Saturday 11/26/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brandon Lee

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick: Louisville Cardinals +3


I'll take my chances with Louisville as a 3-point dog against the Wildcats. The only real thing that's keeping this from being a premium play is we just don't know for sure if Louisville star quarterback Malik Cunningham is going to play. He's still listed as questionable. However, reports seems to be pretty optimistic that he will take the field.

I got to think he's trying to find a way onto that field against rival Kentucky. Keep in mind, Cunningham has not beaten the Wildcats in his time there. He played sparingly in their 10-56 loss to Kentucky in 2018. Was the starter in their 13-45 loss in 2019 and last year's 21-52 loss at home to the Wildcats.
A lot of these Louisville players have not experienced success in this rivalry, which is what really makes me like the Cardinals. Louisville has been playing well down the stretch. They are 5-1 in their last 6 with the only loss coming at Clemson. As for Kentucky, they have really struggled after a great start to the year. Wildcats are just 2-5 in their last 7 and aren't exactly in an ideal spot here coming off a huge home game against No. 1 ranked Georgia. Give me Louisville +3!

[ConleyPicks]

Rob Vinciletti

The Comp play for Saturday in College Football is on San Jose St at 3:30 eastern. The Spartans will want this one after last weeks close road loss to Utah St. They are ranked 34th in total defense and much rougher at home. Hawaii comes to the main land with their 0-5 road record and will likely get smokes here as we note that game 13 or later road dogs of 14 or more that are under .500 and arrive off a home dog win as a dog of 10 or more have failed to cover 86% long term. Look for San Jose to pull away to a win an d cover. For the CFB Comp play. Go with San Jose S. Rob V-

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Wisconsin-3 -110 NCAAF

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Freddy Wills

UTEP +17 1.1% FREE PLAY


UTSA already in the conference championship and have nothing to play for here, while UTEP trying to get to a bowl game for the second season in a row, which is a big deal for them. UTSA last year in a similar role with a lot more to play for as they were undefeated fighting for an undefeated season. They were already going to the Conference Championship, went on the road to face North Texas as a 9.5 point favorite and left getting blown out 23-45.

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Marc Lawrence

Play - Auburn+22 1/2 (Game 221).

Edges - Tigers: 4-2 ATS last six games in this series … Crimson Tide: 0-7 ATS as conference favorites of more than 14 points; and 1-4 ATS versus SEC foes seeking double revenge-exact … With the Tigers looking to earn a sixth win to become bowl eligible this season, recommend a 1* play on Auburn. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Jeff Alexander

1* NCAAF - Wake Forest/Duke FREE Pick on Duke +3.5


Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Duke Blue Devils as a 3.5-point home dog against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Duke has been one of the most undervalued teams in college football this season. The Blue Devils come in at 8-3 ATS. Most of those covers have come at home, where the Blue Devils are a perfect 5-0 ATS. It's easy to see why Duke has been so good at home against the number. The Blue Devils are scoring 35.2 ppg at home and giving up just 16.4 ppg. Wake Forest comes in scoring 37.4 ppg, but that drops to just 29.5 ppg on the road. Demon Deacons are also giving up 31.0 ppg on the road. There's also a little extra incentive here for Duke playing their final home game of the season. Bet the Blue Devils +3.5!

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Iowa State vs TCU under 47 1/2 -110

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Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Iowa State vs TCU Free Pick
The TCU Horned Frogs are perfect 11-0 SU and an impressive 8-2-1 ATS on the season, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here against an Iowa State team that has a really strong defense and is undervalued following a string of poor results. It's worth noting that of TCU's last seven games, four were decided within two points or less of the closing line. The betting market is adjusting, and Iowa State will be looking to end the season on a high note.
FREE PICK ON UNDER.

[ConleyPicks]

Alex Smart

Michigan State needs a win to go bowling. While that may not be attainable, and fairly unlikely Im betting they wont be run over even though their opponent is the superior side and playing with revenge for a loss in East Lansing last season.
MICHIGAN ST is 20-5 ATS L/25 in road games after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game.
CFB home team (PENN ST) - good passing team (230-275 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-275 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 17-41 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Mich State to cover

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Panthers -160


*All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Green Bay +6 -110 NCAAB


*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on TCU +6 -110 NCAAB

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Oklahoma/Texas Tech OVER 63.5


Both Oklahoma (6-5) and Texas Tech (6-5) clinched bowl eligibility last week with wins over Oklahoma State and Iowa State, respectively. Now I think this is a care-free game that will result in a shootout in Lubbock. There is zero chance of precipitation and only 10 MPH winds in the forecast so the conditions will be ripe for it.
This 63.5-point total looks pretty low when we examine the head-to-head history. Indeed, the OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Texas Tech and Oklahoma have combined for at least 68 points in each of the last nine meetings. They have averaged a whopping 85.7 combined points per game in those nine meetings with none of them going to overtime. That's over 22 points higher than this posted total of 63.5. Oklahoma's offense has been hitting on all cylinders since getting QB Dillon Gabriel back from injury the past five games. The Sooners have averaged 32.4 points and 478 yards per game in those five games. Texas Tech has really lit up the scoreboard at home this season. The Red Raiders are averaging 40.2 points and 495 yards per game in Lubbock.
The OVER is 34-16-1 in Sooners last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 7-1 in Red Raiders last eight games on fieldturf. The OVER is 5-1 in Red Raiders last six home games. The OVER is 37-18 in Red Raiders last 55 games following a win. Expect a shootout between two bowl eligible teams in their final regular season game with nothing but pride at stake. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

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Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on Vandy+14
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
Key Trends:
- The Volunteers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
- The Commodores are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in November.
- The Volunteers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Pittsburgh -6.5


The Key: The Miami Hurricanes just want this dreadful season to be over with. Most teams at 5-6 would be wanting to win that final game to make a bowl game, but that's not the case for the Hurricanes. They are coming off a 40-10 loss at Clemson last week which was pretty much their final stand. They also lost by 42 to Florida State three weeks ago. The Hurricanes are now 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have been overrated all year. Pittsburgh will have no problem coming in and kicking Miami while it's already down. The Panthers are 3-0 in their last 3 games while outscoring the opposition 84-42 in the process. Pittsburgh is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a road favorite. The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Fans won't be showing up to this game as they have quit on this team as well, so there will be zero home-field advantage for the Hurricanes. Take Pittsburgh.