11-7-09

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

spartan

3* Missouri
2* Alabama
2* Oklahoma
2* Kansas St
2* Texas A and M

triple-dime bet 336 Missouri -14.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 335 Baylor
Analysis: Mizzou, I team I feel that I know better than any other handicapper in the country provided me with a surprise last week at Colorado as I lost my first game with them this season. A key, or rather the key factor was the health of QB Blaine Gabbert. The Tigers still have a legitimate shot to win the Big 12 North title which frankly is not much to boast about this season. Kind of like debating who was the biggest bad ass, Moe, Curly or Larry. With that said this Baylor team has been dismal since losing Griffin at the outset of the season. With a healthy Gabbert and an improving run game to compliment the passing attack to go along with a very much improved pass rush on defense, to me it all points to a sound Mizzou home victory„. I see the Tigers winning this game by at least 3 touchdowns and quite possibly more.


double-dime bet 348 Alabama -7.5 (-110) BetUS vs 347 LSU
Analysis: Whether you care for the guy or not you must give Nick Saban credit for coaching winning college football programs. No one being candid can deny the outstanding job he has done restoring the„ Tide to prominence. This is a team on an express track toward a showdown with Florida and I feel confident Saban will have his kids focused and ready to take care of business against Les Miles's LSU squad. As I looked at this game I found what I feel will play a key factor and that is the fact that LSU is tied for last in the conference in sacks with only 11 in 8 games. Fact is the Tide is one of the very best at NOT allowing the quarterback to get sacked. This is not a good combination for LSU and I feel Bama QB Greg McElroy will have sufficient time to do some serious work against the LSU secondary. You give a quarterback enough time to see the field and read his second and third options and it makes all the difference in the world. I feel this year Bama just outclasses LSU and that will very much be evident saturday. LSU might be a trendy pick for some but I'm not buying it.


double-dime bet 357 Oklahoma -5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 358 Nebraska
Analysis: Okay, I'll bite. Nothing much about this line makes much sense to me. I've looked at this game from every angle and talked with people whom I trust a great deal and there seems to be no skeletons in the closet that nobody is aware of. I just feel OU is far superior to this Husker squad and even though they are meeting in Linclon that just does not bother me that much. Texas Tech went into Lincoln and dominated Nebraska and even Iowa State went in there and prevailed. This Sooner team is an altogether different breed of animal. Nebraska still play„s stout defense make no mistake about that but I have a real difficult time seeing the Husker offense mount enough of an offense to stay within this number. I feel this will be much closer than some anticipate and I am not making this any kind of game of the year or anything of that nature but I do suspect Stoops kids to get the win and clear the number for us.


double-dime bet 356 Kansas St. 3.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 355 Kansas
Analysis: This is not a game that will garner much attention across the country but I can assure you it is a big deal to the folks in Kansas. These two programs basically do not like one another, at all. At the beginning of the season I wou‚ld have laid three touchdowns with the Jayhawk's over Kansas State. However much has obviously changed with both of these teams and how their seasons have evolved. Bill Snyder has simply been doing of brilliant job of rebuilding the program which really slumped under former coach Ron Prince. Snyder beat Kansas 12 of 13 games before briefly hanging it up, he understands this rivalry and knows how to get his team sky high and ready to rumble with their intrastate rivals. Mark Mangino did his team no favors last week with his benching of team leader and quarterback Todd Reesing. He has a restless locker room and unsettled situation with a team falling short of expectations. They could suddenly rally and put together a huge effort but I feel more confident in the steady hand of Bill Snyder and I know his kids will be prepared. Wildcats very, very much a live dog here in my view.


double-dime bet 375 Texas A&M -3.0 (-110) BetUs vs 376 Colorado
Analysis: Texas A&M, like many teams in the conference often have struggled when traveling to Boulder to meet Colorado. However Mike Sherman has this Aggies team riding a 2 game winning streak and they seem to have their legs back under them after the beatdown at Kansas State a few weeks back. Sherman is to be applau‚ded for keeping that team together and rebounding when their season could have very easily gone into the tank. Coloradi is still too weak in my view at the quarterback position and were basically toyed with by Missouri most of last saturday. I look for much the same this week from a superior team from the far superior Big 12 South. To me a very reasonable number for us to clear. Aggies should leave Boulder in a good mood.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

WUNDERDOG
Picks and Analysis
Game: Northwestern at Iowa (Saturday 11/07 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Iowa -16 (-110)
A lot of people are down on Iowa based on their performance last week. They were down 24-14 going into the fourth quarter vs. Indiana. They went on to win the game by 18 points, scoring 28 unanswered in the final period. But instead of getting credit for that feat, they are getting beat up. I was actually impressed by that, knowing that Iowa was in a difficult spot last week. The fact that they could make that sort of comeback says a lot about a team that was supposed to be about defense only. We've been on Iowa a few times this year and they've done well for us. I like them here as well. They feel like they have something to prove based on what happened last week. They are also motivated by revenge. Northwestern beat the Hawkeyes 22-17 last season. That was a stinging loss as Iowa was favored by 9 points coming into the game. Even after allowing 24 last week, the Hawkeyes are giving up just 15.8 per game on average on the season. These teams have shared three opponents this season: Indiana, Michigan State and Penn State. The Wildcats lost two of those three and averaged 18.7 points scored vs. 28.7 allowed. Iowa beat all three including Penn State on the road. Their average score vs. the three was 26 to 15.7. Iowa is just too strong, and they have a couple of big motivating factors to boot. I like Iowa to run away with this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

Doc’s Sports


6 Unit Play. #32 Take Penn State -4 over Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Selection of the Week. In past years this would be a proper line. However, this Ohio State team is not as talented. Do not be misled by the two big wins over Minnesota and New Mexico State. The Gophers played Ohio State after visiting Penn State the week before and the Aggies are one of the worst teams in the country. The Buckeyes started the season with a limited offense and that problem still remains. This unit has trouble moving the football on the ground and QB Pryor is not a big passing threat. Now he must face off against one of the best defenses in the country and expect him to have a long day.

As for Penn State, this team is playing better after suffering a setback to Iowa. They are coming off two big road wins and they now appear to be on a mission. They will have a hostile crowd behind them and the Lions will roar loud and clear! Penn State 27, Ohio State 10.


5 Unit Play. #26 Take Michigan -6 over Purdue (Saturday 12 pm Big 10 Network) Top Big 10 Game. I went against the Boilers last week behind the theory that they were running out of gas playing for the ninth straight week. That proved to be a good theory, as they were beaten at Wisconsin, 37-0. Now they are back on the road again this week and I see a similar situation occurring since Purdue is drained. The Boilers offense can be dangerous, but losing a couple of key personal has hurt. The Boilers have played just three road games and given up 38, 35, & 37 points, respectively, in those affairs. This should tell you that their defense is suspect.


As for Michigan, they need this one since they are on a two-game losing streak. They are certainly not as strong as in past years but they have the talent to cover this number. Michigan needs this game to ensure a bowl, as their last two are against Wisconsin and Ohio State. Look for an all-out effort here, as the homer gets the call. Michigan 35, Purdue 24.


5 Unit Play. #87 Take LSU +7 ½ over Alabama (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Top Underdog Play. The Tide had last week off while the Tigers coasted past Tulane, 42-0. As in past years, look for this to be an all-out war. I like taking the points in this type of game since the real pressure is on Alabama. The underdog has the talent to cover and in reality they could win this one straight-up. The Tigers also have something to prove after laying an egg against Florida last month.

Revenge should also play a factor, as LSU was beaten in overtime last year. In that game, LSU had a 382-353 advantage in total yards. The Tigers must stop RB Mark Ingram and if they can accomplish this it will go right down to the wire. I do not see a straight-up upset..However, I see an easy cover with the dog. Alabama 24, LSU 20.


4 Unit Play. #26 Take Over 53 in Purdue @ Michigan (Saturday 12 pm Big 10 Network) Top Totals Play. Both teams do not have very good defenses, as the results of their performances last week would indicate. Michigan gave up 38 points last week to Illinois and Purdue gave up 37 points to Wisconsin. Both teams like to pass and, thus, expect a long game with a lot of clock stoppages. Both teams are noted for giving up big plays and Purdue is among the national leaders in turnovers. When you add all of this up, it should be a high scoring game with Michigan coming out of top. Michigan 35, Purdue 24.


4 Unit Play. #46 Take Notre Dame -11 over Navy (Saturday 2:30 pm NBC) I have not backed the Irish much the last few years. However; they seem to be improving each week and this should be a great spot for a rout! Thought that the line would be between 14-17 points, but this is a real gift. Both teams have had injury problems at the quarterback position. However, the Middies have become one-dimensional and cannot throw the ball whatsoever. The Irish have been a very good at stopping the run.

Temple had great success controlling the line of scrimmage last week and I see Notre Dame doing the same as well. The Irish have played a much tougher schedule and it will show in this contest. The game will not be close, especially with the likely return of WR Michael Floyd. He is the most athletic player on the field and the defensive backs will not be able to contain him and WR Golden Tate. Homer gets the call. Notre Dame 42, Navy 17.


4 Unit Play. #63 Take Fresno State -8 over Idaho (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN U) It’s hard to go against Idaho, as the potatoes have become the nation’s sentimental favorite. What a job Coach Robb Akey has done but the reality will set in here. The Vandals will be really tested this week and then likely get blown out by Boise State next week. In fact, I think they will be blown out in both of these games.

This week’s match-up will be very similar to Idaho playing Nevada two weeks ago. Idaho could not stop the Wolf Pack at all and gave up 70 points to them. Fresno State is talented and used to playing the heavyweights from BSC Conferences. They have been on the road against Wisconsin & Cincinnati. Idaho has improved but the talent gap is still large. Louisiana Tech ran up 600 yards of total offense on them last week and the Bulldogs should follow suit. Visitor wins this one big! Fresno State 45, Idaho 24.


4 Unit Play. #98 Take Stanford +7 over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm FSN) No question that Oregon is playing as well as anyone in the country. They are coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. That win only creates a big letdown spot here. They are on the road against a club that is rested and talented. An interesting statistic is that teams that beat USC are just 11-22 ATS in their next game.

As for the Cardinal, they are 4-0 this season at Stanford Stadium. They have dropped seven straight games to Oregon, including in 2008 when they led all the way only to lose, 35-28, in the final seconds. Can they finish the job in 2009? See no reason to say no. Call it close with the Cardinal coming out on top. Stanford 24, Oregon 21.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

Dave Malinsky

Saturday 3-Pack

6* oregon State +7.5
5* south carolina +7
4* Maryland +7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

CKO
The Gold Sheet

CKO Vol. 48 Nov. 6 - Nov. 9 , 2009 No. 10


* -Denotes Home Team

11 *MINNESOTA over Illinois
Late Score Forecast:
*MINNESOTA 38 - Illinois 21

10 *GEORGIA TECH over
Wake Forest
Late Score Forecast:
*GEORGIA TECH 38 Wake
Forest 13


10 *MISSOURI over Baylor
Late Score Forecast:
*MISSOURI 40 - Baylor 13


10 *KANSAS STATE over Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS STATE 31 - Kansas 20


10 ARIZONA over *Chicago
Late Score Forecast:
ARIZONA 26 - *Chicago 19

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

from a friend of IWS

Wunderdog College Football Upset Alert

This Week's Picks (5)
Wake Forest +530 over Georgia Tech
Rice +630 over SMU
LSU +250 over Alabama
Oregon State +245 over California
UL Lafayette +420 over Arkansas State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

Teddy Covers
11/7/09 CFB 20* Big Ticket: Cincinnati -17 (314)
11/7/09 CFB Illinois +7 (319)
11/7/09 CFB Duke +10 (327)
11/7/09 CFB Wisconsin -10 (329)
11/7/09 CFB Penn State Under 39 -110 (360)
11/7/09 CFB Texas A&M -3 (375)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

tim trushel
20*/ stanford
reg/maryland
reg/army
reg/washington

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

Maddux
#336 - NCAA - 3 units on Missouri -14
#344 - NCAA - 3 units on SMU -17
#358 - NCAA - 3 units on Nebraska +5.5
#362 - NCAA - 3 units on San Diego State +24.5
#374 - NCAA - 5 units on Stanford +7
#382 - NCAA - 3 units on Clemson -8.5
#394 - NCAA - 3 units on UAB -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 7 Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -8 Oklahoma State -- 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR

Pick Analysis:
I love Oklahoma State to bounce back this week. They were embarassed last Saturday night as Zack Robinson had one of the worst games of his careers throwing 4 INT's in which 2 were returned for TD's. The Cowboys had 5 turnovers in the game. Oklahoma St has the better athletes here and by far the better team. They will rush and pass all over the Cyclones. Iowa St had a first year coach Paul Rhoads who didn't remember the 59-17 beating from last year. Expect more of the same this week as OKLAHOMA STATE takes out their frustrations Saturday afternoon.


Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Oregon vs. Stanford (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 7 Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: +7 Stanford -- 10* bonus doggy

Pick Analysis:
Oregon is coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. I expect a big letdown spot here against a Stanford team that is rested and can run the ball. This Stanford team is very talented.
Stanford is 4-0 this season at home and face them in a big revenge spot Saturday afternoon. Look for a very tight game here, so take all the points with the Stanford Cardinal.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Texas A&M -3(-102 at 5dimes)

The Aggies are a great play Saturday as just a field goal favorite over lowly Colorado. The Buffaloes have nothing left to play for sitting at 2-6, while Texas A&M could clinch a bowl berth this weekend which is something they want to get out of the way after going 4-8 last season and missing a bowl bid. The Aggies are playing their best football of the season right now, winning back-to-back games with a 52-30 win at Texas Tech and a 35-10 home thumping of Iowa State. The Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Colorado has the worst offense in the Big 12, scoring just 21.7 points/game and averaging 286 total yards/game. Compare that to Texas A&M who scores 35.7 points/game and averages 490 total yards/game and you can see why this thing should result in an Aggies' blowout. Take Texas A&M and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Missouri -14(-110 at bookm)

This game has three-touchdown blowout written all over it. Baylor is 0-4 in their last 4 games, losing by double-digits each time. Missouri has a great chance to win the Big 12 North still, and after losing three straight to the likes of Nebraska, Texas and Oklahoma State, the Tigers are back on track after trouncing Colorado on the road 36-17 last week. Missouri is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Baylor, winning 5 of those 7 games by 15 points or more. Baylor is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off 2 straight losses to conference rivals,scoring less than 14 points since 1992. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Missouri and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Oklahoma State -7(-105 at bodog)

This is an absolute mismatch Saturday and the Cowboys should be a much heavier favorite against Iowa State. Oky State is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 16.0 points/game. ISU is back to reality after losing 10-35 at Texas A&M last week, which is the same Aggies' team that Oklahoma State beat 36-31 on the road earlier this season. Oky State beat ISU 59-17 last year and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar final score in this 2009 edition. The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-7-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Oregon -6.5(-110 at bookm)

After thumping USC 47-20 last week, this could be a letdown spot for Oregon. But it won't be, because the Ducks have National Championship aspirations still, and they want to win the Pac-10 to dethrone the Trojans. Oregon will make easy work of Stanford on Saturday, just like they have been doing now for 7 straight games since losing to Boise State in the season-opener. Oregon is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since that loss to the Broncos. They have won 5 straight by 14 or more points, which is impressive considering Cal, UCLA, Washington and USC have been on the schedule during that time. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. Stanford, including a 55-31 blowout in their last visit. Oregon is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Ducks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take Oregon and lay the points.