5-28-10

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Re: 5-28-10

Game of the day: Magic at Celtics
By Lee Kostroski

The skinny

A series that looked like a sweep a few days ago now has the Celtics taking a slim 3-2 lead into a pressure-packed Game 6 in Boston Friday night. Orlando has all the momentum going into Boston and will attempt to take another step toward overcoming an improbable 3-0 series deficit.

Boston has the home-court advantage, winning six of its eight home playoff games in 2010. But now, they may be dealing with various injuries to some key reserves. The road team and underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two and Orlando is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.

Superman’s support

Dwight Howard has been nothing short of spectacular this series. He’s averaging 20.6 ppg, 10.6 rpg, and 3.4 blocks. Orlando expects a great performance by Howard night in and night out, so it’s going to be up to the supporting cast – specifically the 3-point shooters – to have an impact on winning this game.

Orlando has lived and died by the 3-point shot all season long and that hasn’t stopped in this series. The Magic were just 20 of 70 (28 percent) in the first three games. However, in the last two victories, they are 23-of-53 (43 percent) and they are looking a lot like the Orlando team that swept two straight series’ to get here.

"We're playing more of our game now, getting out in transition and just attacking and staying on the attack and trying to do it for 48 minutes," Magic point guard Jameer Nelson told reporters.

Nelson led the charge with a team-high four threes, but he enjoyed plenty of support. Six Magic players sank shots from 3-point range. A lot of Orlando’s success begins with Jameer Nelson. Nelson averaged just 14.6 ppg in the first three games of this series (all losses) and has averaged 23.5 ppg in the last two games (both Orlando victories).

It should be noted that no NBA team has won a series after losing the first three games. But the Magic believe 100 percent that they are going to win this series.

"We just all believe," Nelson said. "We all believe. We know we can do it, one game at a time."

Losing their edge

In the first three games of this series, the Celtics looked untouchable and destined to make their second finals appearance of the past three seasons.

Now, everything has turned upside down on Boston. Its hockey compatriot, the Bruins, know what it’s like to lose a 3-0 series lead and now the Celtics are coming close to joining them in their misery.

There’s obvious disappointment of dropping two close-out games, but head coach Doc Rivers insists that they aren’t panicking.

“It’s nothing that worries me,’’ Rivers told the media. “I don’t panic at all. This is playoff basketball, this is what it’s all about. It’s about being resilient. Being there for your teammates. This is what we do.’’

Still, the momentum they had built in the first three games of the series, let alone the feeling of dominance they had established after beating the Magic so thoroughly in Game 3, is gone.

To quote an overused cliché: defense wins championships. Boston’s defense, at times, has been impenetrable in the playoffs. And it’s apparent that when the Celtics’ defense plays well, they win.

They’ve allowed 77.0 points per game and haven’t allowed an opponent over 100 points in their 11 postseason wins. But in their five losses, they’ve allowed 107 ppg and four times allowed over 100 points.

Rajon Rondo averaged 18 ppg, 11 apg, and 6.2 rpg in the Celtics’ first two playoff series and garnered national attention for his strong play. But in this series, he’s been rather ineffective. His numbers are way down, averaging 14.4 ppg, 8.4 apg and 3.6 rpg. He’ll have to step up if the C’s are without some of their bigs in Game 6.

From the infirmary

Glen Davis, Marquise Daniels and Rasheed Wallace are all questionable heading into Game 6. Wallace tweaked his back and had to leave the game while Davis and Daniels are both being treated for concussions after scary blows to the head in Game 5. Boston's frontline will be very thin if Davis and Wallace can't go Friday and it could mean a huge game for Dwight Howard inside.

The Celtics lucked out when the NBA rescinded their technical foul call on starting center Kendrick Perkins. He was ejected in Game 5 after receiving a second technical foul of the game. But more importantly it was his seventh of the postseason – a mandatory suspension unless it is overturned. Perkins will play in Game 6 Friday night.

Trends

Orlando is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 games following a SU victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games.

Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last seven playoff games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU loss.

[spook]

Re: 5-28-10

Game 6, Magic at Celtics
By Kevin Rogers

The Celtics are either sweating or feeling relieved when they take the court for Game 6 on Friday night against the Magic. Orlando has forced the Eastern Conference Finals back to Boston after Wednesday's Game 5 blowout, cutting the series deficit to 3-2. Now, the C's have a home game to fall back on to advance to the NBA Finals. However, if it doesn't work out, the Celtics may follow in the footsteps of the Bruins in melting down after a building a 3-0 series lead.

For the first time in nine meetings, a team eclipsed the 100-point mark, which was accomplished by Orlando in Wednesday's 113-92 pasting of Boston. The key to victory was the Magic shooting lights out in Game 5, hitting 52% of their shots from the field and 13 shots from downtown. Jameer Nelson completely outplayed Rajon Rondo in Game 4, but the numbers were a little more even in Game 5. Nelson tallied a game-high 24 points, while Rondo put up 19. Dwight Howard was a monster in the middle once again with a 21-point, 10-rebound effort.

Orlando's shooting from the field was horrendous in the first three games of the series, as it got progressively worse from Game 1 to Game 3. The Magic shot 41.6% in the series opener, followed by 39.4% and 36.9% efforts, while hitting just 20 three-pointers in the three losses. Things turned around dramatically when the shots began to fall, drilling 44.6% of their shots in Game 4 and the 52% showing in Game 5. In the two wins, Orlando knocked down 43% of its three-point shots (23-53), a stark contrast from the 28% in the first three games (20-80).

The Celtics received a nice break after center Kendrick Perkins had a technical foul rescinded following his ejection in the Game 5 defeat. The technical, Perkins' seventh of the postseason, would have resulted in an automatic suspension for the following game. The league reviewed the matter and took away one of his two technicals, allowing Perkins to play on Friday. That is a huge break for Boston, as Glen Davis suffered a concussion and left the game, meaning "Big Baby" may not be available for Game 6.

Boston's defense had been exceptional throughout the postseason, as the Celtics allowed over 100 points for just the third time in the playoffs. The Celtics have been involved in eight playoff games in which at least one team scored 100 points or more. When that occurs, the 'over' is a strong 7-1, including an easy 'over' of 186 ½ in Game 5.

Doc Rivers' club started the postseason at 11-3 ATS, but has dropped consecutive games against the number. The Celtics covered seven of ten games this season off an ATS loss as an underdog, while owning a 5-2 ATS mark as a favorite this postseason.

We don't want to take the cart before the horse, but let's look at what Orlando is staring at if it can take this series to a Game 7. Never before in the NBA has a team rallied from a 3-0 deficit to win a best-of-seven series. Only twice has a club come from 3-0 down to force a Game 7, but never in the conference finals.

The 2003 Blazers dug themselves a 3-0 hole against the Mavericks in the first round. Portland came back to tie the series at three, including a pair of blowout wins at the Rose Garden. Dallas ultimately won the series finale at home, but the Mavs were eliminated in the conference finals by the Spurs. The 1994 Nuggets, who famously knocked off the top-seeded Sonics in the opening round after rallying from a 2-0 deficit, found themselves down 3-0 quickly to the Jazz in the second round. Denver shocked Utah in each of the next three games, but the Jazz prevailed with a 91-81 victory in Game 7.

The Magic is now 4-0 over the last two seasons when facing elimination against the Celtics, including a pair of wins to close out last season's second round down 3-2 to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics are 3-6 since the beginning of last postseason on the verge of eliminating an opponent, as all three victories have come at home.

Boston is listed as a three-point favorite, while the total is set at 189 at most books. The game tips off at 8:30 PM EST and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Mr. Rogers' Neighborhood:

The NBA will normally do everything in its power to back its referees, but somebody needs to tell them that no one is paying to see the guys in gray. There are plenty of officials (you know who they are) that are trying to make the game about them and not about the players. If a player tries to flat-out embarrass an official, that's one thing; but these players should be able to chirp a bit more in the postseason and the tolerance should be lessened, especially in the case of Perkins.

The story is circulating about Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, and Joe Johnson getting set for a sit-down to discuss their free agent futures. This isn't shocking at all considering Wade and James are very tight, but I find it hard to believe that these guys are still weighing their options. Wade and James probably know if they'll stay put in their respective cities, or go elsewhere since all the salary cap information is so public. At least for now, free agency is on the back-burner with these series seeing a little more drama over the last few days.

vegasinsider.com

[spook]

Re: 5-28-10

Friday at 8:30 PM
Back to Games ORLANDO (69-26) AT BOSTON (61-37)

News Coverage: ORLANDO | BOSTON Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF/PA SU ATS O/U FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
521: ORLANDO
522: BOSTON 189.0
-3.0 102.0 / 94.2
98.8 / 94.9 69-26
61-37 53-37
44-52 38-55
48-47 46.9%
48.0% 72.2%
74.6% 37.5%
35.3% 43.6%
44.9% 75.4%
74.6% 35.9%
34.0%


Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating
Estimate Edge
ORLANDO
BOSTON 0


Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ORLANDO - Recent ATS Trends
Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996
Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in all games 53-37 171-115 570-568 38-55 124-164 552-570 69-26 198-95 611-554
as an underdog 5-5 42-22 229-259 4-7 32-32 235-253 5-7 33-33 162-341
as a road underdog of 3 points or less 2-3 18-8 41-44 2-4 10-17 38-48 2-4 17-10 37-50
in road games 26-18 88-55 277-292 16-30 63-81 269-298 30-17 90-56 245-339
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points 3-1 15-9 47-48 1-3 13-11 51-46 4-1 15-10 36-63
on Friday nights 6-10 27-27 104-116 3-14 22-33 115-103 9-8 31-24 111-121
against Atlantic division opponents 16-7 45-32 67-62 12-10 35-39 62-66 18-5 55-22 82-49
in all playoff games 9-4 26-21 37-36 4-8 18-28 35-38 10-3 28-19 36-39
in the conference finals 2-3 7-4 7-4 1-3 6-4 6-4 2-3 6-5 6-5
when trailing in a playoff series 2-2 6-9 11-15 1-2 4-10 13-13 2-2 7-8 12-16
after a win by 10 points or more 21-22 63-56 147-149 21-23 55-65 148-143 29-15 75-45 176-127
after scoring 105 points or more 22-15 70-47 170-146 16-23 45-73 144-168 27-12 78-41 184-141
when playing against a team with a winning record 25-23 78-61 260-281 18-32 59-81 260-273 33-19 82-61 241-332
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season 18-14 46-40 140-151 10-22 31-55 136-148 23-10 50-37 131-175

BOSTON - Recent ATS Trends
Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996
Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in all games 44-52 160-138 589-595 48-47 146-151 598-574 61-37 212-90 596-608
as a favorite 29-40 117-112 269-304 32-34 113-112 278-286 47-22 175-55 385-194
as a home favorite of 3 points or less 5-3 8-6 42-47 5-3 6-8 41-47 5-3 8-6 46-45
in home games 18-30 76-75 278-320 24-23 80-70 286-301 30-19 118-35 348-257
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points 3-6 19-14 56-69 3-5 15-17 64-62 7-2 25-8 68-60
on Friday nights 9-12 36-28 139-136 11-9 29-33 136-136 12-9 47-17 147-134
against Southeast division opponents 15-13 40-38 66-65 12-15 36-40 62-67 17-11 50-28 75-57
in all playoff games 11-5 31-24 48-42 7-8 27-28 42-48 11-5 34-22 50-43
in the conference finals 3-2 6-5 7-9 1-3 3-7 5-11 3-2 7-4 9-8
when leading in a playoff series 6-3 14-11 21-14 4-4 13-12 16-19 6-3 11-15 16-21
revenging a loss vs opponent 15-15 48-45 280-296 12-19 46-48 287-289 20-11 69-25 255-332
after allowing 105 points or more 8-11 27-23 139-163 12-6 29-20 154-141 12-7 37-13 140-167
after a loss by 10 points or more 7-4 15-9 131-113 8-3 14-10 127-112 7-4 18-6 111-139
when playing against a team with a winning record 27-24 85-69 309-301 27-25 73-82 311-300 27-26 94-62 254-371
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season 19-16 54-44 168-168 19-17 50-49 173-163 18-19 56-44 137-210
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game 23-31 70-68 155-150 28-26 69-70 154-153 28-27 80-60 142-169
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season 16-19 43-39 86-80 18-17 42-41 89-79 18-18 44-40 76-95


Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

ORLANDO - Current Season Performance
Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half FG Pct Reb. Score Half FG Pct Reb.
All Games 69-26 -0.6 53-37 38-55 102.0 51.7 46.9% 51.4 94.2 47.7 43.6% 48.2
Road Games 30-17 -0.4 26-18 16-30 99.2 51.0 45.7% 51.5 95.5 49.3 43.8% 49.5
Last 5 Games 2-3 -3.8 2-3 1-3 92.0 45.0 43.0% 49.8 93.0 48.2 44.4% 46.4
Playoff Games 10-3 +4.2 9-4 4-8 97.5 47.4 46.6% 50.1 87.3 44.1 42.2% 45.8


ORLANDO Team Statistics
Shooting 3pt Shooting Free Throws Rebounding
PPG Half FGM-A Pct FGM-A PCT FTM-A Pct Tot Off Ast PF Stl TO Bk
Team Stats (All Games) 102.0 51.7 36-77 46.9% 10-27 37.5% 20-27 72.2% 51 10 19 20 6 14 6
vs opponents surrendering 99.5 50.5 37-81 46.0% 6-18 35.3% 19-25 75.6% 50 11 21 21 7 14 5
Team Stats (Road Games) 99.2 51.0 35-77 45.7% 11-29 37.3% 18-26 70.3% 52 10 19 21 6 14 5
Stats Against (All Games) 94.2 47.7 35-81 43.6% 6-17 35.9% 17-23 75.4% 48 10 19 23 7 12 3
vs opponents averaging 99.4 50.6 37-81 46.1% 6-18 35.2% 19-25 75.7% 50 11 21 21 7 13 5
Stats Against (Road Games) 95.5 49.3 36-82 43.8% 6-17 36.0% 18-23 75.8% 50 10 20 22 7 11 3



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half FG Pct Reb. Score Half FG Pct Reb.
All Games 61-37 -24.3 44-52 48-47 98.8 50.9 48.0% 47.3 94.9 46.8 44.9% 48.3
Home Games 30-19 -33 18-30 24-23 99.4 50.8 48.3% 46.5 95.4 46.8 45.4% 48.0
Last 5 Games 3-2 +1.4 3-2 1-3 93.0 48.2 44.4% 46.4 92.0 45.0 43.0% 49.8
Playoff Games 11-5 +9.2 11-5 7-8 96.7 48.4 46.4% 47.9 91.8 45.7 43.9% 48.1


BOSTON Team Statistics
Shooting 3pt Shooting Free Throws Rebounding
PPG Half FGM-A Pct FGM-A PCT FTM-A Pct Tot Off Ast PF Stl TO Bk
Team Stats (All Games) 98.8 50.9 37-77 48.0% 6-17 35.3% 19-26 74.6% 47 9 23 23 9 14 5
vs opponents surrendering 99.4 50.7 37-81 45.8% 6-18 35.5% 19-24 75.8% 50 11 21 21 7 13 5
Team Stats (Home Games) 99.4 50.8 37-77 48.3% 6-17 33.8% 19-25 74.5% 47 9 25 22 9 13 4
Stats Against (All Games) 94.9 46.8 35-77 44.9% 6-17 34.0% 20-27 74.6% 48 10 19 22 7 15 5
vs opponents averaging 99.9 50.9 37-81 46.1% 7-19 35.6% 19-25 75.3% 50 11 21 21 7 13 5
Stats Against (Home Games) 95.4 46.8 35-76 45.4% 6-17 36.7% 20-26 75.4% 48 10 20 22 7 16 4


Average power rating of opponents played: ORLANDO 95.3, BOSTON 96.6

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

ORLANDO - Season Results
Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Shots Pct REB TO Shots Pct REB TO
4/18/2010 CHARLOTTE 98-89 W -9.5 L 186.5 O 33-74 44.6% 44 7 33-71 46.5% 51 14
4/21/2010 CHARLOTTE 92-77 W -9 W 185.5 U 29-64 45.3% 42 14 29-66 43.9% 46 19
4/24/2010 @ CHARLOTTE 90-86 W -2 W 183 U 31-70 44.3% 51 19 31-74 41.9% 41 14
4/26/2010 @ CHARLOTTE 99-90 W -4 W 184 O 28-67 41.8% 49 7 32-71 45.1% 53 10
5/4/2010 ATLANTA 114-71 W -9 W 192.5 U 44-84 52.4% 61 13 28-81 34.6% 44 15
5/6/2010 ATLANTA 112-98 W -9.5 W 193 O 38-68 55.9% 42 8 31-75 41.3% 45 8
5/8/2010 @ ATLANTA 105-75 W -2 W 193.5 U 36-71 50.7% 62 7 29-83 34.9% 44 7
5/10/2010 @ ATLANTA 98-84 W -6 W 191.5 U 36-65 55.4% 51 15 30-74 40.5% 39 7
5/16/2010 BOSTON 88-92 L -7 L 188 U 32-77 41.6% 54 18 33-74 44.6% 45 15
5/18/2010 BOSTON 92-95 L -7 L 189.5 U 28-71 39.4% 51 14 34-74 45.9% 47 14
5/22/2010 @ BOSTON 71-94 L 3 L 189.5 U 24-65 36.9% 41 17 34-73 46.6% 50 8
5/24/2010 @ BOSTON 96-92 W 7 W 188 P 33-74 44.6% 51 19 32-76 42.1% 54 15
5/26/2010 BOSTON 113-92 W -4.5 W 186.5 O 36-69 52.2% 52 13 31-72 43.1% 36 10
5/28/2010 @ BOSTON




BOSTON - Season Results
Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Shots Pct REB TO Shots Pct REB TO
4/20/2010 MIAMI 106-77 W -1 W 182 O 36-75 48.0% 60 13 29-76 38.2% 37 13
4/23/2010 @ MIAMI 100-98 W 5 W 182 O 37-79 46.8% 45 14 39-77 50.6% 43 16
4/25/2010 @ MIAMI 92-101 L 2 L 186 O 34-69 49.3% 42 16 38-76 50.0% 52 14
4/27/2010 MIAMI 96-86 W -7 W 186 U 35-72 48.6% 41 16 31-79 39.2% 50 18
5/1/2010 @ CLEVELAND 93-101 L 7 L 191.5 O 36-81 44.4% 49 16 38-78 48.7% 50 10
5/3/2010 @ CLEVELAND 104-86 W 6 W 192 U 40-78 51.3% 51 18 28-70 40.0% 44 15
5/7/2010 CLEVELAND 95-124 L -1 L 193 O 35-82 42.7% 34 7 44-74 59.5% 54 12
5/9/2010 CLEVELAND 97-87 W 1.5 W 195 U 34-76 44.7% 60 12 27-67 40.3% 44 17
5/11/2010 @ CLEVELAND 120-88 W 7 W 194 O 44-80 55.0% 54 10 28-68 41.2% 39 17
5/13/2010 CLEVELAND 94-85 W -1.5 W 193.5 U 34-77 44.2% 51 13 28-73 38.4% 59 22
5/16/2010 @ ORLANDO 92-88 W 7 W 188 U 33-74 44.6% 45 15 32-77 41.6% 54 18
5/18/2010 @ ORLANDO 95-92 W 7 W 189.5 U 34-74 45.9% 47 14 28-71 39.4% 51 14
5/22/2010 ORLANDO 94-71 W -3 W 189.5 U 34-73 46.6% 50 8 24-65 36.9% 41 17
5/24/2010 ORLANDO 92-96 L -7 L 188 P 32-76 42.1% 54 15 33-74 44.6% 51 19
5/26/2010 @ ORLANDO 92-113 L 4.5 L 186.5 O 31-72 43.1% 36 10 36-69 52.2% 52 13
5/28/2010 ORLANDO


Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996
BOSTON is 38-28 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996
ORLANDO is 36-30 straight up against BOSTON since 1996
33 of 63 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 12-11 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 13-10 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
15 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





All games played at BOSTON since 1996
BOSTON is 22-10 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996
BOSTON is 20-12 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996
16 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





Shooting 3pt shots Free Throws Rebounds
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FGM-A Pct FGM-A Pct FTM-A Pct Tot. OFF TO
05/26/2010 BOSTON 92 186.5 Over 49 31-72 43.1% 7-16 43.7% 23-30 76.7% 36 4 10
ORLANDO 113 -4.5 SU ATS 57 36-69 52.2% 13-25 52.0% 28-35 80.0% 52 10 13
05/24/2010 ORLANDO 96 188 SU ATS 51 33-74 44.6% 10-28 35.7% 20-33 60.6% 51 11 19
BOSTON 92 -7 47 32-76 42.1% 5-18 27.8% 23-30 76.7% 54 10 15
05/22/2010 ORLANDO 71 189.5 Under 34 24-65 36.9% 8-30 26.7% 15-18 83.3% 41 3 17
BOSTON 94 -3 SU ATS 51 34-73 46.6% 6-11 54.5% 20-28 71.4% 50 7 8
05/18/2010 BOSTON 95 189.5 SU ATS 53 34-74 45.9% 5-15 33.3% 22-28 78.6% 47 9 14
ORLANDO 92 -7 Under 51 28-71 39.4% 7-18 38.9% 29-38 76.3% 51 10 14
05/16/2010 BOSTON 92 188 SU ATS 41 33-74 44.6% 6-14 42.9% 20-26 76.9% 45 7 15
ORLANDO 88 -7 Under 32 32-77 41.6% 5-22 22.7% 19-26 73.1% 54 15 18
02/07/2010 ORLANDO 96 187 SU ATS 40 31-67 46.3% 11-22 50.0% 23-29 79.3% 46 6 15
BOSTON 89 -3 Under 51 35-83 42.2% 5-16 31.2% 14-19 73.7% 49 12 11
01/28/2010 BOSTON 94 189.5 ATS 51 35-74 47.3% 12-26 46.2% 12-18 66.7% 41 6 14
ORLANDO 96 -3.5 SU Over 40 32-73 43.8% 6-20 30.0% 26-40 65.0% 59 17 16
12/25/2009 BOSTON 86 191.5 SU ATS 38 31-73 42.5% 4-15 26.7% 20-28 71.4% 56 10 20
ORLANDO 77 -5.5 Under 27 26-78 33.3% 5-26 19.2% 20-24 83.3% 50 9 18
11/20/2009 ORLANDO 83 190 SU ATS 43 29-70 41.4% 10-22 45.5% 15-26 57.7% 60 7 20
BOSTON 78 -6 Under 40 30-87 34.5% 2-19 10.5% 16-18 88.9% 51 14 12
05/17/2009 ORLANDO 101 186.5 SU ATS 45 36-70 51.4% 13-21 61.9% 16-20 80.0% 44 3 16
BOSTON 82 -2.5 Under 38 29-74 39.2% 4-16 25.0% 20-25 80.0% 44 7 10
05/14/2009 BOSTON 75 191 Under 46 32-77 41.6% 3-18 16.7% 8-13 61.5% 59 12 19
ORLANDO 83 -7 SU ATS 45 30-82 36.6% 6-26 23.1% 17-31 54.8% 57 16 9
05/12/2009 ORLANDO 88 192 Under 45 36-80 45.0% 6-24 25.0% 10-12 83.3% 44 8 10
BOSTON 92 -2.5 SU ATS 37 33-78 42.3% 5-16 31.2% 21-21 100.0% 47 11 8
05/10/2009 BOSTON 95 194 SU ATS 48 38-72 52.8% 1-10 10.0% 18-27 66.7% 54 9 13
ORLANDO 94 -5 Under 46 34-85 40.0% 5-27 18.5% 21-28 75.0% 47 12 8
05/08/2009 BOSTON 96 188.5 Over 41 34-79 43.0% 5-18 27.8% 23-26 88.5% 37 6 14
ORLANDO 117 -4.5 SU ATS 53 39-66 59.1% 9-18 50.0% 30-36 83.3% 44 3 17
05/06/2009 ORLANDO 94 190.5 Over 46 31-70 44.3% 8-19 42.1% 24-37 64.9% 46 7 13
BOSTON 112 -4 SU ATS 61 41-80 51.2% 9-20 45.0% 21-25 84.0% 49 7 10
05/04/2009 ORLANDO 95 188 SU ATS 54 35-81 43.2% 9-27 33.3% 16-21 76.2% 47 7 12
BOSTON 90 -1.5 Under 36 30-78 38.5% 8-23 34.8% 22-26 84.6% 56 10 14
03/25/2009 BOSTON 82 189 ATS 39 33-76 43.4% 4-16 25.0% 12-15 80.0% 51 12 18
ORLANDO 84 -3.5 SU Under 47 30-81 37.0% 10-25 40.0% 14-17 82.4% 49 13 14
03/08/2009 ORLANDO 86 196.5 SU ATS 51 33-75 44.0% 8-22 36.4% 12-16 75.0% 44 4 13
BOSTON 79 -2 Under 33 30-76 39.5% 2-10 20.0% 17-24 70.8% 55 8 17
01/22/2009 BOSTON 90 191.5 SU ATS 44 35-75 46.7% 0-6 0.0% 20-25 80.0% 48 14 11
ORLANDO 80 -4.5 Under 36 26-68 38.2% 7-22 31.8% 21-29 72.4% 47 12 14


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 48.6% of the time since 1996. (437-463)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 46% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (103-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 47.8% of the time since 1996. (444-485)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (117-130)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (497-483)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 49.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (127-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.2% of the time since 1996. (530-505)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (141-129)
No Edge.


Key Player Injuries

ORLANDO
No significant injuries.
BOSTON
[C] 05/05/2010 - Kendrick Perkins probable Friday vs. Cleveland ( Knee )
[F] 05/05/2010 - Kevin Garnett probable Friday vs. Cleveland ( Ankle )






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Re: 5-28-10

5/28/20 shut em all down sports


Sanfrancisco ML

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Re: 5-28-10

papayagang 5/28/2010

San Diego ML 50*
Cincy ML 20*
Seattle vs LA Angles under 8 20*

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Re: 5-28-10

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Fri, 05/28/10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Fri, 05/28/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 955 PHI (+110) Bookmaker.com vs 956 FLA
Analysis:
3* Knockout Dog Winner goes to Phillies + 110

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Re: 5-28-10

Cleveland Insider (System Plays)

MLB: 12-1
WNBA: 3-0

Plays for Friday 5-28-10

MLB

Wager #1- Baltimore +1.5 (-140) @ Toronto (wager $140 win $100)
Wager #1- Houston +1.5 (-180) @ Cincinnati (wager $180 win $100)

WNBA

Wager #1- New York +9.5 (-170) @ San Antonio (buy 3 points) (wager $170 win $100)

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Re: 5-28-10

SB Prof. v2

St. Louis Cardinals -129

Houston Astros +114

Philadelphia Phillies +117

Pittsburgh Pirates +160

Milwaukee Brewers -110

Baltimore Orioles +160

Texasa Rangers +113

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Re: 5-28-10

RW Sports

soccer: win/loss: 36.5-32-8.5, net profit: +8.24 units, yield: 10.9%
other sports: win/loss: 3-5, net profit: -2.71 units, yield: -31.8%

soccer bets for friday

friendly
slovakia - cameroon, over 2.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.99 @ pinnacle

tennis bets for friday

french open men
federer - reister, federer -9 games, 1 unit, 1.89 @ pinnacle

french open women
li - schiavone, li, 1 unit, 1.79 @ pinnacle
dementieva - wozniak, dementieva 2-1, 0.25 units, 4.93 @ pinnacle
rezai - petrova, rezai 2-1, 0.25 units, 4.34 @ pinnacle

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Re: 5-28-10

lvsit

Friday May 28, 2010

Allday
MLB
1* LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Under 9.5


Bobby B.
No Plays


Ken Adams
No Plays

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Re: 5-28-10

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Lakers (-7-1/2) Thursday night.

Friday it's the Magic. The deficit is 1070 sirignanos.

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Re: 5-28-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
453 - 329 run 58 %

Free play FRI Seattle -115

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Re: 5-28-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, MAY 28

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Orlando (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS) at Boston (11-5 SU and ATS)

The second-seeded Magic, who trailed the best-of-7 Eastern Conference finals 3-0, now have a chance to knot it up when they face the Celtics in Game 6 at TD Garden. Orlando ran away from Boston in Game 5, outscoring the Celts 29-17 in the fourth quarter en route to a 113-92 blowout as a four-point home favorite. Jameer Nelson had 24 points, and Dwight Howard added 21 points, 10 rebounds and five blocks for the Magic. Orlando shot a solid 52.2 percent from the floor (36 of 69), including an eye-catching 52 percent from 3-point range (13 of 25), and Stan Van Gundy’s troops posted a hefty 43-26 edge on the glass. Rasheed Wallace (21 points) was the only player to break 20 points for Boston, which shot 43.1 percent overall (31 of 72) and 43.8 percent from long distance (7 of 16). The Celtics had just four offensive rebounds, while allowing 10 for Orlando, and they got banged up – Glen Davis and Marquis Daniels both suffered concussions, putting their status in question, and Wallace tweaked his back. Orlando is 5-4 SU and Boston 5-4 ATS in the nine meetings this year between these two, with the Magic taking Games 4 and 5 SU and ATS after a 5-1 ATS run (4-2 SU) by Boston. Despite Orlando holding court at home in Game 5, the road team and the visitor are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 clashes in this rivalry, and the Magic are 4-1 ATS on their last five visits to the Garden. The SU winner has cashed in 21 of the last 23 meetings between these teams, including 15 of the last 16 and the last six in a row. Additionally, the SU winner has cashed in each of Boston’s last 26 games overall, including all 16 playoff contests, and the SU winner is 20-1 ATS in the Magic’s last 21 contests. Orlando is 30-17 (27-19-1 ATS) on the highway this season and has won 13 of its last 16 away from home (11-4-1 ATS), including Monday’s 96-92 overtime win as a seven-point pup in Game 4 in Beantown. The Magic are 5-1 SU and ATS in playoff roadies this year. Boston is 30-19 SU this season at the Garden but just 18-30-1 ATS. In the playoffs, the Celtics are 6-2 SU and ATS at home. The Magic are on several positive pointspread sprees, including 22-8-1 overall, 7-1 in roadies, 7-1 after a spread-cover, 21-7-1 after a SU win, 20-7-1 after a day off and 18-7 against Atlantic Division foes.
Despite dropping their last two SU and ATS, the Celtics remain on pointspread upswings of 6-2 overall, 4-1 after either a SU or an ATS loss, 6-2 at home, 6-2 after a day off, 5-2 laying points and 7-3 against the Southeast Division. Orlando sports a bundle of “under” streaks, including 8-4-1 overall (5-2 last seven), 16-5 on Friday, 37-14-1 after a day off, 9-4 as a pup (all on the road) and 42-20 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Likewise, Boston is on “under” rolls of 10-4 in conference finals contests and 4-1 after a non-cover, but the over is 35-16 in the Celts’ last 51 starts after a SU loss. The last two games of this series cleared the posted price, with Game 5 sailing over the 186½-point total. Still, the total has stayed low in 10 of the last 13 overall between these two teams (6-3 this season) and five of the last six meetings in Boston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (26-21) at Colorado (25-22)

The Dodgers send right-hander Carlos Monasterios (1-0, 1.90 ERA) to the mound at Coors Field in Denver opposite Rockies’ southpaw Jeff Francis (1-0, 0.68). Los Angeles just dropped two of three in Chicago, getting shut out twice, including Thursday’s 1-0 loss. The Dodgers are still on several positive streaks, including 18-7 overall, 57-27 against N.L. West rivals, 7-2 on the road, 4-0 on Friday and 5-2 in series openers. Colorado made it five straight victories – its longest win streak of the season – with Thursday’s 8-2 victory over the Diamondbacks. The Rockies are on positive runs of 56-25 at home, 37-15 as a home favorite, 39-19 at home against right-handers, 5-1 as a favorite and 46-17 at home against teams with losing road records. The Dodgers took two of three from the Rockies in Los Angeles earlier this month and have won 19 of the last 26 meetings, including five of the last six in Colorado. Monasterios has just one career start, coming back on May 1 at home against the Pirates, when he allowed one run on three hits in four innings of a 5-1 victory. He’s appeared in 12 games this season with his last coming on May 19 at home when he pitched three innings of relief in a 10-5 loss to the Padres, allowing just one hit and no runs. Francis is making just his third start of the season after missing the entire 2009 season. He opened at home by beating the Nationals 2-1, allowing one run on seven hits in seven innings, then followed up with Saturday’s 3-0 victory in Kansas City, blanking the Royals on five hits over 6 1/3 innings. Francis is 5-3 in 14 career starts against the Dodgers with a 2.73 ERA. The Rockies are 21-10 in his last 31 at home against a team with a winning record, but just 1-8 in his last nine series-opening starts. Los Angeles has stayed below the posted total in six of seven on the road, five of six against N.L. West teams, four of five on Friday and five of seven as an underdog. Colorado has topped the total in six of eight series openers, and six of nine when Francis has started a series opener, but it is on “under” surges of 6-0-1 in Francis’ last seven starts overall, 5-1-1 when he pitches at home and 6-1 when he’s a favorite. With Francis on the hill, this series has stayed “under” in six of his last eight starts, nine of the last 12 meetings overall and four of the last five in the Mile High City.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LOS ANGELES and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Texas (26-21) at Minnesota (27-20)

The Rangers, losers of three of their last four but still sitting atop the A.L. West standings, send Colby Lewis (4-2, 3.45 ERA) to the mound at Target Field to face Kevin Slowey (5-3, 4.53) and the Twins in the opener of a three-game series. Texas split a two-game set at Kansas City this week, winning 8-7 on Tuesday before dropping a 5-2 contest on Wednesday. The Rangers’ 1-3 slump follows a five-game winning streak. They are just 1-6 in their last seven road games, 0-8 on the road against teams with winning records and 1-4 on the road against right-handers, but they have won 21 of 29 Friday contests and five of six against A.L. Central squads. Minnesota salvaged the final game of a three-game home set against the Yankees on Thursday, winning 8-2. The Twins are on streaks of 25-11 at home, 39-15 on Friday, 4-1 against A.L. West teams and 38-18 as favorites, but they are just 3-6 in their last nine overall and 1-4 in their last vie versus teams. The Twins have taken 10 of the last 14 at home against Texas and won six of nine overall battles last season. The Rangers snapped a three-game losing streak with Lewis on the hill a week ago when he limited the White Sox to one run on five hits over six innings of a 2-1 victory. On the road this season, Lewis is 1-2 with a 3.77 ERA, allowing 13 runs in 31 innings of work. Lewis has just one career start against the Twins, coming back in 2003 when he allowed three runs on three hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 5-4 loss. Texas is just 5-11 in Lewis’ last 16 roadies, but 6-2 in his last eight as a ‘dog and 4-0 in his last four Friday starts. Slowey has led the Twins to four wins in his last five outings, including Saturday when he gave up two runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Brewers, getting a no-decision in Minnesota’s 8-7 home win. At Target Field, he is 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA, giving up 14 runs in 29 innings. His lone outing against the Rangers came in 2007 when he gave up just one run on four hits in six innings of a 5-4 victory, striking out seven. Minnesota is 19-7 in Slowey’s last 26 home starts, 14-4 in his last 18 when he gets five days off, 9-1 in his last 10 on Friday and 8-2 in his last 10 series openers. Texas is on a plethora of “under” runs, including 4-1 overall, 5-2 as an underdog, 6-1 in Lewis’ last seven as a road ‘dog, 13-3 when he starts on the road, 4-1 in his last five overall and 5-2 when he throws the series opener. Minnesota has topped the total in 37 of 55 Friday games and six of Slowey’s last seven Friday outings, but the team in on “under” stretches of 10-4 as a favorite, 13-7-1 overall and 7-3 at home. In this rivalry, the under is 3-1-1 in the last five clashes and 4-0 in the last four in Minnesota.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

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Re: 5-28-10

Bulgarian Paid service

SC Austria Lustenau - FC Lustenau ,bet on SC Austria Lustenau @2,00
Irska - Alžir ,bet on Irska @1,75