Saturday 11/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358360

    Saturday 11/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #2
    nov-11-Blog.jpg

    Thank you to all of those who have served for the United States and Canada.

    God bless all of you for your victory and sacrifice you have brought to both nations.

    I'm truly blessed and thankful!

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

      PURCHASE
      Camarero - Race 4
      Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta /Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5
      Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 66 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P
      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Dominant Stalker. BOWSTRING BOY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOWSTRING BOY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. THAT'S MY BOI TOY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
      3
      BOWSTRING BOY
      10/1
      3/1
      5
      THAT'S MY BOI TOY
      4/1
      6/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      4
      PARMENIDES
      4
      3/1
      Front-runner
      64
      64
      65.2
      54.0
      47.0
      7
      JIMMYS LUCKIE MANN
      7
      2/1
      Front-runner
      65
      66
      48.2
      42.8
      32.8
      6
      KNIEVEL
      6
      10/1
      Alternator/Front-runner
      77
      66
      59.0
      54.2
      46.7
      3
      BOWSTRING BOY
      3
      10/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      75
      68
      68.8
      60.6
      54.1
      5
      THAT'S MY BOI TOY
      5
      4/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      86
      72
      65.8
      57.6
      54.6
      1
      UNDERTAKER BLACK
      1
      10/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      61
      56
      54.2
      47.6
      37.6
      2
      WICKED WEDNESDAY
      2
      10/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      61
      53
      58.0
      48.0
      37.0

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE


        Delta Downs - Race 9
        Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta
        Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 52 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:59P
        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * E R'S MIREYA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. DAT DARES RIGHT: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. CHACHA TO CATALINA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class R ating of its last race. JENNYSBIGBABY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHESTHEBIGGAME: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race.
        3
        E R'S MIREYA
        5/1
        6/1
        2
        DAT DARES RIGHT
        6/1
        7/1
        6
        CHACHA TO CATALINA
        4/1
        7/1
        11
        JENNYSBIGBABY
        6/1
        8/1
        4
        SHESTHEBIGGAME
        20/1
        8/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        11
        JENNYSBIGBABY
        11
        6/1
        Front-runner
        54
        36
        63.8
        28.6
        21.1
        3
        E R'S MIREYA
        3
        5/1
        Front-runner
        46
        35
        50.2
        36.6
        27.6
        10
        FLYING I
        10
        8/1
        Front-runner
        48
        43
        48.2
        32.2
        19.2
        4
        SHESTHEBIGGAME
        4
        20/1
        Alternator/Front-runner
        47
        36
        42.5
        28.8
        18.3
        2
        DAT DARES RIGHT
        2
        6/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        0
        0
        43.6
        37.0
        30.0
        6
        CHACHA TO CATALINA
        6
        4/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        0
        0
        40.4
        44.7
        38.2
        9
        SHE'SAGAMECHANGER
        9
        6/1
        Trailer
        0
        0
        14.9
        33.6
        22.6
        12
        GRACE'S VISION
        12
        15/1
        Trailer
        37
        38
        0.2
        27.4
        12.4
        7
        TALKABOUT
        7
        10/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        52.9
        20.7
        6.7
        8
        SHE'S THE SHERIFF
        8
        20/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        14.2
        17.1
        0.0
        5
        LIL PARTY CRASHER
        5
        15/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        3.4
        17.8
        0.8
        Unknown Running Style: TENSAS LU LU (3/1) [Jockey: Thornton Timothy - Trainer: Broberg Karl].

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 8 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 81

          QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 4 BIG WHISKEY TIME 9/5
          # 7 IM JESS TORIFIC 4/1
          # 5 PEPSI GREY 6/1
          BIG WHISKEY TIME is my choice. Put up a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. This filly has a strong winning percentage in short races. Strong jock with conditioner numbers make this horse a strong wagering choice. IM JESS TORIFIC - Shows reliable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. With Rivera uptop him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early for this event. PEPSI GREY - Looks very good versus this group and should be one of the early speedsters. Has to be considered based on the very good speed figure put up in the last contest.



          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE


            Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 93

            Rating:

            #6 SILENT SUNDAY (ML=6/1)
            #1 SLEW'S JOY (ML=4/1)
            #2 HOGMANAY (IRE) (ML=10/1)


            SILENT SUNDAY - If this gelding gets out of the gate cleanly, he'll be tough to catch. I like to see fast morning activity. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive. SLEW'S JOY - Nice return on investment for this rider and conditioner duo. Moger drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to figure that this horse is in a good spot at this level. HOGMANAY (IRE) - This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Mathis.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ATKINS (ML=2/1), #3 IN HONOR OF AUTISM (ML=3/1), #5 CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY (ML=5/1),

            ATKINS - I think this probable favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last race out at Ellis Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's event. Will probably be far back with much too much to do down the stretch. IN HONOR OF AUTISM - This questionable contender didn't go to the lead and didn't close down the lane last time he ran. Doubtful that the speed fig he registered on Oct 28th will hold up in this affair. CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY - This stretch-runner will probably be rolling down the lane much too late to make an impression in this race. Tough to play at 5/1 odds after the two most recent efforts.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #6 SILENT SUNDAY to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,6]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,3,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] Total Cost: $36

            SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
            [1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,3,6] with [1,2,3,5,6,7] with [1,2,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE


              Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $111,600 Class Rating: 81

              Rating:

              #7 MRS. C (ML=4/1)
              #8 TAG TEAM (ML=7/2)
              #10 MONEY BEETS (ML=15/1)


              MRS. C - Each one of this filly's recent finish positions has been progressively better. You'll be making money right and left by turning your betting money onto this jock/handler combination. This filly is in fine condition, having run a strong race on October 21st, finishing second. This filly's last speed rating is lofty enough to win here, I'll bet on her right back in today's event. TAG TEAM - Got some betting action in first race on Oct 21st at Woodbine, but finished fourth. Has a shot in today's race. Kimura rode this racer for the first time last out and comes right back in today's contest. Filly will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. MONEY BEETS - Strong return on investment for this rider and conditioner duo.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MAIDENS BLUSH (ML=3/1), #9 PRINCESSONAMISSION (ML=6/1), #2 TURBO PROP (ML=8/1),

              MAIDENS BLUSH - Would have to get much more than the morning line of 3/1 to wager on this mount. PRINCESSONAMISSION - Hard to put your money on this speedy one. Too much early zip in the affair. TURBO PROP - Difficult to wager on this racer this time around. Make her show you something in a short distance contest before you wager on her in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better speed figure than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 MRS. C to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,8,10]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [7,8,10] Total Cost: $6
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [7,8,10] with [7,8,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] Total Cost: $36

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $85000 Class Rating: 85

                FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 1 BURTON WAY 5/1
                # 6 RINGSIDE 7/2
                # 7 MODERN ERA 15/1
                My selection in here is BURTON WAY. Jacobson has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Could best this group of horses based on the speed fig - 78 - of his last affair. A solid 88 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of animals. RINGSIDE - Boasts formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses in this race. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of competitive win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. MODERN ERA - Competitive try today on Lasix. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (61 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

                  Delta Downs - Race 9
                  Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta
                  Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 52 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:59P
                  FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * E R'S MIREYA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. DAT DARES RIGHT: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. CHACHA TO CATALINA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class R ating of its last race. JENNYSBIGBABY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHESTHEBIGGAME: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race.
                  3
                  E R'S MIREYA
                  5/1
                  6/1
                  2
                  DAT DARES RIGHT
                  6/1
                  7/1
                  6
                  CHACHA TO CATALINA
                  4/1
                  7/1
                  11
                  JENNYSBIGBABY
                  6/1
                  8/1
                  4
                  SHESTHEBIGGAME
                  20/1
                  8/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  11
                  JENNYSBIGBABY
                  11
                  6/1
                  Front-runner
                  54
                  36
                  63.8
                  28.6
                  21.1
                  3
                  E R'S MIREYA
                  3
                  5/1
                  Front-runner
                  46
                  35
                  50.2
                  36.6
                  27.6
                  10
                  FLYING I
                  10
                  8/1
                  Front-runner
                  48
                  43
                  48.2
                  32.2
                  19.2
                  4
                  SHESTHEBIGGAME
                  4
                  20/1
                  Alternator/Front-runner
                  47
                  36
                  42.5
                  28.8
                  18.3
                  2
                  DAT DARES RIGHT
                  2
                  6/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  0
                  0
                  43.6
                  37.0
                  30.0
                  6
                  CHACHA TO CATALINA
                  6
                  4/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  0
                  0
                  40.4
                  44.7
                  38.2
                  9
                  SHE'SAGAMECHANGER
                  9
                  6/1
                  Trailer
                  0
                  0
                  14.9
                  33.6
                  22.6
                  12
                  GRACE'S VISION
                  12
                  15/1
                  Trailer
                  37
                  38
                  0.2
                  27.4
                  12.4
                  7
                  TALKABOUT
                  7
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  52.9
                  20.7
                  6.7
                  8
                  SHE'S THE SHERIFF
                  8
                  20/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  14.2
                  17.1
                  0.0
                  5
                  LIL PARTY CRASHER
                  5
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  3.4
                  17.8
                  0.8
                  Unknown Running Style: TENSAS LU LU (3/1) [Jockey: Thornton Timothy - Trainer: Broberg Karl].

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 8 - Stakes - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 92

                    JUVENILE SPRINT S. - FLORIDA-BRED TWO YEAR OLDS. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, OCTOBER 29. $600 TO ENTER. A $100 SUPPLEMENTAL FEE MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 60% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. *(NOT PART OF THE ANNOUNCED

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 6 GENERAL LEDGER 9/5
                    # 4 SAINT NO MORE 6/1
                    # 1 BIG EFFECT 4/1
                    My choice here is GENERAL LEDGER. Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 83 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group of horses in this race. Is a solid contender - given the 89 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Decent selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. SAINT NO MORE - Looks like a solid candidate for the exotics. Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. BIG EFFECT - Conditioner boasts solid win figs at this distance and surface. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in his last contest.



                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Remington Park - Race #3 - Post: 8:03pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 64

                      Rating:

                      #10 SERENDIPITY COCO (ML=10/1)
                      #4 GRACE THE LADY (ML=6/1)
                      #2 TWO HANDS FULL (ML=5/1)


                      SERENDIPITY COCO - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Padilla. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This animal wins a lot of dough per race around the track. Uppermost in this race. Ran a lackluster race at Remington Park last out. Racing without the slop puts this filly at the top of my contenders list. GRACE THE LADY - Using this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart choice. Coming off a fourth place finish at Remington Park, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good morning line odds today. TWO HANDS FULL - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #11 GREEN LIGHT GIRL (ML=3/1), #6 CAT TALE SKY (ML=4/1), #1 TOM'S GIRL (ML=8/1),

                      GREEN LIGHT GIRL - A pattern of decreasing speed ratings 67/64/55 for this mount. The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the nice performance in the last race. CAT TALE SKY - If you keep selecting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be frustrated often. This filly earned a speed figure in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. TOM'S GIRL - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to back her.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #10 SERENDIPITY COCO to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4,10]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Box [2,4,10] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,4,10] with [2,4,10] with [2,3,4,6,10] with [2,3,4,6,10] Total Cost: $36

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 79

                        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 BACKSHOT 3/1
                        # 4 MY LITTLE TIPSY 5/2
                        # 6 FULL MAGAZINE 9/2
                        BACKSHOT has a quite good shot to take this race. With Arrieta getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Ran a solid last race. Shows signs of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 69 speed fig which is one of the strongest in this group. MY LITTLE TIPSY - Will almost certainly go to the front end and may never look back. Earned a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. FULL MAGAZINE - Looks very strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 89, and has to be given consideration for this event.



                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

                          Lone Star Park - Race 8
                          Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)
                          Claiming $15,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 81 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 9:21P
                          QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * IM JESS TORIFIC: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. TELLEM IM HIGH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designa tion or an "L" designation. BIG WHISKEY TIME: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. C OF A HEARTBREAK: Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                          7
                          IM JESS TORIFIC
                          4/1
                          9/2
                          10
                          TELLEM IM HIGH
                          12/1
                          7/1
                          4
                          BIG WHISKEY TIME
                          9/5
                          8/1
                          1
                          CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC
                          15/1
                          8/1
                          3
                          C OF A HEARTBREAK
                          7/2
                          9/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          1
                          CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC
                          1
                          15/1
                          Slow
                          74
                          77
                          6.5
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          2
                          MAKIN IT BIG
                          2
                          20/1
                          Average
                          71
                          69
                          4.9
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          3
                          C OF A HEARTBREAK
                          3
                          7/2
                          Average
                          67
                          77
                          4.1
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          4
                          BIG WHISKEY TIME
                          4
                          9/5
                          Slow
                          72
                          77
                          8.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          5
                          PEPSI GREY
                          5
                          6/1
                          Fast
                          74
                          68
                          3.4
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          6
                          SHEZA REAL ZOOMER
                          6
                          30/1
                          Slow
                          69
                          60
                          6.8
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          7
                          IM JESS TORIFIC
                          7
                          4/1
                          Fast
                          75
                          81
                          2.3
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          8
                          SG SHEZA JET TOO
                          8
                          12/1
                          Slow
                          72
                          69
                          6.2
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          9
                          SPECIAL LIL CRICKET
                          9
                          10/1
                          Slow
                          75
                          69
                          6.3
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          10
                          TELLEM IM HIGH
                          10
                          12/1
                          Average
                          83
                          70
                          5.1
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          11
                          BO TRAIN
                          11
                          10/1
                          Fast
                          74
                          67
                          3.4
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          12
                          THE RUNAWAY CARTEL
                          12
                          20/1
                          Average
                          68
                          63
                          4.2
                          0.0
                          0.0

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 3:01pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 78

                            Rating:

                            #14 BARAYE (ML=4/1)
                            #4 TWO SIP SALLY (ML=9/2)


                            BARAYE - Filly had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. If this filly gets out of the gate cleanly, she'll be tough to catch. Ward is solid in turf sprints. This horse should have no rationalizations if she doesn't win. Registered a nice turf figure on September 2nd at Saratoga. A repeat in this race, and this one has a great shot to win. TWO SIP SALLY - Jockey hops back on after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding last time around the track. That's always a good thing. Entered a Maiden Special race at Keeneland last time out and raced on the soft turf finishing fourth. I'd expect a better race in this race.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TAMMY LYNN (ML=7/2), #12 TWIRL AROUND (ML=4/1), #10 SHORE WAR (ML=5/1),

                            TAMMY LYNN - This stretch-runner will probably be closing much too late to make an impression in this contest. Earned a most unsatisfactory rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on October 6th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. TWIRL AROUND - No accomplishments for this vulnerable equine in a sprint event over the last couple months tells me that this filly is in a tough spot SHORE WAR - Doubtful that the speed rating she registered on October 19th will be enough in this race.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #14 BARAYE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,14]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            14 with 4 with [9,11,16] Total Cost: $3
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                            SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:
                            [4,14] with [4,14] with [9,11,12,16] with [9,11,12,16] with [9,11,12,16] Total Cost: $48

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

                              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                              RACE 12
                              1 1 COPACABANA HANOVER 7/2 Noble, Dan - 16 459.52
                              2 2 SHEEZ SMOKIN HOT 8/1 Melloy, Pat Jr - 11 424.32
                              9 9 SCIUTO 12/1 Smith, Jeremy - 24 415.12
                              3 3 RETRO HANOVER 6/1 Noble, Koltin - 7 397.70
                              6 6 BC SWEETHEART 5/2 Smith, Trevor - 6 396.19
                              4 4 HAILMARYFULLOGRACE 12/1 Cisco, Scott - 9 386.80
                              8 8 WIGGLE TOWN 8/1 Smith, Tyler - 12 368.78
                              5 5 BEGGINTOBEFRISKY 9/2 Kauffman, Kayne - 7 359.25
                              7 7 TOWNLINE TILLY 12/1 Miller, Brett - 13 276.37

                              Comment

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