1-9-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, January 09, 2010
$50.00 Guaranteed: Matt had another INCREDIBLE NFL season as it was ONCE AGAIN highly profitable from the start! The Playoffs are really where he shines as over the last three postseasons he has a TREMENDOUS 20-10 ATS (66.7%) Side Record! Fargo has a 15-6 ATS (71.4%) 10* Side Record TY and is releasing a 10* ENFORCER between the Jets and Bengals! The action starts with a BIG WINNER! Guaranteed! 1/5/2010

**10** NFL ENFORCER *15-6 YTD* *20-10 L3Y*
10* Cincinnati Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Doc Sports

4 Unit Play. #103 Take Philadelphia +4 over Dallas (Saturday 8 pm NBC) This is a rematch from last week and in the NFC East, it is always hard to beat a team twice let alone three times. If Dallas does not get off to a good start, expect panic to set in with the coaches, players, and crowd and that will allow the Eagles to play their game and dictate the pace for ahead. Dallas has not won a playoff game since 1996 (0-6) and Philly always seems to turn it on come playoff time. Last year they went to the conference championship game as a sixth seed and it would not surprise me if they make a run this season as well. QB McNabb will play much better this evening and him to be in tune much better with his receivers unlike last week. Philadelphia 24, Dallas 20.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

*10* "BOOKIEKILLER" *Signature Top Play*
Congrats to everyone who joined Nick this year with his NFL plays; truly a remarkable season which was highlighted by many BIG WINS! Parsons absolutely loves the Jets/Bengals contest and has stamped this ticket with *10* "BOOKIEKILLER" status! This is his "signature selection" and he's looking to "Kill The Books" with it!


Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Budin
Steven Budin-CEO SATURDAY'S PICK COSTA RICA CONNECTION

100 DIME RELEASE

Cincinnati on the MONEY LINE

Note from Steve:

As I've told you before, when I refer to my "Costa Rica Connection," the source is actually a head clerk at one of the top three offshore sportsbooks. Obviously I can't tell you which one, but rest assured every wise guy in the country plays into this office. And I know this guy because I trained him when he used to work for me years ago at my book and we've remained close ever since.

This play, as you can see, is a MONEYLINE release. Right now, Cincinnati is anywhere from -135 to -140 on the moneyline offshore and in Vegas. So, betting the Bengals at these prices would be no different than betting a low-priced favorite in baseball.

Also, consider why this is such a typical wiseguy move: The pointspread for this game has been floating between 2 1/2 and 3 all week. Typically, the home favorite in these cases will settle at 3 by kickoff and most local bookies will go ahead and price it at -3 anyway. And thus smart players would then buy down the 1/2 point to 2 1/2 - which is what I would obviously recommend as well - at a price of -130 (which is what the going rate is nowadays when you're buying around the number 3 offshore and in Vegas and sportsbooks continue to squeeze you). But rather than buying insurance at -130 and worrying about the pointspread at all, these sharps are instead simply taking Cincinnati on the Moneyline at a slightly bigger price of approximately -135 or -140.

Here's another way of looking at it: Instead of buying down the half-point at a cost of -130 and still laying 2 1/2 points on the Bengals, they are getting a "3-point discount," making it a pick-em game at a cost of about -135 or -140. It's really an incredibly simple and effective strategy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

tim trushel

bengals/ regular

[kar261]

Re: 1-9-10

Al DeMarco
Saturday's Play
15 Dime - Dallas Cowboys

Returning with my analysis by 9 A.M. Eastern

Strategy Note:

You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 1/2 and 4, so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on Dallas.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Norm Hitzges

·Triple Play—Dallas -4 vs Philadelphia
·Cincinnati -2.5 vs NY Jets

Sunday 1/10/10
·Double Play—Cincinnati/NY Jets Under 34
·Double Play--Green Bay +1 vs Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W iseg uy Cowboys/Eagles Wild Card T OTA L OF THE Y EA R on UNDER 45(-107 at 5dimes)

The first two meetings between these teams went well UNDER the number. With a total of 49 in their first meeting, Dallas won 20-16 for 36 combined points. They dropped the total to 47 points in their second meeting, and Dallas won 24-0. Now, they dropped the total 2 more points, yet it's still too low. Dallas is playing tremendous defense, giving up just 17 points in their last 3 games combined for an average of 5.7 points/game. With the Eagles' offensive line beat up, they won't be able to do anything offensively in this game either. But we do expect their defense to rise to the occasion and make up for it. Dallas has gotten their running game going the last few weeks, and the Eagles know they have to get their running game going Sunday to try and keep Dallas off balance. Otherwise, the Cowboys will be able to just pin their ears back and get after McNabb all game long just like they have in the first two meetings. Dallas is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season. The Eagles are 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more since 1992. The UNDER is 8-1 in Dallas' last 9 games overall and they continue their stellar defense Saturday in a low-scoring defensive battle with the Eagles. Take the UNDER.



5* W iseg uy Jets/Bengals AFC Wild Card Re mat ch on New York +3(-125 at betus)

We aren't basing this play off of what happened last week in a 37-0 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Though the Bengals played their starters, other than Cedric Benson, for the first half, they still couldn't have totally been into the game. That said, the Jets owned the Bengals when their starters were in, limiting Carson Palmer to 1-of-11 passing for 0 yards. The Bengals will have a better attitude Saturday when playing at home, and they will be focused. But they don't have what it takes to slow down the Jets. New York owns the #1 ranked defense in the league, giving up just 14.7 points/game and 252 yards/game which is far and away the best average in the league. They also own the #1 running game at 172 rushing yards/game. Having the #1 defense and the #1 rushing offense is huge in the playoffs, as we've seen in year's past. Cincinnati simply isn't the same team they were in the first half of the season. The Bengals are just 3-4 in their last 7 games, with their wins coming against the Browns, Lions and Chiefs. And even in those wins, they weren't that impressive, failing to beat any of those 3 teams by more than 10 points. Chad Johnson just got hurt last week, and he is likely to play in this game but will also likely be slowed a little. He is really their only weapon at receiver. New York is the hotter team heading into the playoffs, and Mark Sanchez isn't being asked to do too much right now. New Yorks' offensive and defensive numbers are both better than Cincinnati's, and not even home field can help the Bengals get things turned around Saturday. Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS as a favorite this season. Take the Jets and the points. (Recommend buying to +3)



4* on Northern Colorado -12.5(-105 at 5dimes)

Northern Colorado is the superior team here and should be a much heavier favorite against 4-12 Idaho State. Northern Colorado is one of the better teams that nobody knows about as they enter Saturday's game with a 14-3 record on the season. At home, NCU is 5-0 S.U. and 4-1 ATS while winning by 12.8 points/game. Idaho State is 1-10 on the road this season, losing by 12.4 points/game. Idaho State is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Idaho State is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. Northern Colorado is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NCU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. Take Northern Colorado and lay the points.



4* on St. John's +11.5(-102 at 5dimes)

We really like this St. John's team this season as they continue going under the radar. At 10-4 this season and with 5 returning starters, this team can compete with anyone in the country on any given night. They have proven that on the road twice this season already, losing at Duke by only 9 points and losing at Georgetown by just 7. On the road this season, they are 4-1 ATS and their experience allows them to not get rattled while playing in front of hostile road crowds. It will be hostile at Louisville Saturday, but the Cardinals' players won't fully be into this game. They are much more interested in having Villanova come to their place up next on Monday, just two days away. The Red Storm are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. St. John's is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Take St. John's and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections

NFL Football
2 (**) Teaser..6 pointer
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Philadelphia +10

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NBA Basketball
2 (**) Charlotte -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

KB Hoops

5* Missouri Tigers -4.5 **POD**
4* Gonzaga -2.5
3* UTEP -1
3* Wisconsin -1.5
4* Philadelphia Eagles +4
3* Cincinnati Bengals -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Kikki Sports

4.5* Playoff Lock GOY - Bengals
2* Lock GOM - U.A.B

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

ATS Financial

3 Philly +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

TRACE ADAMS

1500* - Cincinnati Bengals,
500* - Philadelphia Eagles,
500* - Minnesota Golden Gophers

You can't say that last Sunday night's 37-0 blanking the Jets laid on the Bengals doesn't mean anything, but I honestly don't think it is indicative of what is going to happen on Saturday in Cincinnati.

For me, this game bolis down to two things; # 1- Rookie Quarteback, # 2 - The Road!

You can go on all you want about how the Jets will minmize Mark Sanchez' passes in this game, and how the Jets defense will be the difference, but eventually Sanchez is going to have to throw the pigskin, and I just don't see him engineering a road win in his first playoff start in a hostile environment.

Keep in mind that the Jets closed the season with wins over a pair of teams that mailed it in for the year, in the Colts and the Bengals. You will see a different Cincy team this afternoon in their 1st playoff game since Carson Palmer blew out his knee back in the 2005 season at home against Pittsburgh.

The Bengals have won their last 5 home games, and 6 of 8 overall this season, and while they are on a 1-6 overall spread slide, and a 3-5 home spread slide this year, this is the lowest price they have been asked to cover all season long, and I just don't see them losing this game.

Cincy has been through an awful lot this season with the deaths of Chris Henry, and the loss of defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer's wife. You can assume that all of that emotion is going to be channeled in a positive way today for the Bengals.

The Jets did well to make the postseason, today the reality sets in.

Take the Bengals minus the short chalk.

1500? - Cincinnati Bengals

Lest you think that a team that sweeps the regular season pair of games cannot win for a third time in the same season, 12 of the 19 times the scenario has presented itself, the hat trick has been completed. In fact, Pittsburgh won all 3 last season against Baltimore en route to winning the Super Bowl.

That fact bodes well for the Cowboys on Saturday night hosting the Eagles, but with Dallas having not won a playoff game since 1996, and with Philadelphia knowing the route to the championship game oh so well, I don't think it is going to be smooth sailing for the 'Pokes this evening at home.

I do think Dallas is going to eek out the win, but covering the impost is not going to happen.

If you ask me, no team is more dangerous in the NFC than the peaking Cowboys, but I don't see them pitching a 3rd straight shutout.

Philly did not maximize their patented blitzes in last week's loss, so you can assume they will try and rattle Romo's cage with a wide variety of their blitz packages in this one.

The first meeting between the teams saw Dallas win it 20-16 on November 8th in Philadelphia, I think this game will more resemble the first meeting than last last week's 24-0 beatdown.

Eagles plus the points as this game is decided by a field-goal tops.

500? - Philadelphia Eagles

One college hoops release for ya, as I like Minnesota to rebound from the beating Purdue put on them earlier this week in West Lafayette.

Minnesota is a perfect 9-0 at the Williams Arena, and 5-2 against the spread in their lined home games. I expect them to take advantage of an Ohio State team that has not been able to get much going in the absence of guard Evan Turner who is sidelined with a back injury.

The Buckeyes are just 4-3 straight up their last 7, and only 1-6 against the spread in that span!

The home team has won the last 4 series meetings, and 6 of the last 7 overall. With Minnesota looking so strong at home this year, no hesitation in laying the points with the Golden Gophers here.

500? - Minnesota Golden Gophers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Kyle Bales

sharp play wisconsin