Sunday 10/1/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Columbus

PURCHASE

Columbus - Race 8	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $4,000 • Post: 4:09P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * THREE TIME CHARMER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post positi on. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. INCITATUS: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. HE'S PRETTY LUCKY: Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	THREE TIME CHARMER	7/2	4/1
3	INCITATUS	9/2	9/2
5	HE'S PRETTY LUCKY	3/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	EL DIABLO GRANDE	7	6/1	Front-runner	73	68	52.8	59.6	44.1
2	THREE TIME CHARMER	2	7/2	Front-runner	81	72	0.0	67.4	63.4
4	CHERUBIM	4	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	57	59.0	49.0	37.5
3	INCITATUS	3	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	83	77	58.8	61.2	56.7
10	BOTTOMLESS	10	5/1	Trailer	72	68	9.8	59.8	48.3
5	HE'S PRETTY LUCKY	5	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	85	77	44.8	64.6	58.6
8	FERRARI ROAD	8	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	60	72.2	45.2	29.7
6	MINE MY TIME	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	66	47.2	55.1	40.1
1	RENVYLE	1	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	58	43.2	57.0	43.0
9	A. K. SAFARI	9	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	85	69	22.1	51.4	40.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream ParkPURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race 3	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 3-8)
Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 1:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Class. SMOKIN BOW is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SMOKIN BOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CAJUN HOPE : Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. UNCAPTURED STAR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	SMOKIN BOW	4/1	7/2
1	CAJUN HOPE	5/2	4/1
5	UNCAPTURED STAR	8/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	UNCAPTURED STAR	5	8/1	Front-runner	85	76	82.0	66.2	59.7
3	BALTIC MULE	3	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	79	72	68.9	66.5	58.5
4	TIK TOKABLE	4	5/1	Stalker	74	70	56.8	68.9	60.4
1	CAJUN HOPE	1	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	85	84	82.8	76.0	69.5
2	SHAKE UP	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	75	71.0	66.0	58.5
6	SMOKIN BOW	6	4/1	Trailer	99	87	51.6	82.6	78.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $14,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 NOICATTARO 3/1
# 2 JUST CROWN 10/1
# 6 OUR NOBLE ORTEGA 10/1

NOICATTARO is my choice. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 73 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the strongest in this group of animals. He has a good opportunity in this contest as handler, Falcon, has solid win clip with horses going this distance. Is tough not to consider given the company run in as of late. JUST CROWN - Must be in condition if the conditioner is bringing him back so soon. Should be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. OUR NOBLE ORTEGA - The speed figure of 65 from his last affair looks very good in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#4 GOLDEN ACCOUNT (ML=6/1)
#7 U SO MONEY BABY (ML=3/1)


GOLDEN ACCOUNT - Trainer, Barker, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This mare might as well call Mountaineer Park home. Don't overlook how she races well over this oval. That 71 fig this mare registered in her last event tells me she's a big time player this time. U SO MONEY BABY - Paucar was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This filly is in excellent physical condition right now. Ran third last time out and comes back quickly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MIZZEN (ML=8/5), #6 OLIVIA'S JOY (ML=4/1), #3 SILVER STICK STAIR (ML=6/1),

MIZZEN - Hard to take this vulnerable equine at the odds after the result (sixth) in the last race. Tough to put your cash on this oft beaten chalk. Not much value. OLIVIA'S JOY - This racer just hasn't looked ready lately. SILVER STICK STAIR - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to support her. Tough to play at 6/1 odds after the most recent showings.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 GOLDEN ACCOUNT is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sweetwater Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Allowance - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $7600 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; , 128 LBS. CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 KOBE INTEREST 5/1
# 9 DANGEROUS DUDE 6/1
# 3 LANES DYNASTY 7/2

KOBE INTEREST looks very good to best this field. Has been running very well lately and will most likely be on or close to the lead early on. This racer should be bet on at the expected high odds. The average Equibase class figure of 64 makes this one difficult to beat. DANGEROUS DUDE - He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this group of horses in this race. Jimenez will probably be able to get this gelding to break out early in this event. LANES DYNASTY - Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last contest. Formidable jockey and trainer combo winning 34 percent of their races working together.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Century Downs - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#6 WIZARDOFMENLOPARK (ML=6/1)


WIZARDOFMENLOPARK - Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a good effort in the last race within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SIX SHOTS OF T (ML=6/5), #7 FAVORITE LIGHT (ML=7/2), #9 NO MOR DISCO (ML=9/2),

SIX SHOTS OF T - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the win end. Likes to finish in the money though. Not a value play to back the favorite when he continues to lose time and time again when favored. FAVORITE LIGHT - Unlikely that the speed figure he earned on Sep 13th will be good enough in this contest. NO MOR DISCO - Don't think this racer is worth 9/2 in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 WIZARDOFMENLOPARK is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with 2
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Columbus

Columbus - Race 8	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $4,000 • Post: 4:09P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * THREE TIME CHARMER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post positi on. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. INCITATUS: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. HE'S PRETTY LUCKY: Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	THREE TIME CHARMER	7/2	4/1
3	INCITATUS	9/2	9/2
5	HE'S PRETTY LUCKY	3/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	EL DIABLO GRANDE	7	6/1	Front-runner	73	68	52.8	59.6	44.1
2	THREE TIME CHARMER	2	7/2	Front-runner	81	72	0.0	67.4	63.4
4	CHERUBIM	4	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	57	59.0	49.0	37.5
3	INCITATUS	3	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	83	77	58.8	61.2	56.7
10	BOTTOMLESS	10	5/1	Trailer	72	68	9.8	59.8	48.3
5	HE'S PRETTY LUCKY	5	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	85	77	44.8	64.6	58.6
8	FERRARI ROAD	8	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	60	72.2	45.2	29.7
6	MINE MY TIME	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	66	47.2	55.1	40.1
1	RENVYLE	1	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	58	43.2	57.0	43.0
9	A. K. SAFARI	9	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	85	69	22.1	51.4	40.9

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#7 STARSHIP DYNASTY (ML=7/2)
#3 GHOST FORCE (ML=9/2)


STARSHIP DYNASTY - I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone speed to crush this field. This front running sort is running a shorter distance today. Should promote her likelihood of winning. Taking a trip down in class; has the power to make her presence felt. GHOST FORCE - Ran last time out against tougher competition at Gulfstream Park. The move down the ladder based on class should suit her well. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CHERU (ML=6/5), #5 HOW BOUT DAT (ML=6/1), #1 FOR THE THRILL (ML=8/1),

CHERU - This horse didn't go to the lead and didn't make up any ground in the lane last time she ran. HOW BOUT DAT - This filly hasn't had any strong efforts in sprint events in the last sixty days. Just cannot bet on this less than sharp equine. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on July 7th. FOR THE THRILL - This thoroughbred just hasn't looked fit recently. This steed ran a common speed rating last out. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's event running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 STARSHIP DYNASTY to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Futurity - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $265000 Class Rating: 88

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, PCQHRA BREEDERS FUTURITY - GRADE 2 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 126 LBS. HORSES WHICH QUALIFIED TO THIS RACE MUST PASS THE ENTRY BOX IN THE USUAL MANNER. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 DOUBLE DOWN 123 3/1
# 1 COWGIRL UPP 7/2
# 9 POLITICAL RIVALRY 7/5

I have to consider DOUBLE DOWN 123 here. She has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the most respectable in this group of animals. Has a sharp shot for this event if you like back class. Has been consistently running well lately.COWGIRL UPP - This filly looks very good in here since Dealba has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. Tough to pass on this filly with Mendez in the irons. POLITICAL RIVALRY - Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this equine a key contender. Should best this group here, showing very good figures of late.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Hour Wagers

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $65000 Class Rating: 104

SA - R9 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHERTHAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (HORSES ENTERED

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 SARWAR (FR) 5/1
# 8 CROSBY BEACH 10/1
# 11 CARMELITA'S MAN 5/1

I think SARWAR (FR) is a solid choice. Always hard to beat Powell and Hernandez working together, winning 24 percent of their races. CROSBY BEACH - Competitive venture today on Lasix. Players using horses with this jock and conditioner combo have done solidly recently. CARMELITA'S MAN - Vaunts sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the recipe to a major improvement.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings

Hastings - Race 5	Exactor ($1) / Triactor ($1) / Superfecta (.20)/ Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) ($1)
Claiming $12,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 •Purse: $14,000 • Post: 4:00P
(PLUS UP TO $7,000 THRIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.; NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,250 TO $10,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. EMPEROROFTHENORTH is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * WICKED NIGHT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LOGICAL AL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AZOV SEA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	WICKED NIGHT	5/2	9/2
2	LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND	4/1	9/2
6	LOGICAL AL	3/1	9/1
5	AZOV SEA	9/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	AZOV SEA	5	9/2	Front-runner	68	65	80.7	53.8	44.3
2	LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND	2	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	74	73	65.8	67.8	60.8
1	WICKED NIGHT	1	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	79	73	62.6	65.4	60.9
3	EMPEROROFTHENORTH	3	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	60	62	38.9	56.7	51.2
6	LOGICAL AL	6	3/1	Trailer	74	71	62.5	63.5	60.0
4	MAGIC ROAD	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	53	33.6	56.2	46.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont at the Big A - Race #6 - Post: 2:40pm - Stakes - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $500,000 Class Rating: 109 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S. (Grade 1)

Rating:

#3 STONE AGE (IRE) (ML=6/1)
#4 ADHAMO (IRE) (ML=10/1)
#2 SOLDIER RISING (GB) (ML=5/1)


STONE AGE (IRE) - Strong average class rating on this horse. Should have the ability to run well on the turf. Brown has a very strong win pct in turf routes. This colt should be conditioned properly and ready to go. In the last race, finished fifth on the soft turf at Saratoga. Have to do better in this race. ADHAMO (IRE) - Brown is great in grass routes. This animal should have no alibis if he doesn't win. This horse's last speed figure is high enough to score here, I'll play him right back this time out. In the last race on the grass, this horse was solid. Anything close in this event, and this one should win. SOLDIER RISING (GB) - Strong win percent this jockey and conditioner duet have been putting together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) (ML=9/5), #6 WAR LIKE GODDESS (ML=5/2),

REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) - This morning-line choice ran on July 30th and hasn't had a work after that. WAR LIKE GODDESS - This mare has already been conquered as the public's top choice twice in a row. Hard to give her another chance.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - STONE AGE (IRE) - This foreign invader has run well at a top-notch track overseas.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 STONE AGE (IRE) to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Leamington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Post: 1:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$4200 - N/W $1500 LAST 3 STARTS OR N/W $2500 LAST 5 STS. OPT. CLAIMING $8500

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 WOODMERE ROLLNPOP 4/1
# 6 LIVIN LARGE 5/1
# 3 SO STRANGE 2/1

After thorough analysis by the brain trust, WOODMERE ROLLNPOP comes out as the top selection. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some stellar TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 76. Good for a win bet just off the outstanding prior class ratings. Have to like this harness racer. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the sulky one of the top drivers in win percentage the last 30 days. LIVIN LARGE - This gelding has been doing work versus some of the most competitive horses in this group of horses recently. Should be given a look based on the respectable TrackMaster speed fig achieved in the last contest. SO STRANGE - Not many folks know, but the 3 position here at Leamington Raceway has been extremely profitable.

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Shenandoah Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 12 - Post: 4:18 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 64 - Purse:$5250 - NON WINNERS 1

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 SOUTHWIND COCKTAIL 2/1
# 7 DEPUTY DAWG 6/1
# 8 SOLAR BOLT 9/5

SOUTHWIND COCKTAIL unquestionably gets the edge as the contender to beat in here. The ROI for nice horses starting out of the 4 post enhances this one's appeal as a magnificent wager. This solid standardbred has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 70 avg class figure. Should play well for this race. This solid standardbred will be greatly helped with O'Neil steering. 24 percent winners the last 30 days. DEPUTY DAWG - This fine animal earned a respectable TrackMaster speed fig last out. Looks sharp to come right back. With better than average win stats, Buford should have this gelding in excellent position to win the affair. SOLAR BOLT - When Wetzel sends this interesting entrant out you can bet they'll hit the board, stats show them there 100 percent of the time. With one of the top drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this gelding out of the gathering.