7-15-10

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Re: 7-15-10

PURE LOCK

Boston Red Sox-108
Free MLB Play

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Re: 7-15-10

R&R TOTALS

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Total 7 over
Free MLB Over-Under

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Re: 7-15-10

Dave Cokin

Solid Gold Play: Texas Rangers

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Re: 7-15-10

Chuck O'Brien Comp

Thursday’s complimentary selection comes Fenway Park, as I’ll play the Rangers-Red Sox game OVER the total.

Tim Wakefield has struggled in the shadows of the Monster this season, going 1-4 with a 5.89 ERA, and his knuckleball has been dancing over the wall at an alarming rate (15 home runs allowed in 100 innings, including seven long balls at home). Wakefield also got rocked by these Rangers at home on April 20, allowing six runs in six innings (Boston eventually prevailed 7-6). So in his last three starts against Texas, Wakefield has surrendered 18 runs in 15 2/3 innings, and the final scores of those three games were 6-5, 15-8 and 7-6.

Rangers starter Tommy Hunter (5-0, 2.34 ERA) has been phenomenal since getting recalled from Triple-A in early June. However, six of his seven starts have come at home – in fact, he’s only pitched 2 1/3 innings on the road. He’s also only faced two above-average offenses (Rays and White Sox). Hunter also has scary memories of Fenway Park – in his only start there back in 2008, the right-hander lasted all of 1 2/3 innings after yielding nine runs in a 10-0 loss.

The Rangers (.278) and Red Sox (.276) rank second and third, respectively, in baseball in team batting average, and Boston’s 118 home runs are second only to the Blue Jays (Texas has gone deep 90 times). These teams combined for 13 and 15 runs in two of three meetings at Fenway earlier this season, and this one has double-digit slugfest written all over it.
3? OVER THE TOTAL (LISTED PITCHERS)

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Re: 7-15-10

Primetime Sports Advisors

St Louis Cardinals

Braves Under 8.5

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Re: 7-15-10

Dave Cokin

Solid Gold Play: Texas Rangers

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Re: 7-15-10

Gino Moretti's Winning Ticket

Atlanta Braves listing Jurrjens Run Line +120

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Frank J. Belanger 7/15

Phillies ML (Royer, Dempster must start)
Cardinals ML
__________________

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MVPLocks 7/15

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Angels -155 (lock of the day)
Braves -167
White Sox/Twins over 8.5
Mets/Giants under 7

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Re: 7-15-10

DOCTOR SPORTS

TOP PLAY
BOSTON -108 over Texas
Wakefield -vs Hunter

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PHIL MAXWELL

TOP PLAY
ANGELS -150 over Seattle
Pineiro -vs Fister

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Las vegas capper

25* 902 ATL (-150) over MIL

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Re: 7-15-10

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/15/10 - 8:15 PM

double-dime bet 905 LOS (-105) BetUS vs 906 STL
Analysis:
Los Dodgers -105 on the Road grab a smooth 2* J Hawk winner. The Los Dodgers are a great prop on the road as the BIG BLUE Dodgers are hot! Let's ride C Kershaw 9-4, 2.96 ERA as the Cards at home are way way too cheap here on the 1st day back from the break! The Dodgers are a nice prop bet here behind Kershaw and the Cards are 1-5 in this spot a terrible 17% wager the last 6 games as a small favorite. The Cards hit .245 vs leftys as of late!

Dodgers -105 grab the win @ 8:15

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Re: 7-15-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/15/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 909 TEX (-105) Sportbet vs 910 BOS
Analysis:
Hunter has 6 quality outings in 7 starts this season. He has a 3.61FIP in 2010 and a 4.43xFIP. Hunter’s 2.34ERA this season and metrics above are contrasted with those of Wakefield who has a 5.89ERA at Fenway this season, a 5.96ERA in his last 6 outings overall, a 6.09ERA in 34 career appearances v Tex, and a 4.82FIP (12th worst in MLB) and 5.11xFIP (8th worst in MLB) in 2010. Anyway you slice it, it comes out bad. Against the Rangers potent offense, it could get ugly quick. That’s exactly what I believe happens tonight. Additionally, the Red Sox come into this ballgame without a host of key position players, including Pedroia, Martinez, Varitek, Hermida, and Ellsbury. That makes the BoSox lineup a decidedly more right-handed attack. Hunter is holding righties to a .179 clip this season. I smell value. 2* Best Bet value.

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Re: 7-15-10

spartan | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/15/10 - 8:15 PM

triple-dime bet 906 STL (-125) Sportbet vs 905 LOS
Analysis: Both these teams are looking to likely be engaged in serious contention right up to the end and both will be severly let down if post season is not the final result.
I went against Cris Carpenter in his last outing at Denver when he had the tough luck to draw the hottest pitcher in baseball and Ublado Jiminez. Even though he did end up dropping the decision the word is that Carpenter was finding something toward the end with his mechanics and seemed dialed in like the old Cris Carpenter. I do not believe health has been any issue lately, which is a relief because Carpenter has surely had more than his share of buzzards luck when it comes to staying sound. Evidently it was a mechanical thing and he is chomping at the bit to get back on the mound and get the second half of the season underway. The Cardinals and Reds figure to be fighting it out and St Louis desperately needs Carp to be his old self. One other thing is I feel the Cardinals will be looking to apply to serious payback for the earlier sweep out in Dodger stadium. The Cardinals needed that all star break in the worst sort of way and now they resume play back in the friendly confines of Busch Stadium.
The Dodgers young starter Clayton Kershaw can obviously be a hand full and is capable of shutting anybody down on a given night.
This is very much a situational play guys, the weather is supposed to be hot and brutally humid thursday in St Louis. I follow the Cardinals very closely and reside not far from St Louis, I can tell you Cris Carpenter is a stud when it comes to performing in the sticky weather and I've seen him pitch some of his best baseball in those conditions. Nothing shocks me in a 162 game schedule guys, just ask the poor squares who just recently got killed on the Rangers in their last series with the Orioles. Hell in baseball anything can happen, but with that said I would be surprised if the Cardinals did not prevail in the opener of this series with Carp taking the ball. Triple Star on the St Louis Cardinals and we for certain want Carpenter on the bump. Good luck!