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Wednesday 11/29/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Champions League Wednesday Free Play UNDER 2.5 -112 in Benfica vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Two teams very capable defensively. This one is priced this way on the total with good reason. Goals will be tough to come by here in a hard fought battle. 3 of last 4 Inter Milan matches have totaled 2 or less goals in this Champions League competition. 7 of last 10 Benfica matches overall across all competitions have totaled 2 or less goals. Free Pick UNDER 2.5 in Benfica
Lafayette (1-6, 0-4 at HOME) aims to halt a three-game losing skid as they take on Drexel (3-3, 1-2 AWAY) at Kirby Sports Center in Easton, PA. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. For those who like straightforward bets, Moneyline odds stand at Drexel -313 and Lafayette +247. The Over/Under total is 123, with Drexel initially favored by -6.5 points. ULL has been much better than their record indicates. They come in with just 1 win on the season, but they’ve been extremely competitive in their recent matchups. They fell at Penn by only 2 and took both Monmouth and Belmont down to the final few minutes. This is just too many points in this spot. This defense from ULL only gives up 70.6 points per game. Drexel by no means is a team that is going to overwhelm anyone either. Averaging just 64.5 points per game, Drexel has been a struggle themselves from the field. They’re going to have a ton of issues dealing with this ULL defense from the start. Look for them to be unable to find open shooting lanes, in what should be a game that comes down to the wire. Free play for today. Trends, Drexel are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Interesting tidbit, Lafayette are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Wednesday when playing at home, and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.
This may look like a lot of points for a team like the Orlando Magic to cover, but they are 12-5 SU and 14-3 ATS on the season and they'll face a Washington team that is 3-14 SU and 8-9 ATS.
Washington just ended a nine-game skid with a 126-107 win in Detroit on Monday, but I think that just makes them more likely to come out flat again tonight.
The Wizards are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. I think the line will close with Orlando as at least an 11-point favorite.
2* FREE PICK ON THE ORLANDO MAGIC-10
LA Lakers @ Detroit (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: LA Lakers -6 1/2 -115
The Los Angeles Lakers travel to Detroit to take on the Pistons on Wednesday night. The Lakers are off a 44 point blowout loss to the Sixers a couple days ago. The LA Lakers are 10-8 overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 2-15 overall record on the season. Detroit is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS this year against non-conference opponents. Detroit is 0-5 SU last 5 games overall allowing 123.8 points per game. The Lakers are 5-0 SU last 5 meetings overall vs Detroit. Detroit is 0-7 SU last 7 home games. Detroit is 0-10 SU last 10 games overall. Detroit is 1-6 ATS last 7 games against the Pacific division. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Lakers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Wednesday CBB Free play. My selection is on Morehead State plus the points over Austin Peay at 8 pm et on Wednesday.
I can't help but feel the wrong team is being favored in this matchup on Wednesday. Morehead State has faced the eighth most difficult schedule in the country so far this season according to KenPom. Meanwhile, Austin Peay has gone against the 91st toughest slate of opponents. Despite that, Morehead State has made good on one more field goal on average despite hoisting up two fewer attempts per game compared to Austin Peay. Defensively, Morehead State has allowed one less made field goal per game on three additional attempts by comparison. We'll grab all the points we can get with the visitors here. Take Morehead State.
Matt Fargo
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES+3.5 for our Wednesday Free Play. Colorado St. is off to a surprising 6-0 start including a huge upset against Creighton last time out by 21 points as a nine-point underdog. With this being a rivalry game, there will be no letdown but that victory is inflating this line as the Rams have overachieved against a relatively soft schedule where they are on a 5-0 ATS run. Colorado is coming off a rough 15-18 season where it sent 6-12 in the Mountain West Conference and have been pegged for another middle of the pack finish with three starters back and two key players on the shelf already. Colorado has opened 5-1 with a loss to Florida St. at the Sunshine Slam in Florida being its only blemish. The Buffaloes bounced back with a blowout win over Iona but failed to cover and they are on a 0-3 ATS run which is also adding value. They have fallen out of the AP top 25 after getting up to No. 18 and now it is the little brother that is ranked as Colorado St. has moved into the No. 20 spot following the win over the Bluejays. Colorado is a contender in the Pac 12 and are still the better team here. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 40 and 42.5 percent shooting and +6 or higher in rebounding margin going up against teams between +/-3 in rebounding margin. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (709) Colorado Buffaloes
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