Sunday 11/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #76
    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
    1. NSA(The Legend) NFL – Raiders +4
    2. Gameday Network NFL – Packers +7
    3. Sports Action 365 NFL – Jets over 38
    4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL – Buccaneers -3
    5. VegasSI.com NFL – Ravens -3.5

    6. Sam Casey NFL – Bengals pk
    7. Henry Brown Sports NFL – Dolphins -14.5
    8. Winning Big Sports NFL – 49ers -10
    9. Lou Panelli NFL – Packers +7
    10. Platinum Info Club NFL – Rams +15.5

    11. William E. Stockton NFL – Raiders +4
    12. Vincent Pioli NFL – 49ers -10
    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NFL – Packers +7
    14. SCORE NFL – Cardinals under 49
    15. Tony Campone NFL – Falcons +3.5

    16. Chicago Sports Group NFL – Broncos -1
    17. Hollywood Sportsline NFL – Ravens -3.5
    18. VIP Action NFL – Dolphins over 47
    19. South Beach Sports NFL – Jets -7
    20. LV Sports Commission NFL – 49ers over 43.5

    21. NY Players Club NFL – Packers +7
    22. Fred Callahan NFL – Jets -7
    23. LV Private CEO Club NFL – Broncos -1
    24. Michigan Sports NFL – Falcons +3.5
    25. National Consensus Report NFL – Buccaneers -3

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #77
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar


      11/27/22, DMR, Race 5, 2.30 PT
      11/27/22,DMR,5,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden, Claiming, And Starter Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Estimating Allowances) (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(Null). (Rail at 12 feet).
      . . . .
      Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
      100.0000 5 Issa Court 8/1 Velazquez J R Blacker Dan TSFEWL 101 29.70 1.35/$1
      099.7799 1 Annaghlasa (IRE) 5/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip 154 31.82 1.20/$1
      098.7966 4 Big Mama Sue 8/1 Hernandez J J Aguirre Paul G. JC 101 29.70 1.35/$1
      097.5750 9 Karakatsie 3/1 Bravo J Papaprodromou George 101 29.70 1.35/$1
      096.6705 3 Helens Well (IRE) 4/1 Berrios H I D'Amato Philip 104 36.54 1.48/$1
      096.5086 6 Lady Clementine (GB) 5/1 Rispoli U Papaprodromou George 104 36.54 1.48/$1
      094.5008 2 Barrister's Ride 12/1 Gonzalez R Gaines Carla 104 36.54 1.48/$1
      093.0290 7 I'll Do It for You 20/1 Frey K Miller Quentin B. 101 29.70 1.35/$1
      092.9958 8 Aas de Faust (GB) 15/1 Cedillo A Gallagher Patrick 101 29.70 1.35/$1
      Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
      Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2201
      [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
      [All Turf] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #78
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 48

        FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 5 TAKEOVER TIME 7/2
        # 1 ONE MO TO GO 3/1
        # 6 ONECALLTHATSALL 5/2
        I've got to go with TAKEOVER TIME. This lot is much softer than the last one she was up against. ONE MO TO GO - The average class fig alone makes this one a key contender. ONECALLTHATSALL - This filly is coming back soon to race.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #79
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8
          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Three Superfecta (.10 cent minumum wager)
          Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 93 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 8:09P
          QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 126, LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE). HORSES NOMINATED TO THIS RACE MUST PASS THE ENTRY BOX IN THE USUAL MANNER WITH A PAYMENT OF $750. TRIAL ENTRY FEE MUST BE ON DEPOSIT WITH THE PAYMASTER OF PURSE AT TIME OF ENTRIES. (THIS RACE MAY BE DIVIDED AND WILL HAVE PREFERENCE OVER OTHER RACES CARDED FOR THIS DAY). HORSES WHICH QUALIFY TO THE FINALS OF THIS RACE MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DASHA DYNASTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JESS ANOTHERCOMMANDO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Bre ak Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FAVORITE HABIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating. LOOK UP: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          2
          DASHA DYNASTY
          7/5
          9/2
          7
          JESS ANOTHERCOMMANDO
          2/1
          7/1
          5
          FAVORITE HABIT
          8/1
          7/1
          6
          LOOK UP
          5/1
          7/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          1
          UNAVAILABLE
          1
          20/1
          Slow
          93
          74
          6.1
          0.0
          0.0
          2
          DASHA DYNASTY
          2
          7/5
          Average
          94
          92
          3.7
          0.0
          0.0
          3
          CRYSTAL PRIZE
          3
          10/1
          Average
          86
          84
          4.6
          0.0
          0.0
          4
          JESS A PAYDAY
          4
          8/1
          Average
          86
          78
          4.6
          0.0
          0.0
          5
          FAVORITE HABIT
          5
          8/1
          Average
          89
          84
          4.5
          0.0
          0.0
          6
          LOOK UP
          6
          5/1
          Average
          91
          87
          5.3
          0.0
          0.0
          7
          JESS ANOTHERCOMMANDO
          7
          2/1
          Fast
          89
          86
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #80
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

            Del Mar - Race 6
            $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) 50 cent Late Pick 4 (Races 6-9) / $2 WPS Parlay
            Optional Claiming $40,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $72,000 • Post: 3:00P
            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DEL MAR DRAMA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfac e. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TIP TOP GAL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY T: Horse has the highest Tr ackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. AMERICAN LILY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            1
            DEL MAR DRAMA
            15/1
            5/1
            11
            TIP TOP GAL
            20/1
            5/1
            3
            LADY T
            5/1
            7/1
            10
            AMERICAN LILY
            5/2
            9/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            9
            PEACE PEDDLER
            9
            4/1
            Front-runner
            81
            80
            88.9
            73.1
            60.6
            6
            HOLY TUTTA BELLA
            6
            20/1
            Front-runner
            77
            79
            79.0
            67.2
            48.2
            11
            TIP TOP GAL
            11
            20/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            92
            88
            85.4
            81.6
            72.1
            10
            AMERICAN LILY
            10
            5/2
            Stalker
            78
            83
            78.3
            79.3
            69.8
            7
            HENNYS CRAZY TRAIN
            7
            6/1
            Stalker
            88
            72
            69.6
            75.6
            57.6
            8
            VIOLENT RUNNER
            8
            6/1
            Stalker
            86
            76
            67.5
            73.3
            57.3
            4
            MONGOLIAN PANTHER
            4
            8/1
            Stalker
            86
            82
            66.6
            81.4
            68.9
            3
            LADY T
            3
            5/1
            Trailer
            99
            94
            69.0
            80.6
            76.1
            1
            DEL MAR DRAMA
            1
            15/1
            Trailer
            92
            90
            68.6
            89.3
            82.8
            2
            SHE'S GOT A WAY
            2
            12/1
            Trailer
            93
            81
            60.1
            63.9
            54.9
            5
            ACT OF SERENDIPITY
            5
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            86
            75
            70.4
            70.8
            56.8

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #81
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 3:17pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 74

              Rating:

              #1 TIME BREAK (ML=7/2)


              TIME BREAK - Winless in her last three starts, this filly did win on June 21st at FanDuel Horse Racing versus tougher competition. Tavares is right back for another affair today after sitting atop this horse for the 1st attempt on November 12th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should race well today. A horse coming back this quickly after a nice contest is a good signal.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KIANA'S LOVE (ML=8/5), #7 GHAALEB'S MAGIC (ML=3/1), #3 SUMMER LOVIN (ML=6/1),

              KIANA'S LOVE - You should normally gamble against probable favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. GHAALEB'S MAGIC - Just don't believe she is worth the risk at the given odds. SUMMER LOVIN - This mare hasn't been showing me anything in the last couple of races. 6/1 is not worth it for any entrant in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event recently. Mediocre rating last out at Hawthorne at 6 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much today.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 TIME BREAK to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: None

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              None
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #82
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18800 Class Rating: 91

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 4 POTENTIAL GRIZZLY 12/1
                # 8 VALIANT THOR 8/1
                # 6 OUT FOR JUSTICE 20/1
                I think POTENTIAL GRIZZLY is a decent selection and is a respectable value wager given the line. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very strong win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. VALIANT THOR - Will more than likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 18 in his races lately.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #83
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:27pm - Starter Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $72,000 Class Rating: 93

                  Rating:

                  #5 MAHAAMEL (ML=8/1)
                  #3 FLOKI'S FLIGHT (ML=3/1)
                  #2 TWO BIRDS (ML=5/1)


                  MAHAAMEL - A pony coming back this soon after a nice effort is a good signal. I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always in the money. FLOKI'S FLIGHT - Talamo was aboard this gelding last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I like a horse that manages to be there at the wire as often as this gelding. Almost always in the money so don't leave him out of your exotic bets. The improved speed ratings over the last 3 races is solid. Romans drops him in this race in shape and ready to win. This gelding is in fine condition. Ran first on November 9th. TWO BIRDS - Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +132. This jock/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid race on Nov 6th. This gelding's last rating recorded on November 6th is number one in last race Equibase speed figures.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MIDNIGHT RAID (ML=7/2), #8 EXTRAVAGATE (ML=6/1),

                  MIDNIGHT RAID - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable contender. EXTRAVAGATE - Doesn't look to be in a convenient spot this time.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #5 MAHAAMEL on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,5]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [2,3,5,8,9] with [2,3,5,8,9] Total Cost: $36

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #84
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cal-Expo

                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 9
                    5 5 DANCE TRAVELER 3/1 Mullet, Mel - 9 470.45
                    2 2 MAJOR MAC 5/1 Lackey, James - 14 440.90
                    4 4 HE GRINS AGAIN 9/5 Plano, Luke - 17 428.61
                    6 6 CONTEMPORAY LEGEND 6/1 Svendsen, Lemoyne - 14 422.73
                    3 3 IMMA TANK 15/1 Cisneros, Emilio - 0 421.93
                    1 1 JOHNNY RINGO 7/2 Thiessen, Daryl - 7 415.40

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #85
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 10
                      3 3 JNR EXPRESS 3/1 Stark, John Jr - 20 492.98
                      2 2 BEYOND KRONOS 5/2 Bailey, Leon - 12 475.03
                      9 9 INXS 4/1 Chartrand, Alek - 12 462.45
                      8 8 ER SOPHIA 12/1 Devaux, Jim - 18 455.76
                      7 7 STONE IN LOVE 9/2 Cross, Brian - 8 440.41
                      4 4 LOYAL FOX HANOVER 10/1 Long, Chris - 13 434.21
                      6 6 MR HOUDINI 6/1 Fluet, Phil - 10 431.73
                      1 1 BRIGITTE BI 8/1 Paquet, Fern Jr - 9 405.79
                      5 5 IF NOT WHY NOT 15/1 Dobson, Billy - 16 378.16

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #86
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 2 - Post: 7:18 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$5500 - HORSES AND GELDINGS - CLAIMING $10,000
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 5 ALWAYS BEEN CRAZY 10/1
                        # 1 HELLO MR P 9/5
                        # 2 TITANIUM ALPHA 2/1
                        The consensus today is that ALWAYS BEEN CRAZY is the one to beat especially at a long price. Could be the best in the group of animals here, showing nice stats of late. Average speed is a solid 74. This contender looks very good considering the high class ratings. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. Deserves a shot given the positive win percentage he sports. HELLO MR P - Can't ignore based on TrackMaster speed figs which have been stellar (73 avg) recently. Good for a win play just off the exemplary prior class ratings. Have to like this contender. TITANIUM ALPHA - Had one of the most compelling TrackMaster SRs of the bunch in his last race. I'd recommend using in your plays.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #87
                          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cumberland Raceway

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 3 - Post: 11:44 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6000 - OPEN 3-4 PP 1-5 DRAWN PP 6-7 DRAWN
                          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                          # 4 MISTER MUSCLE 7/2
                          # 2 FAVORITE UNCLE 5/1
                          # 3 A BLUE BLOOD 5/1
                          After thorough analysis by the panel of smart guys, MISTER MUSCLE comes out as the top pick. May provide us a ultimate prize based on really good recent TrackMaster speed figs - earning an average of 80. One of the most solid win percentages with this driver/trainer make this gelding dangerous. This standardbred has been making trips to the winner's circle on a regular basis, look for him to make another trip soon. FAVORITE UNCLE - The 82 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct edge in the group. A BLUE BLOOD - Cumberland Raceway has been playing to this horse's running style, we're looking for a formidable effort. This entrant could get the victory here beginning from the Cumberland Raceway 3 hole.

                          Comment

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