Saturday 10/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Morphettville racing preview & best bets | Saturday 8/10/2022
October 6, 2022 4:34 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Morphettville Races
Where Morphettville Racecourse – 79 Morphett Rd, Morphettville SA 5043
When Saturday, October 8, 2022
First Race 11:59am ACDT

Visit Ladbrokes

Racing in South Australia returns to the Morphettville track on Saturday, hosting a huge 10-race card. The track is currently rated as a Soft 7 with more rain expected on Thursday; however, if no more rain falls and we get fine weather on raceday, the track shouldn’t be any worse than a Soft 6 or 7. The rail will be in the 10m position from the 1200m mark to the winning post and in the 6m position for the remainder. Racing from Morphettville will kick off at 11:59am ACDT.
Morphettville Best Bet: Muramasa

Our best bet of the day comes up in the Listed Hill Stakes over 1800m, where we will be siding with the Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young-trained Murumasa. This three-year-old colt has only been to the races twice in his career, winning his debut race over 1427m at Sale before finishing seventh in the Group 2 Stutt Stakes over 1600m at Moonee Valley. This son of Deep Impact has shown ability in both starts, but ultimately the Group 2 Stutt Stakes may have been too soon for this guy in a hot field full of Caulfield Guineas contenders. This colt is an emergency in the Caulfield Guineas, so there is still an option to go there if he was able to gain a run, so we will wait until Saturday to see where the Busuttin & Young team choose to go. If they choose Morphettville, he will be very hard to beat and a definite bet.
Best Bet

Race 5 – silks#3 Muramasa (2)

3yo Colt | T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young | J: Paul Gatt (57kg)

$1.90 with Betfair
Next Best Bet at Morphettville: Wicked Addiction

The Kym Healy-trained Wicked Addiction will be our next best bet in race two over 1600m after this gelding has compiled a second and a third at his last two starts over 1600m and 1550m. At both of those starts this son of Ambidexter has finished behind Yuri Royale by less than a length on both occasions. The early favourite in this race is France’s Boy who meets Wicked Addiction half a kilogram better at the weights but we don’t see that being a problem for our guy, as the former still has to make up over a length from last start. From barrier nine, Todd Pannell should be able to glide across the front of the field and sit on the outside of his main rival in the lead and be too strong over the concluding stages.
Next Best

Race 2 – silks#3 Wicked Addiction (9)

5yo Gelding | T: Kym Healy | J: Todd Pannell (59kg)

$4.50 with PlayUp
Best Value at Morphettville: Aiguilette

Our best value bet in race seven could be the forgotten runner in the market after opening at $13 with online Bookmakers, the Wayne Francis & Glen Kent-trained Aiguilette. This seven-year-old gelding has returned from a spell in good form, running third first-up behind Melba Storm by just under two lengths, showing there is more improvement to come second-up. Lachlan Neindorf will take the ride on this guy and with aid of his 1.5kg claim he gets in on the minimum of 54kg. This son of Epaulette has a good second-up record, with five starts for two wins. He should get an economical run just worse than midfield and be storming home late to nab them on the line.
Best Value

Race 7 – silks#9 Aiguilette (10)

7yo Gelding | T: Wayne Francis & Glen Kent | J: Lachlan Neindorf (a1.5) (55.5kg)

$18 with Palmerbet
Saturday quaddie tips for Morphettville
Morphettville quadrella selections

Saturday, October 8, 2022

2-4-9-11
1-2-6-9-14
7-14
4-7-11

Investment: $120 for 100%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ascot racing preview & quaddie picks | Saturday, October 8
October 6, 2022 5:09 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Ascot Races
Where Ascot Racecourse – 71 Grandstand Rd, Ascot WA 6104
When Saturday, October 8, 2022
First Race 11:59am AWST

Visit Ladbrokes

Ascot Racecourse will host Western Australian metropolitan racing for the first time this season on Saturday. The track is currently rated a Soft 5 with no rain on the forecast before raceday, so we should be on a Good track when the first of 10 jumps at 11:59am AWST. The rail will be in the 3m position for the entire course.
Ascot Best Bet: Treasured Star

Our best bet will be in the lucky last of the day, where the very smart Treasured Star from the Adam Durrant yard will return from a spell. This lightly raced four-year-old mare won the Group 2 WA Guineas before going out for a spell and now returns in a much lesser grade, a BM78. Adam Durrant has given this girl two trials before bringing her back to the races today, so she should be fit enough to win her first-up assignment today. Western Australia’s premier jockey, Clint Johnston-Porter will take the ride on this daughter of Toronado, after riding her at both of her trials, so we should be seeing this talented mare win again.
Best Bet

Race 10 – silks#6 Treasured Star (2)

4yo Mare | T: Adam Durrant | J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg)

$2.35 with Betfair
Next Best Bet at Ascot: Vampi At Play

The Neville Parnham-trained Vampi At Play will be our next best bet in race six over 1200m at her first-up run for her second preparation of her young career. This three-year-old filly has not finished outside the top two at all four of her starts for her career with one win and three seconds on her record. After one trial over 1000m on September 28, this girl should be ready to go first-up with Steven Parnham to take the ride, who also rode her in her trial. From barrier five, this daughter of Playing God should be able to take up a prominent position outside the leader or in the one-one, making her very hard to beat in the home straight.
Next Best

Race 6 – silks#13 Vampi At Play (5)

3yo Filly | T: Neville Parnham | J: Steven Parnham (54kg)

$4 with PlayUp
Best Value at Ascot: Top Of The Pops

In race nine – the 3YO Classic – we find our best value bet on the card, Top Of The Pops. The Daniel Morton-trained gelding is undefeated from his first four career starts, winning over 1200m and 1400m in his first preparation. This son of Spirit Of Boom has opened at $8.50 with most online Bookmakers and we believe he is way over the odds as he is one of only two horses that are undefeated in this field. We are more than happy to have our money on this gelding considering he hasn’t ever tasted defeat, and we hope that he can continue on his winning ways with another win first-up over 1000m.
Best Value

Race 9 – silks#2 Top Of The Pops (10)

3yo Gelding | T: Dan Morton | J: Steven Parnham (56.5kg)

$8.50 with Palmerbet
Saturday quaddie tips for Ascot
Ascot quadrella selections

Saturday, October 8, 2022

2-4-5-11
4-6
1-2-6
4-6

Investment: $48 for 100%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday’s Alice Springs racing tips & odds | October 8, 2022
October 7, 2022 5:32 pm.
David White

What Alice Springs Races
Where Pioneer Park Racecourse – Stuart Hwy, Connellan NT 0870
When Saturday, October 8, 2022
First Race 2:34pm ACST

Visit Ladbrokes

Racing returns to Pioneer Park this weekend with a five-part card hosted by the Alice Springs Turf Club. We have gone through every race in the book and picked out our best bets for each.
Race 1 (2.34pm) – $19,425 Ladbrokes Switch 0-64 Handicap (1200m)

Intercontinental had a three month break during the middle of the year before returning in July and continues to perform with distinction after five starts. The six-year-old gelding has had two wins, a second and a third during that period – his only poor display a seventh over 1200m (BM66) on August 26. He followed that with a last-start second over 1000m (0-70) on September 25 after pushing the in-form Liberty Blue all the way before relenting in the final stages. If he gets to an early lead, Intercontinental will take some stopping, but he has only ever won over 1200m on one occasion in 12 attempts – when he saluted in Canberra in May 2020. After racing in WA, Arrogant Miss returned to Pioneer Park for the first time since June with a last-start third behind Liberty Blue and Intercontinental two weeks ago. Arrogant Miss hasn’t won since Anzac Day on 2020, but will benefit from a 4kg claim. Trystoff is better than average, but he hasn’t raced since April. Hard Work Rewards might be a nine-year-old mare, but she is racing well and was victorious over 1200m (0-64) on August 20. Kummerlings, who didn’t do much wrong at the start of the year, had six months off before a last-start sixth behind Liberty Blue on September 25.
Best Bet

Race 1 – Intercontinental silks#2 Intercontinental (3)

6yo Gelding | T: Greg Connor | J: Jessie Philpot (59kg)

$2.70 with Bet365
Race 2 (3.14pm) – $18,375 Yeperenye Shopping Centre Benchmark 54 Handicap (1200m)

Harbour Express has posted 10 wins in 84 career starts and his last win was as recent as July 3 when he saluted over 1100m (0-58). The nine-year-old gelding has tasted success four times in 20 appearances in the Red Centre and his record over 1200m is 26: 4-1-4. During his first stint in the Alice in 2020, Harbour Express produced nothing in three starts. The following year he had four starts for three wins and a third. He returned from SA for a third time in April and in 13 starts he has been placed three times. Harbour Express finished fourth over 1100m and 1200m (0-58) in September, so he’s not that far away. In his past 13 starts, Rhythmical has only missed out on finishing in the top four on two occasions and his consistency can’t be ignored. His last win was over 1100m (0-58) in September last year and he was a last-start seventh over 1200m (0-58) two Sundays ago. A 3kg claim on Saturday helps. It would be a surprise if Harbour Express and Rhythmical didn’t fight out the finish. Tredici had four starts in June and July – his best effort a last-start third over 1600m (0-64). He has tasted success over 1200m once in 14 starts. The Chaplain has yet to produce his best, while Morphling and Benzagain clearly battled a fortnight ago.
Best Bet

Race 2 – Harbour Express silks#1 Harbour Express (5)

9yo Gelding | T: Lisa Whittle | J: Paul Denton (59kg)

$2.70 with Unibet
Race 3 (3.51pm) – $21,525 Australian Transit Group Benchmark 76 Handicap (1100m)

Bar Gem has hardly put a foot wrong since returning from Darwin at the end of last year, but he disappointed last start when fifth over 1400m in open company as a $2.40 favourite with online Bookmakers. You’d have to think that it was just an aberration and the seven-year-old gelding is capable of bouncing back, but he’ll have to bring his best to the table as there are a handful of rivals who are racing well. Bar Gem raced in Alice Springs and Darwin from March 2019 to April 2020 and recorded four wins, two seconds and two thirds in nine starts before returning to SA. Returning to Darwin last year, he had seven starts for a win and four seconds. Arriving back in the Alice, Bar Gem has had eight starts for three wins, two seconds and a third, as well as two fifths over 1400m. Having being placed 13 times in 15 starts at Pioneer Park indicates that Bar Gem deserves another chance. Liberty Blue is aiming for his fifth-straight win since August 20 and is a red-hot chance – he will more than likely start as favourite. Sedona has won four of his past eight starts and has only finished unplaced once. Roughly, a thriving 10-year-old mare, has posted three wins and a second in her past five starts. Harpuna is more than capable if he’s on his game.
Best Bet

Race 3 – Bar Gem silks#2 Bar Gem (6)

7yo Gelding | T: Greg Connor | J: Dan Morgan (57.5kg)

$3.80 with Bet365
Race 4 (4.26pm) – $18,375 CAAMA Radio Maiden Plate (1000m)

Vega Prince debuted at Pioneer Park on September 25 in a 1200m maiden as a $1.70 favourite with betting sites before finishing third behind Abreha and Bold Tropic. Prior to arriving in the NT, the four-year-old gelding raced on seven occasions in NSW at Randwick (Kensington), Rosehill, Canterbury, Hawkesbury, Goulburn and Nowra with his best effort a third over 1600m at Nowra on New Year’s Eve. In seven trials, Vega Prince could only manage a second over 780m at Randwick. Without making excuses, Vega Prince perhaps needed the run at Pioneer Park because he is arguably the best horse in the race. Bold Tropic arrived in town after eight Victorian starts and one Darwin start, and before his last-start second his other best effort was a third in a 1200m maiden on August 6. Can he finally get that first win in his fourth Alice start? Drawn To Win started his career in July, finishing fourth in a 1000m maiden at Gunnedah and third in a 900m maiden at Scone. In his first start in Central Australia, Drawn To Win finished fifth behind Captain Bridges over 1100m (0-58) on September 11. Redenzo Lad had three starts in SA and has raced once in Darwin and Tennant Creek, and in nine Alice appearances he has finished third three times.
Best Bet

Race 4 – Vegas Prince silks#4 Vegas Prince (2)

4yo Gelding | T: Lisa Whittle | J: Sonja Wiseman (59kg)

$2.60 with Neds
Race 5 (5.07pm) – $18,375 Perks 0-58 Handicap (1600m)

Qualis has only raced 14 times and in three NSW starts he finished third in a 1200m Gosford maiden and second in a 1300m Goulburn maiden before winning a 1400m Newcastle maiden. The five-year-old gelding then wound up in the NT. A first-up sixth at Darwin over 1200m (BM68) against three-year-olds in July last year was followed by a third over 1100m (Class 2) in the Alice last October. In his next six starts at either Fannie Bay or Pioneer Park, Qualis could only manage a third over 1600m (Class 2) in the Top End on July 13. Suddenly, Qualis wins over 1200m (BM54) back in the Alice on August 26 and that was followed by a fourth over 1200m (Class 2) on September 11 before a last-start win over 1400m (BM54) on September 25. Qualis was up on the speed that day and was quite impressive. He also appeared to have plenty left in the tank, so fingers crossed he will deliver the goods once again. Winter Harbour and Travanti filled the minor placings behind Qualis two weeks ago and certainly pose a serious threat. Winter Harbour saluted over 1600m (0-64) on September 11 after finishing second over 1400m (0-70) on August 20. Travanti has won three of his past six starts and although he steps up to the 1600m for the first time he has a 3kg claim.
Best Bet

Race 5 – Qualis silks#1 Qualis (2)

5yo Gelding | T: Sheila Arnold | J: Casey Hunter (59kg)

$2.70 with Bet365

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Might And Power Stakes preview & best bets | October 8, 2022
October 5, 2022 4:55 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What 2022 Might And Power Stakes
Where Caulfield Racecourse – 22 Station St, Caulfield East VIC 3145
When Saturday, October 8, 2022 | 3:50pm AEDT | Race 7
Prizemoney $1,000,000
Distance 2000m
Status Group 1
Conditions Weight For Age
2021 Winner Probabeel (1) | T: Jamie Richards| J: Brett Prebble (57kg)

Visit Ladbrokes

The Might And Power Stakes over 2000m oozes quality this year and will be one of the most anticipated races on the card at Caulfield on Saturday. It is a great lead-up race for the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate later in the spring, with the majority of this field having aspirations to go on to both of those races.

There is very little separating the majority of this eight-horse field, where the James Cummings-trained Anamoe has opened up the $2.30 favourite with Zaaki ($4.80) on the second line of betting with online Bookmakers. The Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained I’m Thunderstruck is next up at $5.50, closely followed by Underwood Stakes winner Alligator Blood at $6.50 on the fourth line. However, Mo’unga ($12) and Mr Brightside ($15) are not out of it at bigger odds.

The speed map for this Might And Power Stakes will be very similar to when the majority of this field met in the Underwood Stakes two weeks ago at Sandown, where Alligator Blood and Zaaki took up the lead together. The Price & Kent team has confirmed that I’m Thunderstruck will take up a more prominent position this time from barrier one, so he and Nonconformist should be on the back of the leaders. Anamoe, Benaud and Mo’unga will all be out the back and will be letting down the outside with plenty to give if there is a hot tempo set by the leaders.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Might And Power Stakes.

In one of the best-ever editions of the Might And Power Stakes, we are going to be siding with the Godolphin runner, Anamoe. Even though this four-year-old is $2.30 with the betting sites and will probably shorten before raceday, he is going to be very hard to beat. This son of Street Boss has won both of his starts this preparation – the Group 1 Winx Stakes (1400m) and the Group 1 George Main Stakes (1600m) in Sydney – before arriving in Melbourne this week. He won dominantly both times at Randwick, toying with his rivals; however, he now meets one of the best fields he will have met in his career. Anamoe should have won a Cox Plate last year and he is the $3 favourite in this year’s edition, so this won’t be his grand final, but we believe he will pick up the Might And Power Stakes on the way through.

The Annabel Neasham trained-Mo’unga was one of the horses that we put in our Follow Files after his second-place finish in the Underwood Stakes behind Alligator Blood. This son of Savabeel was also good in his other start in Victoria, finishing third in the Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes on a Soft 7. If Damien Oliver can have this guy on the outside with Anamoe, we expect to see these two going at it down to the line and finish one-two.

I’m Thunderstruck and Zaaki are obviously very strong chances. I’m Thunderstruck will be racing closer than usual, and that could undo him and possibly weaken his normal booming finish. Zaaki will be on the speed with Alligator Blood, and if they overdo it, the swoopers will be all over them late.
2022 Might And Power Stakes selections & best bets

Selections:

1
ANAMOE

bet365
Mo'unga silks8
MO’UNGA

unibet
I'm Thunderstruck3
I’M THUNDERSTRUCK

Ladbrokes
Zaaki2
ZAAKI

Palmerbet

$100 betting strategy
$80 win Anamoe (#7) @ $2.30 with Bet365
$10 each way Mo’unga (#5) @ $12 / $2.70 with Unibet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Caulfield Guineas preview & betting strategy | October 8
October 5, 2022 4:33 pm.
James Herbert

What Caulfield Guineas 2022
Where Caulfield Racecourse – 22 Station St, Caulfield East VIC 3145
When Saturday, October 8, 2022 | Race 8 | 4:30pm AEDT
Prizemoney $3,000,000
Distance 1600m
Status Group 1
Conditions Set Weights | 3YO
2021 Winner Anamoe (15) | T: James Cummings | J: Damien Oliver (57kg)

Visit Ladbrokes

The 2022 Caulfield Guineas has long been a stallion-making event and it headlines the action at Caulfield on Saturday afternoon.

Having been taken out by Anamoe last year, Godolphin will be looking to pick up consecutive wins in the event, with Golden Mile heading the market at $3.60 with online Bookmakers. Dan O’Sullivan will be looking to pick up his first Group 1 success with Berkeley Square ($5), while the Ben & JD Hayes-trained Tijuana ($9.50) is the only other runner at a single-figure quote.

Expect Elkington Road to use barrier two to his advantage and take up the running, while the likes of Foujita San, Bank Maur and Osipenko will need to be aggressive early in finding a spot close to the speed from the wide barriers. Golden Mile should settle just off the speed, and we expect Berkeley Square to follow his main market rival wherever he goes.

There is plenty of rain forecast for Caulfield in the lead up to Saturday, so keep that in mind when staking in Saturday’s Group 1.

Keep reading for HorseBetting’s full runner-by-runner preview and $100 betting strategy.
silk1. TIJUANA (10)

3yoC | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Mark Zahra (57kg)

The Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained Tijuana could not have been any more impressive this campaign and get his chance at Group 1 glory on Saturday. He resumed with an eye-catching third behind subsequent Golden Rose Stakes winner Jacquinot, and then went to Flemington and stuck on bravely to be beaten a long neck to Berkeley Square before impressing when winning the Group 2 Stutt Stakes. He has drawn awkwardly out in barrier 10, but considering he has shown to be tactically versatile; he should be prominent in the finish whether he settles up or speed and drops out the back early. The American Pharoah colt is armed with a strong turn of foot and with a genuinely run mile assured, Tijuana will be one of those making their run down the centre of the track late on.
silk2. BERKELEY SQUARE (7)

3yoG | T: Dan O’Sullivan | J: Craig Williams (57kg)

The Dan O’Sullivan-trained Berkeley Square has only tasted defeat to Thousand Guineas fancy Boogie Dancer in his career and based on his last two wins at Flemington, he looks a clear op tip in the Caulfield Guineas. The Territories gelding looked to have been a good thing beaten in the Exford Plate when strung up in traffic until the final furlong. Once he found clear air, the gelding exploded to the line under Craig Williams and looked like he had plenty in reserve when winning over 1400m. From barrier seven, we expect Willow to have this bloke settled midfield in the moving line and as long as he gets clear running at the top of the straight, Berkeley Square has an electric turn of foot, and he should prove too hard to hold out. The $5.50 on offer with some online betting sites looks a treat for this progressive three-year-old who has the world at his hoofs.
silk3. GOLDEN MILE (5)

3yoC | T: James Cummings | J: James McDonald (57kg)

Godolphin will be looking to claim a second straight win in the Caulfield Guineas, with Golden Mile looking to follow in the footsteps of Anamoe. The three-year-old colt comes out of the Golden Rose where he finished 1.5 lengths off Jacquinot when settling closer to the speed than expected. His win two starts prior in the Ming Dynasty Quality was breathtaking when hitting the lead inside the final furlong and putting three-lengths on the likes of Matcha Latte and Basquiat. He draws perfectly in barrier five under James McDonald and with a cosy run in transit, should be featuring in the finish. His turn of foot is strong and despite being outclassed by In Secret and Jacquinot last time out, he is a deserving favourite in the Caulfield Guineas and has a fair bit of class on a majority of his rivals.
silk4. MILLANE (11)

3yoC | T: Peter Moody | J: Luke Nolen (57kg)

The Peter Moody-trained Millane has been a touch disappointing so far this campaign and finished four-lengths off Jacquinot in the Golden Rose. He was held up for a run at a crucial point on that occasion and was only clear when the race was decided. Pror to that he had struggled behind the likes of Meridius and sprinters Giga Kick and Alpha One. Millane needs to go to a whole new level to be competitive in this.
silk5. BANK MAUR (17)

3yoC | T: Richard Laming | J: Jye McNeil (57kg)

The way the Richard Laming-trained Bank Maur won at Sandown on September 25 suggested he was a runner to follow heading to the Guineas. The Maurice colt made great use of a low barrier when stalking the speed throughout, before hitting the front with 300m to go and went through the gear nicely to win in soft fashion. He Elliptical who he meets once again on Saturday with relative ease and despite drawing out wide in barrier 17, we’re happy to give this bloke a big push at the price. Jye McNeil will look to have him settled in the first six with cover and if the pair are lucky enough to do so, this bloke brings a bit of x-factor to a race like the Caulfield Guineas. The $23 being bet with Ladbrokes is massive overs in our eyes and as long as he does not get caught wide without cover, we expect Bank Maur to give this race a shake at any old price.
silk6. FOUJITA SAN (18)

3yoC | T: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes | J: Damien Thornton (57kg)

The Hawkes stable sure know how to produce youngsters at the right time heading into the classics and Foujita San will be looking to hand the stable a second win in the race in three years, following in the footsteps of Ole Kirk. This bloke appreciated the step up to the mile when chasing home Tijuana at Moonee Valley on September 23, with his run in defeat arguably more impressive than what it reads. He was one of a handful to make up any ground from off the speed on that night and will only appreciate getting to a track like Caulfield. However, that last start was a career peak and from the carpark draw, will need plenty of luck in getting across the field and not getting caught three or four wide the duration. He’s a handy conveyance on his day, but we think the barrier gets him beat in this one.
silk7. MERIDIUS (16)

3yoC | T: Lloyd Kennewell | J: Damian Lane (57kg)

Lloyd Kennewell and Damian Lane will pair up with Meridius in Saturday’s Caulfield Guineas and based on his first two starts this campaign, he is set to peak third-up from a spell. He was the best of the beaten bunch in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude when beaten 3.5 lengths in pouring rain to Aft Cabin. He made up a stack of ground in conditions that were never going to suit backmarkers, but considering he put two-lengths on a horse like Amenable who he meets again on the weekend, has him as a genuine first four hope. His want to settle towards the rear of the field offsets the tricky draw of barrier 16 and with plenty of speed expected in the 1600m event, the race looks nicely setup for Meridius to build through his gears and thunder down the heart of the track. The concern is whether he gives runners like Golden Mile and Berkely Square too much of a start, but at the price is certainly an each-way hope.
silk8. SKYPHIOS (3)

3yoG | T: Rob Blacker | J: Harry Coffey (57kg)

The Rob Blacker-trained Skyphios will use the Caulfield Guineas as a genuine pipe opener ahead of an assured start in the Victoria Derby on October 29. Look for him to be hitting the line strongly, but we don’t think he has the sharpness about him to trouble most of these.
silk9. OSIPENKO (15)

3yoC | T: Chris Waller | J: Tim Clark (57kg)

The Chris Waller-trained Osipenko is one of many we can be forgiving towards coming out of the Caulfield Guineas Prelude, having simply not handled the horrid conditions. However, from the wide barrier on Saturday he will need to roll forward under Tim Clark and will risk getting trapped three wide the trip. The first-up run on a Heavy 8 will have him primed for this fitness-wise, but whether he is as sharp as some of these remains to be seen. He’s from the right stable and has one of the best jockeys on board for front-runners, but we are happy to risk Osipenko.
silk10. AMENABLE (14)

3yoC | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Damien Oliver (57kg)

Despite being beaten 5.5-lengths in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude, the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained Amenable was making good ground late from the rear of the field, but whether he is up to Group 1 level like he faces on Saturday remains to be seen. He was unlucky first-up at The Valley when racing in tight room over 1200m and despite looking like he will appreciate stepping out to the mile, he is hard to side with on a trust basis.
silk11. ELKINGTON ROAD (2)

3yoG | T: Mike Moroney | J: Jamie Mott (57kg)

Elkington Road from the Mike Moroney yard looks to be the natural leader in Saturday’s Caulfield Guineas but will need to go to a whole new level in Saturday’s Group 1. He has won both of his starts on Heavy going in weaker company than what he faces on Saturday and despite having a tactical advantage on some of his rivals, we expect he will be outclassed when it matters most.
silk12. SIR BAILEY (3)

3yoC | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Ethan Brown (57kg)

Despite continually looking like he will produce the goods, the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained Sir Bailey has found winning to be tough in recent times. He is a genuine backmarker who looks like he will appreciate the step out to 1600m for the first time in his career, but on recent form the $34 available with Neds looks to be a touch of unders.
silk13. ELLIPTICAL (1)

3yoC | T: Anthony & Sam Freedman | J: Blake Shinn (57kg)

Anthony & Sam Freedman will be needing plenty of luck for their three-year-old colt Elliptical on Saturday having drawn the pole. He is a runner who needs to build through his gears in clear air and considering he will be most likely trapped three back the fence throughout, he will require a bit of Blake Shinn magic if he is to feature in the finish. Expect the $16 on offer with Palmerbet to blow out closer to the jump.
silk14. LETHAL THOUGHTS (12)

3yoC | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Michael Dee (57kg)

Lethal Thoughts has not won since debut and has struggled emphatically in the Up And Coming Stakes first-up and then again in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude. He is hard to have based on recent efforts.
silk15. THE FORTUNE TELLER (8)

3yoC | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Jamie Kah (57kg)

The Fortune Teller chased home Bank Maur at Sandown last time out but wasn’t really cutting into the margin when the eventual winner was pulled up. He did manage to beat home Elliptical on that day and you are getting double the price for this runner. Jamie Kah sticks on board – which is an obvious bonus – but the Caravaggio will be struggling against some of his rivals in Group 1 company.
silk16. DASHING (5)

3yoG | T: Aaron Purcell | J: Linda Meech (57kg)

Despised outsider Dashing from the Aaron Purcell yard was beaten three-lengths at Flemington in BM64 grade behind Elkington Road and will need to produce a minor miracle to be taking out the Guineas. In saying that, he was beaten under a length by Elliptical at Sandown back in June, but his most recent start has us thinking he will struggle to beat a runner home.
2022 Caulfield Guineas emergencies
silk17. ANGRY SKIES (9)

3yoC | T: Ben & JD Hayes | J: TBA (57kg)

The Ben & JD Hayes-trained Angry Skies needs a scratching to get in to the Caulfield Guineas and is another who comes out of the Bank Maur race at Sandown. He was arguably going as well as The Fortune Teller and Elliptical when finishing a narrow fourth. The run suggested he will appreciate every bit of the 1600m on Saturday if he gains the run and absolutely relished the Heavy 8 on debut at Swan Hill. Expect a midfield finish if Angy Skies gains a start, but he may be one to follow in the autumn.
silk18. MURAMASA (6)

3yoC | T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young | J: Daniel Moor (57kg)

Muramasa looks to be another one heading towards a Victoria Derby and it shows by being dual accepted in the Hill Smith Stakes (1800m) at Morphettville. He was only getting going late in the Stutt Stakes and we expect to see something similar if he gains a start on Saturday.
2022 Caulfield Guineas Selections & Best Bet

silk2
BERKELEY SQUARE

neds
silk5
BANK MAUR

Ladbrokes
silk3
GOLDEN MILE

sportsbet
silk1
TIJUANA

bet365

Caulfield Guineas $100 betting strategy
$100 win Berkeley Square @ $5 with Bet365

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Silver Eagle preview & betting tips | Saturday, October 8
October 5, 2022 5:39 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What 2022 Silver Eagle
Where Royal Randwick Racecourse – Alison Rd, Randwick NSW 2031
When Saturday, October 8, 2022 | 4:50pm AEDT | Race 8
Prizemoney $1,000,000
Distance 1300m
Status Special Conditions
Conditions Set Weights | 4YO
2021 Winner Aim (6) | T: Peter & Paul Snowden | J: Hugh Bowman (56kg)

Visit Ladbrokes

Silver Eagle Day at Royal Randwick will be the second week of racing for the five-week Sydney Spring Carnival in 2022. A full field of 14 horses and four emergencies have accepted for the $1 million race over 1300m. The Silver Eagle is the traditional lead-up and qualifier for the Golden Eagle over 1500m, with the first three horses over the line in the Silver Eagle earning ballot exemption for the $10 million feature on October 29 at Rosehill Gardens.

The betting sites have opened the Silver Eagle market with the Team Hawkes-trained Mr Mozart as a $4.40 favourite, with Startantes on the second line at $7.50. Next up is one of the four Chris Waller-trained horses, Waterford ($8), just ahead of Vilana ($8.50) for Godolphin. Punters will have to be wary when betting into the early markets, however, as Sydney is expecting 20 to 40 millimetres of rain on Wednesday and Saturday. Therefore, we will most likely be on a Heavy track, considering Randwick was rated a Soft 7 on Wednesday morning.

The speed map for the Silver Eagle could be a quite messy, as there only seem to be one or two leaders in this race, but they both draw wide, with Mr Mozart in barrier 18 and Converge in 16. Those two should be able to cross and take up the lead, but we could see the likes of Lavish Girl, Flying Crazy and Brigantine taking up a more prominent position from inside barriers. The back markers are much clearer, with the likes of Waterford, Espiona, Startantes and Kiss Sum all expected to settle at the rear or worse than midfield and be flying home late.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Silver Eagle.

Our top tip in the $1 million Silver Eagle is the Waller-trained Waterford, who is currently unbeaten in Australia from three starts since arriving from England with just the one run under his belt. This son of Awtaad is the new boom-horse on the scene in Sydney racing as he has won in all conditions, varying from a Good 4 to a Heavy 8. Waterford will be jumping from barrier 13, but that shouldn’t be a problem as we know he will go back from the draw and be running home late. This guy can run and win in all conditions, and that is why we have chosen side with him at the juicy odds of $8 with online Bookmakers.

Mr Mozart is the early market favourite at $4.40, which isn’t much of a surprise given the Hawkes-trained horse ran second, at his first-up run, in the Group 2 Theo Marks Stakes over 1300m on September 10. This son of Snitzel is unbeaten on rain-affected going, recording one win on Soft and two wins on Heavy. This guy has been competing in either Group 2 and Group 3 company at his last eight starts, recording three wins and two minor placings. However, the two negatives for Mr Mozart could be the barrier and the 57.5kg he will have to carry while trying to cross the field and lead on a Heavy track. We also must say that he will be very hard to beat, and the $4.40 will most likely shorten before jump time.

Loch Eagle ($11) and Minsk Moment ($34) both have chances at bigger odds. The Kris Lees-trained Loch Eagle will be midfield from barrier 12 and should be working home in the three-wide running line. The Waller-trained Minsk Moment will receive the run of the race from barrier five and should lob in the one-one with cover, giving him every chance to stake his claim at massive odds.
2022 Silver Eagle selections & best bets

Selections:

Waterford silks1
WATERFORD

bet365
Mr Mozart silks8
MR MOZART

Playup
Loch Eagle silks3
LOCH EAGLE

Ladbrokes
Minsk Moment silks2
MINSK MOMENT

Palmerbet

$100 betting strategy
$50 win Waterford (#12) @ $8 with Bet365
$50 win Mr Mozart (#2) @ $4.40 with PlayUp

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Toorak Handicap tips, odds & betting strategy | Saturday 8/10/22
October 5, 2022 5:13 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What 2022 Toorak Handicap
Where Caulfield Racecourse – 22 Station St, Caulfield East VIC 3145
When Saturday, October 8, 2022 | 5:10pm AEDT | Race 9
Prizemoney $1,000,000
Distance 1600m
Status Group 1
Conditions Handicap
2021 Winner I’m Thunderstruck (4) | T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | J: Jye McNeil (52kg)

Visit Ladbrokes

The time-honoured Toorak Handicap over 1600m will be the third and final Group 1 on Caulfield Guineas Day this Saturday. A field of 16 will do battle over the 1600m in the $1 million race, with Rupert Clarke Stakes winner Callsign Mav and the ultra-impressive I Wish I Win expected to feature heavily.

The Peter Moody-trained I Wish I Win has opened as the market favourite at $2.80 with online Bookmakers, with the Lindsey Smith-trained Tuvalu sitting on the second line of betting at $8. The Annabel Neasham-trained Military Expert sits on the third line of betting at $9, just ahead of the Hayes-trained Gentleman Roy at $10. Even though Callsign Mav and Pinstriped are $21 and $12, respectively, they are still good chances.

There will be a lot of speed injected into this year’s edition of the Toorak with Gentleman Roy, Noname Lane, Buffalo River and Converge all looking to take the lead or be very prominent from good barriers. Military Expert, Tuvalu and Callsign Mav will be looking to sit just off the lead or better than midfield, while Character, Hilal, I Wish I Win and Pinstriped will be out the back and flying home late following a solid tempo set by the leaders.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Toorak Handicap.

I Wish I Win has been very, very impressive for the Moody team since joining from New Zealand, winning at Caulfield over 1400m and then at Sandown over 1300m in the Listed Testa Rossa. At his first-up run at Caulfield, this son of Savabeel was heavily backed into favouritism and absolutely smashed his rivals by four lengths. At his second-up run, Luke Nolen had nowhere to go for the majority of the home straight and only got into clear galloping room with 150m to go, yet this gelding still won easily by a length in Listed company. Nolen will go back from barrier 13 and, hopefully, be in the second half of the field. If I Wish I Win gets any luck in the straight and clear galloping room, he will be very, very hard to beat with only 54.5kg on his back.

The James Cummings-trained Character will be on the seven-day backup after being luckless over 1400m in the Listed Headquarters Handicap at Flemington last Saturday. We made this gelding a horse to follow in the Follow Files after he was held up from the 500m mark to the 150m mark before getting clear and absolutely flying home. He gets in on the minimum weight of 52kg with Dean Yendall on board, and if this son of Teofilo gets to the outside, keep an eye on him late.

Gentleman Roy and Tuvalu both have solid claims in the Toorak Handicap as they will be on pace or leading this field. If they get a picnic in the lead and are allowed to go at their own pace, these two could pair off and fight it out over the concluding stages.
2022 Toorak Handicap selections & best bets

Selections:

I Wish I Win1
I WISH I WIN

Neds
Godolphin8
CHARACTER

Bet365
Gentleman Roy silks3
GENTLEMAN ROY

Ladbrokes
Tuvalu silks2
TUVALU

Palmerbet

$100 betting strategy
$50 win I Wish I Win (#5) @ $2.80 with Neds
$25 each way Character (#14) @ $26 / $6.50 with Bet365

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday’s Best Betting Pick: Free Horse Racing Tips At Keeneland
By Andy Newton

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks: Saturday Oct 8, 2022 Fall Meet

18:00 – Race 1 – Maiden Claiming (3YO plus) 7f

TOP PICK: CROW’S NEST @ 7-2 with BetOnline

18:31 – Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight (2YO only) 6f

TOP PICK: HUMBLING @ 5-2 with BetOnline

19:02 – Race 3 – Claiming (3YO plus) 7f

TOP PICK: FEELING HAPPY @ 4-1 with BetOnline

19:34 – Race 4 – Allowance Optional Claiming (2YO only) 6f

TOP PICK: TAP IN FORMATION @ 4-5 with BetOnline

20:06 – Race 5 – Allowance (3YO plus) 7f

TOP PICK: BEN DIESEL @ 6-1 with BetOnline
20:38 – Race 6 – Stakes (3YO plus) 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne
PURCHASE
Hawthorne - Race 1

$1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 50 Cent Pick 5 / $1 Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 2:53P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. OPTION is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IZZY IN A TIZZY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LARK: Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STORM'S REFLECTION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. OPTION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
IZZY IN A TIZZY
5/1

9/2
2
LARK
5/2

5/1
6
STORM'S REFLECTION
9/2

6/1
3
OPTION
9/5

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
STORM'S REFLECTION
6

9/2
Front-runner
67

66

85.3

60.7

52.7
2
LARK
2

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
73

67

80.9

54.6

49.6
3
OPTION
3

9/5
Alternator/Stalker
67

69

50.5

33.2

26.7
1
IZZY IN A TIZZY
1

5/1
Trailer
68

48

71.1

64.6

61.6
5
GLASSATO
5

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

67

65.4

31.0

21.5
4
KING ZION
4

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

56

60.6

52.6

44.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
PURCHASE
Delta Downs - Race 1

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 1-2)($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 5 (Races 1-5)


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 4:55P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALIA MAX: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COSTANARMANDALEG: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside p ost position. SHEZA HUNK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
ALIA MAX
5/1

7/2
2
COSTANARMANDALEG
2/1

4/1
8
SHEZA HUNK
7/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
ALIA MAX
6

5/1
Front-runner
71

67

70.5

53.2

46.2
5
BITSY C C LIL GIRL
5

6/1
Front-runner
48

48

59.6

39.0

30.5
4
TALTY
4

10/1
Front-runner
48

48

52.6

22.7

11.2
7
THURSDAY MORNING
7

20/1
Front-runner
44

43

48.8

25.2

6.7
2
COSTANARMANDALEG
2

2/1
Alternator/Front-runner
62

62

49.8

53.6

50.1
3
TRUE RED SLEW
3

12/1
Stalker
55

36

51.4

34.1

21.6
8
SHEZA HUNK
8

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
57

53

66.8

49.8

42.8
1
MY LITTLE GUERA
1

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
61

57

33.6

45.2

33.7
10
EXECUTIVE COUNCIL
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
38

35

57.4

25.4

7.4
9
TRICKY MOM
9

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
49

44

53.4

36.6

25.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland
PURCHASE

10/07/22, KEE, Race 10, 5.48 ET
10/07/22,KEE,10,1 1/2M [Turf] 2:27:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $120,000 (includes up to $40,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $26,600 Twice Over Nine Furlongs On The Turf Since August 7 Allowed 2 lbs. $23,400 Over Nine Furlongs On The Turf Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile and Five-Eighths on the main track. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Maotai 50/1 Mojica. Jr. R Peach Chadwick A. TL 85 34.12 1.52/$1
098.8983 9 Therearenorules 20/1 Beschizza A Schultz Lindsay F 85 34.12 1.52/$1
096.7267 8 Fairchild 5/2 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. EC 85 34.12 1.52/$1
095.2793 5 Queen Bourbon 7/2 Saez L Wilkes Ian R. 85 34.12 1.52/$1
094.0771 4 Federalist Papers 9/2 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. 85 34.12 1.52/$1
092.5794 11 Soft Touch 10/1 Velazquez J R Stidham Michael W 85 34.12 1.52/$1
092.5251 10 Longpants Required 12/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Walsh Brendan P. J 83 24.10 1.74/$1
092.3070 6 Light Stars (FR) 12/1 Cheminaud V Clement Christophe 85 34.12 1.52/$1
090.8559 1 Mia Martina 10/1 Prat F Motion H. Graham 85 34.12 1.52/$1
090.2861 13 Go Big Blue Nation 6/1 Velazquez J R Motion H. Graham 85 34.12 1.52/$1
090.1641 7 Roughly a Diamond 8/1 Talamo J Nihei Michelle 85 34.12 1.52/$1
088.6054 2 Dance Warrior(b-) 30/1 Alvarado J O'Dwyer Jeremiah 85 34.12 1.52/$1
085.0593 3 Loved Reiko 30/1 Garcia M Arnold. II George R. 85 34.12 1.52/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.77, ROI 1.47/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1017
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Same As Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 5:04pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,900 Class Rating: 47

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SQUEAKY CLEAN (ML=7/2)


SQUEAKY CLEAN - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. A big drop in class rating points from his Sep 29th race at Belterra Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this one the edge.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ALWAYS ON THE ROX (ML=5/2), #2 WHISKEY HELPS (ML=3/1), #6 FRESHWATER PIRATE (ML=4/1),

ALWAYS ON THE ROX - I don't normally play a favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last two to three weeks. Not a value play to back the public's top choice when she continues to lose time and time again when favored. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a likely underlay. WHISKEY HELPS - I don't possess a 'use' vibe about this horse in this affair. FRESHWATER PIRATE - This gelding hasn't had any strong finishes in sprint contests in the last couple of months. The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued contestant.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #1 SQUEAKY CLEAN to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13300 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. NO WVB CLAUSE.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 DATA DEAL 5/2

# 5 GOLD GUY 5/1

# 1 DRUM AND BASS 7/2

I like DATA DEAL here. Tough to pass on this gelding with Mendez in the saddle. Will almost certainly compete soundly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Ought to be given consideration based on the respectable speed figure put up in the last race. GOLD GUY - Boasts formidable Equibase speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. With Hiraldo controlling the reins on him, this gelding will probably be able to break out quickly in this race. DRUM AND BASS - Reliable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a definite contender. He has a good opportunity in this race as conditioner, Farrior, has solid win clip with horses going this distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 4:04pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $48,300 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 FOREST BUZZ (ML=3/1)
#8 SENSING HOLIDAY (ML=6/1)
#10 HAPPY FELLA (ML=4/1)
#4 MAGIC GAMBLE (ML=20/1)


FOREST BUZZ - McKnight drops this one in today for only his 2nd effort. Should do better than last out. My pals and I have made dough playing thoroughbreds with this type of early speed. Follow my advice and do the same. Should do well right here. Weight shift of -5 from September 10th race at Woodbine. I like this gelding. Has the top earnings per start (EPS) in today's contest. This gelding recorded a good speed fig of 69 in his last event. That speed fig should be high enough to score this time around. SENSING HOLIDAY - Last time around the track was at Woodbine. Finished fourth, but had a decent chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous in this race. HAPPY FELLA - Got some betting action in last (and only) race on September 16th at Woodbine, but finished fifth. Has a shot in this event. MAGIC GAMBLE - I'm counting on this thoroughbred to run a good race this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 STUBBORN STREAK (ML=7/2), #5 UNXPECTED TIGER (ML=8/1),

STUBBORN STREAK - Difficult to play any mount in a short distance event if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. UNXPECTED TIGER - Would have to get much more than the morning line of 8/1 to invest in this animal.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FOREST BUZZ - I look forward to wagering on big class droppers like this one. Much easier bunch this time.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #1 FOREST BUZZ to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [4,8,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
1 with [4,8,10] with [4,8,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
1 with [4,8,10] with [4,8,10] with [4,8,10] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 GIA DASHING BYE 5/2

# 10 CLASSY FORTUNE 15/1

# 5 FOREVER CORONA CHICK 5/1

GIA DASHING BYE is my choice. Has performed soundly lately in short races, posting a nifty 66 avg speed figure. His 54 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Garnered a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. CLASSY FORTUNE - Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at a big price. With a very good 54 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. FOREVER CORONA CHICK - Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing quite good figures of late. A solid 74 avg class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group of horses.