7-5-10

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Re: 7-5-10

Baseball Crusher 7/5

NYM (-135) over CIN

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Re: 7-5-10

ATS LOCK CLUB

3 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays
3 UNIT Chicago White Sox

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Re: 7-5-10

JIM FEIST COMP
(963) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
(964) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take "(963) LOS ANGELES ANGELS"
Scott Kazmir was the ace for the Tampa Bay Rays. However, since coming over to the LA Angels he's struggled. In fact, Kazmir can point to one reason for his struggles, his slider. Kazmir has had problems most of the season locating his slider, which in turn has made him mainly a fastball/changeup type pitcher which is why he sits at the midway point of the season with a 7-7 record and 5.67 ERA. Kazmir has been using the slider a lot from the bullpen, but has little confidence in the pitch from the mound. Look for that to change now that he's gaining more confidence with the once devastating pitch. What's even more surprising is that Kazmir has been more effective on the road this season than at home. Kazmir is 5-3 away with a 4.73 ERA compared to his home 2-4 record and 7.28 ERA. In addition, opposing batters are hitting almost 60 points less against Kazmir on the road. Gavin Floyd will start for the Whitesox. Floyd is 3-7 this season with a 4.66 ERA. Floyd is just 1-2 at home this year with a 4.98 ERA and .277 opponent batting average. At this point I have more belief in Kazmir than I do in Floyd. Plus Kazmir is pitching well on the road and if he can start using that slider more he will be more like the pitcher he was with the Rays. Take the Angels here on Monday as a nice little dog.

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Re: 7-5-10

Jack Clayton
Free play

Sport: MLB
Game: Marlins at Dodgers
Date/Time: 7/5/2010 9:00PM EST
Pick: Over the total

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Re: 7-5-10

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Monday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Felix Hernandez (6-5, 3.03 ERA), Seattle Mariners

Seattle pitchers make back-to-back appearances in the streaking section with King Felix following Cliff Lee from yesterday. The M’s have been awful this season but you can’t blame either hurler for the team’s problems.

Hernandez has pitched at least eight innings in each of his last four starts and he’s struck out 37 batters compared to just six walks. The Mariners are 3-1 in those last four trips to the hill and the under is 5-0-2 in his last seven outings.

Slumping

Ian Kennedy (3-6, 3.77) Arizona Diamondbacks

Kennedy has lost his last three starts - surrendering 17 hits and 13 earned runs during that span - and hasn't gotten a win since May 19.

Control problems have been the source of his frustration. Kennedy walked a career-high nine walks in his last outing. The Diamondbacks even elected to skip his last turn in the rotation.

"Honestly, I have no idea but I need to figure it out," said Kennedy, who became the first pitcher in the majors to allow nine or more walks since Boston's Josh Beckett in 2006. "It's not acceptable and it's very, very frustrating. I don't know what's wrong. I have to look at film and figure it out quick before my next outing."

Scott Kazmir (7-7, 5.67) Los Angeles Angels

After winning four consecutive starts, Kazmir has barely gotten warmed up before being pulled in his last two outings - both losses that lasted less than five innings.

Kazmir allowed 12 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 8 1/3 innings, exiting his last start in the fifth after being hammered by the crosstown Dodgers.
His problems have been more mechanical than mental. Kazmir seems to have lost his slider, leaving him with only a fastball and changeup to do battle.

"Scott didn't have everything working for him," Angels manager Mike Scioscia said after falling to the Dodgers. "As his fastball command got shaky, he was getting behind hitters. He didn't have many tools in his box."

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Re: 7-5-10

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

The Angels' bats have hit a cold spell in July, managing just five runs in their first three games of the month.

Their two losses have come against inferior pitchers, Kansas City's Kyle Davies and Bruce Chen, who are a combined 16 games under .500 for their careers. The Halos made them look like Cy Young candidates.

"I think the opposing teams' pitching was good, but we haven't been able to take advantage of our scoring opportunities," said Angels slugger Hideki Matsui. "It's not like we didn't have any chances."

So what are the Angels' chances after playing a late game Sunday night then treking across two time zones to Chicago to face sizzling White Sox starter Gavin Floyd, who is unbeaten with a 1.25 ERA over his last three starts? About the same as their bats lateyl - slim.

Pick: Chicago White Sox


Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 8.5)

The Marlins have looked like a tired team, both mentally and physically, over their last 10 games. During that span they've lost seven games and one manager.

So it's a bad time to start a West Coast road swing against the suddenly hot Dodgers, especially after playing a "home series" in Puerto Rico and being swept by the Braves in Atlanta.

"It stinks. We've had close games, and more than a couple that we should have won," Marlins rookie Gabby Sanchez said of the team's downslide. "We just can't get into that rhythm and get into that groove. It's going to come. Hopefully, it comes sooner [rather] than later."

The Dodgers have won four of their last five on the road and have been pounding the ball despite the loss of Manny Ramirez. They have averaged seven runs per game over that span and face lefty Nate Robertson, who has given up that many per start in his last three outings.

Pick: LA Dodgers

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Re: 7-5-10

TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Monday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Giants at Brewers: Brewers opened as -135 favorites but have fallen to as low as -113 at some books.

Cubs at Diamondbacks: Total opened at 9.5 but has slipped to 9. The under is 34-16-8 in the Cubs' last 54 road games.

Weather To Watch

Angels at White Sox: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds blowing in from right/center field at 19 mph.

Indians at Rangers: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Reds have won 11 of their last 15
Royals have won seven of their last nine.
Athletics have won seven of their last nine.

Who's Not

Marlins have lost seven of their last nine.
Cubs have lost seven of their last 10.
Giants have lost seven of their last eight.

Key Stat

0 - Number of runs the Washington Nationals have scored over rookie sensation Stephen Strasburg's last 18 innings on the mound. Strasburg has allowed only six earned runs over that span.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Oakland Athletics outfielder Coco Crisp left Sunday afternoon's game against the Cleveland Indians with tightness in his left hamstring and is questionable for today's series opener against the Yankees. Crisp has already served two stints on the disabled list but is batting .302 with two home runs, 10 RBIs and four stolen bases in 11 games. Adding to the A's lack of depth in the outfield is Conor Jackson, who has missed four straight starts with a tight hamstring.

Game Of The Day

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

Notable Quotable

"I've talked to Carmelo Anthony that he needs to come out here. I've talked to Tony Parker. Both guys are ready to join me if I decide to come here. So we will see if we can work it out."

Free-agent forward/center Amar'e Stoudemire said of the New York Knicks, where the former Phoenix Suns' All-Star appears to be headed. Stoudemire had breakfast with former Suns coach and current Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni on Sunday to clear the air about disagreements they had in Phoenix.

Tips And Notes

Giants pitcher Jonathan Sanchez should be buying a few rounds for his teammates for their offensive support. The over is 7-0 in his last seven starts, which is usually a bad sign for a pitcher. But Sanchez is 4-2 during that span and has allowed only 21 runs during that stretch. A total of 78 runs have been scored in his last seven starts, an average of more than 11 per game. He faces the Brewers in Milwaukee, where the over is 22-5-1 in their last 28 home games. The posted total is 8.5.

Bettors seem to be buying into the theory that the Miami Heat will be the big winners in the ongoing free agency frenzy. The Heat opened as 25/1 longshots to win the 2011 NBA title but they have been bet down to 6/1, second only to the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers (7/2). Other teams to make big leaps are the Bulls (from 18/1 to 12/1) the Knicks (from 25/1 to 18/1) and Nets and Clippers (from 50/1 to 40/1). The Cavs have fallen from 8/1 to 15/1. These numbers should see a big shift in the coming days as free agents begin to finalize their decisions.

Tiger Woods remains a curious 5/2 favorite to win the British Open despite the fact that he is playing some of the worst golf of his career. Woods shot 1-over-par 71 in Sunday's final round of the AT&T National, marking the first time since the 1999 Bay Hill Invitational that he failed to break par in all four rounds of a tournament. The second pick is Jim Furyk at 10/1, but the best bet might be the real chalk, the field at 2/1, which includes some emerging European Tour players.

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Re: 7-5-10

Betting resource.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Members,

Jul 6: SCR: World Cup: Netherlands - Uruguay
Pick: Netherlands -1 Odd: 2.30
Risked: 10 units Return:

Good Luck
Bettingresource dot com

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Re: 7-5-10

papayagang pick of the day 3 75* 7/5-10

Philadelphia Phillies ML
Tampa Bay Rays ML
Seattle Mariners ML

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Re: 7-5-10

Marc Lawrence Comp

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

The Red Sox and Rays meet in the opener of a crucial three game series in Tampa this evening when Matt Garza matches serves with Clay Buchholz. Gar takes the mound with wins in four of his last five team starts. He's also 10-3 in his last 13 home team starting efforts. With Buchholz just 2-5 throughout his career during the month of July, look for the Rays to capture the opener here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Tampa Bay.

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Re: 7-5-10

Cajun Sports
Free play

LAA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox

The LA Angels travel to the second city for a four-game series against the host White Sox beginning on Monday July 5. Chicago is 29-19 when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54 percent to 62 percent over the last two seasons. We want to Play ON MLB favorites in this price range who average 4.5 or fewer runs per game against a starter whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.70, with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game. Playing on these favorites has produced a record of 56-16 for 77 percent winners and a profit of over thirty-two units. We will lay the chalk with the host as the Sox grab the first game of this series against the Angels on Monday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Chicago White Sox 5 LA Angels

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Re: 7-5-10

Craig Trapp
Free play

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: Seattle Mariners -1.5

Love playing super hot power pitchers. Without a doubt Hernandez is back to his last season domination. Shutting out the NYY in a complete game shutout shows how good he is running. In fact his last four starts he is 3-0 with 3 complete games, 5 ER's and 37 K's! KC turns to Bannister after being shut out on Sunday. Not good news as Banniester is 1-3 in last four starts. Even worse night starts he is 3-6 with a 7.76 ERA. When Hernandez wins he has covered the R/L in all of his last 5 winning starts. Great value here!

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Re: 7-5-10

Sean Murphy
Free play

Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The Tigers were tripped up by the Mariners on Sunday, but that should come as no surprise, as they were up against one of the best pitchers in baseball, Cliff Lee.

I'm confident we'll see Detroit bounce back strong on Monday, and improve to 11-2 in its last 13 games as a favorite.

The Orioles have avoided getting swept in each of their last two series', but that's about it. They remain an awful road team, currently sitting at 9-31 on the season. Going back to last season, they've won just 10 of their last 51 games away from home.

To make matters worse, the O's will be up against a left-handed starter who they've never seen before on Monday. They're hitting just .234 against southpaws on the road this season, and own an ugly 16-37 record in their last 53 games against left-handed starters.

Kevin Millwood gets the call for the Orioles. Baltimore has won each of his last three starts, but don't give Millwood too much credit. He's posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over that stretch. Note that he's made it through the sixth inning only once in his last six starts.

Millwood owns a 1-7 team record in his eight road outings this season. It's not as if he's had much help, as the O's are giving him just two runs per start away from home.

As a member of the Texas Rangers last year, Millwood made a pair of starts in Detroit. He was winless in those two appearances, dropping 6-4 and 4-3 decisions. You would have to go back to September of 2006 to find the last time he won at Comerica Park.

Andrew Oliver will get his third start of the season for the Tigers. He has yet to notch a victory, but has certainly pitched well enough to do so in each of his first two outings. Keep in mind, those losses came in Atlanta and Minnesota, where the Braves and Twins own two of the strongest home field edges in the majors.

Oliver has allowed 13 hits, but just four earned runs over 12 innings of work. He's struck out 10 while walking only three. He'll have the advantage of facing the Orioles for the first time, and should benefit from taking the mound at pitcher friendly Comerica Park.

This is a mismatch no matter how you look at it. The Tigers should bounce back nicely after Sunday's setback while the Orioles will come back to Earth following a rare road victory. Take Detroit.

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Re: 7-5-10

THE PREZ
Free play

Giants @ Brewers
PICK: Over 8.5

Jonathan Sanchez has now thrown three straight non-QS outings (1-1, 6.23 ERA with 11 walks to 15 K's). In his last start the southpaw lasted only five innings allowing six hits and four earned runs while striking out four. While the Giants' lefty has kept all outings this season to four earned runs or less and his ERA at a decent 3.26, his FB percentage and his gopher-itis continues to grow; and away from pitcher-friendly ATT Park Sanchez is an implosion waiting to happen. Strikeouts are his only saving grace. He is averaging a K/9 of 8.81 this season, but that is straight-line decline after posting a 12.2 in April (7.2 in May and 8.2 in June). Expect the Brewers to send more than one of Sanchez's offerings into the outfield bleachers today in this post-Independence daytime contest.

The Crew's right-hander Dave Bush, taking the ball after nine days of rest, pitched six innings and allowed two earned runs, once again taking advantage of a non-power lineup against Seattle, this two starts back. In his last outing, one against another soft-hitting Houston lineup Bush was able to scatter five hits and five walks in a loss to the Astros. The veteran Brewer has a 3-6 record with a 4.43 ERA despite 11 of his 19 starts coming against offenses that rank, or did rank, in the bottom 25 percent of the league.

Bush is one of those pitchers who has consistently had a good looking skill set, 2006 / 2007 / 2008 / 2009 K/9’s 7.1/6.5/5.3/7.1 and BB/9’s 1.6/2.1/2.9/1.5, but the results have never translated to gameday or season ending numbers (ERA’s 4.41/5.12/4.18/6.38). His FB percentage continues to grow (FB%, 34%/38%/41%/45%) and his propensity to give up the long ball (29 home runs allowed in 185 innings in 2008 and 19 home runs allowed in 114.1 innings in 2009) tells you all you need to know. When hitters make contact with Bush's average arm speed they are squaring up on his offerings (LD% 22%). Bush is 11-2 to the OVER in home tilts when oddsmakers open the total between 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

The Giants are 9-2 to the OVER in road games against bullpens that have failed in 38% or more of their save opportunities and 13-4 to the OVER versus teams (Brewers) that allow 4.8 or more runs per game on the season this season.
The Brewers are 8-0 to the OVER when playing on Monday this season.

3* Play on OVER 8.5 runs