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The defending champs offer very good value here, as pundits may be giving Paraguay too much credit as a result. Yes, Paraguay is good and they have been in fine form while Italy has not, yet the Italians have a great shot at winning this match. Italy offers too much experience as one of the oldest teams in the tournament and when I mention experience I mean it in a good way. Italy is old on average but when push comes to shove they will prevail, as they simply know how to win. Paraguay has a very good chance for second place in the group and I think that is their goal entering the tournament, therefore look more towards the next two matches. Italy understands the importance of the first match and with an opening win should see them through to the round of 16, as their following matches do not offer too much of a threat. Paraguay has a talented attack and may cause few problems, however at the end it will be Italy's experience that sees them through this one. Play: Italy +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
Toronto +1.08 over SAN DIEGO
No doubt the Jays are scuffling and for some unexplainable reason they’re one of the few AL teams that have always had trouble vs the NL. However, Shaun Marcum is about as solid as they come and is without question one of the most undervalued and unrecognized pitchers in the game. Marcum was hit hard in his last two starts but they both came against the Rays. Prior to those two starts his ERA was 2.59 and only once in 11 starts did he allow more than three runs. Marcum seldom walks anyone, he’s always ahead in the count, his BAA is .241 and again, if you throw out two games against the Rays his BAA is .216. Meanwhile, Jon Garland skills are underwhelming at best. He’s going on just three days rest here after throwing less than 100 pitches in three straight starts. Garland throws so few pitches because every one of his pitches is hittable and they’re either hit right at someone or not. In a recent game against the Phillies, his pitching line looked like this: 7IP – 10 hits- 6ER. Seeing that line you would think he threw 115 pitches or so but not Garland. He threw 90 pitches, which tells us that the Phillies were swinging early and they weren’t missing and that’s the way he pitches to everyone. The Jays bring an all-or-nothing offense that leads the AL in HR, but is only 6th in AL scoring with a .224 BA on the road that is the league’s worst. However, this isn’t David Price, Matt Garza, John Lester or Ubaldo Jiminez and the Padres offense is worse. Marcum plus a tag here is about as sweet as it gets. Play: Toronto +1.08 (Risking 2 units).
MLB Take San Diego W/Garland over Toronto W/Marcum NO PLAY if > -130
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Moderators, if you don't care for my post, please ask me to delete. Tks
Dave Cokin Comp
(907) BALTIMORE ORIOLES
(908) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Take "(908) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
JIM FEIST COMP
(901) SEATTLE MARINERS
(902) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Take "Under"
The Cardinals are coming off a tough 1-5 road trip, which didn't help as they chase the Cincinnati Reds for first place in the NL Central. But, they Cards return home and will have Adam Wainwright on the hill. Wainwright has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season with a 8-4 record and very nice 2.30 ERA. The Cardinals also look to get out of their hitting funk that plagued them on the road where they hit just .227 with the heart of their lineup (Pujols and Holliday) going 6-for-44. Wainwright has been dominant at home this season, going 5-0 with a 1.62 ERA. This doesn't bode well for the Mariners who just lost two of three games at San Diego and faced the best bullpen in baseball. The M's, who have struggled to score runs, will have to now face one of the best home pitchers in bsaeball in Wainwright. Luke French makes his first start of the season here for the Mariners. French was overpowering in the minors, going 6-2 with a 1.93 ERA at Triple-A Tacoma. French does catch the Cardinals in a hitting slump, that combined with Wainwright makes this game an UNDER here on Monday!
Arthur Ralph Sports
Free play San Diego -120
Monday
Jack Clayton
Free play
Sport: MLB
Game: Orioles at Giants
Date/Time: 6/14/2010 10:00PM EST
Pick: under the total
Jordan Haimowitz
MLB | Jun 14
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Francisco Giants Baltimore Orioles
+1½-122 at 5DIMES > 13h.
Haimo's Hot Notes:
The value is here with this play. Young O's pitcher Chris Tillman has shown signs of success and Sanchez is the perfect pitcher for the Orioles to do well against as he is very wild at times. All stats point to San Francisco and ultimately it will lead you to a trap.
Take the O's
Chris Jordan
Free play
The Cardinals aren't hitting and Adam Wainwright is pitching at home. Throw in the fact that the offensively-challenged Seattle Mariners are coming to Busch Stadium and those are three pretty good reasons to back the Under in St. Louis this evening.
The Redbirds return home after a dismal 1-5 road trip in which they batted a pathetic .227. And the meat of their lineup, Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday, aren't earning the multi-millions they're getting paid of late as they contributed mightily to the team's offensive malaise with a .136 average during the west coast excursion.
Wainwright has made five starts at home this season. Not only has he won them all, but his earned run average in them is a sparkling 1.62.
Seattle is 2-5 so far on its current 10-game road trip and the M's have scored a total of 18 runs so far with four of them coming in yesterday's win at San Diego. An offensive juggernaut they aren't.
The Cards might not get untracked offensively, but I expect Wainwright to get them back in the win column with another dominating pitching performance at home so expect a low-scoring game in the 4-2 range and play the Under.
5? UNDER ST. LOUIS/SEATTLE (WITH WAINWRIGHT)
Karl Garrett Comp
G-Man gave you a Sunday comp play winner on the Lakers-Celtics game staying under the posted total. For Monday, I will back the Blue Jays as they make a rare stop in San Diego.
Toronto dropped all 3 of their weekend games played in Colorado, and have now lost 6 of 7 overall, but they are facing a San Diego team that has been strictly middle of the road of late, splitting both their last 6 games, and their last 10 games.
Shaun Marcum and Jon Garland have both lost their last pair of starts, but I will give the slight edge tonight to the Toronto starter, as the Padres have not seen Marcum before, while the Blue Jays are familiar with Garland from his days in the junior circut.
G-Man gets the feeling that the Jays are due for a slump-busting win, and I will back them at this price tonight at Petco Park.
Take Toronto to stop their 3-game slide.
3? TORONTO
Matt Dennehy
2-0 Run (0%)
Sun 2-0
Mon
San Diego -115
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Matt Dennehy
Sun 2-0
2* San Diego -115 over Toronto(10 pm) - The great road start that the Blue Jays got off to has disappeared. This team is really scuffling offensively. In their last 8 games they are 1-7, have scored only 16 runs, and are hitting .187 as a team. The starting rotation only averaged 4 2/3 IP per start and the pen had an 8.04 ERA last week. Marcum has had B2B horrible starts and the pressure is on to stop this team slide. It may be too much for him right now. Jon Garland has pitched well this year, but SD hasn't helped him much offensively. At home Garland has been amazing with a 1.15 ERA in 39 IP. Over his career he is 11-2 vs the Blue Jays. look for Garland to send the Blue Jays further into a tailspin tonight in SD.
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