7-28-10

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99938

    #46
    Re: 7-28-10

    INSIDER ANGLES

    LA Dodgers (54-46) vs. San Diego (58-40) 10:05pm ET
    While Hiroki Kuroda of the Los Angeles Dodgers and Clayton Richard of the San Diego Padres have similar numbers for the entire season, Kuroda has been on fire lately while Richard has been slumping, and we look for that to continue as the Dodgers take Game 2 of this big series.

    Kuroda may be just 8-8, but he does have a nice 3.48 ERA and he has been virtually unhittable in his last two starts. He tossed eight scoreless innings vs. the New York Mets last Thursday, allowing only five hits. That came on the heels of his previous outing at St. Louis where he allowed one run on four hits in six innings with eight strikeouts. Kuroda has also allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last four starts vs. San Diego, including three starts last year.

    Now Richard is 7-5 with a 3.57 ERA, but you would not know it from his last four outings. He allowed at least at least five earned runs in three of those four starts, allowing a total of 19 earned runs on 33 hits with 11 walks in 24 innings over those outings, translating to an ugly 7.13 ERA and 1.83 WHIP! Yes, three of those four starts came on the road, but he also struggled in the lone home start, allowing five earned runs on nine hits and two walks in 6.1 innings vs. Arizona.

    This is obviously a huge series, with the Padres entering the series opener on Tuesday with a 3.5 game lead over the Giants and a six-game lead over these Dodgers, but we feel San Diego has been winning with smoke and mirrors and will ultimately come back to the pack, and a win by LA here would go a long way toward that end.

    Look for the Dodgers to accomplish just that at a small underdog price.

    MLB Wednesday Pick: Dodgers +100
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99938

      #47
      Re: 7-28-10

      BOB WINGERTER'S

      Philadelphia Phillies MINUS 1 1/2 runs -135

      The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten hot since returning home and they are breathing down the necks of the first place Atlanta Braves. On Tuesday Philadelphia Cole Hamels allowed six hits and three runs while striking out eight in five innings of work while David Herndon allowed one hit and two runs to blow the save but got the win as the bullpen held down the forth the rest of the way. Ryan Howard hit his 23rd home run of the season while Jayson Werth hit his 14th and Cody Ransom hit his second to pace the offense. In all the Phillies had 13 hits with six players getting two hits each. The win puts the Phillies just three an a half games behind the first place Braves in the National League East as Philadelphia has won six games in a row. For Wednesday's game Philadelphioa sends Roy Halladay to the mound as he is coming off of a dominating shutout performance last time out. For the season Halladay has allowed 149 hits and 41 earned runs while striking out 140 in 162 innings of work. The Arizona Diamondbacks have officially packed it in for the season as by trading Dan Haren, they have sent the message they are building for the future.On tuesday Rodrigo Lopez allowed seven hits and four runs in five innings of work to not factor in the decision and Jordan Norberto allowed two hits and two runs without retiring a batter to get the blown save and the loss. Mark Reynolds hit his 24th home run and Chris Young and Rusty Ryal had two hits each o pace the offense. The loss was the fifth in a row for Arizona as they are in last place in the NL West and 22 and a half games behind the division leading Padres. For Wednesday's game the Diamondbacks start Edwin Jackson who has also been mentioned in some trade rumors. For the Season Jackson has allowed 133 hits and 72 earned runs while striking out 101 in 129 and a third innings of work. Jackson has lost his last three starts. Philadelphia is 6-0 in their last six overall, 13-2 in their last 15 home games, 4-1 in Halladay's last five starts on four days of rest, and 8-1 in their last nine games as a favorite. Arizona is 17-39 in their last 56 overall, 13-41 in their last 54 games as a road underdog, 3-8 in Jackson's last 11 starts following a team loss the previous game, and 0-5 in their last five against a team with a winning record. Arizona has lost five in a row in Philly. The Phillies are getting healthy and they made up a lot of ground in a very short amount of time and with Halladay pitching, they are only better. The Phillies will make this one look easy.
      TAKE PHILADELPHIA MINUS ON RUN LINE.
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99938

        #48
        Re: 7-28-10

        GOODFELLA
        1* ML 970 ANA (-108) Bodog vs 969 BOS

        MLB ML - Wednesday, Jul 28 2010 3:35PM
        ML 970 ANA (-108) Bodog vs 969 BOS single-dime bet

        Analysis: Pineiro and Beckett both Must Start
        (1*) Single Star Subscriber Play
        - Pineiro does his BEST WORK both at HOME and in the DAY--and Beckett is making his 2nd start since coming off the DL--He pitched well in his 1st start--but that was vs the inept offense of Seattle--this afternoon, he takes on an angry and desperate Angels club, who are not only looking to avoid the sweep here to Boston--but they are fading fast in their division & REALLY need a win this afternoon. I fully expect Pineiro to outduel/outlast Beckett & I really like the price we are getting here with him AT HOME & in the DAY, as his numbers are clearly favorable in BOTH these situa ‘tions he is pitching today. (1*) Single Star Play on the Angels this afternoon guys.
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99938

          #49
          Re: 7-28-10

          Tony George

          SD Padres -115

          Off a 2-0 loss on Tuesday and down 0-1 in this heated series, I expect the Pads at home to take this one tonight. If look at the Dodgers batting numbers the last 10 games, it is a wonder they are winning any games, at .198 against southpaws and just .217 against right handers their last 10 games. I have a hotter starter for the Pads at home tonight with less than a 3 ERA his last 3 games, a better hitting, and if LA goes to the bullpen and pulls out any lefties, the Pads are railing southpaws at .309 as a team the last 10. The Pads start a left hander pitcher with under a 4 ERA on the season tonight. Low scoring game again, but I like the Pads in a tight one at a cheap number in a game they want to win. Play 1 Unit on the Padres.
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 99938

            #50
            Re: 7-28-10

            The Prez

            7* Pirates/Rockies Under 9.5

            Ohlendorf has been delivering and despite his history with the Rockies lineup the Pirates left-hander is in line for a solid outing. Cook can control the Pittsburgh lineup by inducing ground balls and both pitchers benefit from a huge strike zone (scheduled home plate umpire is Jeff Nelson) making tonight's play UNDER 9.5 runs a solid investment. Ohlendorf is 23-7 to the UNDER when oddsmakers open the total between 8.5 and 10 over the last 2 seasons.
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99938

              #51
              Re: 7-28-10

              JR ODonnell | MLB Total Wed, 07/28/10 - 7:05 PM

              double-dime bet 955 ATL / 956 WAS Under 8 Bookmaker.com
              Analysis:
              Wash Nats/ Atlanta Bravos Way Under 8 - 120 tonight as Rz's Power play bomb !

              Under 8 - 120 Braves/Nats TONIGHT


              Let's go under 8 tonight as the Nats are not scoring right now , Bravos hurler Tim Hudson who is a powerful 10-5 over all and a 2.47 ERA will stymie the Nat's, The Braves are on a major U~nder run here , going 9-1 the last 10 under and we will ride that trend as they are a flat out UNDER MACHINE. The Nat's will roll out Livian Hernandez as the Nat's pitching staff has done surprising well. Hernandez is 7-6 over all and a smooth 3.10 ERA. Let's roll out another huge winner tonight on the Under . Livian Hernandez is 7-2-1 in Under is the last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99938

                #52
                Re: 7-28-10

                King Creole | MLB Total Wed, 07/28/10 - 7:05 PM

                triple-dime bet 955 ATL / 956 WAS Under 7.5 BetUS
                Analysis:
                7:05pm ET / Atlanta Braves with Hudson @ Washington Nationals with Hernandez
                3*** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL

                Ingredients for a 3* or higher BEST BET from King Creole: Low-scoring series history tendencies.... TWO starting pitchers in top-notch current form.... and a Home Plate UMPIRE with extreme OU results over a long period of time.

                Working behind the dish tonight in Washington DC will be BILL MILLER. He's one of only FIVE Umpires who has gone 'UNDER the TOTAL' at a 70% or higher percentage on the season. Just like last night's 'UNDER' winner (James Hoye). Not only does Miller have strong 'Under' tendencies this year... but in his career as well. In the last 2+ seasons, he is the NUMBER ONE (#1) 'Under' Umpire in all of Baseball. When a guy goes 17-47-4 O/U over a long period if time (like Miller), those results are not a fluke. 73% Unders (or Overs for that matter) over a long period of time is a fantastic and predictable aspect that can only help a sharp bettor.

                Overall on the 2010 season, MILLER comes in with a 6-16 O/U record. Those numbers are solid, but check out his RECENT results: Miller has gone a PERFECT 0-7 O/U in the last 5 weeks! Average total runs score during his 7-game 'Under' streak is only 5.4. The last game that he worked that went 'Over' was back on June 17th. In National League games, he has gone 2-8 O/U on the year as well. And on WEDNESDAYS, he has gone 0-4-2 O/U.

                Last season for Miller: 16-39-3 O/U... and 9-17-1 O/U in Senior Circuit games...
                Last 2 years for Miller: 29-61-6 O/U... and 12-29-4 O/U in Senior Circuit games...
                Last 3 years for Miller: 43-81-7 O/U... and 18-40-5 O/U in Senior Circuit games.

                In games involving tonight's two opponents, his numbers are also strong. He's gone 3-11 O/U in all Atlanta Brave games in the last 5 years.... and 0-2 O/U in the 2010 season since early May (5.0 total runs per game). He's also gone a PERFECT 0-5 O/U in career TIM HUDSON starts. in Washington National HOME games, Miller has gone 1-3 O/U in the last 2 seasons.

                With yesterday's Game One of this series going 'UNDER"... that makes the Atlanta / Washington series 1-4-2 O/U so far in 2010.... and 4-12-3 O/U dating back to last season.

                In the last 10 games, both teams are hitting significantly WORSE against right-handed pitching. ATLANTA: .254 vs righties (and .303 vs lefties). WASHINGTON: .238 vs righties (and .263 vs lefties).

                Two SHARP starters in top-notch current form seals the deal.
                TIM HUDSON just threw 7 SHUTOUT innings in his last start. His ERA is only 2.47 on the seasons. He's had TWICE as many "Unders" in his night starts as "Overs". He pitched against the Nats as recently as 4 weeks ago. In that game (a 5-0 win), he went 7 innings... allowed ZERO earned runs.. and only 5 hits. In fact, his ERA is 1.28 on the season against Washington. And in his last 10 starts vs them, he has allowed 2 or less earned runs NINE times in the last 3 seasons.
                LIVIAN HERNANDEZ is also on a roll. He allowed only ONE earned run in EACH of his last two starts. That's an ERA of only 1.20. So far in his team HOME starts this year, he has gone "Under the Total" NINE times (1-9 O/U!). His lone 2010 start vs the Braves resulted in only ONE earned run allowed back in early May. He's gone 0-7-2 O/U in his last 9 starts versus fellow division opponents.
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99938

                  #53
                  Re: 7-28-10

                  George Castillo


                  Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers Total 8½ under +100

                  Texas Rangers -149

                  Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Total 8 under-120

                  Phillies Philadelphia Phillies -265
                  Reply With Quote
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 99938

                    #54
                    Re: 7-28-10

                    Dino Donato

                    Boston Red Sox M: 103.0 3 UNITS
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99938

                      #55
                      Re: 7-28-10

                      Hitbignow

                      Laa Angels M: -109.0 5 UNITS
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 99938

                        #56
                        Re: 7-28-10

                        Richie_Parker

                        Chicago White Sox M: -157.0 2 UNITS
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 99938

                          #57
                          Re: 7-28-10

                          Eric Brown

                          San Diego Padres M: -110.0 1 UNIT
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99938

                            #58
                            Re: 7-28-10

                            DALLAS DAVE SPORTS
                            PREMIUM PLAYS
                            30 DIME Chicago Cubs -143
                            30 DIME Minnesota Twins -133
                            30 DIME LA Angels -107
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 99938

                              #59
                              Re: 7-28-10

                              MARC LAWRENCE

                              LA Angels -110

                              When the Angels host the Red Sox in the 3rd and final game of the series in Los Angeles this afternoon they will send Joel Pineiro to the hill against Josh Beckett in a matchup of right-handers going in opposite directions. Pineiro enters the game 8-1 in his last nine team starts and 8-0 in his last eight team starts in this park. He is also 8-1 his last nine team starts during July, including 4-0 his last four. On the flip side, Beckett has been literally dodging bullets of late, going 4-2 in his last six team starts despite a 7.37 ERA in those efforts. Beckett is also 0-6 with a 6.00 ERA in his last six team starts against the Halos. Look for the better arm to win here this afternoon. We recommend a 3-unit play on the Angels.
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 99938

                                #60
                                Re: 7-28-10

                                GamblersWorld
                                Tip of the Day Date: 7.28.10 at 7:05PM
                                Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

                                Current Line: Toronto (-155)

                                Over/Under: 9.5

                                Play On: UNDER 9.5

                                Inside the Board Room:
                                The Toronto Blue Jays will be trying to extend a winning streak on Wednesday when they take on the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre. The Orioles will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Jeremy Guthrie in this game. Guthrie has a 4-10 record and a 4.46 ERA this season. Starting this game for the Blue Jays will be Brad Mills. The lefthander has a 0.00 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season. Jose Bautista was 4-for-4 with two homers and five runs batted in, as the Blue Jays ripped the Orioles 8-2 on Tuesday night.
                                Take the UNDER tonight
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