Sunday 10/8/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race 4	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 4-9)
Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:23P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. GLOBES is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GLOBES: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has a TrackMaste r "+" designation or an "L" designation. BLUTO'S CANDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHARP AZ NAILS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8	GLOBES	8/5	5/2
5	BLUTO'S CANDY	4/1	7/1
6	SHARP AZ NAILS	20/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	EMERGENCY RESPONSE	7	4/1	Front-runner	69	68	70.8	62.6	52.1
6	SHARP AZ NAILS	6	20/1	Alternator/Front-runner	79	82	68.2	66.0	58.5
8	GLOBES	8	8/5	Alternator/Stalker	83	78	72.4	79.0	73.5
5	BLUTO'S CANDY	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	77	74	51.4	67.4	60.4
1	PAPA KATZ	1	20/1	Trailer	83	74	53.0	65.8	59.3
2	AMBUSHED	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	67	59.2	62.8	51.8
3	ENSIGN SKIP	3	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	59	52.0	61.6	49.6
4	HOLIDAY FANTASY	4	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	60	49.0	64.6	53.6

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for AlbuquerquePURCHASE

Albuquerque - Race 9	Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Third Leg Pick 4 First Half Late Daily Double
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $45,500 • Post: 4:50P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FLAGS FINALE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN SOLO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PASSION BELLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MCTHANKS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FLAGS FINALE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CLUE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6	AMERICAN SOLO	6/1	6/1
1	PASSION BELLE	7/2	6/1
2	MCTHANKS	8/1	6/1
8	FLAGS FINALE	8/1	9/1
5	CLUE	9/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	FLAGS FINALE	8	8/1	Front-runner	73	60	61.2	61.6	52.1
5	CLUE	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	77	75	66.2	63.6	54.1
1	PASSION BELLE	1	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	79	76	62.8	74.4	70.4
6	AMERICAN SOLO	6	6/1	Trailer	83	82	50.2	75.8	70.3
2	MCTHANKS	2	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	84	81	39.8	74.6	68.1
3	ARTFUL CRITIC	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	68	66.2	59.0	48.5
4	PLAYTHEMARKER	4	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	70	67	60.4	45.8	32.8
7	TATAS JOE MARK	7	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	56	56.4	52.2	36.7
9	MAXIMUM BULL	9	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	68	55.0	36.8	22.8

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 NAUGHTY NIKO 2/1
# 4 BEAU MISCHIEF 6/1
# 1 SASQUATCH RIDE 12/1

I like NAUGHTY NIKO here. Ought to be given a chance in this event if only for the very good speed figure recorded in the last race. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Has been running soundly and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. BEAU MISCHIEF - He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. SASQUATCH RIDE - He has earned competitive numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this field. Has to be carefully examined here if only for the strong Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $68,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#1 EYES OF GOLD (ML=3/1)
#3 MY LILY MAE (ML=7/2)


EYES OF GOLD - I like this horse. Finished in front of today's morning-line choice last out at Ellis Park, and I think she will do well versus this field today. MY LILY MAE - Kinmon seems to have this filly primed for a big effort. Her workout pattern is wonderful. The recent speed fig of 85 is the best last race figure in the field. Has a decent opportunity to break maiden moving over to the dirt right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 QUEEN OF MISSOULA (ML=7/5), #4 STAGFLATION (ML=6/1), #5 GATHER (ML=8/1),

QUEEN OF MISSOULA - This racer didn't go to the front and didn't close any ground down the lane last time she ran. STAGFLATION - The fourth place result in the last event was not the greatest. GATHER - In this instance, this mount's inability to make up ground in the last race is a reason for concern. Doubtful that the speed figure she garnered on Aug 18th will be enough in this affair.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MY LILY MAE - When a thoroughbred takes such a big drop in the Equibase class rating department, I always take a peek. I like what I see with this one and am making a wager on her.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 EYES OF GOLD to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grants Pass

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 OUR HY ROLLER 2/1
# 1 CASH'S CAT 5/2
# 6 COLTON'S TIGER 3/1

OUR HY ROLLER is my choice. Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 51 speed rating which is one of the top in this field. Garnered a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has been racing soundly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. CASH'S CAT - Silvamartinez has a reliable 19 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Has formidable front speed and will probably fare well versus this field. COLTON'S TIGER - Should be given a chance in this event if only for the very strong speed rating earned in the last race. Has performed very well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 57 avg speed figure.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Santa Anita - Race #10 - Post: 5:41pm - Optional Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $63,000 Class Rating: 100

Rating:

#13 FLASHIEST (ML=6/1)
#5 ALIGATO (ML=4/1)
#9 WODETON (FR) (ML=12/1)
#10 LOTTERY PICK (ML=5/1)


FLASHIEST - Solid average class rating on this horse. Should have the form to run well on the turf. Had a solid closing move last out, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar performance today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. ALIGATO - You always have to be on the lookout for money generating rider/trainer duos; we have an instance right here. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a solid outing is a good signal. Had a dominant closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar performance today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. WODETON (FR) - D'Amato is great in turf routes. This horse should have no alibis if he doesn't win. Finished seventh at Del Mar last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 12/1 in this event, he looks like a possible contender. Even though he isn't from around here, when a mount has hit the board at a major foreign race track he will usually give a good account of himself soon after shipping. LOTTERY PICK - This trainer brings horses to the turf in great shape, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. You'll be making money right and left by turning your bankroll onto this jock/handler combination. A strong handicapping angle is 1st time on Lasix. Eurton gives it to this one for this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MALTESE FALCON (IRE) (ML=5/2), #4 SEAL TEAM (GB) (ML=7/2),

MALTESE FALCON (IRE) - Doesn't appear to have enough positive aspects to warrant the reward. SEAL TEAM (GB) - 7/2 is not enough of a price to take on this thoroughbred.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - FLASHIEST - The best last race TrackMaster turf number makes this gelding a tough opponent for these thoroughbreds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #13 FLASHIEST to win if we can get at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,9,13]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[5,13] with [5,9,10,13] with [5,9,10,13] with [3,5,9,10,12,13] with [3,5,9,10,12,13] Total Cost: $72

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 11 - Post: 4:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$5730 - OHIO COLT RACING ASSOCIATION 3YO FILLY TROT DAYTON RACEWAY 100% NET CARRYOVER SUPERFECTA

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 CALI RED 2/1
# 3 CRAZY BUT CLASSY 3/1
# 2 CV'S SERENA 5/2

CALI RED is the best wager in this contest. Could be the best in the pack here, showing really strong numbers of late. Avg speed is a solid 74. A competitive class horse should not be be overlooked. With an average class figure of 73 all signs say this is the one to beat. Post 5 has been winning at a well above average clip, suggesting very good probability of success today. CRAZY BUT CLASSY - Take a look at this solid standardbred's avg speed rating of 71 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very good play. Enters this affair with great TrackMaster class statistics as compared to the bunch - worth a look. CV'S SERENA - Sometimes you just have to go with an instinct, strongly consider this one's chances. The handicapping group noted a sharp effort out of this solid standardbred last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to take the whole enchilada.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Red Mile

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 13
9	9	CONFEDERATE	8/5	Tetrick, Tim - 15	699.07
6	6	ANTS MARCHING	6/1	Gingras, Yannick - 20	648.17
1	1	IT'S MY SHOW	5/2	Zeron, Scott - 17	643.19
4	4	BLUE HUNT	15/1	Macdonald, James - 21	623.88
8	8	HUNGRY ANGEL BOY	7/1	Mccarthy, Todd - 21	619.82
2	2	HUNTINTHELASTDOLAR	5/1	Mcnair, Douglas - 18	600.02
7	7	FOR ONCE INMY LIFE	20/1	Mccarthy, Andrew - 17	598.07
5	5	HANDLELIKEAPORSCHE	20/1	Dunn, Dexter - 19	584.59
3	3	BUGABOO LOU	12/1	Miller, David - 14	562.45

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$6100 - N/W $450.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 2 PRINCE GIOVANNI 3/1
# 5 VINES TO HEAVEN 2/1
# 4 LUCKY LEONARD 4/1

PRINCE GIOVANNI sure does look ready to win. His 72 avg has this gelding among the best speed figs in this contest. The knowledge group gives this solid standardbred a very good chance to take this race, class rankings are tops in the field of horses. Could beat this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 72 - from his last event. VINES TO HEAVEN - This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win statistic. Starters win from this hole at Rideau Carleton with better than average regularity, suggesting this solid wager. LUCKY LEONARD - Seems to have a nice class advantage based on the opponents he has faced. Could beat this bunch, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 72 - from his last outing.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Shenandoah Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 2
4	4	GOLDEN SUNRISE	9/2	Carter, Billy - 24	397.71
1	1	DEPUTY DAWG	6/5	Buford, Archie - 15	386.86
5	5	HALLELUJAH CHORUS	5/1	Paquet, Fern Jr - 17	382.07
2	2	COOL BREEZE	9/2	Carter, William - 9	381.49
7	7	SOMEWHERE DANCIN	10/1	O'Neil, Hugh - 18	373.49
8	8	DANCIN EYES	10/1	Olsen, Cole - 16	335.83
6	6	HOOVES ONTHE BEACH	10/1	Wagner, John - 12	313.92
3	3	ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS	8/1	Davis, Eric - 4	301.61

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Keeneland Turf Pick 3

Keeneland Turf Pick 3 - Race 3	Leg 3 of the Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 90 • Purse:$350,000 • Post: 5:48P
CASTLE & KEY BOURBON S. KEE - R10 - GRADE 2 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GORILLA TREK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt o r turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DOUBLE YOUR MONEY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NO TED: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	GORILLA TREK	15/1	3/1
11	DOUBLE YOUR MONEY	10/1	7/1
5	NOTED	3/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	DOUBLE YOUR MONEY	11	10/1	Front-runner	77	84	86.3	83.4	74.4
7	FORTUNE SELLER	7	12/1	Front-runner	77	77	64.5	65.4	48.9
12	FIRST WORLD WAR	12	6/1	Stalker	68	71	110.0	67.3	49.8
1	PALM TREE	1	9/2	Stalker	76	66	71.1	71.1	52.1
6	VOTE NO	6	8/1	Stalker	79	72	69.2	69.2	58.7
5	NOTED	5	3/1	Stalker	83	80	62.6	68.3	60.3
10	NOMOS	10	15/1	Stalker	71	72	47.1	71.1	56.6
8	TOK TOK	8	15/1	Stalker	71	68	31.3	60.7	37.7
14	TOUGH LITTLE NUT	14	15/1	Trailer	76	71	117.6	66.4	53.4
15	TIRELESS	15	6/1	Trailer	68	67	109.0	63.5	38.5
2	GORILLA TREK	2	15/1	Trailer	85	92	88.2	87.2	83.7
13	GOOD BALI	13	30/1	Trailer	69	69	77.4	65.8	39.8
9	COIN MINER	9	8/1	Trailer	76	77	74.0	74.0	65.5
4	CAN GROUP	4	30/1	Trailer	77	71	71.1	71.1	49.6
3	DEPICTION	3	10/1	Trailer	74	71	58.6	68.2	50.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:56pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#2 CHROME GHOST (ML=4/1)
#6 CHROMOTION (ML=8/1)


CHROME GHOST - The September 24th event at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (87). Dropping to a lower class rank considerably, so he should be in a good spot to win. CHROMOTION - Mongeon drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to believe this horse has a good chance at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 IMMENSE FAITH (ML=7/5), #5 CHACHARERO (ML=5/1), #3 KOHAKU (ML=6/1),

IMMENSE FAITH - Hasn't raced or had any drills since September 2nd. Not much value on this morning-line favorite. This animal doesn't have a tenacious disposition. Very often finishes in the place or show spot. No victories for this runner at Gulfstream Park. CHACHARERO - This horse likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually get the job done. Keep out of the top spot. Mediocre speed rating last out at Gulfstream Park at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. KOHAKU - Hard to play any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance. Quite unimpressive speed figure in the last race at Gulfstream Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this racer will improve too much today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 CHROME GHOST is going to be the play if we are getting 9/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $14100 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 MY FANCY HEART 8/5
# 9 COWGIRL MP 10/1
# 5 GRRR8 6/1

MY FANCY HEART looks very good to best this field. She should be given consideration given the formidable speed figs. Will almost certainly come out very solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. Last time out, this filly ran against a stronger field. COWGIRL MP - Ran a strong last race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Pierre

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Allowance - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 128 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 HASTA BE A MOOSE 4/1
# 7 MAKIN IT RAYNE 3/1
# 3 DAENERYS TARGARYEN 7/2

I back HASTA BE A MOOSE here. Has very good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager here. This gelding has a good win percent in short races. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 80, and has to be given a chance in this competition. MAKIN IT RAYNE - She should have a strong performance versus this easier lot. Ran a strong last race. DAENERYS TARGARYEN - Ought to be given consideration in here if only for the formidable speed figure earned in the last outing. Has to be considered versus this group of horses in this race displaying very good figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 71 under similar conditions.