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JOHNNY YANG
10* White Sox -120
10* White Sox -120
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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
MLB Baseball Thursday
Play New York Yankees (-190) over LA Angels (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
New York has won 10 of the last 14 games vs. Los Angeles at home and they have also won 31 of the last 39 day games. Bartolo Colon has won 6 consecutive day games and he is 2-0 over his last three overall starts with an ERA of 3.24.
Play Detroit (-180) over Cleveland (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Justin Verlander has won 7 consecutive road games as a favorite of -125 or higher and he has also won 8 of the last 9 games vs. division opponents. Justin Verlander is 8-2 in all road starts this season with an ERA of 2.34 and he is 3-0 over his last three overall starts with an ERA of 2.74.
Play Tampa Bay (-175) over Kansas City (Bonus)
Starts at 12:10 PM EST
Canadian Football Thursday
50* Play Montreal (-6.5) over Edmonton
Starts at 7:30 PM EST
Montreal has won 20 of the last 23 home games and they have also won 18 of the last 20 games coming off a road game. Montreal has won 14 of the last 15 home games when the total posted is greater than 52 points and they are averaging over 32 points a game on offense this season.Comment
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MLB WRITE UP
THURSDAY, AUGUST 11
HOT PITCHERS
-- Gallardo is 3-1, 2.25 in his last four starts. Carpenter is 3-1, 3.38 in his last five outings.
-- Zimmerman is 3-2, 2.08 in his last seven road starts. Dempster is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four home starts.
-- Saunders is 2-1, 2.79 in his last four starts.
-- Niemann is 4-0, 1.90 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 2-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 4-0, 2.90 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts. Tillman is 2-1, 3.69 in his last six starts.
COLD PITCHERS
-- Niese has a 7.17 RA in his last four starts. Luebke is 1-3, 4.62 in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 1-2, 5.60 in his last three starts. Chacin is 0-4, 5.48 in his last four road starts.
-- Myers is 0-6, 5.72 in his last eight starts.
-- Duffy is 1-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Moscoso is 1-2, 7.84 in his last four starts. Mills is 1-1, 3.65 in his two starts for Toronto this season.
-- Chatwood is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts.
-- Carmona is 0-1, 5.27 in his last couple starts.
TOTALS
-- Six of last nine Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Padres' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals' last six home games.
-- Under is 6-1 in Dempster's last seven home starts.
-- Six of last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3 in White Sox' last sixteen road games.
-- Seven of last ten games in Bronx went over the total.
-- Over is 13-1-2 in last sixteen Oakland games.
-- Under is 11-6 in Kansas City's last seventeen road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Carmona starts.
HOT TEAMS
-- San Diego won five of its last seven games.
-- Cubs won eight of their last ten games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers won 13 of their last 14 games. Cardinals won four of their last six games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Angels won four of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven home games. A's won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
-- Indians won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox won five of their last six games.
COLD TEAMS
-- Mets lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Washington is 6-9 on the road since the All-Star break.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight games, allowing 42 runs.
-- Astros lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Detroit lost its last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Royals lost five of their last six games.
UMPIRES
-- SD-NY-- Five of last seven Carapazza games went over the total.
-- Col-Cin-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Johnson games.
-- Mil-StL-- Under is 10-0-1 in last eleven Gibson games.
-- Hst-Az-- Five of last six Scott games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-Chi-- Under is 12-5-1 in Porter games this season.
-- Chi-Balt-- Home teams won last eight Conroy games.
-- LA-NY-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Winters games.
-- A's-Tor-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Danley games.
-- Det-Clev-- Underdogs won last five Carlson games, with four of those five going over the total.
-- KC-TB-- Road team won ten of last thirteen Reyburn games.Comment
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Sports Wagers
San Diego +115 over N.Y. METS Pinnacle
12:10 PM EST. The Padres have lost two of three in this series so far but they’ve clearly been the better team and they could just as easily be up 3-0. San Diego is also swinging some hot sticks these days. They’ve scored 21 runs in this series in three games and prior to that they scored 35 runs in a three-game set vs. the Pirates. That’s 56 runs (9.3 runs per game) in its past six games with a combined BA of .335. They’ve also stolen 10 bases over that span and hit five jacks. A fraction of that gets the job done here because Cory Luebke owns some of the best skills of any starter in the league. Luebke has whiffed 91 in 88 IP while walking just 22. He has an outstanding 3.06 ERA and an even better 0.96 WHIP. With a 126 BPV** (for explanation of BPV see bottom of these write-ups) and 2.95 xERA in aggregate, his skills show no signs of weakness whatsoever and his 1.94 road ERA confirms that his great numbers have not been aided by Petco. Jonathan Niese is also a good pitcher and this one could very easily be a pitcher’s duel. With that said, the Padres own the better pen and they can manufacture runs with their speed on the paths. Throw in the tag and it seals the deal. Play: San Diego +115 (Risking 2 units).
Colorado +125 over CINCINNATI Pinnacle
If you wagered on the Rockies last night you must have been pulling your hair out, as it was about as frustrating a loss as they come. The Rox had numerous opportunities to score, they outhit the Reds by a 13-7 count, yet they scored just twice and lost 3-2. The Reds made Kevin Millwood look good when Millwood was having a hard time getting minor-league hitters out before that start. The Reds had no business winning last night but that’s the way the old baseball bounces. Cinci keeps losing games and they keep losing series. They have just three wins in its past nine games, one against Houston, one against Randy Wells and the Cubs and one fluke last night. They’ve also lost 21 of the past 26 games to Colorado and nine of the past 12 to Colorado at Great American Ballpark. Dusty (what do I do now) Baker is right up there among the worst managers in the game. This guy has burned out more arms than any manager ever and his decisions work out about 10% of the time. Both Johnny Cueto and Jhoulys Chacin are capable of throwing a gem. The tougher the park on pitchers, the better Chacin pitches, as evidenced by his elite numbers at home, both on the surface (2.90 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) and beneath it (62% GB%, 109 BPV). Cueto’s numbers are also elite so let’s forget about the pitching matchup. What we have here is a reeling Reds team that can’t wait for the season to end, laying a price against a team that has owned them and that should be going for the four-game sweep. Play: Colorado +125 (Risking 2 units).
Milwaukee +120 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
Tony LaRussa’s excuse for losing in Milwaukee was that the stadium lighting operators were dimming the home plate area when the Cards were batting and made it brighter when the Brewers were batting. That’s no joke either and you can read about it here. Have another beer Tony. Now the Brewers have now won the first two games of this series and there’s no reason they can’t sweep with Yovani Gallardo going. Gallardo has increased his average fastball velocity as the season has gone along, which has been evident in his post-April skills. After posting mediocre skills and numbers in April, Gallardo has had a complete turnaround in May and June, along with a 51% GB% in those two months. He has traded strikeouts for control in July and he's got some big ERA and WHIP upside down the stretch. The guy is the straight goods. Chris Carpenter has 10 poor outings in 24 starts. At the age of 36, he’s thrown 163 innings this season after spending 207 days on the DL over the past three years. Carpenter had a 5.12 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in May and most of his good games have come against lousy teams. Against the Brewers on August 1, Carpenter was smacked around to the tune of seven hits and five runs in five innings. Home plate was lit up when he pitched but the fact of the matter is that the Brewers are the better team, they’re absolutely on fire, they have the better pitcher going and they get extra juiced up, not to beat the Cardinals but to beat Tony LaRussa. Who wouldn’t? Play: Milwaukee +120 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Yankees –1½ +103 over L.A. ANGELS Pinnacle
Well, it’s no secret what the Yanks have been doing in day games and we’ll gladly put that to the test here against Tyler Chatwood and his completely misleading numbers. Tyler Chatwood is NOT what he seems. Called up to the bigs barely a week into the season, Chatwood has made 21 starts, and that 4.10 ERA makes it seem like he should be due more than just his total of six wins. In reality, Chatwood is lucky to have three wins, as this is a skill set in need of a whole lot of refinement. His strikeout rate and K/BB ratio is bordering on disturbing. Chatwood has walked 59 and struck out 66 batters in 123 frames and when you can’t throw strikes against this patient line-up, they’ll ruin you. A -19 BPV gives very little hope for an immediate improvement. At this point in his professional career, Chatwood has logged more innings in the majors (123) than Double-A and Triple-A combined (74). Given his poor skills, he really does need a lot more work. "Success," that's is not coming anytime soon and our best advice: bail on Chatwood now; the ugliness is inevitable, it could begin at any time and it’s very likely to show up here. Play: N.Y. Yankees –1½ +103 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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Football Sack
Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Thursday 8/11 – 7:30 pm est.
We all saw the comment newly acquired QB Vince Young said on ESPN. “Dream Team”. And although most of you Philly fans think he was a good pick up, what do you think about his mouth? Coming from an Eagles, I knew adding him was going to be a mistake. His immaturity is going to drag this team down, and what do you know, he is already putting on heat and the season hasn’t even started yet!
Mike Vick will most likely start this game, but eventually Vince Young will get his time on the field. And if he is going to make comments on ESPN, having all NFL players tweeting “What dream team”? Well bottom line is he better come out BIG against the Ravens and put that comment to truth.
I do believe he will come out and play as big as he can just to back up his words, and comparing the Eagles QB’s to the Raven’s QB’s you have to take the Eagles in this one. Many new faces on the team wanting to prove they are in fact the “Dream Team”
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (5 units)
Denver Broncos @ Dallas Cowboys – Thursday 8/11 – 8:30 pm est.
Kyle Orton or Tim Tebow that is the question. Fans want Tebow; players want Orton and want to win this season. But bottom line is MONEY. Fans make the money for the organization and if they want Tebow they will eventually get him.
So what I am trying to say is, expect a very competitive Kyle Orton this season, because one mistake and he is getting yanked, even in the preseason guaranteed. Even though the obvious QB to start is Orton, but like I said, MONEY is the bottom line in the NFL, as we saw with the lockout.
As for the Cowgirls quarterbacks, Tony Homo and Jon Kitna, you would have to be out of your mind to even think these two guys even have a chance against a competitive Broncos QB situation.
Denver Bronco +3 (1 unit)
Other plays to consider…
Atlanta Falcons -2 (5 units)
Minnesota Vikings +3 (1 unit)Comment
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GC MLB Play
Thursday NFLX 15-1 Double Play power Pack + the MLB Game of the Week. NFLX Cashed 66% on all Plays last season. There are 2 going tonight. ALL Games with full analysis with no phony web records or gimmicks no one out works us. Free MLB System Side below
On Thursday the MLB Free System Play is on the Tampa Bay Rays. Game 910 at 12:10 eastern. Tampa goes for the sweep here at home today. They fit my 515 system which has cashed 24 of 33 times. Here is how it goes. We want to play on certain home favorites if the Home team is off a 1 run home win vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog loss, If both teams scored 5 or more runs has 1 or less errors and 5+ men on base. Hence the 515. The Rays have taken 11 of the last 14 here at home vs the Royals. They have nice pitching edge too. J. Niemann has won both starts vs KC and has a 1.19 era. In his last 3 starts he has a solid 2.53 era. KC counters with Duffy. In his road starts he has been mediocre with a 5.71 era and has an elevated 7.24 era over his last 3 starts. Based on the system and the Pitching the Rays are the free Play as the line is too high for unit rating. On Thursday I have a 15-1 Double Play NFLX power Pack and the MLB Game of the Week backed with a solid system and multiple Power Angles. NFLX 66% on all plays last season. Jump on and start football on the right side. For the free Play. Take Tampa. GCComment
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WUNDERDOG (NFLX)
NFL preseason lifetime: 54% bankroll growth
1 OF 10
Game: Seattle at San Diego (Thursday 8/11 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle +3.5 (-115)
There is no doubt that San Diego was the most talented team not to make the playoffs a year ago, while Seattle was arguably the least talented team to make the postseason. The Chargers when they did win, they won big with six double-digit wins on the season. The problem was that this team made big mistakes, and lots of them - their special teams alone cost them three games! Seattle didn't play in many close games winning five by 10+ but losing nine by 10+. The Chargers' emphasis in the preseason is going to be assembling a special teams unit that gives their talent a chance to win. Seattle has a new offensive coordinator in Darrell Bevell. The Seahawks are good against the run and that will help Seattle stay close. Philip Rivers will probably only play three series here, so the opportunity for the unsettled QB situation in Seattle will be the difference maker. The Seahawks QB hopefuls will challenge each other for playing time against second and third-team Chargers defensive units.
Play on Seattle.
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Sports Picks Direct
08/11/2011
Jacksonville @ New England OVER 35 (2.20 to win 2.0)
Baltimore @ Philadelphia UNDER 34 (2.20 to win 2.0)
Baltimore +3, -105 (2.10 to win 2.0)
08/12/2011
Pittsburgh @ Washington UNDER 33 (2.20 to win 2.0)
Tampa Bay -2 (2.20 to win 2.0)
08/13/2011
Green Bay @ Cleveland OVER 35 (2.20 to win 2.0)
St. Louis -7 (2.20 to win 2.0)Comment
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