Saturday 11/4/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:29 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 11.04/23

November 4, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, & Wagering Strategies identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow .us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 10:10 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Salesman
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Siskany.

Forecast: Marathons such as today’s opener – The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance Stakes-G2 – are often won by pace setters or pressers and Salesman has an excellent opportunity to inherit that role in this mile and five eighths main track affair. Though he's unproven at the distance, the son of Dubawi certainly is bred for it and recent exceptional workouts indicate he handles the Santa Anita dirt strip just fine. He’s exiting much tougher, faster races, and should take full advantage of the projected pace flow (very slow) to record his first win since arriving from France. There’s reasonable value at or near his morning line of 5/2 if you can get it.

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RACE 2: Post: 10:50 PT Grade: A
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Seal Team
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Seal Team has the look of a future star following a very impressive allowance win over this turf course and distance against seasoned, older rivals last month. Back with 3-year-olds in this year’s edition of the Twilight Derby-G2, the son of War Front looks ready to produce another significant forward move in just his fifth career start. The Richard Mandella-trained colt has excellent tactical speed that can cope with any kind of pace flow and has a superior turn of foot when called upon to use it. Regular pilot Umberto Rispoli stays aboard and should have this talented colt within striking range of moderate early fractions from the start. At 6-1 on the morning line, the English-bred colt offers superior value in the win pole and as a confident single in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 3: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Cody’s Wish; 4-Zozos; 6-Skippylongstocking
Backups/savers/Underneath: 9-National Treasure.

Forecast: We’re convinced Cody’s Wish is most effective around one turn even though the son of Curlin won the 2022 edition of the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile at Keeneland last year. He was probably better at that time than he is now, and in a race that could produce soft early fractions the Bill Mott-trained five-year-old may have his work cut out for him, even though that on resume he completely outclasses this field. He’s looked terrific in the morning since arriving at Santa Anita and appears to be thriving, so we’ll put him on top but certainly not single him. Zozos likely will employ gate to wire tactics and must be considered a major player even though he, like our top pick, is most effective around one turn. He’s got plenty of speed and needs to be allowed to show it. Skippylongstocking has never been this good, though he’s earned more than $1.5 million winning races off the beaten path. He’ll give it his best and has numbers that give him a reasonable look at 12-1 on the morning line.

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RACE 4: Post: 12:10 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Inspiral; 2-Warm Heart; 1-In Italian.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 8-Fev Rover; 9-Didia. 11-Lumiere Rock.

Forecast: Inspiral is an exceptional European invader fresh from two straightaway mile Group-1 wins, the first in the Prix Jacques Le Marois in France and most recently in the prestigious Sun Chariot Stakes at Newmarket. She loves fast ground, and it doesn’t get any faster or firmer than at Santa Anita. Yes, she’s never been 10 furlongs and that’s a concern, though her connections believe she won’t be bothered by the trip. Frankie knows her well and fits her perfectly, and we have to believe that her top class ability will carry her through in this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. Warm Heart has a terrific resume as well, though she might be most effective over 12 furlongs and way this race over this course might be contested she may be caught for speed somewhere along the way. If the daughter of Galileo can stay within range throughout and is not given too much to do, the Aiden O’Brien trained winner of the Ribblesdale S.-G2 at Royal Ascot and the Yorkshire Oaks at York will have a strong say in the outcome. In Italian lands the good rail and will easily inherit the role as the controlling speed. Ten furlongs would appear to be stretching her limit but if left along and not respected the Chat Brown-trained mare could take the field a very long way.

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RACE 5: Post: 12:50 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Society
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint should produce moderate early fractions and that plays right to the strength of the likely pace presser/stalker, Society. Winner of her last two starts with career top speed figures, the daughter of Gun Runner has trained in superb fashion since arriving in California a month ago and appears ready to pick up where she left off at her preferred elongated sprint distance of seven furlongs. She’s listed as the second choice on the morning line at 5/2 behind defending champion Goodnight Olive (6/5), who may not be quite as good as she was last year. We suspect the closing odds will be fairly close and we’ll be surprised if the Steve Asmussen-trained filly doesn’t dispose of Eda (blinkers on, might be sent) when ready and then draw off when given her cue.

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RACE 6: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Mawj; 11-Kelina; 10-Songline
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 13-More Than Looks; 14-Master of the Seas.

Forecast: This might not be the strongest edition of the Breeders’ Cup Mile in recent years, but it certainly could be the deepest. Several of these have the credentials to win, so trip and pace could decide it. Mawj won the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket last May from world class Tahiyra but then was stopped on. She returned in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland last month and won gate to wire despite being a bit fresh and finding nine furlongs somewhat testing. She shortens to her best trip, catches firm ground that should promote her chances, and finds a field without any real early speed, so it all adds up to another major performance by the Godolphin homebred. She’s listed at 4-1 on the morning line and is worth a good gamble at or near that price. Kelina produced a career performance at 27-1 when leaving her previous form behind in winning the Prix de la Foret-G1 on Arc Day against the boys. The victory was no fluke, as the daughter of Frankel, with plenty to do inside the final quarter mile, accelerated with an electric turn of foot to outrace the high class Kinross close home. Her 120 Timeform rating makes her a major fit if she can repeat that effort today. Songline is another that can blast home, and as the morning line favorite (5/2) must be included on your ticket. The Japanese invader has Timeform ratings as strong any of the others in the field, but her late running style could be compromised if the race shape doesn’t play to her strength.

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RACE 7: Post: 2:10 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Clairiere; 7-Wet Paint
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Idiomatic; 6-Search Results; 8-Randomized.

Forecast: This may be the most difficult Breeders’ Cup race to predict due to the volatility of the race flow. The early fractions very likely will be faster than par due to the presence of at least four committed front runners, and that doesn’t even include Hoosier Philly, who can be quick if they want her to be, and from the rail and with blinkers being added to she’s likely to contribute to the hot early splits. Idiomatic, Adare Manor, Search Results, and Randomized all require the front end to be most effective and none will appreciate the presence of the others during the opening quarter and half. So, who benefits? The closers, of course, the most dangerous of which is Clairiere, who has done quite well in the morning since arriving at Santa Anita and appears ready for one of her best performances. The veteran daughter of Curlin finished fourth (beaten less than a length) in the Distaff two years ago at Del Mar and then last year missed by a head when third in this race at Keeneland. She’s do for some good luck. You probably should toss in Wet Paint as well. She’s a one-paced late runner that will need a complete pace collapse to have a real chance, but it could happen.

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RACE 8: Post: 2:50 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Auguste Rodin; Mostahdaf; Up to the Mark.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 11-King of Steel.

Forecast: Dual classic winner Auguste Rodin is listed as the second choice (3-1) in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf-G1 behind Prince of Wales’s Stakes-G1 and Juddmonte International-G1 hero Mostahdaf, but we wouldn’t be surprised if the roles are reversed. The former, fresh from beating older horses in the Irish Champions Stakes over the sweeping left handed, Belmont Park-style Leopardstown course, has excellent tactical speed and a terrific late kick, and over the glib ground at Santa Anita he should be set for a career best performance. The latter was re-rerouted to Santa Anita after being a late scratch two weeks ago at Ascot due to soggy conditions and is a versatile sort that can win from dead last or as the controlling speed if the race shape dictates. Both must be used, though we’ll give the younger ‘Rodin a very slight edge on top under the assumption that he has room for a bit more upside. Up to the Mark is by far the best grass performer in North America – he’s captured three straight Grade-1 events – and was spectacular when wearing down the high class Master of the Seas in the Turf Mile-G3 at Keeneland despite not being knocked about at any stage. He’ll come on strongly with that tightener behind him, but he’s a bit of an unknown at this 12 furlong trip. The son of Not This Time must be included on the top line of your ticket.

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RACE 9: Post: 3:40 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Ushba Tesoro
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 12-Arabian Knight; 6-Saudi Crown; 5-Derma Sotogake.

Forecast:Ushba Tesora is a perfect six-for-six at the Breeders’ Cup Classic distance of a mile and one-quarter and he’s proven on the world stage, having won the Dubai World Cup with a Timeform Rating of 123, making him the class of the race. He enjoyed an easy prep win in late September in his native Japan and arrives in peak form when facing a less than stellar field of older horses and two solid if not top class sophomores – Arabian Knight and Saudi Crown – who may be suspect at 10 furlongs. A seasoned veteran of 30 races, ‘Tesora has won seven of his last eight starts while in most cases settling in mid pack and then exploding from the quarter pole to the wire. The projected race flow may not be blazing but it should be sufficient to compliment his style, so at 4-1 on the morning line he’ll offer superior wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 10: Post: 4:25 PT Grade:
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Motorious; 9-Roses for Deb
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Live In The Dream.

Forecast: Motorious has the home track advantage and a second flight, stalking style that can be very effective at this five furlong trip. Hopefully, there will be sufficient early speed to soften up the front running types and this Irish-bred 5-year-old can really blast home over a very firm turf course that brings out his best. The Phil D’Amato-trained Irish-bred earned a career top speed figure when winning the Green Flash H-G3 at Del Mar at this same abbreviated sprint distance, has trained extremely well since, and will offer strong wagering value at 5-1 on the morning line. Roses for Deb is worth including on the top line as well. Listed at 12-1 on the morning line and better than that based on her firm grass form, the daughter of Liam’s Map employs a similar style to our top selection and should have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. The speed figure she earned in her stakes win at Saratoga two races back puts her squarely in the hunt.

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RACE 11: Post: 5:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Speed Boat Beach; 8-Gunite.
Backups/savers: 8-Elite Power; 6-The Chosen Vron.

Forecast: Speed Boat Beach ran lights out in his first outing in 10 months (and his first facing older horses) when missing by a head in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship-G2 in late September and has trained in superb fashion since that race, indicating he’s ready to step forward with a career top performance in this year’s renewal of the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1. In a field lacking in intense early speed, the Bob Baffert-trained colt should be on or near the lead throughout, and based on his brilliant recent workouts the son of Bayern may be able to shake loose early and wire the field at 3-1 on the morning line. Gunite lands the coveted outside draw and is assured a pristine pace stalking trip. He’ll have ‘Beach within his sights every step of the way and off his best race should be hard to contain when the pressure is turned on at the head of the lane.

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RACE 12: Post: 5:30 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 12-Arinniti; 7-Gem Mine; 8-Real Fire.
Backups/savers: 3-Irish Patsy; 6-Woodbine Way.

Forecast: Arinnniti makes her U.S. debut and her first start in more than a year in the nightcap, a downhill slalom affair for first level allowance fillies and mares. The Richard Mandella-trained sophomore earned rising Timeform ratings in three starts last year and has trained well enough to expect a good performance off the bench for a barn that has excellent stats with layoff runners. The French-bred filly displayed tactical speed overseas and should be able to settle into a striking position from her far outside draw and then have her chance when set down crossing the dirt. She’s 6-1 on the morning line and may be worth a bit of gamble at or near that price. Gem Mine and Real Fire finished second and third respectively in a similar Hillside dash at this level four weeks ago and both earned speed figures that fit nicely with this group. We’ll include them on the main ticket along with our top pick.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:29 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pick 3 Analysis

November 4, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 14-race card ready to go and the headliners are two-year-olds competing in the Kindergarten Series Finals. My focus will be on the $1.00 Pick 3 sequence that begins in Race 7.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (8:50 PM EST)

10-Karl (4/5)-The Nancy Takter pupil finally got the attention he deserved in the Breeders Crown Final after pulling away from the field to win by 3-lengths over TCI. It would take an awful trip for Karl to not win for the 8th time in 9 tries this year. My guess is the best is yet to come for the son of Tactical Landing.

Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)

1-Stonebridge Reef (8-1)-Put in a very nice effort in the 1st race since 8-5 and was used hard off the gate. Fits with this kind and has enough gate speed to be racing near the top of the stack. Could make some noise at a square price if tight enough.
5-Captian Crusader A (7/2)-Is still looking for a win at M1 (7-0-2-2) but does know how to battle. Ships back from Philly and lands at the right level to take a picture. Tetrick gets the assignment, and he knows this 6-year-old and can provide a sharp steer.
7-PL Ozzy (12-1)-Changed barns at the start of September and hasn't gotten a sniff. Requalified on 10-28 and seemed to wake up with 150.1 mile on the engine and won by 13 lengths. Gets the services of Dunn, this is a soft spot and if 100% does possess sub-1.50 speed.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

3-Canigetalouploup (9/2)-Willing to toss the Breeders Crown race, was in tall cotton and did go off-stride. This is a more competitive level, and has raced well versus this kind but was stuck with post 8. Draws inside, gets David Miller between the pipes, and will look for a strong try.
4-Miraculous Deo (5-1)-Battled in 2 recent tries versus this kind and improved on a fast last week to just miss. Now Todd McCarthy returns, and he has done well with this freshman. Is also worth using in gimmicks at the morning line price.
6-Sarosota Hanover (6-1)-Won on a sloppy track with 1st time Lasix last time and has 3 wins in 5 Big M races. Looking for an aggressive steer and has enough gate speed to be forwardly placed. Similar to the one above, should be a main player and best to respect at a solid price.

$2.00 Pick 3

10/1,5,7/3,4,6
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:30 AM

Race of the Week: $1.5M Saudi Derby | Saturday, Feb. 25

February 22, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
The world's eyes will be on the $20 million Saudi Cup on Saturday from the Middle East, but the undercard provides several competitive wagering opportunities as well. One of those stands out in Race 6, the $1.5 million Saudi Derby, where the international pool figures to be heavy on the Japanese and American contingents.

Through the first 7 weeks of 2023, our Xpressbet Race of the Week betting strategies have netted $2,768 in returns for $700 invested -- including 4 winners returning $1242, $430, $520 and another $576 a week ago. Plying our trade in international races like this isn't the norm, but we'll see if a hot hand extends to the desert.

Field Depth:
Graded stakes winners HAVNAMELTDOWN from California and CONTINUAR from Japan will garner the headlines and support on the international parimutuel tote. These kind of races always are difficult to judge on class, though ES UNICO's last company line in Dubai stacks up nicely as well.

Pace:
FROM DUSK and HAVNAMELTDOWN ought to insure a blistering pace over a mile. Several others of these sprint-bred types could push the issue and a finisher has a major chance in this set-up.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

1-Es Unico: Clear runner-up in the UAE 2000 Guineas trial over 7 furlongs on dirt at Meydan, this southern hemisphere 4-year-old transferred his form nicely from Uruguay. Finished up with sharp interest behind highly regarded Tiger Nation in Dubai, a race capable of winning this. Es Unico is by sire War Secretary, who owns a purely American pedigree by War Front out of outstanding turf/synthetic mare Upperline.

2-Loreley: No match for Es Unico in Meydan’s UAE 2000 Guineas trial a month ago, but post-race scope detected mucus that may have impacted performance. Clasico Argentina winner prior in front-running fashion may be part of the pace. Southern Hemisphere 4-year-old is by fleet US sire Kentuckian and out of a mare by Kentucky Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus.

3-Almulhem: Late May 20 foal gives away development to Northern Hemisphere types and obviously those from Southern Hemisphere. Runaway maiden mile winner over this track on December 24, besting 18 runners by 3+ lengths. Has a sprint/mile US pedigree, pure Todd Pletcher, by More Than Ready and out of the mare Morrow Cove (by sprinter Yes It’s True).

4-Almurtajiz: No match runner-up to Saudi Derby rival Commissioner King in the Ministry of National Guard Cup over this track Dec. 16 going the same mile trip. Showed promise in November romp over 7 furlongs locally. Win-early pedigree by Good Magic out of American mare Vieja Luna; should handle distance.

5-Atta Alghali: Son of Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Karakontie would appear turf-bred on top, but dam was solid dirt performer in Chicago. Third-place finisher over this track Jan. 27 in the Saudi Derby qualifier. He had to almost stop cold on the far turn and re-rallied nicely before losing steam late. Could be a late factor with a cleaner trip.

6-Baalb: Deeper foundation than most of the local Saudi sophomores, running 6 times back to early September and winning 2 of 3 over the track in Riyadh. Maternal grandson of star US sprinter Classy Mirage is by Irish sprint/mile sharpie Beldardo. Comes off a disappointing race, but intrigues some.

7-Commissioner King: Kentucky-bred son of Pimlico Special winner and Belmont Stakes runner-up Commissioner, he exits a 4-length win Dec. 16 in the local Ministry of National Guard Cup. Dam was a solid stakes sprinter in Maryland. Winner of 2 of 3 lifetime ranks among the top local hopes.

8-Continuar: Cattleya Stakes winner in Japan’s Road to the Kentucky Derby qualifiers in November, he’s a son of top US sprinter Drefong. Note last year’s Saudi Derby runner-up also was a son of Drefong via Japan. Connections seek path from Saudi Arabia to Dubai to Louisville if all goes to plan. Twice has run 1-1/8 miles, so distance will not be an issue at a mile for this colt from the female family of legendary Japanese mare Almond Eye. Was a bit one-paced last out in the Cattleya victory.

9-Derma Sotogake: Hard-fought dirt winner in Japan’s Zen Nippon Nisai Yushun last time out, he’ll be one of that nation’s multiple major reps in the Saudi Derby. Japan has won this race 2 of its 3 years in existence and finished 2-3 in last year’s event. Derma Sotogake defeated Saudi Derby rival Continuar in a matchup last year, and this is a son of Mind Your Biscuits, the US-based sprinter who had much success in Dubai. He carries the Sunday Silence bloodlines on the damside for class and stamina.

10-Ecoro Ares: Outsider among the Japanese contingent, ninth beaten 14 lengths most recently in a turf sprint. Son of US sprinter Unified, who did stretch out to win the 9F Peter Pan around 1 turn. Dam won 3 routes in US on dirt and turf.

11-From Dusk: $900,000 Ocala 2-Year-Old purchase by hot young sire Bolt d’Oro (and out of a half-sister to $1.6M turfer Get Stormy) has been wildly inconsistent in Japan to date. He’s performed better shorter in distance and has exceptional early foot – owing to his 9-4/5 drill at OBS. From Dusk should be part of the pace.

12-Havnameltdown: Trainer Bob Baffert won this race last year wire-to-wire with Pinehurst, who ran in many of the same races as this colt – specifically, the Del Mar Futurity at 2 and San Vicente at 3. His only career loss in 5 starts came when barnmate Cave Rock wired the Del Mar Futurity. Havnameltdown was gifted the lead in the San Vicente and cruised up top; that scenario will be more difficult to attain in the Saudi Derby. Not only did his American barnmate win this race last year, but also note Cowan represented the US well in 2021 when runner-up.

13-My Map: Saudi Arabia’s leading contender is perfect in 4 starts and notched the local prep victory in the Saudi Derby qualifier. By Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile winner Liam’s Map, he sat patiently inside last out, split horses professionally and had a nice turn of foot to open up before idling a bit to the wire. With a hot pace expected, he’s a danger late as the locals look for their first win in this race.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
ES UNICO really caught my eye in Dubai and the race shape looks favorable for his style. The Southern Hemisphere 4YOs always perk my attention in these spring international races with their developmental edge.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
ATTA ALGHALI can improve off a troubled trip and gets a good set-up.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$70 win ES UNICO. $5 exacta key-box ES UNICO with MY MAP, HAVNAMELTDOWN, ATTA ALGHALI ($30).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:31 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #3

#1 Admiral Risty	He was kind of one-paced in the debut try, but I'm not overly impressed with the other players in here, so I'm hoping he'll offer a midrange price with this group.
#3 Imperial Red Bird	He showed pace and settled for second in the debut run, but I'm worried that he'll be a bit overbet in here after facing just four others last time around. Obvious player.
#2 Wishert	He was flat on the turf with better last out, but he was knocking on the door in the two- and three-back starts when in with claiming company. No surprises here.
Race Summary	Admiral Risty might wind up a playable enough price on the board if the other two listed runners here command most of the cash. He'll need better than the debut run, but I could see it.

Remington Park - Race #7

#3 Safe Bet	He can be tough in here with a couple of decent finishing efforts on his page so far, and he's meeting a group with a handful of runners who tend to lose ground late.
#1 Shuffle Dance	No clue what to expect here, but it'll almost certainly be better than the debut try. He took a little cash that day in Hot Springs before being pulled up, so I am guessing he'll be an OK fit with these.
#7 Woody's Choice	He was 2/1 here a couple starts back with similar and unfortunately caught a buzzsaw winner that night, and I think the price will be better this time around while getting back to the main track with a good outside draw to prompt the issue from the start.
Race Summary	Safe Bet has the pace to stay in touch with a couple quicker players early, and she gets a better draw to avoid a wide trip like last time out.

Remington Park - Race #8

#7 Stormeis Blue	Not totally sure where the big run came from at 54/1 last time out, but I suppose there are some fairly decent lines on her page overall, so I'm willing to give her a chance to hold that route form on the surface switch at what should be another nice price.
#8 She'sskysthelimit	Tactical pace is a good fit at the level and figures to get another good trip with this bunch. The price probably gets a little short, but she has a right to be tough.
#6 Skykat	Think she has a little bit of proving to do with the locals tonight, but the form is there for her to be competitive if she can bring one of her better efforts to the table tonight.
Race Summary	Stormeis Blue is an almost reluctant choice, but I grudgingly respect the fact that she's back pretty quickly after making and sustaining a big move to score last out at a huge price. Let's see if she's just in a great spot right now.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:31 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#1 R FIREBIRD (4-1)	Like the gate works, dislike the rail draw with plenty of speed to her outside.
#5 TAKING IT ALL (8-1)	Rushed up to set fast pace, gave way to longshot closers in final sixteenth.
#4 GRAN TRICXY (4-1)	Took money in both starts for higher tags, starts fresh, projects ideal trip.
Race Summary	R FIREBIRD snuck in a :35-4/5 gate workout three weeks ago amid a busy work tab. Her dam was winless in eight starts, but suspect she will make a good first impression from the rail as the co-light weight in the field. Bet to win and place and play a 1-4-5 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#4 BLAZINGLY (5-1)	Had excuse in latest, figures close with alert start at a better price.
#6 LIGHT AND PATH (6-1)	‘Hit gate’ just as Blazingly did last out, sheds 5 pounds, will be running late.
#8 GIRL BYE (9-2)	Chased 8-to-5 repeat winner and stayed on well to finish second.
Race Summary	BLAZINGLY can stalk and pounce on a lively place in her troubling gate habits don’t resurface. She won in a pair of photo finishes at 5F on the all-weather track at the $12,500 level. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#6 SWISS SLANG (3-1)	Prepped in Kentucky, appears ready for debut, lures Zayas to ride.
#8 APURO (2-1)	Debuts for Pletcher; dam won a 7F stakes race at Del Mar in her third start.
#3 SALVATTORE PRINCE (7-2)	Took money but didn’t factor in debut, working well since.
Race Summary	SWISS SLANG zipped around Ellis Park in the mornings, then made the 1,000-mile journey to debut locally. Her dam was a first-out MSW winner at Monmouth and a consistent allowance runner with $120,000 in earnings in 12 starts. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:31 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

PURCHASE

Santa Anita Park - Race 8	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11) / High 5
Stakes • 1 1/2 Miles • Downhill Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 123 • Purse: $4,000,000 • Post: 2:50P
LONGINES BREEDERS' CUP TURF - GRADE 1 DOWNHILL TURF FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. $50,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $50,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $4 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING TRAVEL AWARDS OF WHICH 52% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 17% TO SECOND, 9% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH, 2% TO SIXTH, 1% TO SEVENTH, 1% TO EIGHTH, 1% TO NINTH, 1% TO TENTH; PLUS TRAVEL AWARDS TO STARTERS NOT BASED IN CALIFORNIA. THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF STARTERS IS FOURTEEN WITH FOUR ALSO ELIGIBLES.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. BOLSHOI BALLET (IRE) is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BROOME (IRE): Horse has run well at a major foreign track. UP TO THE MARK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHAHRYAR (JPN): Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dista nce/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GET SMOKIN: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
7	BROOME (IRE)	30/1	6/1
8	UP TO THE MARK	5/1	6/1
1	SHAHRYAR (JPN)	15/1	6/1
6	GET SMOKIN	30/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
12	BALLADEER	12	30/1	Front-runner	106	103	103.2	99.6	74.1
6	GET SMOKIN	6	30/1	Front-runner	114	111	99.0	107.2	94.7
4	BOLSHOI BALLET (IRE)	4	15/1	Stalker	106	104	109.0	104.3	84.3
7	BROOME (IRE)	7	30/1	Trailer	116	115	103.8	111.5	101.0
8	UP TO THE MARK	8	5/1	Trailer	115	113	99.2	112.0	98.0
13	WAR LIKE GODDESS	13	12/1	Trailer	105	104	91.6	107.0	87.0
3	GOLD PHOENIX (IRE)	3	30/1	Trailer	108	109	79.4	100.4	82.9
10	ADHAMO (IRE)	10	30/1	Alternator/Trailer	109	108	119.0	103.2	86.2

Unknown Running Style: SHAHRYAR (JPN) (15/1) [Jockey: Demuro Cristian - Trainer: Fujiwara Hideaki], ONESTO (IRE) (8/1) [Jockey: Guyon Maxime - Trainer: Chappet Fabrice], AUGUSTE RODIN (IRE) (3/1) [Jockey: Moore Ryan L - Trainer: O'Brien Aidan P], MOS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:32 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for MontpelierPURCHASE

Montpelier - Race 4	Non- Wagering
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 2 3/8 Miles • Hurdle • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:20P
TO BE RUN OVER NATIONAL FENCES FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 144 LBS.; FOUR-YEAR-OLDS, 152 LBS.; OLDER, 156 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BEST CHANCE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BELLARMINE HALL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SLEIGHT OF HAND: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	BEST CHANCE	2/1	7/2
4	BELLARMINE HALL	3/1	4/1
1	SLEIGHT OF HAND	6/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SLEIGHT OF HAND	1	6/1	Stalker	77	74	82.2	73.5	69.0
6	FACTOTUM	6	8/1	Stalker	80	69	68.3	58.8	52.8
4	BELLARMINE HALL	4	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	78	72.5	78.8	73.8
5	BEST CHANCE	5	2/1	Trailer	92	89	69.2	78.7	73.7
3	ICE BAR	3	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	60	72.8	51.3	42.3
2	SIR LENNY	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	85	78	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	KENYA ROAD	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	76	0.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:32 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $17500 Class Rating: 67

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 BLOOD N CORONAS 9/5
# 4 CR BLACK PENNY 5/1
# 1 GBH STREAKIN B 5/2

I think BLOOD N CORONAS is a very good choice. Ought to come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the front end recently. Must be given consideration - I like the figures from the last contest. She ought to be carefully examined given the competitive speed figs. CR BLACK PENNY - Could beat this group given the 59 Equibase Speed Figure earned in his last outing. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 61 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the best in this field. GBH STREAKIN B - Has to be considered against this field displaying formidable figs lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 67 under similar conditions. Breaux has a sound 17 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:32 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Breeders' Cup Special

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 111

LONGINES BREEDERS' CUP DISTAFF SA - R7 - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. $30,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING TRAVEL AWARDS OF WHICH 52% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 17% TO SECOND,

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 RANDOMIZED 6/1
# 4 IDIOMATIC 5/2
# 2 A MO REAY 20/1

RANDOMIZED looks to be a strong contender. Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. Should hit the board without a doubt. Could beat this group given the 110 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in her last outing. IDIOMATIC - Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong speed figures (106 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Recorded a solid Equibase speed fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:32 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 3:35pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#6 BE THERE (ML=5/1)
#4 TASTERFOR THE KING (ML=3/1)

BE THERE - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. I sense a pace scenario where the pace will fade, setting up a perfect situation for his late kick. TASTERFOR THE KING - After the contest aboard this equine on September 14th, the jockey is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. Ward has a very solid win percent in grass sprints. This gelding should be in shape and ready to win. Horse didn't end up on the board in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground down the stretch. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the wire. Ward is hoping to get a little more out of this gelding by adding blinkers today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PINFIRE (ML=5/2), #8 CUORE SACRO (ML=7/2),

PINFIRE - Doesn't seem to have enough positive qualities to support the value. CUORE SACRO - Today's event is 5 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint event in the last couple months. Not the greatest of indicators. Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any kind of closing talent on September 14th.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #6 BE THERE on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-04-2023, 06:33 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #6 - Post: 9:50pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#1 GLOBAL EMPIRE (ML=8/1)
#6 BEEALEA (ML=7/2)

GLOBAL EMPIRE - This thoroughbred could be close at the end. He's got a fabulous late kick. BEEALEA - Last race was at Keeneland in a race with a class figure of 97. Dropping considerably in class rating this time puts him in a solid position today. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I believe can be a vital handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked number 1 in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 IRISH DECLARATION (ML=3/1), #3 KING DOODLE (ML=4/1), #4 DIAMOND DAVE (ML=9/2),

IRISH DECLARATION - The fourth place finish in the last event was not the greatest. Can't really invest in this kind of oft beaten public's top choice. This less than sharp equine ran a common rating in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that figure. KING DOODLE - This gelding is always around, but just doesn't finish first. Difficult to invest in him on the win end. Improbable that the speed figure he recorded on Oct 17th will hold up in this contest. DIAMOND DAVE - I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job done now and then.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #1 GLOBAL EMPIRE to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 11-04-2023, 08:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 FOOLISH BOY 5/2
# 9 FLASHY LOVER 8/1
# 6 PAL'S ALARM 5/1

My choice for this event is FOOLISH BOY. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a definite contender. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Thornton in the irons. Looks formidable to be up on the lead at the first call. FLASHY LOVER - Has longshot potential and could score at big odds. PAL'S ALARM - Breaux has a very solid win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-04-2023, 08:07 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#5 JAIME'S COMMITMENT (ML=6/1)
#7 MIGHTY RULER (ML=3/1)
#1 THECHIEFHASTRICKS (ML=8/1)

JAIME'S COMMITMENT - Trainer Bainum moves this animal down the ladder based on class to face a less competitive field. Look for a sharp performance given this drop. MIGHTY RULER - Chavez and DeLima partnered together are a railbird's friend. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (54-58-65) make this horse a dominant contender. THECHIEFHASTRICKS - Faced tougher last time out at Fresno. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this one on my list of contenders. Jimenezaburto and Puentes perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +585 ROI for a rider and handler.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 JOHNNY PAYCHECK (ML=7/5), #4 PLENTY COUPS (ML=3/1),

JOHNNY PAYCHECK - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this one does. Tough to put your dough on this oft beaten public's top choice. Not much value. PLENTY COUPS - Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a sprint event to be worth the chance at small odds in a sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #5 JAIME'S COMMITMENT to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 11-04-2023, 08:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 6	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 6 (Races 6-7-8-9-10-11)
Claiming $7,500 • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 8:39P
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DIXIE MOON JAGGER: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. RC MISTER G: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TRAIN HOPPIN: Horse has a TrackMa ster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ZEF LUCKY SEIS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GJR BOGART BEAUTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace.
9	DIXIE MOON JAGGER	7/2	5/1
1	RC MISTER G	10/1	7/1
8	TRAIN HOPPIN	4/1	7/1
2	ZEF LUCKY SEIS	20/1	8/1
10	GJR BOGART BEAUTY	6/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	RC MISTER G	1	10/1	Average	69	60	5.2	0.0	0.0
2	ZEF LUCKY SEIS	2	20/1	Slow	75	63	7.0	0.0	0.0
3	LOUISIANA BOSS MAN	3	30/1	Average	48	47	5.8	0.0	0.0
4	ROYALMIGHTYBUG	4	9/2	Fast	58	53	2.7	0.0	0.0
5	SR SWEET DIAMOND	5	3/1	Average	62	63	4.2	0.0	0.0
6	SOUTH TEXAS WILLYS	6	20/1	Average	66	61	4.7	0.0	0.0
7	BV CHAVELITA	7	12/1	Average	53	51	5.4	0.0	0.0
8	TRAIN HOPPIN	8	4/1	Average	73	59	4.5	0.0	0.0
9	DIXIE MOON JAGGER	9	7/2	Average	70	67	4.9	0.0	0.0
10	GJR BOGART BEAUTY	10	6/1	Average	78	58	4.0	0.0	0.0
11	FRILLS AND THRILLS	11	20/1	Average	40	51	5.6	0.0	0.0