8-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Evan Altemus
Today's Pick: COLORADO ROCKIES
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Evan Altemus provided to Plus10Club.com.

MLB
San Francisco vs. Colorado
9:10 EST

San Francisco's line-up has struggled to hit lately, especially in their recent series against Cincinnati. Their hitters simply have problems producing offense on the road. The Rockies have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last few months, but the media hasn't really noticed, which means there is still great value on them. Colorado has a great pitching advantage today with Aaron Cook going against Jonathan Sanchez. The Rockies hit him hard the last time they faced him, while Cook shutdown the Giants just a few starts ago. Cook struggled in his last start, but I look for him to be motivated to have a strong outing today because of that. Colorado crushes lefties at home, both this season and especially recently. The Giants are also dealing with several injuries to starters. Look for Colorado to get a run line win.

3 UNIT SELECTION ROCKIES

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Dwayne Bryant
Today's Pick: ST. LOUIS RAMS
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Dwayne Bryant provided to Plus10Club.com.

NFL
Atlanta vs. St. Louis
8:00 EST

This is Atlanta's second straight road game and they did not look good in allowing 27 points and 454 yards at Detroit last week. That's what happens when your defense loses five starters to free agency. Atlanta's defensive reserves did not look good at Detroit, to say the least. The Falcons focus may also be a bit off, as they may get caught looking ahead to next week's '09 home debut, which also just happens to be televised by CBS. I'll take the Rams as a live home dog in this one

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

SPARTAN
Today's Pick: TENNESSEE TITANS
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Spartan provided exclusively to Plus10Club.com.

NFL
Tennessee vs. Dallas
8:00 EST

I have stated this in prior pre-season post's but will repeat it here. All my NFL exhibition games are single star plays. I have a system that is tryed and tested over several years that has ALWAYS produced winning results at the conclusion of the pre-seaon. I personally do not subscribe to the theory that you can break down an exhibition game, some claim to and more power to them. I feel I am as sharp as they come when it comes to NFL and have the past results to prove it. BET THESE RELEASES MODERATELY! Crazy, sick, weird things happen in the NFL, now multiply that by 10 for the pre-season, get my point? Just being straight with you guys. Over the course of the entire pre-season using my system we should make a profit and have some fun having a lot of action out there. Just don't step up to the plate with these swinging for the fences guys! Take The Titans.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Lenny Del Genio
Today's Pick: MINNESOTA TWINS
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Lenny Del Genio provided exclusively to Plus10Club.com.

MLB
Minnesota vs. Kansas City
8:10 EST

We look for the Twins to get back on track after an 11-1 drubbing at the hands of Texas last night against the struggling Royals, whom they have revenge on their minds for a 5-4 loss back on 8/13. Kansas City actually won two of those three games in the Metrodome, but we find Minnesota at 8-1 on the road when seeking revenge for a loss as a home favorite since the start of last season. Neither of these pitchers are in good form, with each seeing their team lose each of their four previous starts. However, the Twins? bats have excelled in division play, hitting .288 and scoring nearly six full runs per game. Over the last seven days, the Royals offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game and hitting .214 as a team. Take Minnesota.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Wunderdog

Game: Milwaukee at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

The Brewers lost Ben Sheets and CC Sabathia from last year's playoff team, but didn't skip a beat and surprised early by leading the NL Central. Reality has dealt a blow to those early-season hopes and surprises, and the Brew Crew now finds themselves back to reality. That 25-14 start has turned into a terrible 33-48 mark in their last 81, and recently really falling off the cliff by losing four straight, and just 16-27 in their last 43. That includes just 8-18 in their last 26 on the road. That puts the suddenly hot Nationals in prime position as a dog at home here, as the Nats are 15-10 in their last 25, but they are also 14-7 in their last 21 against a team with a losing record. I'll go with the Nats to win this one.

Game: Milwaukee at Washington (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Washington +1.5 runs -150 (runline) (risk 4 to win 2.7)

There has been a distinct role reversal for these teams over the last month. The Brewers, once 25-14, have fallen fast and hard and are now just 33-48 in their last 81, and 16-27 in their last 43, including 8-18 on the road. The Nats have been plenty hot at home, and when you consider them on the +1.5 runline, they would be 10-1 in their last 11 at home. That is troublesome to a Brewer team that appears to have cashed it in, and has dropped four straight. I'll go with Washington on the runline in this one.

Game: Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Los Angeles Dodgers -145 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.8)

The Dodgers have been the team to beat all season in the NL West. While the Cubs, expected to do big things, have found the road to the 2009 playoffs full of land mines. The Cubs used a big-time 16-6 stretch to push themselves over .500, but have gone back to struggling once again, as they are just 4-10 since. The offense continues to be a problem, and they have scored three runs or less in nine of the 14 games. Last night's loss to the Dodgers moved the Cubs to 10 games under .500 on the road, and now 14-37 in their last 51 as a dog, and have dropped six straight to teams with a winning record. The Dodgers meanwhile, continue to feast at home where they are now 62-27 in their last 89 as a home chalk. The Cubs had huge revenge motive for the playoff sweep at the hands of the Dodgers last year, and couldn't get it done. That makes the task here even more difficult. The Dodgers get the call.

Game: Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs +145 (runline) (risk 3 to win 4.4)

The Dodgers are churning out wins as a home chalk at the rate of 70% winners. Randy Wolf on regular four days rest has turned in a stellar 21-7 mark for the Dodgers in his last 28 starts. The Cubs' big failures have come against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less, as they are just 5-18 in their last 23 against top pitchers. And as good as Wells has been, he can't turn the tide as the Cubs are 0-4 with him on the mound as a dog. The Cubs' bats have been quiet on the road, and in their last 15 road losses, 14 of the 15 have been by two runs or more. I also like the Dodgers on the runline here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Matt Fargo

**9** NFLX DARK HORSE DANDY **78% ANGLE**

Kansas City Chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

BOB BALFE

Chiefs/Vikings Over 37
The Chiefs may have lost Tony Gonzalez, but they have a very impressive bunch at wide receiver and decent depth at running back. This is a team that should put up some points this year which is something they could not do in the past. The Vikings are the most talked about team in the league now that they acquired Brett Favre. The Vikings also have good receivers and great depth at running back. Favre will push the backup QB's especially Tavaris Jackson to step up their own play. Look for fireworks in this game on offense. Take the Over 37.

Rays -155 over Rangers
Kazmir/Nippert

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Scott Rickenbach

TOP PLAY

Royals vs. Twins Over 9.5

We are getting some line value here due to the absence of Justin Morneau of the Twins for this game. We’re not going to lie to you. We’d sure love to his bat in there tonight. However, what’s funny about things like this is that Morneau is 0 for 4 in his career against Luke Hochevar of the Royals. Morneau’s replacement in the lineup is expected to again be Michael Cuddyer. Note that Minnesota’s Cuddyer is 2 for 6 with a double and an RBI against Hochevar. In other words, we sometimes get line value that is even “better than usual” in a situation like this. Morneau misses but Cuddyer comes in and knocks the cover off the ball. It is very likely with the way things have been going for Hochevar and the Royals pitching staff!
Kansas City’s Hochevar is 0-3 with an 8.59 ERA in his last four starts. Also, it’s not just Hochevar that’s struggling for the Royals pitching staff. Their team ERA, during their current 6-21 slide in home games, is a lofty 5.78 in these 27 home games! One of the few bright spots on this staff is closer Joakim Soria but even he is nursing a twisted ankle. Hochevar did have a very strong start versus the Twins on June 29th. However, look what’s happened since then! Hochevar had a 5.74 ERA and a .315 BAA in July. Also, in August he’s 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA and a .361 BAA in his three starts this month. Even though he had that great outing versus Minnesota earlier this season, note how he’s faded ever since then. Also note that Hochevar’s only other career start against the Twins certainly did not go too well! The right-hander allowed five earned runs on nine hits in 5.1 innings of work in his 2008 outing versus Minnesota. Look for another rough one here and, keep in mind, the bullpen has really struggled for the Royals.
The Twins are certainly not without their own pitching issues in this one. They hand the ball to Nick Blackburn and this outing has the makings of a disaster for him. Blackburn has always struggled more against lefties than righties in his career and the Royals are loaded with left-handed sticks! Additionally, Blackburn’s current form has simply been awful of late. Blackburn is 0-4 with a 10.17 ERA in his last six starts! In addition, don’t be fooled by his solid long-term numbers against the Royals. The last time Blackburn faced Kansas City he had one of his worst outings of the season. That start came less than two weeks ago and that means the Royals are getting a quick second look and, hence, another chance to get some very good cuts against him! Blackburn has lasted five innings or less in four of his last six starts and that will further tax a struggling Twins pitching staff. Minnesota has allowed 6.7 runs per game in their last 19 games and we look for more of the same here. Play OVER the total in Kansas City as a Top Play selection on Friday night!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

charlie

nfl. chiefs+3, rams+3 & chiefs @ vikings over 37 (500* 3 team rd robin).
nfl. dallas-3 (30*)
mlb. reds+125 (20*)
mlb. toronto-125 (20*)
mlb. st. louis-130 (10*)
mlb. yankees-110 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

JACK JONES

15* Boston Red Sox +100
Take the Red Sox at home over the Yankees. Boston is a solid 38-18 at Fenway this season, including 6-0 so far against the Yankees. New York has been hot lately, but they are definitely a different team on the road. Brad Penny gets the start for the Red Sox and though is numbers aren't all that impressive at home, Boston is 8-4 in his 12 starts.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Mike Neri Sports

Philadelphia w/Hamels -179
Risk 1 Unit to make .56 Units

St Louis w/Lohse -128
Risk 1 Unit to make .79 Units

LA Angels w/O'Sullivan +115
Risk 1 Unit to make 1.15 Units

Tampa Bay w/Kazmir -170
Risk 1 Unit to make .59 Units

3* Kansas City +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd


MLB Baseball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB | Aug 21 '09 (7:05p)

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians -115

5* 17-0 Friday Night *BASES BEST BET* on Indians -115

The Tribe has the big edge tonight in this battle of southpaws. The Mariners are one of the worst hitting teams in the league against lefty starters, hitting just .255 and scoring only 3.7 runs per game this season. Meanwhile, the Indians are one of the best hitting teams against southpaw starters, hitting .285 and scoring 6.0 runs per game. The Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and 5-0 in Huff's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Mariners are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Plus, they are 17-38 in their last 55 games as a road underdog. Look for the Tribe to pick up its 4th straight win over the Mariners tonight.



NFL Football Premium Picks

NFL | Aug 21 '09 (8:00p)

Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings Kansas City Chiefs +3-115

4* Major NFLX Underdog of the Week on Chiefs +3

In case you haven't heard (yeah right), Brett Favre is aboard for the Vikings and is expected to get the start. While I do expect Favre to have a positive impact on this team this season, I don't expect it to be in his first preseason game after just a couple days of practice. It is also worth noting that Sage Rosenfels has missed considerable practice time this week with a sprained ankle, which likely means that Tarvaris Jackson and John David Booty will see the majority of the snaps - that's good for our side. The Vikings won their first preseason game and this one is just about getting Brett a few snaps and seeing what the youngsters can do. KC, which lost its first preseason game, will take a different approach. Wins mean a lot more to teams that are rebuilding in the preseason and I think you'll see a hungry Chiefs squad tonight. Lastly, history is on our side as plays against home teams in the preseason after a win by 10 or more points against an opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 25-7 ATS since 1993. Plus, the Vikes are just 1-3 their last four preseason home games. Take the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NFL Preseason
3 (***) Kansas City +3

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) LA Angels +114
3 (***) Cincinnati +126

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

KBHOOPS

5* CHIEFS +3 **Preseason Game of the Week**
2* Rams +3

5* Washington +112
5* Angels +115
5* Redsox +102

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-21-09

Ats lock

4 sea/cle ov 9.5
3 nyy
3 laa/tor ov 10