Saturday 12/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Arkansas State/Northern Illinois OVER 54.5

Arkansas State is definitely an OVER team. The Red Wolves average 27.8 points per game and allow 31.2 points per game. Their games average 59 combined points this season. They have scored 36.6 points per game in their last five games.

Arkansas State QB Jaylen Raynor is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He averaged 9.0 yards per attempt this season with a 15-to-6 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for 324 yards and five scores on the ground. This offense took off once he took over at quarterback.

Northern Illinois has averaged 30 points per game in its last eight games overall. They can take advantage of a bad Arkansas State defense that gave up 446 yards per game and 6.2 per play this season. The Huskies got good news when leading receiver Trayvon Rudolph withdrew from the transfer portal, and he is expected to play in this game.

Northern Illinois played a very weak schedule of opposing offenses this season to suppress their numbers. When they stepped up in class, they gave up 35 points to Toledo and 35 to Nebraska. I think Arkansas State will hang a big number on this overrated defense.

The weather looks good for a shootout in the Camellia Bowl with temps in the 60's and only 5 MPH winds expected at kickoff in Montgomery, Alabama. Northern Illinois is 6-0 OVER in its last six games away from home played on turf. Thomas Hammock is 9-2 OVER in road games after playing a game where 60 or more combined points per scored. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Troy-6.5

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Xavier-3.5

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Texas-Arlington+8

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Rob Vinciletti

The NCAAB Comp play is on Xavier-3.5 at 2 eastern. The Musketeers will look to bounce back off a road loss and get Seton Hall at home. The Pirates coasted past U.Conn as a home dog last out winning by 15 their 2nd straight dog win which sets them up in a system that plays against road dogs off back to back dogs wins vs a team off a loss that has .500 or better record. Xavier beat Seton Hall by 20+ points the last time they met. Look for them to get the cover here as a small favorite. For the NCAAB Comp play. Go with Xavier -3 or 4 points. Rob V-

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Doc's Sports

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take James Madison Dukes-2 over Air Force Falcons (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 23 ABC) ARMED FORCES BOWL. The Force really struggled down the stretch, losing 4 straight games and three came against teams that they should have beaten. The Dukes went 11-1 on the season, but did lose their coach after the regular season to Indiana. I always like fading triple option teams in the bowl season, since their opponent will have weeks to prepare for it. Air Force really struggled on offense with their quarterback play and today should be no different. Lay the small change with the Dukes, a team trying to win their 12th game of the season. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring football, basketball, and hockey selections you do not want to miss out on. Sign-up now and let Doc provide you a winning holiday season!

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Dave Price

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Los Angeles Clippers +1.5

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and playing their best basketball of the season. Their lone loss came on the 2nd of a back-to-back in their last game with Kawhi Leonard sitting. Leonard looks as good as ever and the Clippers are forming some great chemistry. They should have all hands on deck for this one now after having yesterday off. The Celtics will be without Kristaps Porzingis, plus Jayson Tatum is questionable after missing their last game with an ankle injury. The Celtics have lost 4 of their last 5 road games straight up and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Clippers have won 6 consecutive home games. Take Los Angeles.

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Steelers+3 -115

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Red Wings vs Devils over 6.5 -130

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Red Wings/Devils over 6.5 -130

No analysis provided.

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Sean Murphy

Saturday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'over' 243.5 (-115) between Orlando and Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Saturday.

Both of these teams are coming off a loss and both have been struggling over the course of the month. The Pacers had knocked down 45 or more field goals in six straight games prior to an off shooting night against the Grizzlies on Thursday. They're still averaging an impressive 47 made field goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Indiana has allowed 12 straight opponents to connect on 43 or more field goals. Everyone scores on the Pacers and the Magic were no exception earlier this season as they hung 128 points on Indiana on this floor on November 19th. Note that the 'over' is 15-5 in the Magic's last 20 games when coming off an ATS win but SU loss on the road, as is the case here. Indiana has seen the 'over' go 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games following a loss. Take the over.

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Mike Lundin

Jazz/Raptors NBA Free Pick

Sure, the Toronto Raptors will play on no rest following a 121-111 loss in Philadelphia last night, but I expect there to be enough gas left in the tank to handle a Utah team that is coming off a 119-111 win in Detroit on Thursday.

The Raptors are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite. The Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog and 1-6 ATS on the road off an ATS win for the season.

2* FREE PICK ON THE RAPTORS-5.5

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Brandon Lee

7* NBA Grizzlies/Hawks Free Pick

PLAY ON: Grizzlies PK

I'm backing the Grizzlies at essentially even money as a pick'em on the road against the Hawks. There's been no rust for Morant to shake off following his 25-game suspension. In his first two games back, Memphis has won 115-113 at New Orleans as a 8-point dog and then rolled the Pacers 116-103 at home as a mere 2.5-point favorite. Feel like we need to ride this out as much as we can with the Grizzlies and this has been a very overrated Hawks team this season. Atlanta is just 12-16 SU and 7-21 ATS this year. They are also just 4-7 SU at home. Give me the Grizzlies PK!

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Jeff Alexander

1* NBA - Pistons/Nets FREE PICK on Nets -9.5 -105

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Utah Jazz +6 -114

The Toronto Raptors will be playing the second of a back-to-back after a 111-121 loss in Philadelphia last night. The Raptors fell to 3-9 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This number is a little steep considering how poorly the Raptors are playing right now, plus with the rest edge the Jazz have after having yesterday off. The Jazz have gotten a lot healthier over the past week or so and are playing well, going 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. They pulled off four outright wins as underdogs and are once again getting no respect here. The Jazz are 45-25 ATS in their last 70 games as underdogs. Utah is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 games when coming off two consecutive road games. Give me the Jazz.