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Re: 7-23-10
Paul Leiner
50* KC/NYY Over 10
25* Twins -140
Paul Leiner
50* KC/NYY Over 10
25* Twins -140
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Re: 7-23-10
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 23rd
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[924] KC/NYY |8*|UNDER|10.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[909] Cincinnati |5*|-145|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST
[919] Minnesota |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm ESTComment
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Re: 7-23-10
BEATYOURBOOKIE
PLAY OF THE DAY
10* Play Cincinnati (-160) over Houston (POD)
7:00 P.M. EST
Houston is 3-14 as a home underdog of +125 or higher this season
Bud Norris is 1-6 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Bud Norris is 0-4 in home games this season with an ERA of 7.36Comment
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Re: 7-23-10- GC MLB TOTALS PLAY-FRIDAY
Friday MLB Blowout Game of the Month with 100% Perfect MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by over 5 runs per game + AL Triple Angle Power house play head Friday card. MLB Is Killing it this year.
On Friday the free play is on the Under in the Mets at Dodgers play. Game 915/916 at 10:10 eastern. This game fits a nice system that plays to the under for home favorites with a total of 8 or less off a home favored win scoring 2 or less runs with 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off a road loss also scoring 2 or less runs. This system projects a low scoring game. The play was considered for the late phones until the line dropped from 7 to 6.5. However it is still a nice play. Both teams have been anemic at the plate. The Mets are hitting .188 and scoring just 2.1 runs per game, while the Dodgers are scoring 2.7 runs over the past week. The Mets have J. Santana making the start and he has a .037 era over his past 3 starts and has really cranked it up for the second half. The Dodgers counter with V. Padilla tonight. Padilla has a 2.20 home era this season. Look for this game to go under the total. On Friday night I have the MLB Blowout Game of the Month from a Perfect system that wins by over 5 runs per game + an American League Triple Angle Side. MLB is 31 games over .500 with no heavy favorites. Take the Under in the Mets at Dodgers game tonight. BOL GCComment
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Re: 7-23-10
LOGICAL PICK
Pick Today is Florida Marlins.
The game is on at 6:30 PM EST.
58.8 % Win Probability
The sims suggests the line should favor Florida at -146. The fact that the Braves are leading the division may have something to do with this line. This is a very strong play, as the Marlins win just under 60% of the time when they are favored at home.
Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -110Comment
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Re: 7-23-10
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Cleveland vs Tampa Bay @ 7:05 ET: Carmona vs Niemann – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
There are a number of keys to this play and they don’t all have to happen to justify this selection but two important players are expected back on the field tonight – one for each of these teams. Shin-Soo Choo for the Indians is expected to be back in the lineup tonight while Carl Crawford of the Rays could also be back tonight. Those two key sticks would help to further boost what we already feel is a very strong situation. The Indians have averaged 10 hits per game their last 10 games. The Rays have gone 5-3 in their last eight games and have averaged 6.5 runs and 10 hits per game during this solid stretch. Tampa Bay’s lineup should enjoy plenty of success against Fausto Carmona of the Indians. Carmona is 3-1 in his career against the Rays but note the 5.52 ERA. Also, the Cleveland right-hander has averaged four walks per game in his last four starts. Carmona has given up 19 earned runs in his last 37 innings of work and that equates to a 4.62 ERA. Also, he’s 17-11 with a 3.82 ERA in day games in his career but note Carmona’s 25-33 mark with a 4.84 ERA in night games in his career! The Rays have been very hot at the plate and we don’t see him slowing them down.
Tampa Bay’s starting pitcher tonight is Jeff Niemann. The Rays right-hander certainly has impressive numbers on the season. However, Niemann’s 5-0 record on the road masks the fact that he’s been quite hittable in recent road outings. In his four road starts since June 1st, Niemann has given up 14 earned runs in 25.1 innings of work. That’s the equivalent of a 4.97 ERA and we like our chances with an Indians lineup that has helped lead Cleveland to a recent resurgence. The Tribe certainly won’t lack for confidence at home as they have beaten the Rays 17 straight times in Cleveland! Niemann is winless in three career starts against the Indians and they’ve pounded him at an amazing .350 clip! In his career, Niemann’s ERA is more than a full run higher on the road compared to at home. The Indians are 9-5 to the over in Friday games this season. They are 31-20 to the over when off of a loss and 13-9 to the over this season when they are at home and the total is 8 or 8.5 runs. Over the last three seasons, when playing after a day off, the Indians are a solid 29-20 to the over. The Rays are 11-6 to the over this month and they are 27-19 to the over in road games this season. Over the last three seasons, Tampa Bay is 23-17 to the over after a day off. In Niemann’s nine road starts this season, the Rays have recorded just one under! As for the Indians, they are 4-2 to the over in Carmona’s six starts against AL East opponents this season. Play OVER the total in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baltimore vs Minnesota @ 7:05 ET: Guthrie vs Duensing – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Brian Duensing gets the start for the Twins because Nick Blackburn has been so ineffective. Even though Duensing sports a very impressive 1.67 ERA this season, note that he’s making his first start of the season. He’s been used exclusively out of the bullpen and he’s expected to be on a pitch count of between 60 and 80 pitches tonight. In his career, Duensing’s ERA on the road is more than full run higher than what he’s compiled at home. His ERA in night games is more than two full runs higher that he’s compiled in day games in his career. Duensing has been used in mostly short relief this season. That is notable because, in the only outings where he’s pitched more than two innings, Duensing has given up 14 hits in 12.2 innings of work. We expect the shift back to the starters role to be a tough one for him.
The Orioles ended up getting handcuffed by Carl Pavano yesterday but, previously, Baltimore had averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games. We look for the O’s offense to bounce right back here. The Orioles are 10-3 to the over this season when installed as a home dog of +100 to +125. Also, the Twins are 9-5 to the over in Friday games this season and 41-25 to the over in Friday games over the last three seasons. Even with staying under the total in their last three games, the Twins are 13-6-2 to the over in their last 21 games. Minnesota’s lineup should have no problem with the offerings of Jeremy Guthrie in this one. The Orioles right-hander is coming off of a rare, strong start against the Blue Jays. Simply put, we’re not going to put too much weight into one start. This is especially true when you consider that Guthrie had previously given up at least four earned runs in six of his last eight starts. Guthrie also had been struggling with control as he had previously walked 16 batters (against just 11 strikeouts) in his five prior starts. In his five career games against the Twins, Guthrie has compiled a solid 3.16 ERA but note his .282 BAA. Also, lefties are hitting .292 against the right-hander this season and Minnesota will have their lineup loaded up with left-handed bats tonight. Also, in his career, Guthrie’s ERA is nearly a full run higher in night games compared to day games. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as an *8* Regular Play selection.Comment
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Re: 7-23-10
JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 928 OAK (-148) Sportbet vs 927 CWS
Analysis: Oakland A's- 148 game at 10:10
Play the A's - 148 tonight as the Oakland A's are throwing Cahill who is a powerful 9-3 and less than 4 ERA and the A's are starting to hit! The A's will pound Buehrle who is 0-6 with a 5 ERA in 10 battles there and the Chi Sox who have gone cold, The 48-47 A's are the sharp side tonight as the Rz express is all over the A' s @ home. The lines makers are giving respect for the A's and Cahill tonight. The Chi Sox have closer problems and the Power ratings have the A's at a 2+ run winner tonight
6-1 the last 7...#7 goes to the A'sComment
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Re: 7-23-10
Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM
triple-dime bet 928 OAK (-140) Sportbet vs 927 CWS
Analysis: Play On: Oakland w/Cahill vs Buehrle (Game 928)
Note: The A's and White Sox square off at the Coliseum in Oakland in the first of a three game series Friday night when All-Star Trevor Cahill takes the mound against Mark Buehrle. Cahill enters in terrific current form, especially at home when he's cashed in nine of his last 11 team starts. He's also 3-1 at home during July in his career starts With the Pale Hose just 4-16 in Buehrle's last 20 starts against the A's, including 1-9 in 10 career team starts in this park, look for Cahill to improve to 2-0 in his career against the White Sox here tonight. We recommend a 3* play on Oakland.Comment
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