Saturday 12/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

PURCHASE

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 6	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 4 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8-9) Super High 5
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 72 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 3:19P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS UNDER INTERNATIONAL MEDICATION PROTOCOL. HORSES ENTERED TO COMPETE SHALL NOT BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE FUROSEMIDE LESS THAN TWENTY-FOUR (24) HOURS PRIOR TO POST TIME FOR THE RACE.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. MACHO GIRL is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * COPPER BOUND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fou rth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY KHOZ: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	COPPER BOUND	3/1	7/2
9	LADY KHOZ	6/1	4/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	THREE RUN BOLT	4	7/2	Front-runner	0	0	81.5	44.6	37.1
3	COUNTRY ECONOMICS	3	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	67	61	48.2	46.4	34.4
9	LADY KHOZ	9	6/1	Stalker	63	66	71.6	56.2	51.7
1	COPPER BOUND	1	3/1	Stalker	78	56	55.5	52.9	47.4
13	COLLECTED DREAMS	13	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	60	0	73.9	55.9	45.4
5	SOFSTER	5	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	54	47.0	46.5	37.5
11	MACHO GIRL	11	15/1	Trailer	0	0	0.0	50.2	38.2
6	BELLY DANCE	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	48	67.6	41.9	30.9
7	MOR FOXY	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	66.4	31.3	13.8
12	BUCCHANERA	12	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	47.4	13.3	0.0

Unknown Running Style: CAJUN GAL (20/1) [Jockey: Sosa Laureano - Trainer: Paragallo Jennifer], CALI CRUISER (6/1) [Jockey: Gomez Kevin - Trainer: Ness Jamie], GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME (15/1) [Jockey: Allen Jr Ronald Dale - Trainer: Bowersock Maria].

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Maiden Claiming $4,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 53 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. 4# A CLASF.$4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * SHOW ME LOVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. KIM'S FINALE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	SHOW ME LOVE	2/1	7/5
5	KIM'S FINALE	6/1	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	KIM'S FINALE	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	50	24	44.7	16.8	12.8
1	SHOW ME LOVE	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	52	40	44.0	41.8	39.3
3	PICK ONE REMI	3	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	44	15	32.2	17.0	11.5
4	ALICIA EMILIA	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	29.3	13.5	5.0
2	LA NIETA DE CHEPA	2	50/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Fair Grounds - Race #5 - Post: 2:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $55,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#5 BISATE (ML=6/1)
#2 JUSTIFREAK (ML=7/2)


BISATE - This trainer has an ROI of +250 with horses first time out. JUSTIFREAK - Kenneally drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping information to figure that this horse should have a chance to win at this level. This colt's last speed rating is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll bet on him right back in today's event. This colt is uppermost in earnings per race. Take a good look at this animal in the post parade. Gets help from Kenneally with the addition of Lasix.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MOSAICO MAN (ML=3/1), #3 BOURBON'S FAULT (ML=6/1), #9 FUNNYFLAME (ML=6/1),

MOSAICO MAN - Don't believe this racer will do much running in today's race. That last speed rating was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure. BOURBON'S FAULT - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to earn a better fig than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt route. FUNNYFLAME - Doubtful that the speed figure he notched on November 23rd will be enough in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #5 BISATE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	5 with 2 with [3,7,9] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	5 with 2 with [1,3,4,7,9] with [1,3,4,7,9] Total Cost: $20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 95

GOWELL S. - FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 PIPIT 4/1
# 7 CANDI GIRL 3/1
# 9 TRIAL 5/1

PIPIT looks to be a formidable contender. Has recorded formidable Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. This horse has to be wagered on at the expected high odds. Her 85 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this race. CANDI GIRL - Has performed strongly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 84 avg speed fig. TRIAL - Has been racing well and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance.

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 106

DAVE'S FRIEND S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. WHICH HAVE NOT BEEN PERMITTED LASIX WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. BY FREE SUBSCRIPTION. $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $500 TO START, WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 1% TO SIXTH. WEIGHT: THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 125 LBS. OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $60,000 TWICE IN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 12 STAGE LEFT 7/2
# 6 THREES OVER DEUCES 30/1
# 11 FACTOR IT IN 6/1

I lean toward STAGE LEFT here. He has posted very good figures under today's conditions and should fare well against this field. Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent Speed Figures with an average of 100. Must be given a chance based on the very good speed figure put up in the last competition. THREES OVER DEUCES - Handler boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. FACTOR IT IN - Has been running very well and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. This horse has a good win percent in dirt sprint races.

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:36pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $125,000 Class Rating: 96 Tropical Park Oaks

Rating:

#10 BREATH AWAY (GB) (ML=9/2)
#8 ALPHA BELLA (ML=10/1)
#9 IMPLICATED (ML=7/2)
#1 CAIRO CONSORT (ML=3/1)
#12 STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) (ML=4/1)


BREATH AWAY (GB) - This jockey and handler's animals have been generating a profitable return on investment. That 98 fig this filly registered in her last affair tells me she's a major player in today's event. ALPHA BELLA - Pletcher has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. Saez and his horse make quite a tandem. Together they've been winning at a clip of 50 percent. You probably should toss that last race at Belmont at the Big A on the soft turf where she finished off the board. Should do well right here in this race without the slop. IMPLICATED - I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the grass. That barn has a solid win pct for this distance/surface. I like a pony that manages to finish in the money as often as this filly. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. CAIRO CONSORT - A filly like this one, almost always on the board, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This filly has impressed last two times out posting strong speed figs. With a repeat performance, she'll probably win this race. Ortiz and his horse make quite a tandem. Together they've been winning at a clip of 50 percent. STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) - Brown is great in grass routes. This equine should have no justifications if she doesn't win. Came home in quick time last time around the track. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) (ML=8/1),

NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) - When examining today's class figure, she will have to garner a much better speed figure than last out to vie in this turf route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #10 BREATH AWAY (GB) to win if you can get at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[8,10] with [8,9,10] with [1,8,9,10,12] with [1,8,9,10,12] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[8,9,10] with [1,8,9,10,12] with [1,8,9,10,12] with [1,8,9,10,12] with [1,8,9,10,12] Total Cost: $72

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 7	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-9) $1 Pick 6 (Races 7-12)/ Daily Double
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 90 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 3:00P
LETELLIER MEMORIAL S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES. FREE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, DECEMBER 9. $550 TO ENTER; $550 ADDITIONAL TO START. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS OF $2,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY WHICH SHALL INCLUDE ALL FEES. $100,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 4% TO FOURTH, 2% TO FIFTH AND 1% TO FINISHERS SIXTH THROUGH NINTH. ANY UNPAID PURSE MONIES WILL REVERT TO THE WINNER. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $65,000 ALLOWED 2 LBS, $55,000 ALLOWED 4 LBS, $45,000 ALLOWED 6 LBS (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN IN THE FOLLOWING MANNER: GRADED OR GROUP WINNERS IN ORDER (I, II, III), THEN HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS. ANY HORSE EXCLUDED FROM RUNNING BECAUSE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED PREFERENCE SHALL BE REFUNDED THE ENTRY FEE OR SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION FEE IF APPLICABLE. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED SATURDAY - DECEMBER

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. HALINA'S FORTE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HALINA'S FORTE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BRUNCH PUNCH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LESLIE'S LOOT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	HALINA'S FORTE	2/1	3/1
6	BRUNCH PUNCH	9/2	8/1
8	LESLIE'S LOOT	15/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	HALINA'S FORTE	3	2/1	Front-runner	88	85	89.4	81.7	78.7
8	LESLIE'S LOOT	8	15/1	Front-runner	81	76	87.2	64.4	54.9
6	BRUNCH PUNCH	6	9/2	Front-runner	78	88	81.7	68.2	58.7
2	KANT RESIST IT	2	8/1	Front-runner	83	71	79.5	64.2	52.7
4	BEDOWNTOFOOLAROUND	4	30/1	Front-runner	54	56	51.4	52.9	36.9
7	DEBOISBLANC	7	3/1	Stalker	79	83	80.2	65.4	55.4
5	TWIRL AROUND	5	4/1	Stalker	79	93	71.6	75.0	70.0
1	MIXER	1	8/1	Trailer	84	80	64.4	76.9	70.9

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
1	1	DONTFORGETMASTER	9/2	Noble, Dan - 17	532.39
4	4	BODELICIOUS	2/1	Page, Chris - 18	515.69
2	2	FUTURE MVP	8/1	Smith, Jeremy - 22	505.56
5	5	SCORECARD DAN	8/1	Widger, Sam - 11	500.22
7	7	DOMOVOY	6/1	Smith, Tyler - 12	496.10
9	9	SIMPLY VOLO	7/2	Sutton, Josh - 11	484.36
8	8	BOLD STRATEGY	10/1	Kauffman, Kayne - 7	474.28
3	3	KABOOMSKI	12/1	Hanners, Austin - 6	435.32
6	6	CELEBRITY PEGASUS	15/1	Miller, Brett - 10	434.81

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 10 - Post: 3:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$6300 - NW $3,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS. NW L3 ALLOWED $500. STARTERS IN CLASS HIGHER THAN NW $5,000/WINNER THIS CLASS L ST NE. AE:NW 4 EXT PM RACES LIFE/WINNER NW $2,500/TM75.50 LAST START OR TMR 76.50 OR LESS. OPT.CLAIM $12,500. B. BECKWITH CHOOSES NO. 1 OVER NO. 5 A. SIEGELMAN CHOOSES NO. 3 OVER NO. 7 J. AHLE CHOOSES NO. 8 OVER NO. 4

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 THREE IN HEAVEN A 3/2
# 5 FLYING IMAGE 5/1
# 1 MUSIC IS ART 7/2

Hey, listen up! THREE IN HEAVEN A is the wise bet if you like to win. Could provide us a win based on really strong recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 88. Seems to have a competitive class edge based on the competitors he has faced. Could be considered for this race if only for the really strong speed rating achieved in the last competition. FLYING IMAGE - Dubois has a really strong return on investment when his entrants go up in class. MUSIC IS ART - Recent rankings for the driver - 19 percent win - make this gelding a clear choice in the group of horses.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 7:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$9000 - N/W $3,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 STONEBRIDGE REEF 3/1
# 9 ROCK THE DEVIL 7/2
# 5 FULSOME 6/1

Hard not to get behind STONEBRIDGE REEF as the top choice in this event. With a 91 avg class rating, this standardbred has one of the most favorable class edges in the field. The handicapping team keenly points out that when Ryder trains this nice horse, the odds of finishing hitting the board go way up. ROCK THE DEVIL - Comes into this race with respectable TrackMaster class ratings in relationship to the group - could be worth a shot. You have to like a horse that wins a lot, very high win statistic. FULSOME - The 5 position sports a much higher than average win pct at Meadowlands. Could very well be the strongest in the group of animals here, showing competitive figures of late. Avg speed is a solid 90.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 13
4	4	IDEAL DESTINY	7/5	Merriman, Aaron - 24	555.10
7	7	TOBINS SECRET	8/1	Davis, Billy Jr - 16	517.30
2	2	DAY TO PARTY	4/1	Lems, Chris - 12	504.73
1	1	JILLIAN B MIKI	9/2	Deaton, Elliott - 11	488.64
5	5	BEYOND WORDS N	9/1	Hanners, Luke - 12	470.59
3	3	ALLBOUTTHEMATERIAL	12/1	Neill, Drew - 9	466.77
6	6	DELIGHT KATE	25/1	Myers, Hunter - 13	448.43
8	8	VIBRENT KALLY	25/1	Rhoades, Braiden - 2	447.16
9	9	SAUCY DANCER	25/1	Grismore, Greg - 6	422.33

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Post: 8:07 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$8000 - FILLIES & MARES - N/W OF 3 RACES OR $37500. LIFETIME

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 YES IM HUNGRY 6/1
# 2 ALLSTAR FINEST 5/2
# 5 ALL SHE CAN 3/1

Hard not to lean toward YES IM HUNGRY as the top pick for this one. Has a bang-up shot in here, if she can perform to her back class. This fine animal earned a formidable TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. Looks fresh to come right back. ALLSTAR FINEST - Many bettors will recognize the top notch speed rating in the last outing. Stacks up against any horse in this field. Deserves a shot given the above average win stat she sports. ALL SHE CAN - Looks like a strong selection in this race and her better than average winning percentage says she has the determination to end up in the winner's circle in this one. Many horse players will recognize the fantastic speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this field.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Century Mile

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
7	7	SHARK WEEK	1/9	Hennessy, Michael R - 19	530.26
6	6	ERNESTO DELACRUZ	7/2	Gagne, Jean Francois - 12	487.23
2	2	BONUS ROUND	8/1	Kelly, David A - 20	476.16
3	3	NO COLLUSION	4/1	Campbell, J Brandon - 27	464.15
4	4	ICY BLUE SCOOTER	6/1	Sobey, Nathan K - 11	451.86
1	1	MATTS A MYSTICIAN	10/1	Gillis, Logan - 6	433.03
5	5	OUTLAW GUNSABLAZIN	12/1	Gray, Jamie D - 9	414.13

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Meadowlands

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 1
1	1	BETTER THAN SOME	12/1	Porter, Trae - 11	549.31
2	2	LOVIN ON YOU	6/1	Miller, Tyler - 9	536.13
5	5	THE BEST TYME EVER	4/1	Beckwith, Brett - 9	526.76
4	4	MAJESTIC KIWI N	10/1	Ahle, Johnathan - 8	523.07
7	7	SPORTS ADVISOR	3/1	Dalious, Barton - 14	519.80
8	8	SEE YOU FRIDAY	12/1	Ginsburg, Vincent - 4	511.46
10	10	PARKLANE TERROR	15/1	Smith, Steve - 5	507.14
3	3	SQUADRON SEELSTER	8/1	Athearn, Matthew - 11	491.03
9	9	HURRYMIKI HANOVER	8/1	Callahan, Corey - 11	490.76
6	6	LYONS PRIDE	5/1	Boyd, Braxten - 11	474.73