8-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

MLB BASEBALL PLAYS


2 Unit Play. #921 Take Under 10 ½ (+100) NY Yankees at Boston (Friday 8/21 7:10 PM)

The Yankees are 2-8 O/U following a SU win and the Red Sox are 6-20-1 O/U as an underdog. The last 8 meetings in Boston 6 of them have gone under the total.

3 Unit Play. #928 Take Chicago White Sox –1 ½ +105 over Baltimore (Friday 8/21 8:10 PM)

Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie is 7-12 with a 5.66 ERA. Guthrie's winless streak reached five starts (0-4) and tonight we should see the same outcome in Chicago. The White Sox are looking for W’s and stay close to Detroit in the Al Central. The White Sox are 17-8 in their last 25 home games.

Good Luck to All – Vegas Informer

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

IC

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8 between the Florida Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (Friday @ 7:30pm est). These teams and pitchers are familiar with each other. Both teams are tied for the division at 64-57. Its actually quite amazing the Braves are only 6.5 games back of the division lead and 4 games back of the Rockies for the wild card - the Marlins are the same disance as well as both teams have the same record. Anibal Sanchez has great talent and he has been banged up with injuries this year. He came back to face the Braves at Atlanta on April 16th and went 6 innings and gave up just 2 runs en route to a Florida 6-2 win. He faced the Braves again on May 7th and lost 2-4 at home. He has not made a start since June as he looks to come back into form today. Vasquez comes off a dissappointing 1-4 loss to the Phillies at home. Prior to that start, he had put togethr 8 of 9 quality starts as he is 6-1-1 over his last 8 starts. I believe both pitchers pitch well today as this is for second place in the division as this game is likely a pitcher's duel. The Under is 12-2-1 when Sanchez is an Underdog and the Under is 6-0-1 in Vasquez's last 7 home starts.



4 Unit Play. #605. Take Washington Mystics +7 @ Phoenix Mercury (Friday @ 10pm est). The Mystics are 12-13 and they are right in the thick of things for the playoffs. They have a very important game out west in Phoenix today as they look to .500 for the season. With the Dream winning the other night, the Mystics must together a strong effort today. Plus, when these two teams last met this year, Phoenix won 93-87. However, the Mystics actually outscored the Mercury by 8 points the remaining 3 quarters. It was simply the first quarter that this team struggled terribly as they fell behind early by 13 points. I look for them to get on a much faster start today. Washington also comes off a tough 3 point loss to the Sparks at Staples and a tough 1 point loss to the Liberty at home. They need this game. Phoenix comes off a big win at Chicago and I can see them having a let down here today. The Mystics are 4-1 ATS on the road of late, they have revenge here, there has been reverse line movement in their favor and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Phoenix.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

WNBA PLAYS

3 Unit Play. #605 Take Over 179 ½ Washington at Phoenix (Friday 8/21 10:05 PM)

Phoenix Mercury is averaging a league-high 92.6 points with Diana Taurasi’s 21.0 per game leading the WNBA. The Mercury have scored at least 100 points seven times this year. The last 6 meetings between these two teams 5 of them have gone over the total. Phoenix is 19-7 O/U in their last 26 home games. Washington is 4-1 O/U in their last 5 road games.

Good Luck to All – Vegas Informer

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Super Sports Group (SSG)

Phillies v. Mets 7:10pm

PICK: OVER 8.5 +105 (8*) Best Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Super Sports Group (SSG)

XNFL

Titans v. Cowboys 8pm

PICK: Titans +2.5 1H (2*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Destroy the book sports

10*brewers-121
10*cubs+132
7*rays-169
7*detroit-134
5*sd/st louis over 8
5*toronto-125

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Alatex

Tenn+3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Teddy Covers

Chiefs

Angels/Blue Jays over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Tim Trushel

20* under Oakland

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Stu Feiner


KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA 8:00 ET
THIS LINE HAS BEEN DROPPING ALL WEEK AND CONTINUES TO GO DOWN SO BET IT ASAP. IF THE GAME DROPS BELOW 3, BUY IT BACK UP TO 3 JUST IN CASE. BUT SAYING THAT, I THINK KANSAS CITY WILL WIN OUTRIGHT EASILY. YES I KNOW KC IS 1-9 ATS THEIR LAST 10 PRESEASON ROAD GAMES. YES I KNOW THE HOME TEAM HAS WON AND COVERED THE LAST 3 MEETINGS. WE THROW ALL THAT OUT THE WINDOW. NEW COACH TODD HALEY HAS RUN A VERY STRICT CAMP AND TONIGHT THEY ARE PLAYING TO WIN. WITH THE DEEPEST QB ROTATION IN PRESEASON, LOOK FOR CASSEL, CROYLE, THIGPEN AND MARTIN TO CONTROL THE GAME. WITH FAVRE JOINING MINNY THIS WEEK, I BELEIVE THERE ARE TOO MANY DISTRACTIONS FOR THEM TO BE FOCUSED TONIGHT. KC WINS GOING AWAY.
KANSAS CITY +3 1000 DIME SELECTION

Stu's 1000 Dimer

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Marc Lawrence

19-1 ATS NFL Super Pick Super System Play!

Kansas City Chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Fairway Jay

20* Dallas/Tennessee OVER 37.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

PLAYERS ADVANTAGE HUGE O/U TOP PLAY! Over 9.5 Royals vs. Twins - Aug 21

Scott Rickenbach’s Top Play: OVER the total in Kansas City vs Minnesota @ 8:10 PM ET: Hochevar vs Blackburn – We are getting some line value here due to the absence of Justin Morneau of the Twins for this game. We’re not going to lie to you. We’d sure love to his bat in there tonight. However, what’s funny about things like this is that Morneau is 0 for 4 in his career against Luke Hochevar of the Royals. Morneau’s replacement in the lineup is expected to again be Michael Cuddyer. Note that Minnesota’s Cuddyer is 2 for 6 with a double and an RBI against Hochevar. In other words, we sometimes get line value that is even “better than usual” in a situation like this. Morneau misses but Cuddyer comes in and knocks the cover off the ball. It is very likely with the way things have been going for Hochevar and the Royals pitching staff!

Kansas City’s Hochevar is 0-3 with an 8.59 ERA in his last four starts. Also, it’s not just Hochevar that’s struggling for the Royals pitching staff. Their team ERA, during their current 6-21 slide in home games, is a lofty 5.78 in these 27 home games! One of the few bright spots on this staff is closer Joakim Soria but even he is nursing a twisted ankle. Hochevar did have a very strong start versus the Twins on June 29th. However, look what’s happened since then! Hochevar had a 5.74 ERA and a .315 BAA in July. Also, in August he’s 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA and a .361 BAA in his three starts this month. Even though he had that great outing versus Minnesota earlier this season, note how he’s faded ever since then. Also note that Hochevar’s only other career start against the Twins certainly did not go too well! The right-hander allowed five earned runs on nine hits in 5.1 innings of work in his 2008 outing versus Minnesota. Look for another rough one here and, keep in mind, the bullpen has really struggled for the Royals.

The Twins are certainly not without their own pitching issues in this one. They hand the ball to Nick Blackburn and this outing has the makings of a disaster for him. Blackburn has always struggled more against lefties than righties in his career and the Royals are loaded with left-handed sticks! Additionally, Blackburn’s current form has simply been awful of late. Blackburn is 0-4 with a 10.17 ERA in his last six starts! In addition, don’t be fooled by his solid long-term numbers against the Royals. The last time Blackburn faced Kansas City he had one of his worst outings of the season. That start came less than two weeks ago and that means the Royals are getting a quick second look and, hence, another chance to get some very good cuts against him! Blackburn has lasted five innings or less in four of his last six starts and that will further tax a struggling Twins pitching staff. Minnesota has allowed 6.7 runs per game in their last 19 games and we look for more of the same here. Play OVER the total in Kansas City as a Top Play selection on Friday night!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

ASA's MLB pick on Fri, Aug. 21 - Under Arizona vs. Houston



3* ‘UNDER 9’ Arizona Diamondbacks (Petit) at Houston Astros (Oswalt) 6:05 PM
The Astros and Diamondbacks have both cooled off at the plate with Arizona batting .240 over the last ten games and Houston batting .251. Just twice in the past eleven games has Arizona topped four runs and Houston has scored two or fewer runs in five of the last seven games. The ‘under’ is 34-24-4 in games at Minute Maid Park this season and less than 8.6 runs per game are being scored in Houston despite a reputation as a higher scoring park.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .235 in road games this year and Roy Oswalt allowed just one run over seven innings in his last start against Arizona in June. Oswalt has just six wins this season but he has allowed one run or less in seven of his last 13 starts. The ‘under’ is 6-4 in his home starts and he owns an impressive 3.08 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Oswalt’s ERA in night games is just 3.67 and the Houston bullpen owns a 3.85 ERA in home games.

Yusmeiro Petit has terrible numbers for the season but he has allowed just ten runs in his last four starts. Petit owns a 4.15 ERA in his road starts as his main struggles have been at home at Chase Field. Arizona’s bullpen has shown significant improvement in the last month and the ‘under’ is 9-4 in the last 13 Arizona games which they have played as underdogs. The ‘under’ is also 32-24-3 in Arizona road games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Nick BookieKiller Parsons
Today's Pick: BOSTON RED SOX
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons provided exclusively to Plus10Club.com.

MLB
Yankees vs. Boston
7:10 EST

For a number of different reasons I feel that we're getting great value on the home side as the Red Sox look to end a recent slump vs. the Yankees: Boston dominated this rivalry over the season?s first half, winning the first eight meetings and taking a three-game division lead into the All-Star break as a result. The Yankees won their first eight overall after the break, though, and led the Red Sox by 2 1/2 games when Boston arrived in the Bronx for four contests starting Aug. 6, which the Yanks swept. New York has continued to play well since then, however they'll be in tough today; Boston has scored 42 runs in winning all six meetings between the clubs at Fenway this season, and also won the final matchup there last September. The Yankees will send Andy Pettitte (9-6, 4.09 ERA) to the mound for the series opener. The veteran left-hander has given up two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts, but has a mere 1-0 record to show for it as he?s received a total of six runs in support during that span. The Red Sox counter with Brad Penny (7-7, 5.22), who is 0-3 with a 7.54 ERA over his last four starts. He didn?t face the Yankees earlier this month but threw six shutout innings against them June 11, when he didn?t get the decision in Boston?s 4-3 win. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees. Penny is 5-2 with a 4.70 ERA at home as well. The lack of ball support that Pettitte has been receiving lately, the fact that the Red Sox were swept by the Yankees in their last series, and that Boston is a great 30-18 (+10 units) against division opponents means that I must recommend a play on the RED SOX! 6*