Saturday 9/30/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20513

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 4 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 90

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 TRY TRY AGAIN 5/2
    # 5 LITTLE MIGHTY MAN 3/1
    # 4 NOT AGAIN JACKIE 6/1
    I've got to go with TRY TRY AGAIN. The average class fig alone makes this one a definite contender. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been formidable - 86 avg - of late.LITTLE MIGHTY MAN - As of late Bendezu has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. With a decent 81 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. NOT AGAIN JACKIE - Ought to be given a shot based on the decent speed rating garnered in the last outing. With a reliable jockey who has won at a formidable 16 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20513

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      PURCHASE


      Remington Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:59pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 83

      Rating:

      #1 STOCKPILER (ML=4/1)
      #2 DOMINANT OKIE (ML=5/1)


      STOCKPILER - This gelding recorded a nice speed rating of 80 in his last clash. That speed figure should be strong enough to prove victorious this time out. This gelding is in top form right now. Finished second in the last race and comes back quickly. Three consecutive improved speed figs (52-63-80) make this animal a strong contender. DOMINANT OKIE - The jockey and conditioner combination have a profitable return on investment when they team up. Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #5 AQUIMINE (ML=2/1), #6 AMERICAN SMOOTH (ML=3/1), #3 PRAIRIE DOLLAR (ML=6/1),

      AQUIMINE - Today's contest is 7 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last 60 days. Not the best of signs. Hard to keep chasing this kind of 'hanger' horse. AMERICAN SMOOTH - Not probable that the speed fig he notched on Sep 11th will be good enough in this affair. PRAIRIE DOLLAR - This horse hasn't been hitting the board in either of his last two outings. 6/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event lately.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #1 STOCKPILER to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Skip
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #18
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Columbus

        Columbus - Race 1
        $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta
        Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 74 • Purse:$15,000 • Post: 1:00P
        AMADEVIL S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD, BRED IN NEBRASKA. PURSE $15,000-ADDED. NO NOMINATION FEE WITH $50 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $50 TO START. WITH $15,000-ADDED OF WHICH 60% OF THE TOTAL MONIES TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHTS: 3-YEAR-OLDS 123 LBS., OLDER 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $9,000 TWICE IN 2022-23 ALLOWED 3 LBS.; OF $9,000 IN 2022-23, 5 LBS. MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED, ON THE SCALE. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2022-23 WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED EQUAL WEIGHTS. CLOSED TUESDAY, SEPT. 26 WITH TWELVE NOMINATIONS.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Lone Trailer. BARTENDERS MISTAKE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PHLASH DRIVE: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower tha n the Class Rating of its last race. JUDGE'S BRIBE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trail er. FOR REEL: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last ra ce. BARTENDERS MISTAKE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
        3
        PHLASH DRIVE
        5/2
        9/2
        1
        JUDGE'S BRIBE
        2/1
        5/1
        2
        FOR REEL
        4/1
        9/1
        7
        BARTENDERS MISTAKE
        7/2
        9/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        4
        KENHEDOIT
        4
        5/1
        Front-runner
        73
        73
        54.3
        54.6
        45.6
        6
        NAME THE PRICE
        6
        8/1
        Alternator/Front-runner
        71
        70
        64.5
        59.8
        49.8
        3
        PHLASH DRIVE
        3
        5/2
        Stalker
        82
        82
        73.4
        70.0
        67.0
        1
        JUDGE'S BRIBE
        1
        2/1
        Stalker
        81
        80
        59.6
        69.6
        62.1
        2
        FOR REEL
        2
        4/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        82
        71
        61.5
        60.2
        51.2
        7
        BARTENDERS MISTAKE
        7
        7/2
        Trailer
        76
        67
        50.4
        69.8
        64.3
        5
        J PS HARLEY GLIDER
        5
        10/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        70
        70
        84.0
        56.6
        44.1
        8
        L B GOLD
        8
        12/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        70
        60
        35.8
        54.6
        41.1

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 70

          FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 7 KAITIE KAIT 9/2
          # 5 PARDY PLEASER 7/2
          # 6 CROWN JAK 4/1
          KAITIE KAIT is my choice. She has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and should fare well against this field. PARDY PLEASER - She has posted very strong figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well against this group. Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last competition. CROWN JAK - This equine is in the upper half of this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Could provide positive dividends based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 60.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Santa Anita - Race #7 - Post: 4:09pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $61,000 Class Rating: 78

            Rating:

            #7 PETIT FILET (ML=6/1)
            #2 LADY LITHESOME (ML=8/1)
            #9 SASSY PRANCELOT (ML=6/1)
            #5 KITZKATY (ML=8/1)


            PETIT FILET - Filly's last race was against tougher open company. She's in with easier 'state breds' today. Rider jumped on this filly's back for the initial time on September 8th. Should be in touch with the horse even better in this race. Has the look of a potential overlay in today's race at morning odds of 6/1. Finished seventh in last race at Del Mar but was close at the end. LADY LITHESOME - This beautiful animal has a lot of class. A good sign in a grass race like we have today. In her first race, this horse was clobbered badly. She should improve in today's race. SASSY PRANCELOT - My experienced judgement tells me to be on the alert for this animal in this race KITZKATY - After the affair aboard this animal on August 25th, the rider is going to 'know' the filly much better. Fresu and O'Neill perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +25 return on investment for a jockey and conditioner. Look for this one to go gate to wire in victory at some pretty good odds today. Ran sixth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the wire.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #11 SAFA (ML=7/2), #4 ASADA FRIES (ML=4/1), #6 ANNIE FOX (ML=8/1),

            SAFA - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the price of 7/2. ASADA FRIES - Unlikely that the speed rating she earned on September 10th will hold up in this event. ANNIE FOX - Hard to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the risk. The Brain tells me to keep away from horses in short distance races that haven't hit the board in sprint contests of late.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 PETIT FILET is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Skip
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

            SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
            Pass

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #21
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita All Turf Pick 3

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Turf. Purse: $61000 Class Rating: 80

              SA - R7 - FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 11 SAFA 7/2
              # 7 PETIT FILET 6/1
              # 1 COCKTAIL CUTIE 12/1
              SAFA looks to be a formidable contender. She looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Ran a strong last race.PETIT FILET - Will probably compete strongly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group. Is difficult not to look at based on speed figures which have been strong - 73 avg - of late.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #22
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 5
                $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Daily Double $1 Pick Three $2 Quinella
                Claiming $16,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR:72 • Purse: $10,350 • Post: 8:22P
                QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BRONN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                5
                BRONN
                8/5
                5/2

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                1
                SEPARATIST FOR MONEY
                1
                4/1
                Average
                73
                57
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                2
                TEMPTING COURAGE
                2
                8/1
                Average
                64
                55
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                3
                KING LUKE
                3
                3/1
                Average
                63
                57
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                4
                MAGIC KING CORONA
                4
                5/2
                Average
                68
                61
                5.1
                0.0
                0.0
                5
                BRONN
                5
                8/5
                Average
                74
                76
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #23
                  Free play from Mike Wynn

                  Free Pick: SMU -22.5 over Charlotte

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #24
                    Free play from Totals4U

                    Early Saturday Free Selection: Virginia Cavaliers/Boston College Eagles under 52 1/2

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #25
                      Free play from #1 Sports

                      Early Saturday's Free Play: Virginia Cavaliers + 3 1/2

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #26
                        Free play from Easy Money Sports

                        Free Early Saturday Football Selection From Lee
                        UTAH STATE -4

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #27
                          Free play from Huddle Up Sports

                          Saturday Free Play
                          LSU -2' CFB

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #28
                            Free play from Teyas Sports

                            FREE PICK 9/30/23 CFB WYOMING -14

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #29
                              Free play from Kenny Towers

                              Your Free Pick for this Saturday - Washington -18


                              Played & Documented!

                              2023-24 Freeplay Record - 4-4

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20513

                                #30
                                Free play from Hollywood Anthony

                                Your Free Play from Hollywood

                                MLB Take Toledo -13.5

                                Comment

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