Sunday 9/10/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 10

    Sep. 08, 2023


    By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
    Hot List Key:
    A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
    1st race – (7) Equal Protection was a good second last time and should turn in a solid debut for Maker. (11) Caspian Sea had a useful debut on Tapeta. May improve on turf. (1) Mo Angell makes his 2023 debut but is working nicely. (3) King of the Gods seems ready for a solid debut. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-11. Doubles: 1-3-7-11 with 5-6-7-11.
    2nd race – (7) Suprenant Cocca was off slowly when third in her debut. Can make amends here. (6) Plumeria was second at Ellis Park in her debut and looks like the main rival. (5) Show Me the Candy could have an impact in her career debut. (11) Tony Blue Tape is another firster who merits attention. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-11.
    4th race – (6) Faraday closed fast late to win at Saratoga and can make it two in a row here. (12) Truly Quality won nicely last time and looks like the key foe. (8) Hilliard will be a threat in the final furlong. (1) Idratherbeblessed has speed and the rail and may not look back. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-8-12.
    7th race – (7) In a Jam led throughout before missing by a neck. Goes the distance here. (10) Liam’s Journey adds blinkers after finishing fifth behind the top pick. (6) Mourne Mountains will be part of the early pace and may last for a share. (2) D Day Sky is worth a look in his debut. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-10.
    9th race – (11) Mozlzil looked good in a debut win. Gets Geroux and could take this stakes for Cox. (6) Value Engineer was an easy maiden winner and might be the main competition. (2) Aspenite was a strong second earlier in the meet and cannot be ignored here. (1) Sambalover will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-11.
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    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #17
      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.



      Race 8 - Post: 9:36 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$5500 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $15000. - FOR N/W OF $1500 LAST 3 STARTS OR NW OF $60,000. LIFETIME
      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
      # 1 FEAR THE DICE 5/2
      # 6 PROCRASTINATOR 8/5
      # 3 HIGNETT 3/1
      Look no further than FEAR THE DICE as the wager in this contest. Horoscope said take a chance today, this nice horse is as good as any to take a shot with. Not many knocks against this nice horse, let's give him a shot. Had one of the finest TrackMaster speed figs of the field of horses in his last contest. A good idea to use in your wagers. PROCRASTINATOR - His 79 avg has this gelding among the strongest speed ratings this time. Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 82). HIGNETT - Robson's statistics say this trainer can win off a break.


      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #18
        Handicapped by Compubet Standard at The Red Mile


        CompuBet Free Pick!


        CompuBet 09/10 THE RED MILE
        Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
        Race#: 8- - TROT 09/10 THE RED MILE
        7 Tactical Approach 5/2 751.16 100 105.0 96.0 B/F 1:50.3 Zeron, Scott 18
        2 Kilmister 5/1 715.74 70 88.3 94.0 1:50.8 Sears, Brian 10
        1 Ari Ferrari J 7/2 697.72 80 90.0 94.0 1:51.6 Dunn, Dexter 24
        6 Point Of Perfect 6/1 673.30 70 18.3 95.0 1:51.2 Gingras, Yannick 25
        3 Khaosan Road 7/2 668.49 80 66.7 93.0 1:52.0 Tetrick, Tim 20

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #19
          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.



          Race 1 - Post: 12:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$13000 - NW $15000 L5 STS AE: NON WINNERS 8PM RACES LIFETIME PA PREFERRED PER PHRC #2 AND #4 RACE UNCOUPLED
          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
          # 4 HOOFBEATS DE VIE 3/1
          # 1 SINATRA DE VIE 5/2
          # 5 GREAT UNKNOWN 5/1
          Hey, listen up! HOOFBEATS DE VIE is the smart wager if you like to win. If effort in the last contest is any indication, this entrant will have a very great shot for this race. High last race TrackMaster speed fig. Should be in the hunt again for this one, looking to add to that already high lifetime winning percentage. SINATRA DE VIE - Superb driver Ahle should find the pace of today's outing to this gelding's liking - could be a good wager. We can't pass on this gelding given one of the most compelling driver/trainer numbers around. GREAT UNKNOWN - If performance in the last gathering is representative, this standardbred will have a very really strong shot in here. High last race TrackMaster SR. Pace ratings fit the bias well here at Harrah's Philadelphia, look for this one to get the win.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #20
            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Red Mile

            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
            RACE 8
            7 7 TACTICAL APPROACH 5/2 Zeron, Scott - 17 689.49
            1 1 ARI FERRARI J 7/2 Dunn, Dexter - 19 640.94
            2 2 KILMISTER 5/1 Sears, Brian - 10 615.24
            3 3 KHAOSAN ROAD 7/2 Tetrick, Tim - 14 588.47
            5 5 BRODEUR 12/1 Hall, Tony - 12 560.98
            6 6 POINT OF PERFECT 6/1 Gingras, Yannick - 20 537.36
            4 4 BUCKHEAD RIDGE 12/1 Miller, David - 16 523.69

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #21
              Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Northfield Park


              CompuBet Free Pick!


              CompuBet 09/10 NORTHFIELD
              Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
              Race#: 12- - PACE 09/10 NORTHFIELD
              9 The Queen Hornet 8/5 588.67 100 56.7 79.9 1:54.9 Grismore, Greg 10
              8 Killer Waves 5/2 543.39 80 90.0 74.0 1:56.5 Lems, Chris 20
              5 Deebo Addai 25/1 511.33 80 56.7 66.1 1:57.2 Stahl, Ryan 17
              1 The Real Slim Katy 5/1 501.45 70 38.3 72.0 1:57.7 Sugg, Kurt 19
              2 Lilly By The Sea 8/1 485.72 80 43.3 71.0 1:58.6 Myers, Hunter 22

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Track on 2

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 9
                2 2 KIKIS GEM 3/1 Hennessy, Michael R - 17 285.96
                5 5 HF ET CALL HOME 6/1 Miller, Thomas Michael - 13 276.49
                4 4 MISS LUCY LU 7/2 Brown, Christopher A - 6 271.89
                3 3 SHEZ A DAY AWAY 4/1 Gray, Jamie D - 8 269.44
                1 1 EL QUACKO 9/2 Campbell, J Brandon - 25 268.16
                6 6 CHRIS STABLETON 5/1 Gillis, Logan - 9 266.52

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #23
                  Free play from Mike Wynn

                  Free Pick: Tennessee/New Orleans Over 41.5 Points

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #24
                    Free play from Totals4U

                    Early Sunday Free Selection: Tennessee Titans/New Orleans Saints over 41 1/2


                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #25
                      Free play from #1 Sports

                      Early Sunday's Free Play: Baltimore Ravens -9 1/2


                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #26
                        Free play from Easy Money Sports

                        Free Early Sunday Football Selection From Lee
                        JACKSONVILLE -4.5

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #27
                          Free play from Huddle Up Sports

                          Sunday Free Play
                          Washington -7 NFL

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #28
                            Free play from Teyas Sports

                            FREE PICK 9/10/23 NFL PHILADELPHIA -3 1/2

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #29
                              Free play from Kenny Towers







                              Your Free Pro Pick for this week - Take Arizona +7


                              Played & Documented!

                              2023-24 Freeplay Record - 2-3

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #30
                                Free play from Hollywood Anthony

                                Your Free Play from Hollywood

                                MLB Take Chicago Cubs -140

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