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The Storm look to take advantage of a Tulsa team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games overall. Seattle is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, JUNE 27
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Los Angeles at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 107.319; Atlanta 119.574
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 12 1/2; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 10; 167
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10); Under
Game 603-604: Phoenix at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 109.756; Washington 118.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3; 172 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3); Over
Game 605-606: Seattle at Tulsa (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 118.071; Tulsa 107.359
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 10 1/2; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 8 1/2; 165
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8 1/2); Over
Game 607-608: Connecticut at New York (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.887; New York 108.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 3 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1; 156
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1); Under
Game 609-610: Indiana at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.805; Chicago 115.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 145
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Under
PEPPER-JACK(BETONEPICKS)
Nascar Matchups(Both 3 Star Plays)
#185 Kevin Harvick+115 Over Tont Stewart
#168 Joey Logano+110 Over Ryan Newman
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2-0 yesterday for 40 dimes or $400 worth of profit. overall, 69-72-3 MINUS 30 dimes of profit since i started my posts.
Sunday's Winners ... 20 DIME seleation on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS over the Boston Red Sox in the finale of a three-game seriees from AT&T Park. Note that Tim Lincecum must start this game for the Giants or this play is VOID!
10 DIME selection on the SAN DIEGO PADRES over the Florida Marlins in the finole of a three-game series from Sun Life Stadium in Miami. Note that Mat Latos must start this game for San Diego, or this play is VOID.
Giants
I’m as big a Jon Lester fan as there is on the planet. However, it’s not often you get a pitcher the caliber of Tim Lincecum at this dirt cheap of a price, especially at home. And when you do, you just have to play it.
After an inexplacable poor three-start stretch to close out the month of May, Lincecum has been back to his dominant self in June, posting four straight quality outings with the Giants winning all four. Over his last three starts, the right-hander has gone 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 24 strikeouts against just seven walks in 22 innings. On Tuesday in Houston, Lincecum outdueled the red-hot Roy Oswalt, allowing just one unearned run over eight innings of a 3-1 victory.
Overall, Lincecum is 8-2 with a 2.86 ERA, and San Francisco is 11-4 behind its ace, including 6-2 in day games (with Lincecum going 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA under the sun). I bring up day games because for whatever reason, Lester has struggled in sunshine, going 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in three starts (at night, he’s 7-1 with a 2.36 ERA). It’s also interesting to note that Lester doesn’t get a ton of offensive support when he pitches on the road (the Red Sox average just 4 runs per game in his seven road outings, and they’ve got a 3-4 record when Lester pitches outeside of Boston). Nor does he get a ton of offensive support in day games (3.7 runs per game).
Hard to see Boston’s offense production increasing today for three reasons: 1) It is facing Lincecum; 2) It won’t have second baseman Dustin Pedroia, who went down with a broken foot on Friday; and 3) It is ending a tough six-game West Coast road trip today before heading back home.
One final point to make: Despite Saturday's 4-2 Boston win, the Giants are sitll 25-13 at home this season, and one of the reasons why is they’ve lit up left-handed pitchers at home, batting .312.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are in slumps of 2-5 on the road, 14-27 on the road against teams with a winning record and 1-4 when Lester pitches as an underdog (all on the road). On the other hand, San Francisco is on positove streaks of 50-22 as a favorite, 36-16 when Lincecum starts as a favorite and 25-9 when Lincecum goes as a home favorite – and again, rarely if ever has he been this reasonable a chalk.
Padres
The last time Mat Latos pitched in South Florida, the rookie right-hander got murdered, allowing seven runs on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of a 10-1 loss. However, since then, Latos has been a complete beast, allowing two runs or fewer in nine of 10 starts (and just three runs in the other outing). Over this 10-start stretch, Latos has given up a grand total of 14 runs in 65 2/3 innings, good for a 1.92 ERA.
During this stretch, Latos is 7-2, and he’s led San Diego to five victories in six road games, yielding just six runs in 39 innings (1.38 road ERA). And if you just focus on his three most recent outings, Latos is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA, beating three quality opponents in the Mets (road), Blue Jays (home) and Rays (road). He’s allowed just nine hits and three walks while whiffing 23 in 19 2/3 innings.
In a nutshell, Latos is absolutely dealing right now. And even though his counterpart today – Marlins right-hander Anibal Sanchez (7-4, 3.30 ERA) – has been solid himself, the Padres (44-30 overall; 21-14 on the road) have proven for three months they have a better all-around team than the Marlins (35-39 overall; 19-21 at home). And should this game come down to a battle of bullpens, it’s a huge advantage for San Diego (2.59 bullpen ERA vs. Florida’s 4.71 bullpen ERA)
Throw in the revenge factor for Latos and a reasonable pick-em price, and I’ll roll the dice as San Diego -- which continues to be disrespected in the marketplace -- guns for a three-game sweep.
WUNDERDOG
Game: San Diego at Florida (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida -110 (moneyline)
The Padres have been impressive this season thanks to great pitching. On the road this team is averaging only 3.8 runs per game, so asking them to win here against a team averaging 4.8 per game is asking a lot. Mat Latos has been very good but he's facing another pitcher who has been very good this year in Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez owns a 3.30 ERA (2.64 at home). So we have two good pitchers and two very different offenses. I like the home team with the offensive edge. Over the past couple of seasons, the Marlins are 12-3 after a game in which 3 or fewer runs were scored. They are also 25-12 the past three seasons after three straight losses.
I'm on the Marlins here.
JACK JONES
Jack's Free Pick For Sunday: Chicago White Sox -136
Hard not to like the White Sox Sunday as they aim for their 12th straight win. Chicago has feasted on the National League this season, going 15-2 in interleague play. John Danks has been rock-solid with a 7-5 record and a 3.23 ERA with a 1.174 WHIP. Danks is also 4-3 with a 2.41 ERA at home this season, and 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA over his last 3 starts. In 3 starts vs. the Cubs, Danks is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.900 WHIP. He has allowed just 2 earned runs and 18 base runners in 20 innings. Ryan Dempster is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.836 WHIP in 5 career starts vs. the White Sox.
The White Sox have won 7 of 8 meetings with the Cubs this season. The Cubs are 14-24 on the road this season, hitting .242 and scoring 3.7 RPG. Dempster is 1-7 in day games this season.
The White Sox are 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Cubs are 1-9 in Dempster's last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Chicago is 0-9 in Dempster's last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
Roll with the White Sox to win their 12th straight Sunday.
The Under is now 11-4-1 in the last 16 head-to-head meetings between the Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers, and the pitching matchup for this Sunday night game suggests that another low scoring contest is inevitable.
It is no secret that Roy Oswalt has pitched in some of the toughest luck in baseball, in fact prompting him to ask the Astros for a trade last month. Well, he has continued to pitch well despite that distraction, posting 13 Quality Starts in his 15 starts this year! The weak Houston offense is the only reason Oswalt is 5-9, and that is what has led to his disgruntlement.
Wins and losses aside however, the fact remains that Oswalt has a 3.08 ERA and an excellent 1.08 WHIP in 99.1 innings, with 94 strikeouts against just 25 walks. He has also posted Quality Starts in six of his last seven career starts vs. Texas. With the trade deadline coming up soon, Oswalt also knows that the better he pitches, the easier it should be for Houston to deal him.
The Rangers counter with Tommy Hunter, who has looked great since re-entering the rotation with a 2.31 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while allowing three runs or less in all four of his starts, with Texas as a team going 4-0 in those contests. This will also be the first time that the Astros have ever faced Hunter, and we are talking about a Houston offense that is batting just .235 vs. right-handed pitchers all year while mostly facing hurlers that they have already seen.
Thus, look for the Astros to struggle again here, and with the Under now at 11-3-1 in all Oswalt starts, we see absolutely no reason why this contest should be any different.
JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 8:05 PM
dime bet ml 980 LOS (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 979 NYY
Analysis:
Los Dodgers bang around Andy Pettite @ Chavez Ravine to~night.
Los Dodgers -110 game at 8:10 PM Jr O's Knock Out punch winner
The 40-34 Dodgers got the bats moving last night as they crushed a 46-28 Yankees ball club 9-4. They keep the mojo going tonight on Espn. The Dodgers send the Monster 7-4 OVER ALL and 3.24 ERA C Kershaw to the mound and he has a terrific 4-0 winning mark at home the last 4 for the home crew. The Dodgers will get to A Petitte and on the flip side the Yankees are hitting a miserable .224 BA vs. left handers the last 11 games. The Dodgers are a East Coast sharp side here on National TV & the JR O. Express will play on the home team who needs a win here tonight
double-dime bet 971 COL (+130) Bodog vs 972 ANA
Analysis: This line is a joke. I'm not saying that the Angels at home aren't one of the top teams in baseball, because they are, and I understand just how tough it is to win a series in LA, but this is a terrible match-up for Ervin Santana. Santana's big issue this year has been left-handed bats. He gives up a batting average of around 0.310 to lefties, and Colorado has been playing 8 lefties on a daily basis. Aside from Miguel Olivo, every single batter that Santana will face will be a lefty. He'll be uncomfortable on the mound all day long, and I fully expect the Rockies to beat him up early. If we can plate some runs in the first 5, it'll break ground for that terrible middle relief unit of the Angels. It's almost a snowball effect. If you hit an Angels starter, you'll probably get even more runs when they leave the game early. I expect that to be the case with a pitcher that struggles against lefties against a lineup composed of ALL lefties.
On the other side, I've got one rule with Chacin. Bet him the first time he faces a team, fade him the rest. Walks have been an issue for him, but when you haven't seen the guy before, time and time again guys swing at his garbage pitches. That's just the way this guy is. I do expect him to give up some free passes, and the Angels are one of the best teams in baseball on the base paths, so that's concerning. But I also expect him to limit the hits and find his way out of jams like he ALWAYS does. Plus, at the end of the day I'll take his 3 or 4 walks against Santana's lefty struggles any day of the week. Especially knowing that the Colorado bullpen is the superior one as well.
Love taking Chacin in his first start against a team, and I love fading Santana against a lefty-dominated lineup. This one is almost too easy for an underdog. 2 units on Colorado.
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