Saturday 3/4/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358928

    Saturday 3/4/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358928

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

    PURCHASE
    Golden Hour Wagers - Race 4
    Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Double
    Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 3 CR: 79 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 5:46P
    GG - R9 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DRINKUP BUTTERCUP is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DRINKUP BUTTERCUP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GET MY POINT: Today is a s print and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RAUCOUS TIZZY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SMILE AND PROFILE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    6
    DRINKUP BUTTERCUP
    3/1
    7/2
    4
    GET MY POINT
    9/5
    4/1
    7
    RAUCOUS TIZZY
    10/1
    9/1
    2
    SMILE AND PROFILE
    5/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    DRINKUP BUTTERCUP
    6
    3/1
    Front-runner
    76
    58
    81.1
    62.6
    57.6
    4
    GET MY POINT
    4
    9/5
    Stalker
    75
    78
    77.2
    66.8
    64.3
    7
    RAUCOUS TIZZY
    7
    10/1
    Trailer
    76
    60
    48.4
    61.7
    55.7
    2
    SMILE AND PROFILE
    2
    5/1
    Trailer
    76
    59
    47.7
    60.1
    54.6
    Unknown Running Style: PRNCSS OF DEL MAR (12/1) [Jockey: Orozco Irving - Trainer: McLean Bill], LOOKOUT PASS (12/1) [Jockey: Gomez Alejandro - Trainer: Jackson Ellen L], SHE'S RESILIENT (6/1) [Jockey: Roman Evin A - Trainer: Papaprodromou George], SP
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358928

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel ParkPURCHASE


      Laurel Park - Race 7
      EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
      Optional Claiming $62,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 81 • Purse: $54,000 • Post: 3:20P
      (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, MD SIRED RACES OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500-50,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 4 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500, IF FOR $50,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $45,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PUTTHEPASTBEHIND: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprin t and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. LOST WEEKEND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROAN BURGUNDY: Horse rac ing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
      5
      PUTTHEPASTBEHIND
      5/1
      9/2
      6
      LOST WEEKEND
      4/1
      6/1
      4
      ROAN BURGUNDY
      5/2
      8/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      2
      LANDON JACK
      2
      12/1
      Front-runner
      82
      74
      98.0
      62.2
      50.7
      5
      PUTTHEPASTBEHIND
      5
      5/1
      Front-runner
      88
      83
      84.9
      77.0
      74.0
      1
      WHERE IS MIKE
      1
      8/1
      Front-runner
      69
      76
      72.1
      71.4
      63.9
      7
      INDYBOUND
      7
      6/1
      Alternator/Front-runner
      80
      84
      81.8
      63.6
      56.1
      4
      ROAN BURGUNDY
      4
      5/2
      Alternator/Front-runner
      82
      76
      55.3
      72.6
      64.6
      6
      LOST WEEKEND
      6
      4/1
      Stalker
      79
      79
      77.8
      73.2
      68.7
      3
      ON THE MARK
      3
      3/1
      Stalker
      73
      71
      70.2
      64.6
      52.1
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358928

        #4
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 10 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 105

        WINSTAR GULFSTREAM PARK MILE S. - GRADE 2 FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 18. $2,000 TO ENTER.$200,000 GUARANTEED. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $100 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20%

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 7 CHARGE IT 4/5
        # 4 SIMPLIFICATION 8/1
        # 6 ENDORSED 4/1
        CHARGE IT looks to be a solid contender. Ran a solid last race. He has recorded formidable figs under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group of horses in this race. Win percentage one of the best in this field. SIMPLIFICATION - Will most likely come out very solid - I have liked the way this colt has moved promptly to the front end recently. Going in a dirt route race gives this colt a very good shot. ENDORSED - Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 102 - of his last outing. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the strongest class numbers of this group.
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358928

          #5
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          PURCHASE


          Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4 - Post: 1:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 62

          Rating:

          #1 NOT A DANCE (ML=2/1)


          NOT A DANCE - This gelding is in good physical condition. Ran third on Feb 18th.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SWILL MERCHANT (ML=3/2), #4 HEAVY WEIGHT (ML=6/1), #2 ANDY WALKS WITH ME (ML=8/1),

          SWILL MERCHANT - Doubtful for this horse to make a winning move with no recent good showings in a short distance event. This entrant made little impact last time out finishing fifth. Don't see any hint of any change in today's event. Tough to like the downward moving flow (67/63/59) of Equibase speed figures. HEAVY WEIGHT - Hard to keep following this kind of 'hanger' horse. Don't feel this racer will make an impact in today's race. That last fig was pedestrian when compared with today's class figure. ANDY WALKS WITH ME - Tough to like the downward moving flow (62/46/38) of speed figs. 8/1 is too low of a value to take on most any thoroughbred that has run poorly in back to back outings.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #1 NOT A DANCE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

          SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
          Pass
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358928

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE


            Cross Country Pick Four - Race #5 - Post: 5:54pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $150,000 Class Rating: 101 Nodouble Breeders' S. OP

            Rating:

            #8 NAVY SEAL (ML=5/1)
            #6 ONE TEN STADIUM (ML=12/1)


            NAVY SEAL - Don't often see a profitable ROI like +45. This rider/conditioner duo has done well together over the last year. Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a sharp outing last time out within the last 30 days. ONE TEN STADIUM - Look for this one to go to the winner's circle at some pretty decent odds in this event. Ran seventh in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the wire.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GAR HOLE (ML=1/1), #5 MRS. BEANS (ML=5/2),

            GAR HOLE - Not likely that this horse will finish better than he did last time out when placing fourth. No good fortune for this horse in a short distance race over the last two months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny circumstance MRS. BEANS - No picnic to wager on any thoroughbred in a sprint event at 5/2 when he hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last 60 days.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 NAVY SEAL is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
            Twitter@cpawsports


            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358928

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 4 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 72

              FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 4, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 4 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 3 TOTHEMOONANDBACK 6/1
              # 8 TIMBERLAKE GAGE 4/1
              # 7 KEBA LUCKY DAY 5/1
              I give the nod to TOTHEMOONANDBACK here. I like the jockey on this mare - very strong chance to win the outing. TIMBERLAKE GAGE - Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 68. She has garnered very good numbers under today's conditions and should fare well against this group of animals. KEBA LUCKY DAY - Ran a strong last race. Conditioner boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface.
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358928

                #8
                Seoul Saturday: Race-By-Race Preview (March 4)

                Saturday’s racing is at Seoul with a 10-race program and an early start with the 1st race at 10:35 and the last at 18:00. Here are the previews:

                Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Special Weight A / KRW 40 Million

                Three-year-old maidens in the opener. Three of the twelve race for the first time and we’re happy enough to take a chance on (7) KING DIA. It’s taken him an age to get to the races after his first trial all the way back last May but looked very sharp in the latest of them a couple of weeks ago when prominent throughout and stopping the clock in a fast time. He draws well enough to be on pace and he looks set for a bold showing first up. (11) YUKWAEHAN SARANG has finished no worse than 5th in four appearances to date. He has the fastest time among those who have tackled this distance before by a significant margin and while the draw is a touch wide given that he seems to like to race on pace, he surely goes close again. (1) THEME TANSAENG ran 5th of ten on debut a month ago and with Moon Se-young climbing aboard today, will be backed to improve. (8) BEST CLONE and (9) SAEBYEOK BULBIT others to keep safe.
                Selections (7) King Dia (11) Yukwaehan Sarang (1) Theme Tansaeng (8) Best Clone
                Next Best 9, 10
                Fast Start 1, 4, 7, 11

                Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1400M) Special Weight A / KRW 25 Million

                Standard maiden here and (9) WONDERFUL TIZZY looks ready to win having seemingly figured things out in his latest three. At his last start on February 5th, he ran 3rd over 1400M having set up camp just behind the early leaders and the wide draw shouldn’t be too much of an issue here. Having parted company with her jockey coming out of the gate two starts back, (1) CATS WOMAN was sent off as the longest shot on the board on her return on February 4th. She made a mockery of that, running 3rd over 1300M having settled right back and finishes strongly. The additional half furlong can suit, and she can go even closer here. (2) BLACK GUN has been getting closer across his five previous outings culminating in 4th place at this distance on February 4th when handy throughout. He draws nicely here and should be in the mix a long way again. (4) TWO ACE has finished 4th in each of his last three races and could well do so again. (7) CHOEGO POINT another in the placing frame.
                Selections (9) Wonderful Tizzy (1) Cats Woman (2) Black Gun (4) Two Ace
                Next Best 7, 5
                Fast Start 2, 5, 8, 9

                Seoul Race 3: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                Advertisements
                Report this ad

                Small but competitive field. (4) KING’S EYE blew the start on his latest outing on January 28th and was subsequently scarcely a factor. He had been going well prior to that though with back-to-back wins at classes 6 and 5 before running 3rd over 1700M on his first try at this level in December. He led in all those races and with a better beginning today, he is the one to beat. If we’re going to forgive King’s Eye his latest then it is only manners to extend the same courtesy to (8) ELITE RULES. She has a poor day at the office at the end of January but is a class and distance winner as recently as Christmas Eve and she can be given another chance here. (6) WONDERFUL INDY comes up in class following a goof win over 1300M on January 38th when settling midfield and running on. He comes up in trip but gets a significant weight drop and can measure up. (5) STILL PLAY is another up in class and distance, in his case after two wins from four starts and he too is nicely in at the weights here. (3) COLJOY is much more experienced and does mix his form but on his day is right in this.
                Selections (4) King’s Eye (8) Elite Rules (6) Wonderful Indy (5) Still Play
                Next Best 3, 7
                Fast Start 2, 3, 7, 8

                Seoul Race 4: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                Tricky race, at least at the top end. (5) SAENAE KHAN comes up in class having secured his maiden win at the fourth time of asking over this distance on February 4th, making all. That win had been coming and the manner of it suggests that there can be more to come. He will be on pace and another all the way showing is possible. (1) ARGO GONGJU is the main danger. She got her maiden victory two starts back at 1300M before running 3rd in an all-filly affair over 1400M on her first try at this level on February 4th. From the inside gate, Antonio can pick his spot, probably sitting just behind the speed, and she has every chance. (8) GEOMIBULU ran 2nd on debut at 1000M before winning over the 1200M on January 15th, leading every step of the way. Like Saenae Khan, she is up in class but should more than fit in at this level. Continuing on the last start winner up in class theme is (9) JEONGWOO FOREVER, who overcame a wide draw to score at this distance on February 4th. (7) GEUMSEONG SIDAE the best of the rest.
                Selections (5) Saenae Khan (1) Argo Gongju (8) Geomibulu (9) Jeongwoo Forever
                Next Best 7, 4
                Fast Start 5, 6, 7, 8

                Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                Fillies (and one mare) here. (7) CHEOLLICHONG shapes as a warm favourite here, having beaten three of these rivals on his way to a class and distance 2nd on February 5th when close to the pace throughout. He only comes up 1kg in the weights, he draws marginally better, and he may take some beating. (8) ANYANG POKKYEOKGI remains a maiden but comes up in class following three near misses including 2nd on her latest on February 4th when leading into the home straight. She is nicely weighted her and can be competitive. (4) DANAEUN ROSE could only manage a midfield finish after a slow start last time out but has the fastest time among these for the distance, recorded when winning well at class 6 level last November. She is worth another chance in this company. (3) TOP POSITION and (10) BIG SMART among others capable of troubling the scorers at their best but will need their respective latest efforts overlooked.
                Selections (7) Cheollichong (8) Anyang Pokkyeokgi (4) Danaeun Rose (3) Top Position
                Next Best 10, 2
                Fast Start 2, 5, 6, 7

                Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1700M) Special Weight B / KRW 40 Million

                Advertisements
                Report this ad

                (9) JEONGMUN CHOEGANG has been threatening a second win and it should arrive here. He comes in having beaten three of these on his way to a front-running 2nd on February 4th at class and distance. He only comes up 1kg in the weights, Moon Se-young climbs aboard, and he will be a hot favourite. He has managed to get beaten in twenty-two of his twenty-three starts though so feel free to take him on. (7) EUNHYE RECORD perhaps has the best chance of defeating him although given that he has never actually won a race, we perhaps shouldn’t be too confident. He does though come in off a nice 3rd place at class and distance at the end of January and a similar run today will make him a danger. There’s not much else in the way of good form here. (1) SUNNY BLADE ran a class and distance 4th in January and that is enough to have her in the placing frame here. (6) GAMGOK SUNSHINE and (2) CRAZY LOVE other possibles.
                Selections (9) Jeongmun Choegang (7) Eunhye Record (1) Sunny Blade (6) Gamgok Sunshine
                Next Best 2, 10
                Fast Start 2, 3, 7, 8

                Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1800M) Special Weight B / KRW 60 Million

                A winner of two from four so far, (5) WONDERFUL WEEK comes up in class and significantly in distance following her second victory on January 14th when she made all for an emphatic score over 1400M. Her times have been consistently quick and there’s no reason why she can’t adapt to racing over two turns. She is the one to beat. (7) LUNAR SILVER was an all the way winner over 1700M last November at class 5 level before running out of petrol on her first try at this class, again over the 1700M on Christmas Day after racing forward from a wide draw. She comes in fresh following a couple of months off and in this small field, she shouldn’t need to use up so much energy to get her preferred position. (1) MAGIC JOY needs a line drawn though his latest but he gets a much better gate today and Johan climbs aboard. (4) MISS YANGHO and (6) HWANGGEUM HAE other minor money chances.
                Selections (5) Wonderful Week (7) Lunar Silver (1) Magic Joy (4) Miss Yangho
                Next Best 6, 8
                Fast Start 3, 5, 7, 8

                Seoul Race 8: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                (7) DAEWANGU enters off back-to-back 3rd place finishes at 1400M and 1200M in the first of them settling handy from a good draw and then settling back from a wide one. He does love to finish 3rd – he’s done it in eight of seventeen outings but he looks very nicely in here and he can add to his two wins. (8) MUNHAK STORM has a tough day at the office when sent off as favourite at class and distance on February 12th. He goes best when on pace and he drew the widest gate that day so was always going to be up against it. This time there isn’t too much speed inside of him and he can get a much softer run and potentially a much better result. (4) ROCK FIGHTER also needs his latest effort overlooked. He was first up that day following a full nine-months out and should strip much fitter for that run. He previously was a class and distance winner. The up in class (6) BEST TORCH, along with (5) SAENAE POWERFUL are others who can enter the calculations.
                Selections (7) Daewangu (8) Munhak Storm (4) Rock Fighter (6) Best Torch
                Next Best 5, 10
                Fast Start 5, 6, 8, 10

                Seoul Race 9: Class 2 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

                Advertisements
                Report this ad

                (4) SINUI ADEUL comes up in class having won at this class on January 29th, flashing home from well off the pace. He comes down significantly in the weights, he draws a better gate and Munro remains aboard so there is plenty to like about his chances of measuring up in this company. (5) HEUNG DREAM is the main danger and probable favourite. He enters off a class and distance 2nd on February 4th when settling towards the back of midfield and running on strongly. He comes up slightly in weight, but a similar run will see him in with a potentially winning chance here. (1) NEMO PRINCESS led for much of the way around in that February 4th race before running out of steam in the final furlong. She remains under a light weight, draws well again, and is worth another chance. (2) HIDDEN SOCKS and (3) GEUMJAYU others in the hunt.
                Selections (4) Sinui Adeul (5) Heung Dream (1) Nemo Princess (2) Hidden Socks
                Next Best 3, 6
                Fast Start 1, 4, 5, 8

                Seoul Race 10: Class 2 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

                (2) DAEMUL was a well beaten favourite on his first try at class 2 over 1400M on January 15th, starting badly and then failing to make any headway on what was a lightning quick track. His previous two wins were both in times that would be competitive in this company and continuing under a light weight, he is well worth another chance here. (4) VICTOR MOON has had a couple of months off since her latest 5th place over this distance on Christmas Eve when on pace. She should get to the front again and can be in this a long way. She has a chance of overturning the form on (8) VICEROY, who won that Christmas Eve race. He has raced once since, a beaten favourite when finishing 4th at class and distance on February 4th and he too will be aiming to get onto the speed here. (7) MUNHAK FIRE and (3) ECHO BILL others to keep safe.
                Selections (2) Daemul (4) Victor Moon (8) Viceroy (7) Munhak Fire
                Next Best 3, 6
                Fast Start 2, 4, 8, 9
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358928

                  #9
                  Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, March 4
                  Posted on March 3, 2023 by David Aragona

                  RACE 3: MARKET ALERT (#5)

                  I’ll be interested to see how much money Milton the Monster (#5) takes in this optional claimer. He’s known as a wet track lover, and he figure to get his preferred conditions on Saturday with plenty of rain predicted. That reputation does appear to be justly earned as he has done most of his best running over wet, sealed tracks. Yet I still have some concerns about him getting a mile and don’t want him if he is indeed going to vie for favoritism. I’m also lukewarm on Kinetic Sky (#6), who has been short prices twice in a row. He got into great form off the claim for Linda Rice, but it appears that he’s gone the wrong way recently. I’m most interested in two horses, though one appeals to me a bit more than the other. Uncle Moonlight (#2) would be my second preference, though there are some reasons to like him in this spot. As the only member of this field who isn’t entered for the claiming tag, he’s been working his way through his allowance conditions. He hasn’t quite been good enough in either start at this level, but those were her first couple of starts after an extended layoff. I didn’t think he got the best ride from Jorge Vargas last time, who rode him tentatively early before moving to the lead on the turn. He could find himself leading this field depending on how others are ridden. My top pick is Market Alert (#5). This horse has been in better form than his results might indicate. He didn’t get the right trip on Dec. 17 when breaking a bit slowly before making an awkward move to the center of the track. He then had to be used aggressively two back in the Say Florida Sandy, keeping the winner honest on the front end. He lost as the favorite at a slightly higher optional claiming level last time, but he again didn’t get an ideal trip. He was in a good position early but got shuffled back slightly on the turn before having to alter course multiple times through the stretch as rivals drifted in front of him. Now he gets Kendrick Carmouche back aboard and has landed in a slightly softer spot.

                  RACE 5: CAERUS (#1)

                  There is a lot going on in this $25k claimer, so I want to keep an open mind with regard to different price options. Among the likely favorites, both of whom are trained by Rudy Rodriguez, I prefer Optic Way (#4) to Advanced Strategy (#8). The latter could take more money on the class drop, but his last race in the slop was disappointing, and the lack of confidence being displayed concerns me. Optic Way, on the other hand, is moving up in class despite finishing off the board in his most recent start. That performance was a lot better than the result indicates, as he was contesting a fast pace that fell apart, doing so while chasing in the 3-path on a day when the rail was an advantage. I expect a better effort here, especially since there isn’t that much speed signed on. I would also consider Jalen Journey (#9). This horse hasn’t been competitive in while, but he also didn’t get the best ride last time when glued to the rail and forced to steady in upper stretch just as he was making his move. That was also a much better field, and now he’s finally getting needed class relief. The distance is a question, but these connections can be very dangerous. My top pick is the horse that I expect to be the biggest price of those I’m considering. Caerus (#1) hasn’t run quite as fast as some others in here, and he’s also been concentrating on sprints recently. Yet I don’t think the one-mile distance will be a problem for him, since he routed effectively for much of the first half of his career before cutting back. He’s coming out of a couple of races that just didn’t set up for him. He was overmatched two back, and then last time he was stuck behind a slow pace that held together up front. I’m hoping he can get a bit more involved early on the stretch-out, and he has shown he handles a wet track.

                  RACE 9: TRANSECT (#7)

                  My primary objective in this Gotham is finding value. This field is so evenly matched on almost any metric you use, but some horses will inevitably fall through the cracks and get overlooked in such a wide open, competitive race. The idea is to identify those horses and capitalize. Brad Cox sounds out a pair of runners, both of which will take money. I don’t have any use for morning line favorite Eyeing Clover (#13), who has beaten weaker competition and could struggle to work out a trip in a race laden with other speed. I much prefer Slip Mahoney (#11) among the short prices. He’s proven at the distance and has kept good company at the maiden special weight level. He also possesses a versatility to his running style that his stablemate may lack. I would argue that Slip Mahoney is the most likely winner of this race, but that doesn’t mean that he’s necessarily going to offer value. I have similar feelings about Jerome winner Lugan Knight (#10), who can obviously win but doesn’t figure to meet my price threshold. I’m just more intrigued by three other horses, all of whom are double-digit odds on the morning line. Mr. Swagger (#3) has the most to prove of that trio, making just the second start of his career. Yet he’s coming out of a very live race. Runner-up Register returned to improve his TimeformUS Speed Figure by 7 points, fourth-place improved by 14 points, and fifth improved by 5 points. Mr. Swagger is bred to handle added ground and showed the ability to sit off another horse on debut. However, the rail draw could be a negative for a runner looking to work out a stalking trip. Howgreatisnate (#2) also drew an inside post position, but he seems more likely to take back and launch a late rally. He’s depicted last of 14 on the Pace Projector, but he’s shown good finishing ability in his races. He obviously hasn’t faced this level of competition, but I like that he’s displayed a willingness to pass horses in those races. He also strikes me as one that will get better with added ground, based on his pedigree and the scope to his stride. He’s definitely on my radar at what should be a square price. My top pick is Transect (#7). He also has some things to prove, having never raced on dirt before. Yet this horse has shown some likeable attributes in his two starts at Turfway. He made a strong rally from off the pace to win his debut in commanding fashion, earning a solid 100 TimeformUS Speed Figure. He regressed a bit last time facing winners, but I liked that he was versatile enough to set the pace and still finish. He galloped out strongly that day, and moves like a horse that will relish added ground. He’s also bred to be a dirt horse, by Gun Runner, out of dam who has produced stakes-placed dirt runners, from the female family of Grade 1 dirt winner Madcap Escapade. Paulo Lobo is a dangerous trainer, and it seems like a good sign that Joe Talamo has taken the mount.
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358928

                    #10
                    The Pony Conductor


                    Gulfstream Park: Fountain of Youth Saturday Key Horses

                    The racing keeps slowly getting better each week.
                    Race 7: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500b

                    #6 Weyburn (4/1) – The Ductor must be against the favorite #2 White Abarrio (8/5) after his dismal effort in the Pegasus. Weyburn’s fastest career race came at this distance at Gulfstream off a similar layoff. Although Jerkens is only 9% with runners off the bench this year, he has a +$0.70 ROI and 23/46 starters have hit the board.

                    #10 Legends Can’t Die (8/1) – Strangely in a dirt sprint, he’s the only horse in the race that wants the early lead. He’s working well and Irad hops aboard for a barn he rarely rides for. His race two back was above par for this level and he has a good shot to wire the field.

                    Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Canadian Turf Stakes

                    #2 California Frolic (20/1) – The Ductor thinks #3 Emmanuel (8/5) is tough to beat. If you’re a passenger looking to inject some value underneath to your trifecta, this is your colt. He’s won at 7/1 and run 2nd at 38/1 in is two turf starts. He draws well to the inside and should get a good setup with a quick pace to close into. 2nd off the bench, he should run a top effort.
                    Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Herecomesthebride Stakes

                    #9 Danse Macabre (10/1) – Making her first start as a 3-year-old, she’s yet to run a bad race. She’s stretching out to a mile for the first time and working her eyeballs out. She has enough early speed to work out a good trip from an outside post and there isn’t a ton of early speed in this race either. This filly has upside.

                    Race 10: 1 Mile.G2 WinStar Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes

                    #7 Charge It (7/5) – The Ductor doesn’t see much value in this race. Charge It looks to get a perfect trip and the shorter distance will only help him.
                    Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Honey Fox Stakes

                    #8 Miss Yearwood (12/1) – This filly makes her 4-year-old debut and she showed talent last year. She has a thunderous late kick and she should get a great setup in this race. Luca Panici on the turf is a tough jockey to back, but it will help her price. Drop back, hug the rail, tip out and mow.
                    Race 12: 1 Mile. F.G2 Davona Dale Stakes

                    #2 Infinite Diamond (10/1) – The Ductor doesn’t think the Forward Gal Stakes was strong and is looking for prices here. This filly’s return as a 3-year-old was very promising. Although she got a solid rail trip, she had to wait patiently eating kickback before exploding in the stretch. She should run even better with that race under her belt and a step forward puts her in the winners circle.

                    #9 Dorth Vader (15/1) – As you passengers know, there is no better angle in racing than lone speed. This filly should have no problem clearing this field early, the only question is if she can get the distance. At 15/1 she must be included on all your tickets.
                    Race 13: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Mac Diarmida Stakes

                    *Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Master Piece (5/1) – This is the Ductor’s best bet on the card. He gets major class relief today after his last two starts. A Grade 2 winner, he draws well and was finishing best in the Pegasus Turf last time. He was stuck behind a wall of horses in the stretch and couldn’t find the seam he needed. He galloped out in front of the winner and looks primed to run his best here. In a wide open full field, his morning line should hold.


                    Gulfstream Park: Fountain of Youth Saturday Key Horses

                    The racing keeps slowly getting better each week.
                    Race 7: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500b

                    #6 Weyburn (4/1) – The Ductor must be against the favorite #2 White Abarrio (8/5) after his dismal effort in the Pegasus. Weyburn’s fastest career race came at this distance at Gulfstream off a similar layoff. Although Jerkens is only 9% with runners off the bench this year, he has a +$0.70 ROI and 23/46 starters have hit the board.

                    #10 Legends Can’t Die (8/1) – Strangely in a dirt sprint, he’s the only horse in the race that wants the early lead. He’s working well and Irad hops aboard for a barn he rarely rides for. His race two back was above par for this level and he has a good shot to wire the field.
                    Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Canadian Turf Stakes

                    #2 California Frolic (20/1) – The Ductor thinks #3 Emmanuel (8/5) is tough to beat. If you’re a passenger looking to inject some value underneath to your trifecta, this is your colt. He’s won at 7/1 and run 2nd at 38/1 in is two turf starts. He draws well to the inside and should get a good setup with a quick pace to close into. 2nd off the bench, he should run a top effort.
                    Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Herecomesthebride Stakes

                    #9 Danse Macabre (10/1) – Making her first start as a 3-year-old, she’s yet to run a bad race. She’s stretching out to a mile for the first time and working her eyeballs out. She has enough early speed to work out a good trip from an outside post and there isn’t a ton of early speed in this race either. This filly has upside.
                    Race 10: 1 Mile.G2 WinStar Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes

                    #7 Charge It (7/5) – The Ductor doesn’t see much value in this race. Charge It looks to get a perfect trip and the shorter distance will only help him.
                    Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Honey Fox Stakes

                    #8 Miss Yearwood (12/1) – This filly makes her 4-year-old debut and she showed talent last year. She has a thunderous late kick and she should get a great setup in this race. Luca Panici on the turf is a tough jockey to back, but it will help her price. Drop back, hug the rail, tip out and mow.
                    Race 12: 1 Mile. F.G2 Davona Dale Stakes

                    #2 Infinite Diamond (10/1) – The Ductor doesn’t think the Forward Gal Stakes was strong and is looking for prices here. This filly’s return as a 3-year-old was very promising. Although she got a solid rail trip, she had to wait patiently eating kickback before exploding in the stretch. She should run even better with that race under her belt and a step forward puts her in the winners circle.

                    #9 Dorth Vader (15/1) – As you passengers know, there is no better angle in racing than lone speed. This filly should have no problem clearing this field early, the only question is if she can get the distance. At 15/1 she must be included on all your tickets.
                    Race 13: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Mac Diarmida Stakes

                    *Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Master Piece (5/1) – This is the Ductor’s best bet on the card. He gets major class relief today after his last two starts. A Grade 2 winner, he draws well and was finishing best in the Pegasus Turf last time. He was stuck behind a wall of horses in the stretch and couldn’t find the seam he needed. He galloped out in front of the winner and looks primed to run his best here. In a wide open full field, his morning line should hold.

                    Advertisements
                    Report this ad

                    Sing Cup Cake GIF by Travis
                    Race 14: 1 1/6 Mile. G2 Fountain of Youth Stakes

                    #8 Rocket Can (8/1) – The Holy Bull had a weak field, but this colt was miles the best. He was impossibly wide going into the first turn and stalked a slow pace while finishing strong. While Forte (7/5) showed more talent last year and could stamp himself as the Derby favorite with a big effort, the high performing 2-year-olds have flopped this far. The Ductor has to
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358928

                      #11
                      Pick 3 for Gulfstream March 4, including Mac Diarmida
                      Ashley Anderson

                      Saturday's Fountain of Youth Day at Gulfstream Park will feature a 14-race card packed with nine stakes, including the Fountain of Youth (G2) and Davona Dale (G2), Kentucky Derby (G1) and Kentucky Oaks (G1) prep races, respectively.

                      Below we provide spot plays and a Pick 3 for the aforementioned Kentucky Oaks prep along with two other races on the Fountain of Youth undercard: the Honey Fox (G3) for fillies and mares and the 1 3/8-mile Mac Diarmida (G2) for four-year-olds and up.
                      Race 11: Honey Fox S. (G3), one mile on turf, four-year-old and up fillies and mares

                      Chad Brown runner #3 Speak of the Devil (7-5) will make her first start since finishing a distant fourth in the Just a Game (G1) at Belmont on June 11, after which she required surgery that put her on the disabled list. The French-bred six-year-old has raced just twice in the U.S., winning the Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (G2) on the Kentucky Derby undercard before her disappointing outing as the odds-on favorite in the Just a Game.

                      Irad Ortiz Jr., who is 35-11-7-1 over the last seven days, will pick up the mount, giving Speak of the Devil an excellent shot in her return to racing and her first start at Gulfstream. Her biggest challenge should come from #4 White Frost (7-2), who triumphed last out at today's distance in an allowance optional claimer and has won at the Grade 3 level while racing a mile at Gulfstream in the Sweetest Chant. We'll take a stand against the morning line favorite and side with the Candy Ride mare, who has won or placed in five of six career starts.

                      We'll also add longshot #10 Fast as Flight (12-1), who moves up in class off a three-length win in an allowance optional claimer at today's distance. Trainer Brian Lynch is winning at a 20% clip at Gulfstream as well as Fast as Flight's new rider Jose Ortiz, a 40% winner paired with Lynch over the last two months.
                      Race 12: Davona Dale S. (G2), one mile, three-year-old fillies

                      #1 Atomically (8-1) was beaten as the favorite last out in the Forward Gal (G3), finishing 3 1/4 lengths in third behind Red Carpet Ready, who re-opposes here. While Red Carpet Ready has never raced beyond seven furlongs, Atomically has twice stretched out beyond a mile. She romped to a 6 3/4-length victory three back when running 1 1/16 miles in the Florida Sire My Dear Girl S. before being transferred to trainer Todd Pletcher. In her next start, she jumped up to Grade 1 competition, finishing seventh to Wonder Wheel in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).

                      Atomically was off a bit slowly in her last start, the Forward Gal, but if she can get a good break from the rail post, she has a chance to rebound in her third try at a route. Pletcher is a 22% winner with horses going from short to long and a 24% winner with horses making their second start off a layoff. Atomically will also regain rider Edgar Perez, who went 2-for-3 with Atomically at Gulfstream last summer and fall.

                      We'll back Atomically here but also play #3 Red Carpet Ready (2-1), who is undefeated in three career races. The Oscar Performance filly has the pedigree to enjoy longer distances, so we'll back her in her first try at a route.

                      Race 13: Mac Diarmida S. (G2), 1 3/8 miles on turf, four-year-olds and up

                      #7 Astronaut (5-2) was a 15-1 upset winner of the Red Smith (G2) last out at today's distance, in which he set pedestrian fractions before edging away to beat #1 Highest Honors (3-1) by three lengths at Aqueduct. There isn't a ton of speed entered in Saturday's Mac Diarmida, so Astronaut could see a similar setup unfold, but the Quality Road six-year-old is vulnerable among this field of 12 and can be beaten by two horses who present value.

                      #2 Master Piece (5-1) was a head second when last racing at 1 3/8 miles in the Del Mar H. (G2) while under the guidance of Mike McCarthy. Since moving to the barn of Saffie Joseph, he was beaten just three lengths in seventh in the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) and can improve in his second start with the trainer as well as his second start off a layoff. He'll keep hot jockey Tyler Gaffalione, who has gone 10-3-0-1 in the last seven days and is 6-for-16 paired with Joseph over the last two months.

                      #10 Value Engineering (6-1) could also reach the winner's circle in his third start since transferring to the barn of Mike Maker. In two starts with the trainer, he won the 1 5/8-mile H. Allen Jerkens H., which was taken off the turf, and placed second by a length in the 1 1/2-mile William L. McKnight (G3) when he was overtaken at the eighth pole. The slight cutback in distance can benefit the Lemon Drop Kid seven-year-old.

                      $1 Pick 3 ticket: 4, 10 with 1, 3 with 2, 10 ($8)
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358928

                        #12
                        The Jury: Bets and fades for March 4
                        TwinSpires Staff

                        What is your best bet?

                        James Scully: #10 Moonage Daydream (12-1) in the Herecomesthebride (G3) at Gulfstream Park. Last seen recording a sharp wire-to-wire win in the six-furlong Stewart Manor S. at Aqueduct last November, Moonage Daydream should relish the stretch out to a mile with her bloodlines, and there’s no serious speed among her 11 rivals. I’ll tab the Jorge Abreu-trained Candy Ride filly for a frontrunning win.

                        Vance Hanson: #10 Value Engineering (6-1) doesn't have as many miles under him as you might expect for a seven-year-old, and he seemingly enters the Mac Diarmida (G2) at Gulfstream in peak form for trainer Mike Maker, who only acquired the gelding within the last few months and has won the Mac Diarmida three of the last four years. Value Engineering has run two solid races for Maker, including a second-place finish in the William L. McKnight (G3) last out when he found only classier stablemate Red Knight better. With a continuation of his recent form, Value Engineering can be a major player in this spot.

                        Ashley Anderson: #1 Atomically (8-1) failed as the favorite last out in the seven-furlong Forward Gal (G3), won by Red Carpet Ready, who re-opposes the daughter of Girvin in Saturday’s Davona Dale (G3), a Kentucky Oaks prep worth points on a 50-20-15-10-5 basis. Three back, Atomically romped to a 6 3/4-length win in the 1 1/16-mile Florida Sire My Dear Girl S. at Gulfstream while under the guidance of trainer Jose Pinchin. The three-year-old will regain jockey Edgar Perez, her rider from Gulfstream last season who went 2-for-3 with the filly, and she’ll make her second start off a layoff, a winning move 24% of the time for Todd Pletcher. The trainer is also a 22% winner with horses transitioning from a sprint to a route and a 17% winner in graded stakes. If Atomically goes off near her 8-1 morning line price, she’s worth a shot in the one-mile Davona Dale.

                        Who is the horse to fade?

                        JS: #2 National Treasure (3-1) and #7 Hejazi (7-2) are the top two choices on the morning line in the San Felipe (G2) at Santa Anita, but I prefer others in the 11-horse field. Hejazi relished the cutback to a sprint as lone speed last time, but he won’t receive an easy setup here. National Treasure was underwhelming finishing third at odds-on in the Sham (G3) last out, and his best race also came at a sprint. The competition gets much steeper Saturday for the short-priced runners.

                        VH: Perhaps a confidence-boosting win is what connections feel is in the best interest of #2 White Abarrio (6-5), who is heavily favored in Gulfstream's seventh race, a conditioned allowance over seven furlongs. However, last year's Florida Derby (G1) winner was an underwhelming eighth in the Pegasus World Cup (G1) last time, which was his first loss in five outings over the Gulfstream strip. His third-place effort two back in the Cigar Mile (G1) was really good, though, which makes me wonder why we're not seeing him later on the card in the Gulfstream Park Mile (G2), a spot more suitable for a horse of his caliber. Perhaps I'm reading too much into it, but the last-out dud and the curious placing on Saturday's card makes me take a cautious view on this horse at a very short price.

                        AA: #6 Agent Peter Graves (7-2) is a lukewarm morning line favorite in Gulfstream’s opening race on Saturday, a five-furlong allowance optional claimer on turf. The five-year-old gelding is 0-for-4 in his last four starts and last visited the winner’s circle when wiring a one-mile allowance optional claimer at Canterbury in June 2022. Since joining the barn of Bill Mott, he’s finished fourth, third, and a half-length fifth in three starts, all between five and 5 1/2 furlongs. In a competitive field of 12, Agent Peter Graves is a vulnerable favorite.

                        I instead like both Todd Pletcher runners, #4 Under Oath (4-1), who makes his first start on grass after wiring a 5 1/2-furlong allowance at Saratoga, and #10 Meetmeinkingston (9-2), who wired a five-furlong allowance optional claimer on turf in late January while posting a career-best turf Speed rating of 92. #1 Firecrow (8-1) is also intriguing. He finished just two lengths in fourth in the 2021 Turf Monster S. (G3) two back while trained by Ron Moquett and came home 4 1/4 lengths behind Golden Pal in the 2021 Woodford (G2) before hitting the shelf. He’ll make his first start in over a year for new trainer Saffie Joseph, a 23% winner with horses making their first start with him and a 24% winner with horses coming off a layoff of more than 90 days. Jose Ortiz in the saddle is a huge plus.

                        What else is worth noting?

                        JS: Gilmore and Bromley are the top draws in the John Battaglia Memorial S. at Turfway Park, and while neither would be a surprise in the winner’s circle, I’ll mention a couple of intriguing contestants at better odds. #6 American Speed (6-1) ran into a buzz saw (Funtastic Again) when making his first start for Brad Cox, an initial attempt over a synthetic track, in the Jan. 21 Leonatus S. at Turfway, but finished a respectable second. Angel of Empire moved forward significantly for Cox in his second stakes attempt, upsetting the Risen Star (G2), and American Speed may have more to offer on Saturday. I liked the local maiden win from #8 Miranda Rights two starts back, and the Mark Casse-trained son of Constitution experienced a troubled trip when finishing third versus allowance rivals last time. He’ll benefit from the experience and is one to consider, at the least, for the vertical exotics.

                        VH: Reigning Eclipse Award-winning trainer Todd Pletcher is poised to have a potentially huge day at Gulfstream. In addition to saddling Forte in the Fountain of Youth (G2), Pletcher also has heavy favorites Charge It and Emmanuel in the Gulfstream Park Mile and Canadian Turf (G3), respectively; leading contender Cairo Consort in the Herecomesthebride (G3); and a trio of top players in the Colonel Liam S. The barn is also seemingly loaded in most of the overnight races that make up the undercard, including first-time starter Illustrated in the fourth race, a seven-furlong maiden for three-year-olds. A $1.1 million purchase last year, Illustrated is a Justify half-brother to Pletcher's Belmont S. (G1) winner Tapwrit.

                        AA: Between the San Felipe and Gotham (G3), two of four Kentucky Derby prep races on Saturday, Tim Yakteen will send out six horses, five of which are making their first start with the trainer after being transferred from the barn of Bob Baffert. The lone runner who has been conditioned by Yakteen for the entirety of his career in the San Felipe is Practical Move, a 4-1 choice in the 1 1/16-mile event, and he may have the best chance of Yakteen's bunch in this event. #2 National Treasure (3-1), a new addition to Yakteen's barn, is listed as the morning line favorite, but the Quality Road colt has yet to win since breaking his maiden in a 6 1/2-furlong sprint at Del Mar. In his last three starts, he placed a distant second to Cave Rock in the American Pharoah (G1), then finished third in both the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) and Sham.

                        Practical Move last drew away to win by 3 1/4 lengths in the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) at today's distance and flashed a 105 Brisnet Speed rating, the highest last race speed rating and best dirt speed figure among the field. Yakteen's also a 16% winner with horses that won their last race but just an 8% winner with horses making their first start with the trainer, giving Practical Move the advantage over new stablemates National Treasure, #7 Hejazi (7-2), #9 Fort Bragg (8-1), and #11 Mr Fisk (15-1).
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358928

                          #13
                          Race of the Week: Gulfstream Park Mile | Saturday

                          March 1, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk

                          The Lead:
                          The 1/ST Racing Tour pulls into Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita this Saturday for 13 stakes races of national interest. From two Triple Crown trail preps to the Big 'Cap out west, it's a can't-miss day. The 14-race program in Florida includes the Fountain of Youth Stakes as the headline finale, but it's Race 10 that catches my eye in the preliminaries, the Gulfstream Park Mile.

                          ​Field Depth:
                          Grade 2 winner SIMPLIFICATION has the deepest resume, while G3 winner CHARGE IT is also G1-placed. ENDORSED has held consistently solid company lines. This trio has a class edge.

                          Pace:
                          NITROUS CHANNEL has legitimate sprint speed. Look for horses like DEAN DELIVERS, OCTANE and CHARGE IT to be chasing closest. This does not look like an overwhelming pace and the winner comes from the first flight to this eye.

                          Our Eyes:
                          Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

                          1-DEAN DELIVERS: Sprinter has given way late in all 3 starts beyond 7 furlongs, though never has totally thrown in the towel. Look for him to send from the rail under Miguel Vasquez and keep in contention through the final furlong, but find a few others too tough at the trip.

                          2-STEAL SUNSHINE: Late-running third in 7-furlong Mr. Prospector sets him up nicely for his second start of his 4-year-old season. All 3 of his local wins have come at this same 1-turn mile trip. Son of 2014 Florida Derby winner Constitution is as at home at Gulfstream as his pops.

                          3-NOBLE DRAMA: This 8-year-old has been part of the local sprint/mile scene since 2018. Note 7 of his 9 Gulfstream scores have come at this 1-turn mile distance. But he's won just 1 of his last 9, dating back to the summer of 2021. He'll need it very fast up front and the pace to come back to him for his best chance. That's not projected here.

                          4-SIMPLIFICATION: After winning the 1-turn mile Mucho Macho Man Stakes last January, he's embarked on 10 straight 2-turn routes. Is the cut-back now, after a 10th-place flounder in the Pegasus World Cup, more about finding easier competition or will he be effective running shorter? I'd like to have seen something really sharp on the workout tab to indicate he'll have the brilliance to compete here, but that's not present.

                          5-OCTANE: The 23-1 runner-up in the local prep, the G3 Fred W. Hooper, he's had but 1 bad race on his 10-start ledger. He might not be up to the top echelon of this race's rivals, but he's not far off. Just as he was last time, he'll be a big price again and capable of ticking a box in the exotics.

                          6-ENDORSED: The 7-year-old had lost 23 straight races before suddenly righting the ship with his active 2-race winning streak. His return to Gulfstream Park helped some as he's been credible here throughout his career. The Hooper victory most recently snapped an 0-for-8 career mark at the 1-mile distance. He'll be rallying from the back half of the pack, but not the clouds and would not surprise.

                          7-CHARGE IT: Expect a very short price on the favorite after his 2023 allowance return victory at 20 cents on the dollar. The 2022 Florida Derby runner-up has been sharp locally, but turned heads most when a 23-length victor in Belmont's Grade 3 Dwyer. He's had his issues physically and has never popped 2 huge efforts back-to-back. Obviously the horse to beat on his best.

                          8-O CAPTAIN: Absent since Kentucky Derby Day 2022 when fourth in the Pat Day Mile, he's no stranger to big race days like this. In fact, he was a rallying third in last year's Fountain of Youth. There's no telling where he'll land, pace-wise, as he wired a 5-1/2 furlong debut maiden when fresh in 2021, but has been a deep closer in his other 4 starts.

                          9-NITROUS CHANNEL: If Dean Delivers doesn't bust out from the rail, this son of Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist could find himself in total control of the pace. Love the outside draw with speed and a long run to the only turn, and jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. takes over in an excellent style fit with his aggressiveness. This one has been exclusively in sprints and never worse than second in 4 starts. Like his chances to pull the upset if anyone is to beat CHARGE IT.

                          Most Certain Exotics Contender:
                          CHARGE IT is 4-4 in the exacta at Gulfstream and a deserving favorite. His only misfire came in the Kentucky Derby and that's apples to oranges here.

                          Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
                          As mentioned above, OCTANE fits the bill and has some pace presence to remain sticky for a share.

                          Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
                          $60 win NITROUS CHANNEL. $30 exacta CHARGE IT over NITROUS CHANNEL. $10 exacta NITROUS CHANNEL over CHARGE IT.
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358928

                            #14
                            1/ST Racing Tour: Saturday's Key Times Throughout the Day

                            March 3, 2023 | By 1/ST BET

                            Keep on track with all the Saturday doings for the 1/ST Racing Tour stops at Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita Park. Be sure to bet all the action with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.

                            //

                            10:00 am ET | Gulfstream Pregame Show with Ron Nicoletti & Brian Nadeau

                            11:00 am ET | GSP Race 1: 1/ST Ultimate Betting Challenge Tournament play begins (all GSP/SAP races) | details/sign-up Ultimate Betting Challenge 3-4-2023 | Xpressbet

                            11:29 pm ET | GSP Race 2:

                            11:58 pm ET | GSP Race 3:

                            12:27 pm ET | GSP Race 4:

                            12:58 pm ET | GSP Race 5: Colonel Liam Stakes

                            1:27 pm ET | GSP Race 6: The Very One Stakes

                            1:50 pm ET | Santa Anita Pregame Show with Tom Quigley & Brad Free

                            1:59 pm ET | GSP Race 7:

                            2:29 pm ET | GSP Race 8: Canadian Turf Stakes

                            3:00 pm ET | SAP Race 1:

                            3:01 pm ET | GSP Race 9: Herecomesthebride Stakes

                            3:28 pm ET | SAP Race 2:

                            3:33 pm ET | GSP Race 10: Gulfstream Park Mile | Jeremy Plonk analysis Race of the Week: Gulfstream Park Mile | Saturday, March 4, 2023 - 1/ST BET NEWS | $500K-guaranteed pool late pick 5 begins

                            3:58 pm ET | SAP Race 3:

                            4:00 pm ET | CNBC live, 2-hour telecast begins

                            4:05 pm ET | GSP Race 11: Honey Fox Stakes | $250K-guaranteed pool late pick 4 begins

                            4:24 pm ET | SAP Race 4:

                            4:30 pm ET | Registration cut-off for 1/ST Ultimate Betting Challenge

                            4:37 pm ET | GSP Race 12: Davona Dale Stakes | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Leg A | Preview Video Nadeau & Siegel

                            4:55 pm ET | SAP Race 5: Buena Vista Stakes | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Leg B

                            5:09 pm ET | GSP Race 13: Mac Diarmida Stakes | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Leg C

                            5:27 pm ET | SAP Race 6: San Felipe Stakes | Jon White analysis Jon White: Fountain of Youth and San Felipe Picks, Plus More - 1/ST BET NEWS | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Leg D

                            5:43 pm ET | GSP Race 14: Fountain of Youth Stakes | Jon White analysis Jon White: Fountain of Youth and San Felipe Picks, Plus More - 1/ST BET NEWS | Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 Leg E

                            6:00 pm ET | SAP Race 7: Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 begins

                            6:30 pm ET | SAP Race 8:

                            7:00 pm ET | SAP Race 9:

                            7:30 pm ET | SAP Race 10:

                            8:00 pm ET | SAP Race 11: Kilroe Mile Stakes

                            8:31 pm ET | SAP Race 12: Santa Anita Handicap

                            //

                            Handicapping Help

                            VIDEO PODCAST: First Call with Jeff Siegel & Jeremy Plonk | 8 stakes previews

                            VIDEO: Jeremy Plonk’s Under the Radar Longshots for Saturday Jeremy Plonk: Under the Radar 1/ST Racing Tour Longshots to Watch | Saturday, March 4, 2023 - 1/ST BET NEWS

                            Gulfstream Park public handicappers https://gulfstreampark.com/wagering#expert-picks

                            Santa Anita public handicappers https://santaanita.com/wagering#expert-picks

                            //

                            Looking Ahead: Sunday’s Rainbow 6 at Gulfstream Park has a mandatory payout and projected pool of $8 million if it’s not hit by a single ticket before Sunday.
                            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                            Twitter@cpawsports


                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358928

                              #15
                              Jon White: Fountain of Youth and San Felipe Picks, Plus More

                              March 1, 2023 | By Jon White

                              Inasmuch as Kentucky Derby hopefuls will be in action this Saturday (March 4) at Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita Park, Aqueduct and Turfway Park, my Kentucky Derby Top 10 next week almost certainly will look very different than it does this week.

                              Confidence Game cracks my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week after capturing Oaklawn Park’s Grade II Rebel Stakes at 1 1/16 miles last Saturday (Feb. 25) in an 18-1 upset.

                              Fifth early in the field of 11, Confidence Game splashed home to a one-length Rebel triumph on a sloppy track.

                              Keith Desormeaux trains Confidence Game. Desormeaux is one of the best I have ever seen at doing extremely well with a horse purchased at auction for a modest price. The best example is Exaggerator.

                              Bought for $110,000 as a yearling, Exaggerator earned $3,581,120. He won such Grade I events as the Santa Anita Derby, Preakness Stakes and Haskell Invitational. Exaggerator ran second to Nyquist in another Grade I race, the Kentucky Derby.

                              A $25,000 yearling purchase, Confidence Game earned $581,750 for his Rebel victory. Desormeaux is just flat amazing at being able to do this.

                              Candy Ride, who was undefeated in six career starts, is the sire of Confidence Game. Candy Ride’s 1 1/4-mile Del Mar track record of 1:59.11 has stood since he set it in the 2003 Pacific Classic. That record very nearly was broken last summer. The fabulous Flightline’s final time was 1:59.28 when he won the 2022 Pacific Classic by a block, or more specifically 19 1/4 lengths.

                              Confidence Game’s dam is Eblouissante, who won two of seven lifetime starts. However, Eblouissante is a half-sister to 2010 Horse of the Year Zenyatta, who won her first 19 straight starts before ending her racing career with a narrow loss to Blame in the 2010 Breeders’ Cup Classic.

                              Zenyatta ranks No. 3 on my list of the Top 100 Thoroughbreds of the 21st century so far to have won in North America. The Top 10 consists of Flightline, followed in order by American Pharoah, Zenyatta, Arrogate, Ghostzapper, Curlin, Rachel Alexandra, Justify, Shared Belief and California Chrome.

                              Red Route One rallied from 11th to finish second in the Rebel at 9-1. Reincarnate had plenty of adversity and still managed to come in third at 9-2. Verifying, the 3-2 favorite, ran fourth.

                              Southern California shipper Reincarnate was my top choice in the Rebel. Not off alertly, he was shuffled back to ninth early. After making a move to get closer in upper stretch, Reincarnate then was checked when in a sticky wicket a little past the eighth pole.

                              “Reincarnate ran as encouraging a race as anyone,” Daily Racing Form’s Marcus Hersh wrote in his post-race Rebel analysis. “A pace player in his two SoCal routes, most recently a maiden win, Reincarnate shipped, caught his first wet track, was forced into a completely foreign race position, found trouble and still ran a good third.”

                              I saw it much same way as Hersh in that I believe, all things considered, Reincarnate did well to finish third. Hence, he remains on my Top 10.

                              Cave Rock exits my Top 10 this week. According to Horseracingnation.com’s Ron Flatter, “two horses who were considered top prospects for Kentucky Derby 2023 were taken off the trail this week when their owners did not transfer them from Bob Baffert to eligible trainers before a Tuesday [Feb. 28] deadline by Churchill Downs.”

                              Flatter reported that Baffert said in a text message to Horseracingnation that Cave Rock and Faustin are “still under my care” after the Feb. 28 deadline. That response also applied to Speed Boat Beach, who has not raced since he won the Grade III Cecil B. DeMille Stakes at Del Mar on the grass Dec. 4.

                              My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:

                              1. Arabian Knight
                              2. Forte
                              3. Tapit Trice
                              4. Instant Coffee
                              5. Hejazi
                              6. Geaux Rocket Ride
                              7. Skinner
                              8. Angel of Empire
                              9. Reincarnate
                              10. Confidence Game

                              Bubbling Under My Top 10 (in alphabetical order):

                              Blazing Sevens, Carmel Road, Damon’s Mound, Denington, Disarm, Eyeing Clover, General Jim, Gun Pilot, Hard to Figure, Henry Q., Hit Show, Kingsbarns, Litigate, National Treasure, Please Be Nice, Practical Move, Recruiter, Red Route One, Rocket Can, Sun Thunder, Tall Boy, Two Eagles River, Two Phil’s, Worcester and Verifying.

                              FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES SELECTIONS

                              Forte, a three-time Grade I winner last year who was voted a 2022 Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old male, heads a field of 10 entered in Gulfstream Park’s Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes.

                              Trained by Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher, Forte won last year’s Grade I Hopeful Stakes, Grade I Breeders’ Futurity and Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. The Kentucky-bred Violence colt has not raced since the Breeders’ Cup last Nov. 4.

                              Interestingly, like the aforementioned Confidence Game, Forte was an auction purchase for $110,000. He currently has a bankroll of $1,595,150.

                              Forte is the 7-5 morning-line favorite in the 1 1/16-mile Fountain of Youth. Blazing Sevens is the second choice at 7-2. General Jim is 6-1. Mage and Rocket Can are each 8-1. Everyone else is 12-1 or higher.

                              Blazing Sevens certainly merits respect. Winning of last year’s Grade I Champagne Stakes for trainer Chad Brown, the Kentucky-bred Good Magic colt has not started since finishing fourth in the BC Juvenile last fall.

                              My top pick in the Fountain of Youth is Cyclone Mischief. You might think I’m crazy. Maybe I am. But I’m thinking if there ever was a time to try and beat Forte and Blazing Sevens, it’s when they are both returning from a layoff.

                              Cyclone Mischief is coming off a dreadful performance. He finished seventh as the 6-5 favorite in Gulfstream’s Grade II Holy Bull Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Feb. 4. Prior to the Holy Bull, he won a first-level allowance/optional claiming contest by 5 3/4 lengths at Gulfstream on Feb. 4 while receiving a 90 Beyer Speed Figure. That sparkling effort was why he was 6-5 in the Holy Bull.

                              I’m going to draw a line through Cyclone Mischief’s horrible Holy Bull and hope he rebounds in the Fountain of Youth. After being 6-5 last time, he figures to be a considerably bigger price this time. Indeed, he is 12-1 on the morning line.

                              My selections for the Fountain of Youth Stakes are below:

                              1. Cyclone Mischief
                              2. Forte
                              3. Blazing Sevens
                              4. Mage

                              SAN FELIPE STAKES SELECTIONS

                              This is a terrific race. It appears to me that this Grade II affair has five main contenders. They are, in alphabetical order, Geaux Rocket Ride, Hejazi, National Treasure, Practical Move and Skinner. I would not be surprised to see any one of them posing for pictures after the race.

                              As for my top pick, I’m giving the slightest of nods to Hejazi. The $3.55 million auction purchase recorded a 99 Beyer Speed Figure when he won a maiden special weight race on a wet track Jan. 15 in his 2023 debut.

                              Hejazi’s maiden graduation came in a 6 1/2-furlong sprint. The New York-bred colt will be going 1 1/16 miles in the San Felipe. His pedigree (by Bernardini out of a Medaglia d’Oro mare) indicates to me that there is a good chance that he is more than just a sprinter.

                              My selections for the San Felipe Stakes are below:

                              1. Hejazi
                              2. Geaux Rocket Ride
                              3. Skinner
                              4. Practical Move

                              GOTHAM STAKES SELECTIONS

                              This year’s Grade III Gotham Stakes has drawn an overflow field of 15, including one also eligible. This one-mile contest around one turn looks wide open.

                              I’m going with Eyeing Clover as my top pick (even though he drew post 13). He’s two for two. I was impressed with his 9 3/4-length win in a Fair Grounds allowance/optional claimer on Jan. 28 following a maiden special weight victory at Oaklawn Park on Dec. 31. He’s a son of two-time Eclipse Award winner Lookin At Lucky.

                              My selections for the Gotham Stakes are below:

                              1. Eyeing Clover
                              2. Recruiter
                              3. Slip Mahoney
                              4. Carmel Road

                              JOHN BATTAGLIA MEMORIAL SELECTIONS

                              Turfway Park’s John Battaglia Memorial, like the Gotham, has enticed an overflow field. Fourteen are entered, including two also eligibles.

                              I’ve landed on Gilmore in the Battaglia, which will be run at 1 1/16 miles on a synthetic surface. The Kentucky-bred Twirling Candy colt is coming off a second in the 1 1/8-mile El Camino Real Derby at 1 1/8 miles on synthetic footing Feb. 11 at Golden Gate Fields.

                              My selections for the John Battaglia Memorial are below:

                              1. Gilmore
                              2. Congruent
                              3. Bromley
                              4. Scoobie Quando

                              SAUDI CUP RUNNER-UP FLATTERS FLIGHTLINE

                              When Flightline won Del Mar’s Grade I, $1 million Pacific Classic at 1 1/4 miles by an astonishing 19 1/4 lengths last year, Country Grammer ran second.

                              That same Country Grammer finished a fast-closing second last Saturday (Feb. 25) in the world’s richest horse race, the $20 million Saudi Cup. He lost by three-quarters of a length to Japan’s Panthalassa.

                              In my view, it’s an indication of how tremendously talented the now-retired Flightline was as a racehorse that he was able to annihilate a quality foe such as Country Grammer by 19+ lengths last summer.

                              Country Grammer prefers to go farther than the Saudi Cup trip of about 1 1/8 miles. He finished second in the 2022 Saudi Cup, then went on to win the $12 million Dubai World Cup at the longer distance of about 1 1/4 miles.

                              I believe it’s encouraging for Country Grammer that he had a clear lead shortly after the finish of the shorter Saudi Cup. That should set him up nicely for the longer Dubai World Cup.

                              No question that the disappointment in this year’s Saudi Cup was Taiba, who ended up eighth when coming off a 4 1/4-length win in Santa Anita’s Grade I Malibu Stakes at seven furlongs on Dec. 26.

                              WILL ANYONE EVER BREAK ASMUSSEN’S RECORD?

                              Steve Asmussen ranks as North America’s all-time leader in wins by a Thoroughbred trainer. On Aug. 7, 2021, when Stellar Tap prevailed in a maiden special weight race at Saratoga, Asmussen registered his 9,446th victory to take over the top spot in most wins by a North American trainer from the late Dale Baird.

                              Asmussen recently became the first North American trainer to win 10,000 Thoroughbred races. He reached the milestone when Bet He’s Ready proved a punctual even-money favorite in the fifth race at Oaklawn Park on Feb. 20.

                              Each time Asmussen sends out a winner, he breaks the North American record for all-time victories by a Thoroughbred trainer.

                              Ray Paulick and Joe Nevills of The Paulick Report said last week that they believe that this record of Asmussen’s, whatever it ends up being when his career ends, is unbreakable. I agree with them.

                              Paulick and Nevills also consider Russell Baze’s all-time North American record of 12,842 wins by a Thoroughbred jockey to be unbreakable. Again, I agree with them.

                              Baze retired at the age of 57 in 2016 after finishing second aboard Wahine Warrior in the 10th and final race at Golden Gate Fields on June 12.

                              In 1974, Baze rode his first winner. That happened in the Pacific Northwest at a small track in Washington, Walla Walla, but it didn’t count. Thoroughbred races at Walla Walla were not sanctioned by the Daily Racing Form, meaning it was a so-called “bush track.”

                              After beginning his career at Walla Walla, Baze rode his first official Thoroughbred winner at Yakima Meadows in Central Washington on Oct. 28, 1974. The horse he piloted was Oregon Warrior. Not many were there that rainy afternoon, as evidenced by attendance being just 1,931. I was there that day.

                              Oregon Warrior won a six-furlong sprint for $1,250 claimers with a $700 purse by 2 1/2 lengths on a muddy track. He paid $8, $4.10 and $2.50 across the board.

                              Joe Baze, Russell’s father, trained Oregon Warrior. A successful jockey before becoming a trainer, Joe Baze rode six winners in one day at Golden Gate on April 12, 1965.

                              At Santa Anita in 2002, Russell Baze received the prestigious George Woolf Memorial Jockey Award. One of the most coveted awards in all of racing, the Woolf Award, which can only be won once, is presented to a different jockey each year and recognizes those riders whose careers and personal character earn esteem for the individual and the sport of Thoroughbred racing.

                              When I interviewed Baze between races at Santa Anita that day for the track’s simulcast television network, I asked him if he remembered his first win at Yakima Meadows in 1974 on Oregon Warrior.

                              “I sure do,” he said with a twinkle in his eye. “My dad told me how I should ride the horse. He told me to get him out of the gate as good as I can, then keep him in the clear. So I stayed wide the entire race, even though I was clear and could have moved down to the [inside] rail. After the race, after my dad had seen me win despite pretty much being in the middle of the track the whole race, he said, ‘Son, that wasn’t exactly what I had in mind.’

                              “My dad sure didn’t think it was too good that I stayed out in the middle of the track for the whole race,” Russell said with a chuckle.

                              OTHER RACING RECORDS I SEE AS UNBREAKABLE

                              Below are a number of other records in horse racing I consider to be unbreakable, listed alphabetically:

                              ALSAB, 15 wins in one year as a 2-year-old, a North American record set in 1941. Can you imagine seeing another 2-year-old post 15 victories in one year? I can’t.

                              Alsab, who sold for only $700 as a yearling, finished 14th while making his career debut on a sloppy track at Hialeah on Feb. 25, 1941. He was dismissed in the wagering at 72-1. The colt also lost his next race at Tropical Park. For Alsab, the third time proved the charm, as he graduated from the maiden ranks at Tropical Park on March 28. He would go on to win 14 more races before 1941 was over.

                              CAMARERO, 56 consecutive wins from 1952-55, a world record. Joe Dimaggio of the New York Yankees in 1941 set the iconic baseball record of hitting safely in 56 straight games, a mark that still stands. Camarero, racing exclusively in Puerto Rico, won 56 straight races from April 1953 to August 1955. Puerto Rico’s first Triple Crown winner in 1954, Camarero won 73 of 77 starts during his career.

                              CITATION, 19 wins in one year, a North American record set in 1948. Citation won 19 of 20 starts that year as a 3-year-old. It’s hard to imagine someone ever breaking that record. These days, it would be quite a feat for a horse to start 19 times in one year, let alone win 19 times.

                              CITATION, 16 stakes wins in one year, a North American record set in 1948. This one probably is tougher for anyone to break than Citation’s 19 wins in one year.

                              DESORMEAUX, KENT, 598 wins in one year, a North American record set in 1989. He averaged 11.5 wins per week in 1989, a truly remarkable achievement. Desormeaux once told me how worn out he was by the end of that year, both mentally and physically.

                              The second-highest total of wins for one year was Chris McCarron’s 546 in 1974, which stood as the record until the big year by Desormeaux in 1989. The only other times a jockey has exceeded 500 victories in one year was when Sandy Hawley rode 515 winners in 1973 and Edgar Prado rode 536 winners in 1997.

                              JOHN HENRY, Horse of the Year in 1984 at age 9, a record for an American Horse of the Year. I will be shocked if this record for being the oldest Horse of the Year is ever tied, let alone broken.

                              KELSO, five straight Horse of the Year titles from 1960-64, a North American record. Going all the way back to Daily Racing Form’s first poll of champions in 1936 and continuing on through the Eclipse Awards era from 1971 to today, only one horse, Forego, has been acclaimed Horse of the Year more than twice. Forego was a three-time Horse of the Year from 1974-76.

                              KINCSEM, 54 straight victories by a female Thoroughbred, an all-time record. According to the Guinness Book of World Records, “the best career win-loss record for a racehorse is 100% wins by Kincsem, who was unbeaten in all of her 54 races.”

                              Foaled in 1874, Kincsem (which means “My Treasure” in Hungarian) raced in eight different countries (Hungary, Austria, England, France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Romania).

                              On June 26, 1876, Kincsem made her career debut in Germany, winning a race in Berlin by 12 lengths. She posted 10 victories as a 2-year-old, 17 as a 3-year-old, 15 as a 4-year-old and 12 as a 5-year-old. Exhibiting incredible versatility, she won at distances ranging from four furlongs to 2 5/8 miles.

                              Kincsem died on her 13th birthday, March 17, 1887.

                              Mary Simon, a multiple Eclipse Award-winning writer, wrote the following about Kincsem in The Thoroughbred Times in 1996:

                              “If even a fraction of the tales told of Kincsem were true, this Hungarian-bred mare would have been a most unique individual. Allegedly the product of a breeding error (her dam was wooed by the wrong stallion), she was such a homely yearling that her breeder was stuck with her -- at which point some local gypsies stole the filly and danced wildly about before she was recaptured. That part of the story may seem improbable, but it was too good to let go of, and has long since become part of the Kincsem legend.

                              “Other stories: The idiosyncratic mare had a passion for train travel, but refused to budge without her personal cat on her back. At post, she would graze on anything in sight, but at the barn she would eat only home-grown feed. After each race, she insisted that flowers be affixed to her bridle before she could be unsaddled.”

                              KINGSTON, 89 wins during his career, a North American record. Kingston was foaled in 1884. He won two races as a 2-year-old, 13 as a 3-year-old, 10 as a 4-year-old, 14 as a 5-year-old, nine as a 6-year-old, 15 as a 7-year-old, 13 as an 8-year-old, nine as a 9-year-old and four as a 10-year-old.

                              Kingston did not, as you might think, win all those races as a gelding. He went to stud following his racing career. Twice he was America’s leading sire.

                              LA PREVOYANTE, 12 wins as a 2-year-old filly in 1972, a North American record for a 2-year-old. La Prevoyante won all 12 of her starts at 2 in 1972. During her campaign that year, she was victorious on both dirt and turf. She won at seven different tracks (Woodbine, Blue Bonnets, Fort Erie, Saratoga, Belmont Park, Laurel and Garden State Park). Three of her victories came against males. She won such important stakes events as the Schuylerville and Spinaway at Saratoga, the Matron and Frizette at Belmont, the Selima at Laurel and the Gardenia at Garden State.

                              If a 2-year-old filly were to do that these days, she would have a very good chance to be voted Horse of the Year. But, in 1972, La Prevoyante’s accomplishments were overshadowed to some extent by an exciting 2-year-old colt by the name of Secretariat. Secretariat was voted Eclipse Awards as champion 2-year-old male and Horse of the Year. La Prevoyante was voted an Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old filly. According to the American Racing Manual, La Prevoyante finished second to Secretariat in Eclipse Award Horse of the Year balloting. La Prevoyante was voted 1972 Horse of the Year in Canada.

                              It seems highly unlikely we will ever see another 2-year-old filly win 12 races in one year.

                              MCCARRON, CHRIS, 546 wins in one-year as an apprentice, a North American record set in 1974.

                              PAN ZARETA, 76 career wins as a female, a North American record. Do you think another female Thoroughbred will ever win 76 races? I’d say the chances are nil.

                              Bred in Texas and foaled in 1910, “Panzy” set or tied 11 track records. She also had the honor of becoming the first horse buried in the infield at New Orleans’ Fair Grounds after she died of pneumonia. In one of her victories, she carried 146 pounds, spotting the runner-up 46 pounds. Pan Zareta won at 21 different tracks (Aqueduct, Blue Bonnets, Butte, Churchill Downs, Coeur d’Alene, Connaught Park, Dallas, Devonshire Park, Douglas Park, Empire Park, Fair Grounds, Fort Erie, Hamilton, Jamaica, Juarez, Lagoon, Latonia, Lexington, Oaklawn Park, Washington Park and Windsor).

                              SOTEMIA, owner of the world record of 7:10 4/5 for four miles, set at Churchill Downs in 1941. Daily Racing Form writer Charles Hatton (who is credited with popularizing the term Triple Crown for the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes when covering Gallant Fox’s sweep of the three races in 1930) wrote that he played hooky from school to see Sotemia set that world record for four miles.

                              Sotemia’s record seems quite safe to me because I don’t imagine we will ever see another four-mile race.

                              SECRETARIAT, owner of the Belmont Park track record and North American record of 2:24 for 1 1/2 miles on the dirt, set in the 1973 Belmont Stakes. Will someone ever win the Belmont Stakes in faster time than Secretariat? I don’t think so. In my opinion, there is a better chance someone will come along and break Secretariat’s track record of 1:59 2/5 for 1 1/4 miles at Churchill Downs than his mark for 1 1/2 miles at Belmont.

                              When Secretariat won the Belmont Stakes by 31 lengths in 2:24 flat, he obliterated Gallant Man’s record of 2:26 3/5 established in 1957.

                              STEPHENS, WOODY, trainer of a record five consecutive Belmont Stakes winners. I certainly don’t expect to see anyone else to break this record in my lifetime, or quite possibly in anybody’s lifetime. Randy Moss of NBC Sports said recently on the Thoroughbred Daily News’ The Writers’ Room that of all the records in horse racing, this is the one that he’s the most confident will never be broken.

                              Stephens’ Belmont Stakes winning streak consisted of Conquistador Cielo (1982), Caveat (1983), Swale (1984), Cr�me Fraiche (1985) and Danzig Connection (1986). Stephens failed to make it six straight when Gone West finished sixth at 5-1 in the 1987 Belmont. Bet Twice won the 1987 while defeating Alysheba, who finished fourth when thwarted in his bid to sweep the Triple Crown.

                              TOP 10 IN THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

                              Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

                              1. 335 Art Collector (25)
                              2. 283 Country Grammer
                              3. 266 Elite Power (4)
                              4. 177 Defunded
                              5. 128 Cody’s Wish
                              6. 111 Nest
                              7. 107 Taiba
                              8. 103 Atone
                              9. 71 Clairiere
                              10. 44 Gunite

                              TOP 10 IN THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THREE-YEAR-OLD POLL

                              Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

                              1. 333 Forte (22)
                              2. 316 Arabian Knight (11)
                              3. 245 Instant Coffee (1)
                              3. 149 Confidence Game
                              5. 145 Cave Rock
                              6. 116 Angel of Empire
                              7. 105 Hit Show
                              8. 98 Rocket Can
                              9. 76 Blazing Sevens
                              10. 60 Litigate
                              10. 60 Reincarnate
                              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                              Twitter@cpawsports


                              Comment

                              Working...