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Re: 6-20-10
LARRY NESS
10* PERFECT STORM (62% s/2009)
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 4:10 ET.
The Reds own the NL's highest team batting average (.276), are averaging 4.88 RPG and also lead the NL with 83 HRs. However, they have been held to one run in each of the first two games of their three-gamne series in Seattle by Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez, who have pitched the first back-to-back complete games for the Mariners since 1996. While Cincy's ego may be bruised, the more important issue is that with the Cards winning twice over the A's these last two days, the Reds have fallen out of first place in the NL Central. They are hoping that Aaron Harang can get them back on track vs a Seattle team which has now beaten them in SEVEN of eight all-time IL meetings. Harang won 16 games in back-to-back seasons in 2006 and '07, as the Reds went 24-10 in his starts in 2007, giving him MLB's best moneyline mark that year (plus-$1,347). However, he's not come close to matching those performances the last few years, going 6-17 with a 4.78 ERA in 2008 (Reds were 12-17), 6-14 with a 4.21 ERA in 2009 (Reds were 11-15) and 5-6 with a 5.44 ERA this season (Reds are 5-9). He pitched poorly this past Sunday in a 12-0 loss to the Dodgers (4.1 IP / 7 hits / 5 ERs) but entered that game 3-0 in his previous four starts (3.33 ERA). He should have much more luck here vs a Seattle team which is batting just .241 (27th in MLB) and scoring almost 1 1/2 runs less per game than the Reds, at 3.44 per contest. More good news comes Cincinnati's way in that Seattle will send lefty Rowland-Smith to the mound. The Mariners dropped him from the rotation back in mid-May but with an injury to Doug Fister, he's back in. Cutting "straight to the chase," he's allowed a whopping 76 hits in 55.2 innings and owns an awful 23-23 KW ratio. It's NO surprise he's 0-6 with a 6.63 ERA in 14 appearances this year, including 11 starts (Mariners are 2-9 and minus-$710 in those starts). It's also not good news for Seattle fans that the Mariners are just 6-16 in day games in 2010. Reds avoid the sweep here.
LARRY NESS
10* PERFECT STORM (62% s/2009)
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 4:10 ET.
The Reds own the NL's highest team batting average (.276), are averaging 4.88 RPG and also lead the NL with 83 HRs. However, they have been held to one run in each of the first two games of their three-gamne series in Seattle by Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez, who have pitched the first back-to-back complete games for the Mariners since 1996. While Cincy's ego may be bruised, the more important issue is that with the Cards winning twice over the A's these last two days, the Reds have fallen out of first place in the NL Central. They are hoping that Aaron Harang can get them back on track vs a Seattle team which has now beaten them in SEVEN of eight all-time IL meetings. Harang won 16 games in back-to-back seasons in 2006 and '07, as the Reds went 24-10 in his starts in 2007, giving him MLB's best moneyline mark that year (plus-$1,347). However, he's not come close to matching those performances the last few years, going 6-17 with a 4.78 ERA in 2008 (Reds were 12-17), 6-14 with a 4.21 ERA in 2009 (Reds were 11-15) and 5-6 with a 5.44 ERA this season (Reds are 5-9). He pitched poorly this past Sunday in a 12-0 loss to the Dodgers (4.1 IP / 7 hits / 5 ERs) but entered that game 3-0 in his previous four starts (3.33 ERA). He should have much more luck here vs a Seattle team which is batting just .241 (27th in MLB) and scoring almost 1 1/2 runs less per game than the Reds, at 3.44 per contest. More good news comes Cincinnati's way in that Seattle will send lefty Rowland-Smith to the mound. The Mariners dropped him from the rotation back in mid-May but with an injury to Doug Fister, he's back in. Cutting "straight to the chase," he's allowed a whopping 76 hits in 55.2 innings and owns an awful 23-23 KW ratio. It's NO surprise he's 0-6 with a 6.63 ERA in 14 appearances this year, including 11 starts (Mariners are 2-9 and minus-$710 in those starts). It's also not good news for Seattle fans that the Mariners are just 6-16 in day games in 2010. Reds avoid the sweep here.
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