair of entrants, though I’m a little skeptical of both. #6 Quotabelle didn’t finish after showing speed last time, and could play out as the pacesetter on the stretch-out. #3 Don’t Overlook Me finished better than her stablemate last time and is bred to go longer. However, she’s been a disappointment in both starts and is overdue to show some ability. Of the runners stretching out, I’m more convinced by #1 Demandsrespect. She closed well after getting outrun in the slop last time, and is out of a high-quality dam that could handle a mile. My top pick is #4 Hop Picker, who actually cuts back slightly from 1 1/16 miles. She was disappointing as the 2-5 favorite that day in a race that looked very weak for the level. However, she had been off for 3 months since her promising debut and ran like a filly that might have needed the start. She traveled well early, showing improved tactical speed, but just got tired at the end. She’s since been put through a much more *****ous series of workouts than she had coming into the last race, so I’m expecting a step forward. She’s bred to be a good one, and I doubt we’ve yet seen the best from this McGaughey runner.

RACE 9: COINAGE (#4)

#2 Annapolis would have been the favorite in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, but was forced to miss that race with a minor issue. He made his belated return in the Penn Mile last time and ran better than the result would indicate. That turf course was a bog, and produced some chaotic results. This guy closed determinedly over that demanding course, and should have gotten plenty of fitness out of that performance. Pletcher understandably opts to go for this easier spot rather than trying the G1 Belmont Derby. If he still possesses the talent we saw from him last year, he’s going to be a handful. The wild card in this field is #5 Boston Tea Party, who steps up into stakes company right off his debut. He was a well-kept secret that day, going off at 11-1, but he delivered in a big way. He traveled strongly while racing 3-wide and took over impressively at the head of the lane. Tony Dutrow’s barn has really come alive during the past several weeks and he’s not shying away from throwing this guy into a tough spot right off that debut win. I’m more interested in the other recent maiden winner #7 Double Clutch, who is ambitiously spotted here after breaking his maiden at Keeneland. He got a great trip, but I liked the way he burst clear from that field late. Rusty Arnold is high on this horse, and he’s bred to be a good one as a half-brother to Gear Jockey. A couple of runners exit the G2 American Turf at Churchill Downs. #6 Smokin’ T ran pretty well that day and came back to just miss in the Audubon. He’s not impossible here, but I prefer the other one from the American Turf. #4 Coinage faded late in in that spot, but I don’t want to be too hard on him for that effort. He didn’t break that sharply and got very rank under Florent Geroux while making a premature move up to contest the pace while racing wide into the clubhouse turn. I like that he now gets Luis Saez back aboard, which is significant for a horse that can be difficult to ride at times. This one-turn mile should suit him well, and he figures to be a square price in the face of some runners with more apparent upside.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-04-2022, 03:10 PM

Belmont Park Picks for July 4, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Jul 4th, 2022 2:51am PDT

Belmont Park Picks for July 4, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

The Fourth of July has a solid horse racing card for handicappers. This is a rare stakes day on a Monday. There are stakes events at Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, and the feature on the Fourth of July at Los Alamitos Race Course in California.
Grade 2 at Los Alamitos Race Course
The $200,000 Great Lady M S (Gr. 2) is the biggest stakes race on Monday. Churchill Downs has three $175,000 events and the biggest overall card.

We’ll get started at Belmont Park in New York. Belmont has two stakes races, with the running of the $150,000 Grand Couturier Stakes and $100,000 Manila Stakes. Head below for our best Belmont Park picks on July 4, 2022.
Rank
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
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FantasyDraft
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Race 3
(1) Irie Spice
+3000 (30/1)
(2) Inspiration Point
+200 (2/1)
(3) Suppressor
+100 (1/1)
(4) Sharpoon
+1200 (12/1)
(5) Empire Ridge
+450 (9/2)
(6) Fazaro
+600 (6/1)

Post Time:2:03 p.m. EST

Distance:7 Furlongs

Purse: $45,000

Race 3 covers 7 furlongs for a $45,000 purse on the dirt. Look at Inspiration Point and Suppressor as serious players in the third at Belmont.

Inspiration Point hasn’t had a win in nine career starts. He’s finished 2nd, 6th, 2nd in his previous three starts.

The gelding most recently placed 2nd behind Moonshininbright by

Monday 7/4/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 7/4/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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