Thursday 10/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Sean Murphy

Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Jacksonville at 8:15 pm et on Thursday.

The Jaguars enter this game red hot, winners of three games in a row. They'll be in tough on Thursday night, however, as they travel to face the Saints who will be looking to bounce back from Sunday's loss in Houston. The biggest question mark for Jacksonville lies at quarterback as they decide between Trevor Lawrence playing on a short week on a gimpy knee or backup C.J. Beathard who has barely seen an NFL field over the last three seasons. Both teams have their warts but we'll confidently back the Saints back at home, noting that the Jags are a long-term 13-26 ATS when playing on the road following a double-digit victory, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 5.0 points in that situation. Take New Orleans.

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jaguars+1 -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY Jaguars/Saints Under 40

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Jazz-1.5

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Jazz vs Kings under 228.5 -105

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Sharks+234

*All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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JEFF MICHAELS

Event: (907) Houston Astros at (908) Texas Rangers: Jose Abreu Home Runs
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: October 19, 2023 8:03 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Jose Abreu Home Runs Over 0.5 (+350)

Jose Abreu (HOU) Home Runs o0.5 (+350) — TEX w/ Heaney —
Abreu may not have the best batting average on the team, but .263 isn’t anything to scoff over. He is 5-19 in his 24 career ABs … but the kicker … 4 of those 5 hits have been for HRs!
After hitting 3 HRs vs. Minnesota in the ALCS, he has yet to take one deep in the ALDS. This could be the perfect opportunity. He is just 2-12 in this series so far, and with the success of the other hitters in the lineup, he very well could be overlooked… which is something Heaney CAN NOT afford to do with his history.

[ConleyPicks]

MAX NEWBURY

Event: (315) Rice at (316) Tulsa
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 19, 2023 7:00 PM EDT
Free College Football Pick Today: Tulsa -3.0 (-110)

The NEWBURYLINE has the spread between Rice & Tulsa projected at Tulsa -7.54. That gives us a 4.54 point edge on the spread.

Newbury projection: -7.54
Vegas Spread: -3
Difference: 4.54
Play: Tulsa -3

Good luck!

[ConleyPicks]

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (311) Jacksonville Jaguars at (312) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 19, 2023 8:15 PM EDT
Free NFL Football Pick Today: Total Under 40.0 (-110)

Take Jacksonville – New Orleans UNDER (#311-312)
When we talk about betting Saints games, there’s low hanging fruit right to grab (bet) right in front of us, whether Trevor Lawrence suits up at QB for the Jaguars on not. Unders have cashed at a 61% this season in the NFL; one low scoring game after the next. Primetime Unders have been even stronger – the Thursday, Sunday and Monday Night games have been an Under machine. New Orleans is 6-0 to the Under this year – every Saints game has produced a combined 37 points or less. They’re 12-0 to the Under dating back to last year; all 12 games producing a combined 38 points or less. The Jaguars are 3-0 to the Under in their three non-division games this year. And both teams CLEARLY have better defenses than offenses right now. Let’s not overthink this. Take the UNDER.

[ConleyPicks]

ADAM TRIGGER

Event: (313) James Madison at (314) Marshall
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 19, 2023 7:00 PM EDT
Free College Football Pick Today: Marshall +3.5 (-110)

I'm so mad at myself for missing +4 (there were some +4.5's) when I pointed out on the CFB show yesterday that the line move there was a clear head fake.
Lesson learned but I still love this at +3.5 as I think it probably goes to +3 by tomorrow and I like Marshall to win so I'm hoping that half point won't matter.