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Goodfella
triple-dime bet 374 Stanford 7.5 (-115) Bodog vs 373 Oregon
Analysis:
-CFB Pac-10 Game of the Month Play-
Yes ,we did cash in our (3*) CFB play‡ last weekend with Oregon over USC....and this week we are going against them with our Pac-10 GOM play...Last weeks Halloween Night BLOWOUT Win over USC was flat out Oregon's "Superbowl"....and they played like it....this week is let-down city and there is just no denying that.....For Stanford, this is their BIGGEST game of the season...and they are coming off a BYE & have had TWO weeks to prepare for Oregon...and Harbaugh is flat out on of the best Coaches in the country....I absolutley love Stanford in this spot and I fully expect Stanfords' BEST game of the year on Saturday, and look for Gearhart to have a great ballgame & Stanford give Oregon ALL they can handle. Grab the points with Stanford here.
If games ended at halftime, then Indiana just might be a BCS contender. Unfortunately, you do have to come out for the second half and that's when the problems always seem to occur for the Hoosiers. Two weeks ago, they led at Northwestern 28-3 halfway through the second quarter but would go onto lose 29-28 on a last second Wildcats FG. Last week was even more excruciating, if you can believe it, with IU leading fourth-ranked Iowa by 10 headed into the fourth quarter but terrible officiating and even worse defense (Iowa had TD drives of 92, 66, 55 and 66) sent the game spiralling in a totally different direction and before you knew it the Hawkeyes won 42-28. The poor officiating makes coming back with a strong effort even more difficult, a problem that is amplified by the fact that this will be the 10th straight week Indiana takes the field with no rest. Meanwhile, the value of rest was on full display last week in Madison where the Badgers crushed Purdue 37-0 for us. Note that Wisky ran for 266 yards in the win while allowing the Boilermakers to rush for just 60 and throw for just 81. They totally dominated the game in the trenches and should be able to even further manhandle the Hoosiers here. Note that Wisconsin won on this field last year, 55-10, and that was despite a -3 differential in turnover margin. The Badgers were able to negate that by rushing for 441 yards (a Memorial Stadium record) with RB Clay accounting for 123 of them to go along with three touchdowns. Meanwhile, IU had just 53 total yards in the second half. That kind of domination is nothing new to this series with Wisconsin's 10 wins since 1993 coming by an average of 26 PPG. The disparity is getting even wider with the last four decided by 29 PPG (140-40 L3). The Badgers average 35.3 PPG and 225 yards rushing in their six victories this season and are 14-2 ATS when coming off BB Unders. Wisconsin is our 20* Big Ten Game of the Month.
I don’t expect a focused effort from Oregon at all in this game because of their big win over USC last week. However, I feel that their lack of effort will be on the defensive side of the ball, as their offense is simply too potent for a questionable Stanford defense to slow down. The Ducks have one of the best offenses in the country right now, evident by their dominance over the Trojans last week. However, USC did move the ball against them for the first half of the game, before having difficulties late. Freshmen quarterback Andrew Luck has almost a full season under his belt now and has been playing better and better with each week. He is arguably the best freshman quarterback in the country right now, and he should have a big game with the aid of running back Toby Gearhart. Stanford’s offense has quietly been very potent lately, and I expect this game to be a back and forth high scoring game.
I honestly believe Oregon State is the better team in this contest, so taking more than a TD here is a pretty juicy proposition. The Beavers are certainly no strangers to winning in Berkeley, having won four straight in this venue. Oregon State is already 2-0 ATS on the PAC-10 road, while Cal is just 1-4 ATS in conference play. RB Jahvid Best is the unquestioned key to the Cal offense. And while Cal has reeled off some great rushing performances this season, they failed to reach 100 yards on the ground in 3 of their 5 conference games. They should find the going tough again against a pretty solid Beavers run defense. Cal was outscored a whopping 72-6 when it had to step up in conference play against USC and Oregon. The Beavers lost by 10 in an early season game against still-undefeated Cincinnati, but they lost by just 6 points at USC. I would not be surprised at all to see Oregon State win this game outright, so I'll take the 7.5 with the Beavers as my Pac-10 Game of the Month.
5000 Units Wisconsin Minus the points Over Indiana
5000 Units BYU Minus the points Over Wyoming
5000 Units Houston(15) vs Tulsa Over the total
1000 Units Stanford over Oregon
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