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4-Unit Play. Take #602. Take Under 146.5 between Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty (Thursday @ Noon est).
These two teams have met twice this year:
June 12th: Washington 82, New York 65.
May 21st: Washington 77, New York 61.
Both games went under the posted total of 153 and 149.5. Bear in mind that 65% of the public favors New York as this is the only game on the wnba docket for Thursday. But, Washington is the better team as they have covered four straight and are turning it on at the right time of the year. New York comes off a much needed and big win over Chicago and both of these teams are on the upper half of defensive teams in the league. Plus, New York is 10th out of 12 teams on offense as it is. Also note that New York has played to the under in its last five games as well. Although I think New York can be an active dog and send this game over, I think New York by nature is a more defensive team and will make the necessary adjustments to keep this game closer.
5-Unit Play. Take #904. Take Under between the Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Thursday @ 8:05pm est).
6-1 in 5* GOTWs this year.
Jamie Moyer is one of my favorite pitchers. Here you have an individual, born in 1962 that is still pitching effectively in the major leagues. During his time, he has learned a thing or two to become successful and that is evident by his still ever-presence in the Phillies starting rotation. The Pennsylvania native is 9-8 with a 4.51 era this year but when you delve into his splits, its telling. He has put together 7 of 10 quality starts and note that after a non-quality start, he came back with a solid start every time. And, the majority of the time Jamie pitches very well and even brilliantly, but a few times he has been hit very hard and consequently that inflates his era. Again, Moyer is one of the best bounce-back pitchers in the league and I expect him to have a solid bounce-back after giving up seven runs at home to division rival Atlanta. Moyer gave up seven runs in 5.1 innings to Atlanta and prior to that he had given up 6 runs in total over his last four starts in 29 innings to the likes of the Pirates (road), Bluejays (road), Yankees (road) and Indians (home). That says a lot about his ability. Although Dempster of the Cubs is 7-7, he has a solid era of 3.61 as he has put together four straight quality starts prior to his last start which was nonquality. Granted, he still got the win in his last effort giving up three runs in five innings at Arizona. Nevertheless, Dempster had a no-decision which turned out to be a loss for the Cubs earlier this year at Philadelphia as he gave up four runs in six innings and I expect him to seek a bit of revenge from that loss. Look for this game to likely go under this evening. The Under is 5-0 when Moyer starts against a team with a losing record and the Under is 8-3-1 in Dempster's last 12 home starts.
Date: 7.15.10 7:10PM
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
Current Line: Atlanta (-150)
Over/Under: 8.5
Play On: Milwaukee (+141)
Inside the Board Room:
The Brewers will give the ball to starter David Bush in this one. Righthander Bush is 4-6 this season with a 4.15 ERA. Starting this game for the Braves will be Jair Jurrjens. The righthander has a 5.40 ERA to go along with a 1-3 record this season. The Brewers defeated Pittsburgh 6-5 as a -185 favorite on Sunday. The 11 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9.5).
Take the underdog Brewers tonight!
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
New York is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
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