5-17-10

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  • spook
    Banned
    • Apr 2010
    • 13485

    #46
    Re: 5-17-10

    Nelly's MONDAY MLB TOTAL DOMINATION - May 17 (Under CLE/TB)
    Nelly's 1* Pick 'UNDER 8.5' #925/926 Cleveland Indians (Carmona) at Tampa Bay Rays (Niemann) 6:10 PM CT
    Tampa Bay has the best record in baseball but the run production for the Rays has dropped off in recent weeks. The Rays have topped four runs scored just once in the last nine games and Tampa Bay has split the last eight games overall. For the year Tampa Bay is averaging 5.3 runs scored per game but the success of the team has come from allowing an MLB low 3.0 runs per game. The strong pitching numbers have stayed stable for the Rays as only once in the last 17 games has a team scored as many as five runs and that game included extra-innings. Jeff Niemann has been a big part of that success with a great 2nd year going so far for the Rays. Niemann left his first start of the season early but since he has compiled six straight quality outings, featuring a 2.27 season ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Niemann is a great groundball pitcher and an imposing presence on the mound. The Rays also own an impressive bullpen with a 3.14 season ERA. Tropicana Field is surrendering just over eight runs per game this season as it has not been a high scoring park. Cleveland starter Fausto Carmona has been very successful this season, allowing three or fewer runs in six of hi seven starts this year and while his strikeout numbers are down he is allowing very few extra-base hits. He has also been especially sharp away from home with a 1.96 road ERA. Carmona is 4-1 on the season despite playing for a losing Indians team that is averaging just 3.9 runs scored per game. The Cleveland bullpen has been very solid and while the Indians have shown a slight increase in scoring in the last week, that may have been due to facing weak pitching staffs from Kansas City and Baltimore. The 'under' is 10-1-2 in the last 13 games Tampa Bay has played as a favorite and this should be a low-scoring game with two starters that are pitching well going against offenses that has been mediocre for the most part.

    Comment

    • spook
      Banned
      • Apr 2010
      • 13485

      #47
      Re: 5-17-10

      JAMIE TURSINI

      Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers
      Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Mon)

      Play: Over (210.5 -110)

      At first glance at this number, I thought it may have been a tad high. But it's not.

      8 of the last 11 meetings at L.A. have gone over. And the last 5 meetings at L.A. had closing totals of 220, 200.5, 232.5, 216, and 226.

      We are getting great value, despite Phoenix playing better defense now. I still like my chances for this to be an exciting up and down match up. With plenty of opportunities for kick out wide open perimeter shots.

      105 each isn't a lot to ask with these well rested clubs

      Comment

      • spook
        Banned
        • Apr 2010
        • 13485

        #48
        Re: 5-17-10

        ROBERT FERRINGO
        1.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Atlanta (-145) over N.Y. Mets
        1.5-Unit Play.Take #902 Philadelphia (-1.5, -110) over Pittsburgh
        1-Unit Play.Take #909 Colorado (+120) over Chicago
        1-Unit Play. Take #908 Florida (-140) over Arizona
        1-Unit Play. Take #922 Baltimore (-130) over Kansas City
        0.5-Unit Play. Take #918 Detroit (-145) over Chicago White Sox
        0.5-Unit Play.Take #926 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +110) over Cleveland
        0.5-Unit Play. Take #956 L.A. Dodgers (-155) over Houston
        0.5-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-160) over Washington
        0.5-Unit Play. Take #906 Cincinnati (-105) over Milwaukee

        TOTALS
        0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 N.Y. Mets at Atlanta
        0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Detroit
        0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Washington at St. Louis

        Comment

        • spook
          Banned
          • Apr 2010
          • 13485

          #49
          Re: 5-17-10

          LT Profits

          Pirates/Phillies UNDER 10.5 -115
          Mets/Braves OVER 8.5 -110
          Astros/Dodgers UNDER 4 -125 (5 innings)

          Comment

          • spook
            Banned
            • Apr 2010
            • 13485

            #50
            Re: 5-17-10

            Dr. Guru
            mlb 1st 5
            12* nym/atl over 4.5

            Comment

            • spook
              Banned
              • Apr 2010
              • 13485

              #51
              Re: 5-17-10

              Cincinnati Kid | NBA Sides Mon, 05/17/10 - 9:00 PM Æ’Å 

              double-dime bet 501 PHO 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 502 LAL
              Analysis: Lakers and Suns both enter Game 1 off a SU dog win and a Series sweep - Phoenix owning an extra-days rest and the inferior win-loss percentage...Hosts off a Dog role in the previous round are 1-7 ATS home since '98 in Game 1 of the Conf Finals (3rd Round)...clubs off an Away game and playing host are 3-12 ATS and 1-7 as HF's off BB SU wins...Road teams in the 3-1 game are 11-4 off non-division SUATS win in the advancing Round 2 contest...Clubs .670 or better vs. the same or better are 5-0 ATS vs a foe w/3 or days rest...Teams .700 or better off a SU Dog win are 1-6 ATS in the 3-1 game and #1 seeds in this 3-1 game are 5-14 ATS since '98...including 1-10 off BB SU wins and 0-10 ATS owning a .666 or be~tter win-loss mark...clubs playing in revenge (same season 1-win revenge as is Los Angeles) 3-1 games are 0-5 facing a foe off a SUATS win...Lakers 0-5 off a Jazz SUATS win vs a foe off a SUATS win in the post-season...

              Comment

              • spook
                Banned
                • Apr 2010
                • 13485

                #52
                Re: 5-17-10

                Champion Sports

                NBA CLUB: SIDE & TOTAL
                Top Money Tonight

                Phoenix @ LA Lakers 9:00 EST
                LA Lakers -6
                UNDER 210.5
                Lakers are 24-3 at home in the playoffs the past 3 years. Two teams with a week off spells trouble for timing and outside shooting.
                It takes at least a half for the teams to get their feet under them.

                Comment

                • spook
                  Banned
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 13485

                  #53
                  Re: 5-17-10

                  Doc Sports

                  Lakers -6
                  and the over 210.5....both for (3) units

                  Comment

                  • spook
                    Banned
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 13485

                    #54
                    Re: 5-17-10

                    exec comp--balt

                    nba 250--lakers

                    mlb 300--cubs

                    Comment

                    • spook
                      Banned
                      • Apr 2010
                      • 13485

                      #55
                      Re: 5-17-10

                      King Creole | NBA Total Mon, 05/17/10 - 9:00 PM Æ’Å 

                      double-dime bet 501 PHO / 502 LAL Under 211.0 BetUS
                      Analysis:
                      9:00pm ET / Round Three - Game One / Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers
                      2** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL


                      Many of the SAME OU Systems that applied in yesterday's win (Magic / Celtics UNDER) are also active tonight in Game One of the Western Conference Finals. Since that one was a pretty easy OU outcome, we'll RIDE 'EM again tonight....

                      0-14 O/U (with yesterday's WIN) since 97: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE home favorites of < 7 points playing off a 4-0 SWEEP in their previous Playoff round (Lakers).

                      2-20 O/U (with yesterday's win) since 05: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE (in Rounds 2. 3 or 4) teams playing with 5 or more days of REST (Lakers AND Suns). Favorites of 7 < points (Lakers) have gone a PERFECT 0-8 O/U.

                      1-7 O/U (with yesterday's win) since 05: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE road teams playing off 3 or more SU and ATS wins in a row (Suns).

                      0-5 O/U (with yesterday's win) in L3Y: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE home teams playing off 3 or more SU and ATS wins in a row (Lakers).

                      Now, let's take a look at a few situations that apply to tonight's game exclusively... These Systems touch on the '3/1' game (Rd 3 / Gm1).... ALL Game Ones.... and All Playoff games.

                      1-13 O/U since last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE teams playing off an 'OVER' result in their last Playoff game (Suns).

                      1-13 O/U since 03: All All NBA Playoff (ANY round) Western Conference #1 SEED teams (Lakers).... versus a #3 SEED opponent (Suns). If our #12 Seed team is a FAVORITE, the results are a PERFECT 0-8 O/U.

                      0-4 O/U since 99: All NBA Playoff '3/1' home favorites of > 3 points (Lakers)... with an OU line in the range of 205 to 220 points.

                      0-5 O/U since 95: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE teams playing off BB Playoff UNDERDOG wins in a row (BOTH teams apply)... when the OU line is 178 > points.

                      0-9 O/U since 05: All NBA Playoff ROAD teams off 6 or more SU Playoff wins in a row (Suns)... when the OU line is 183 > points.

                      0-6 O/U since 03: Same situations as above... IF these road teams are also off 6 ATS wins in row (suns).

                      As is usually the case, we wrap up our 4* Best Bet query with a look at this particular Day of the Week...
                      5-17-1 O/U since 1991: All NBA Playoff ROUND THREE home teams playing on a MONDAY (Lakers). In Games One, Two, or Three... the results are a PERFECT 0-4 O/U

                      Comment

                      • spook
                        Banned
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 13485

                        #56
                        Re: 5-17-10

                        WUNDERDOG SPORTS

                        Pick: Atlanta -150 (moneyline)

                        I'm not sure if there is a place to fade the Mets that would lead to better results, or any team for that matter. It has been an absolute chamber of horrors for this Mets team coming to Atlanta, as Murphy's Law has prevailed - if something can go wrong, it does. The Mets have won just 22 times here in their last 71 games, and recent meetings holding are form as they are 3-8 in the last 11. Derek Lowe adds to the confidence level here as he is 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home chalk. The Mets are just 16-42 in their last 58 on the road overall, and have dropped their last six vs. right-hand pitching. Not a spot to get healthy for the Mets, so I'll run with the Braves in this one.

                        Comment

                        • spook
                          Banned
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 13485

                          #57
                          Re: 5-17-10

                          BIG DADDY
                          MLB
                          12* Florida RL -1.5

                          Comment

                          • spook
                            Banned
                            • Apr 2010
                            • 13485

                            #58
                            Re: 5-17-10

                            DR BOND
                            NBA
                            10* Phoenix/LA Lakers under 210.5

                            Comment

                            • spook
                              Banned
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 13485

                              #59
                              Re: 5-17-10

                              JOHNNY GUILD
                              LA Lakers -6.5

                              Comment

                              • spook
                                Banned
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 13485

                                #60
                                Re: 5-17-10

                                big daddy
                                mlb
                                12* florida rl -1.5

                                Comment

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