Tuesday 10/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB playoffs (best-of-5 series this round)
Tuesday’s games

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Suarez is 10-7, 3.65 in 29 starts this year.
He is 6-3, 3.20 in 16 road starts.
He’s never pitched in a playoff game.
He is 1-2, 3.21 in five starts vs Atlanta.

Phillies swept the St Louis series, giving up three runs in two games.
Phillies are 68-46 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 42-41 on the road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.
They finally gave interim manager Thomson a 2-year contract Monday.

Fried was 14-7, 2.48 in 30 starts this year.
He is 8-4, 2.42 in 18 home starts.
He is 2-3, 4.06 in 17 playoff games (9 starts).
He is 0-1, 3.13 in four starts vs Philly TY.

Atlanta went 8-3 in their last 11 games.
Braves are 55-26 at home- they haven’t played since Wednesday.
Atlanta is in playoffs for 5th year in a row- they won World Series last year.
Braves are 37-17 vs lefty starters.

Phillies are 8-11 against the Braves TY, 3-6 in Atlanta.

Seattle @ Houston
Gilbert was 13-6, 3.20 in 32 starts this year.
He is 8-1, 3.16 in 18 road starts.
He’s never pitched in a playoff game.
He is 2-2, 4.15 in seven starts vs Houston.

Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
Seattle is 46-37 on the road this year.
Mariners are in the playoffs for first time since 2001.

Verlander was 18-4, 1.75 in 28 starts this year.
He is 10-1, 1.64 in 15 home starts.
He is 14-11, 3.40 in 30 playoff starts.
He is 5-1, 2.34 in six starts vs Seattle TY.

Houston is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Astros are 55-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Seattle is 7-12 against Astros this year, 3-7 in Houston.

Cleveland @ New York
Quantrill was 15-5, 3.38 in 32 starts this year.
He is 6-5, 3.53 in 13 road starts
He faced 2 batters (one out, one walk) in a 2020 playoff game.
He is 0-0, 3.38 in four games (10.2 IP, 1 start) vs New York.

Cleveland is 25-6 in their last 31 games.
Guardians are 46-35 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Cole was 13-8, 3.50 in 33 starts this year.
He is 5-5, 3.20 in 16 home starts.
He is 8-5, 2.93 in 14 playoff starts.
He is 5-2, 3.15 in eight starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 24-6 in their last 30 games.
New York is 57-24 at home.
New York is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Cleveland is 1-5 vs New York this year, 0-3 in this ballpark.

San Diego @ Los Angeles
Clevinger is 7-7, 4.33 in 22 starts this year.
He is 4-4, 5.46 in 13 road starts.
He is 0-0, 4.15 in eight playoff games (2 starts).
He is 0-2, 9.69 in three starts vs Los Angeles TY.

Padres won Wild Card series in three games.
San Diego won Game 3 in New York Sunday night.
San Diego is 47-37 on the road this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Urias is 17-7, 2.16 in 31 starts this year.
He is 6-3, 2.43 in 14 home starts.
He is 7-3, 3.52 in 22 playoff games (5 starts).
He is 3-0, 1.50 in four starts vs San Diego TY.

Dodgers finished 22 games ahead of San Diego in NL West.
Dodgers are 57-24 at home.
Dodgers are in playoffs for 10th year in a row- they won 2020 World Series.

San Diego is 5-14 vs Los Angeles this year, 2-8 at Chavez Ravine.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,200 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#4 NINJA KITTEN (ML=5/1)
#2 TETON THAI (ML=10/1)


NINJA KITTEN - I like when a thoroughbred has dropped in class at least five class points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Andrade must've found the right level. TETON THAI - You have to consider the solid works of late.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STORMY NILE (ML=5/2), #8 DEVILISH TRUTH (ML=7/2), #5 CALL TONY (ML=4/1),

STORMY NILE - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests recently. Not probable to see her doing it in today's event either. 5/2 odds isn't enough for this horse when scrutinizing the most recent showings. DEVILISH TRUTH - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance races lately. On a downward cycle. Speed ratings keep dropping. CALL TONY - Can't bet on this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event recently. Pedestrian speed figure last race out at Presque Isle Downs at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 NINJA KITTEN on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 COUNTRY JEWEL 10/1
# 10 SAKONNA 7/2
# 8 INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 6/1

COUNTRY JEWEL looks competitive to best this group and is a formidable value bet given the line at 10/1. The big drop in class can only help this one this time out. May go off at a nice price and has some positives going for her. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field. SAKONNA - Her 70 average has this filly with among the top Equibase speed figs in this event. The Equibase speed fig of 75 from her most recent contest looks respectable in here. INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU - Achard has one of the most favorable rider ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +34 percent. Looks very good against this group and will most likely be one of the early speedsters.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37500 Class Rating: 93

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER IN 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 MR PAYTIENCE 3/1
# 2 CLAVICHORD 4/1
# 5 COMPETITIVE IDEA 3/5

MR PAYTIENCE looks respectable to best this field. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (93 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Will most likely compete strongly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field. Ran a sharp last race. CLAVICHORD - Fuentes has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 38 percent rate. Jockey's recent return on investment figs make this gelding a good wager. COMPETITIVE IDEA - Cappellucci has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the halfway point of the race.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 6	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 6-7) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 3:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CALL ME CARMELITA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIME'S ON MY SIDE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ANSELMI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CALL ME CARMELITA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. REMOANE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. SPEED TALKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rati ng.
7	TIME'S ON MY SIDE	5/2	6/1
4	ANSELMI	6/1	7/1
8	CALL ME CARMELITA	15/1	7/1
1	REMOANE	7/2	8/1
3	SPEED TALKS	2/1	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	CALL ME CARMELITA	8	15/1	Front-runner	72	50	85.6	39.4	28.4
4	ANSELMI	4	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	67	50.2	46.0	38.0
3	SPEED TALKS	3	2/1	Trailer	66	57	52.2	57.0	51.5
1	REMOANE	1	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	69	60	54.2	54.0	44.0
7	TIME'S ON MY SIDE	7	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	72	64	46.4	55.8	53.8
5	LA CAFETERA	5	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	63	61	23.0	57.4	48.4
2	DISCO PARTY	2	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	68	56	12.0	31.8	16.3
6	DO WHAT IT TAKES	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	67	31.6	45.0	35.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 6	$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 6-7-8)
Allowance • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $37,500 • Post: 3:45P
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A PA. RESTRICTED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (LIMITED TO10 STARTERS).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAKETUMI: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). FIGHTIN PHIL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SKYDIVING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
7	YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY	5/2	9/2
4	SAKETUMI	7/2	6/1
3	FIGHTIN PHIL	15/1	7/1
6	SKYDIVING	9/2	9/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SAKETUMI	4	7/2	Front-runner	82	73	89.8	71.4	67.9
3	FIGHTIN PHIL	3	15/1	Alternator/Front-runner	83	72	72.3	66.4	55.9
7	YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY	7	5/2	Stalker	83	79	54.6	72.2	67.2
1	SACHMO	1	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	77	51.6	51.6	42.1
6	SKYDIVING	6	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	75	74	47.0	68.0	61.0
5	T REX	5	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	76	80	38.0	48.5	40.0
2	PAID THE PREACHER	2	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	64	54.3	59.5	47.0
8	BISHI	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	67	48.7	52.3	38.3

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#5 CALL FITZROY (ML=8/1)
#6 MASTER OF WAR (ML=8/1)


CALL FITZROY - You always have to be on the prowl for profit making rider/trainer combos; we have one right here. MASTER OF WAR - You have to really like that most recent race rating, 75, which is the highest most recent race speed figure of this group. Classic handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Today could be the day. 31-50-75 are last 3 speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KING'S HOUSE (ML=8/5), #1 MANOLETE (ML=2/1), #4 WEEKEND IN COURT (ML=7/2),

KING'S HOUSE - Hasn't been on the Parx Racing oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. MANOLETE - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in sprint races of late. This animal hasn't been around in either of his last two races. Unlikely that the speed fig he recorded on September 5th will be enough in this event. WEEKEND IN COURT - Hard to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this one does. The Brain tells me to keep my distance from thoroughbreds in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance events recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #5 CALL FITZROY on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

andicapped by Compubet Standard at Dayton Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 10/11 DAYTON RACEWAY
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 7- - PACE 10/11 DAYTON RACEWAY
6 Hypnotic Dan 3/1 602.22 100 83.3 79.0 1:53.4 Smith, Jeremy 17
8 Ilovemywoody 12/1 568.91 80 40.0 81.0 1:54.2 Beattie, Jason 13
4 Luvnmysharkaway 5/2 563.79 80 50.0 81.0 1:53.7 Miller, Brett 22
10 Ready To Rumble N 7/2 563.75 70 >21 55.0 80.0 1:53.7 Page, Chris 27
9 Pine Master 15/1 560.93 80 51.7 81.0 1:53.9 Smith, Trevor 18

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 11 - Post: 3:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$7300 - NW $750 PS L5 OF PS IN 2022 $12000 PC LS AE: NW 11 PM LT AE: $12500 CLM WA J CHINDANO JR 5 OVER 7

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 SAUVIGNON BLUECHIP 6/1
# 2 MACHLICIOUS 4/1
# 6 BLATANTLY BEST 5/2

The pick in this race is SAUVIGNON BLUECHIP. Can't gloss over based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (84 avg) most recently. Definitely the class of the pack with an average rating of 79. A nice pick. Looks like a strong pick in this race and his positive winning percentage says he has the raw talent to dominate in this contest. MACHLICIOUS - If effort in the last contest is any indication, this nice horse will have a very formidable shot this time. High last race speed figure. Top driver/handler combination, with one of the best return on investment percentages in this field of starters. BLATANTLY BEST - Don't count out this fine animal, especially with Taggart as the trainer. In the money percentage is excellent. Recorded a 79 speed rating last time out. A duplicate effort here should get the victory for this one.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 8
5	5	VELOCITY MCSWEETS	8/1	Kakaley, Matt - 17	496.97
8	8	JOSSIE JAMES A	5/1	Bartlett, Jason - 26	495.01
4	4	CALLMEQUEENBEE A	5/1	Boyd, Braxten - 9	485.22
1	1	MILLWOOD BONNIE N	5/2	Brennan, George - 16	473.17
2	2	ASHTINI	8/1	Holland, Brent - 9	467.34
7	7	LOOKATMYART	6/1	Buter, Tyler - 11	466.75
3	3	PAIGE'S GIRL	5/1	Marohn, Jim Jr - 8	463.35
6	6	DIAMONDTOOTHGERTIE	15/1	Bongiorno, Joe - 13	450.94

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Harrington Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 10/11 HARRINGTON
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 5- - PACE 10/11 HARRINGTON
1 Misty Coast 7/5 558.50 100 MUD 116.7 69.0 1:56.9 Stafford, Art Jr 24
5 Ezycure 2/1 523.22 80 MUD 108.3 66.3 1:58.1 Teague, Montrell 27
2 Direct Mist 3/1 522.84 90 MUD 91.7 65.0 1:57.2 Porter, Trae 19
6 Hold My Wine 20/1 473.86 80 88.3 69.1 1:58.9 Cole, Mike 22
7 Ren Marvalous 20/1 439.36 90 MUD 75.0 69.5 1:59.5 Wolfenden, Ross 20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Pocono Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
2	2	SECRET RULE	5/2	Kakaley, Matt - 21	449.24
6	6	KING TUT HANOVER	4/1	Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 18	446.56
1	1	A ONE A	12/1	Schadel, Todd - 7	390.79
7	7	DONATELLO HANOVER	10/1	Jackson, Tom - 6	374.53
3	3	TAKE SHAPE	6/1	Boyd, Braxten - 11	356.50
5	5	MR FIREWORKS	9/2	Paquet, Fern Jr - 3	339.41
4	4	CIRCUIT PARTY	15/1	Simons, Mike - 6	335.24
8	8	HOLY BEING	3/1	Miller, Marcus - 14	330.90

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rosecroft Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 6 - Post: 8:55 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$10250 - MARYLAND PREFERRED NW 4 PM RACES OR $45,000 LIFETIME

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 6 GOONESS GRACIOUS 7/2
# 5 SHE'S MY PIX 5/2
# 4 BACKSTROM 9/2

GOONESS GRACIOUS will have you running to the cashier's window this time. The consortium noted a substantial affair out of this harness racer last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to score. Foster has been blazing hot the last 30 days, winning at a respectable 20 percent. Drawing the 6 hole at this track has lead to a much higher than average win percent. SHE'S MY PIX - Drawing the 5 slot at this track has lead to a well above average win percentage. Her 77 avg has this filly among the most favorable TrackMaster Speed Ratings in here. BACKSTROM - Look for Gray and this horse to take the whole enchilada in this contest. Tremendous in the money percentage for the trainer/horse combination. Recorded a 74 TrackMaster speed fig last out. A duplicate affair here should get the victory this time.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: NHL Tampa Bay -105 over NY Rangers