Saturday 11/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #61
    Kenny Walker

    Free Pick on Charlotte+10.5

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    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #62
      ASA

      #156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET - Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall. App State is 1-3 SU on the road with only win over UL Monroe by 1 point which was far from an impressive road win. ULM is just 1-7 on the season vs FBS teams with their only win coming over Army by 4 points. Geogia State has played the much tougher Sun Belt schedule so far having faced JMU, Troy, Ga Southern, and ULL (all of the top teams in the league). App State has yet to play either of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt, JMU and Troy. Georgia State should control ground game in this one which is key. They have a very good running team averaging 187 YPG and App State is 123rd defensively vs the run allowing 195 YPG. The Mountaineers remain overvalued having covered just once in their last 5 games. We like Georgia State as a small home favorite.

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      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #63
        Doc's Sports

        Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #173 Nevada Wolf Pack+16.5 -108 over Utah State Aggies (3p.m., Saturday, November 11 MWC) Nevada fizzled out last Saturday as a favorite against Hawaii and thus ending their 2 game winning streak. Now they are back to familiar territory, being a big underdog on the road. Utah State is not good enough this year to be laying this many points this season against conference opponents. The Aggies give up 33 points per game and that should allow the Wolf Pack to keep this deficit around 10 points, well below the posted number. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card, highlighted by a top play winner from the Big 10. Jump on board now and let Doc and his 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.

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        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #64
          Rocky Atkinson

          Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Saturday 11-11-23

          Dallas @ Winnipeg (3:05 PM EST)
          Play On: Dallas -115

          The Dallas Stars travel to Winnipeg to take on the Jets on Saturday afternoon. Dallas is 8-4 overall this year while Winnipeg comes in with a 7-6 overall record on the season. Dallas is a solid 5-2 on the road this year allowing only 2.3 goals per game. Winnipeg is allowing 3.7 goals per game at home this season. Dallas is 5-1 last 6 road games. Dallas is 9-2 last 11 games when their opponent scored 5 goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is 17-5 last 22 games against the Central. Winnipeg is 6-22 last 28 games against a team with a winning percentage higher than .600. The favorite is 7-3 last 10 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Dallas today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #65
            Ricky Tran

            Ricky's 1* play on Utah+9.5

            Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

            - Utah are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

            - Washington are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the South Division.

            - Utah are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Washington.

            Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.

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            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #66
              Jack Jones

              Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Rutgers +1

              The Iowa Hawkeyes have gotten to 7-2 this season in spite of an offense that ranked dead last (133rd) in the country in total offense at 225.3 yards per game and 133rd at 4.0 yards per play. They haven't sniffed 300 total yards in Big Ten play this season. They are averaging just 13.5 points per game, 188.3 yards per game and 3.5 yards per play in conference play. Backup QB Deacon Hill is 47-of-113 (41.6%) passing for 492 yards with a 3-to-4 TD/INT ratio while averaging 4.4 yards per attempt.

              Rutgers comes in at 6-3 this season and just gave Ohio State one of their toughest tests of the season coming out of the bye. The Scarlet Knights actually outgained the Buckeyes 361 to 328, or by 31 total yards. The problem was settling for field goals in the red zone while the Buckeyes converted their opportunities into touchdowns. They Scarlet Knights kicked three field goals of 20, 21 and 22 yards and also had their next trip inside the 10 result in a 93-yard INT return TD for Ohio State.

              Rutgers does have the better offense and a reliable ground game that produces 190 rushing yards per game and 4.8 per carry this season. They rushed for 232 yards on Ohio State and 276 yards on Indiana the game prior. They are going to be the team that gets more consistent offense in this one, and that's going to be the difference in a game that is pretty evenly-matched defensively. Rutgers allows 284 yards per game while Iowa allows 298 yards per game.

              Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Iowa) - after gaining an average of 250 or fewer yards per game in their last three games are 77-38 (67%) ATS since 1992. Greg Schiano is 33-16 ATS as a road underdog as a head coach. Schiano is 26-11 ATS in road games off a conference loss as well. Bet Rutgers Saturday.

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              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #67
                Sean Murphy

                Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' 51 -107 between Miami and Florida State at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

                Both of these teams were lulled into low-scoring affairs last Saturday, albeit with much different results. Miami lost in blowout fashion on the road against N.C. State while Florida State eventually pulled away from Pittsburgh. I expect a much higher-scoring contest as the two in-state rivals match up on Saturday afternoon. The Seminoles offense is elite. It got bogged down on the grass against a punchy Panthers squad last Saturday but I expect it to face no such resistance this week. Meanwhile, Miami is a much better football team than it showed in Raleigh last Saturday. Expect a strong bounce-back performance from the Hurricanes offense here. Last year, Florida State routed Miami 45-3 but we're just one year removed from a shootout that totalled 59 points between these two teams. Take the over.

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                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #68
                  Ray Monohan

                  Washington -8.5

                  Saturday in Seattle, WA we get another NICE Pac 12 matchup between the Utah Utes (7-2, 5-3-1 ATS) and the #5 Washington Huskies (9-0, 4-4-1 ATS). H2H Washington is 7-2 in these two teams' L9. Last week the Utes took down ASU 55-3, and the UW Huskies were simply put, AMAZING in their dismantling of USC. The final score was 52-42. Washington can obviously come at you in so many ways. Penix Jr. a future Sunday football QB has been one of the best QB's in the Nation (understatement), and now Utah has to worry about Dillon Johnson stealing the show? It's almost unfair. All he did was run for 256 yards last week, oh, and he chipped in with 4 TD's. According to PFF he had 129 yards BEFORE contact. Sure the Utes bounced back last week after their home blowout loss to Oregon, but covering in Seattle is a whole nother headache altogether. The Washington O-Line will be creating RED SEA sized holes on Saturday and I think UW cruises to an easy cover. Utah are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. UW. On the other side Washington are 10-0 SU in their L10, are 12-0 SU in their L12 at Husky Stadium, are also 12-0 SU in their L12 vs. Pac 12 teams. 61% of the public money is coming in on Washington. Back the Huskies. Purple Reign! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

                  Saturday 5* FREE CFB ATS Play

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                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #69
                    Brandon Lee

                    7* NCAAF Oklahoma St/UCF Free Pick

                    PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -2.5

                    I'll take my chances with the Cowboys as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against UCF. I don't see Oklahoma State suffering that big of a letdown (off win over Oklahoma) here against the Knights. The Cowboys have won and covered each of their last 5 games. They are in prime position to make the Big 12 title game, tied with Texas for the best record in league play at 5-1 and owning the tie-breaker against 4 of the 5 teams (KU, Oklahoma, WV and K-State) who are tied for third at 4-2.

                    I just don't think UCF is the team to stop this train. The Knights are coming off a win at Cincinnati, but failed to cover again. UCF is a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games (also 1-5 SU). Knights defense has been atrocious in Big 12 play, giving up 38.2 ppg, 481.3 ypg and 6.5 yards/play. Give me Oklahoma State -2.5!

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                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #70
                      John Martin

                      1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee -1.5

                      The Missouri Tigers just played their 'all in' game against the Georgia Bulldogs last week. That game was for 1st place in the SEC East and they gave a valiant effort in a 30-21 loss. But now that they know their SEC East title hopes have been crushed, I don't expect them to respond very well this week. The Tigers are dealing with a ton of injuries on defense stemming from that defeat and they could be without their best receivers in Luther Burden III, who means everything to their offense. Tennessee had a cupcake last week and crushed UConn 59-3. They will still be fresh for this showdown with Missouri, a team they have owned in recent meetings. Tennessee is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Missouri winning 66-24 in 2022, 62-24 in 2021 and 35-12 in 2020. These games haven't even been close. Give me Tennessee.

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                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #71
                        Jimmy Boyd

                        1* Free Pick on Montana State+12.5 -115

                        All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #72
                          Bobby Conn

                          1* Free Play on Canadiens+192

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #73
                            Kyle Hunter

                            *3 Star Free Play: UTSA-13.5* The Rice Owls are likely without J.T. Daniels. Daniels is the key to their offense. Rice has very little running game, and Daniels has been doing the heavy lifting for the offense throughout the course of the season. The Owls defense is very weak against the pass. UTSA is led by Frank Harris. He was injured earlier this year, but he is healthy now and this team is rolling. UTSA is first in the AAC in yards per play margin inside conference play. I'll lay the points here with the healthier team and the better defense. Take UTSA.

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                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #74
                              Totals Guru

                              Free Total Annihilator On Rice vs UTSA under 57

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                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #75
                                Timothy Black

                                1* Best Bet on Sabres/Penguins over 6.5 -140

                                No analysis provided.

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