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Play of the Day:
Rockies -155 over Astros
Play of the Day:
Rockies -155 over Astros
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MLB
Write-Up
Tuesday, August 23
Hot pitchers
-- Estrada is 1-1, 0.90 in his last two starts.
-- Kennedy is 7-1, 2.52 in his last eight starts. Zimmerman is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Phillies won Worley's last eleven starts (7-0, 2.41).
-- Cueto is 3-1, 1.95 in his last four starts.
-- Minor is 3-0, 2.96 in his last four starts.
-- Kershaw is 7-1, 1.92 in his last eight starts. Lohse is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Norris is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Cain has a 2.05 RA in his last three starts. Latos has a 2.67 RA in his last four starts.
-- Indians won last five Masterson starts (2-0, 3.34).
-- Chen is 3-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 4-1, 4.31 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 2-0, 0.56 in his last couple starts.
-- Lewis is 1-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.
-- Santana is 5-1, 1.60 in his last six starts. Buehrle is 4-1, 3.38 in his last six starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Ohlendorf was 0-0, 7.27 in two April starts before getting hurt.
-- Niese is 2-3, 5.91 in his last six starts.
-- Nolasco is 3-3, 7.39 in his last six starts.
-- Coleman is 0-2, 11.33 in his last three starts.
-- Beaven is 0-2, 8.74 in his last couple starts. Rookie Vasquez was 4-3, 3.21 in eight AAA starts; this is his big league debut. McCallister gave up three runs in four IP in his first big league start on July 7.
-- Morrow is 2-3, 6.10 in his last five starts.
-- Colon is 0-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
-- Penny is 1-3, 7.31 in his last five starts.
-- Lackey has a 5.81 RA in his last five starts.
-- Duensing is 0-4, 7.13 in his last four starts. Simon is 0-2, 9.19 in his last three starts.
Totals
-- Over is 14-4 in last eighteen games at PNC Park.
-- Nine of last thirteen Washington games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Niese's last eleven starts.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Cueto's last nine road starts.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen games at Wrigley Field.
-- 10 of last 13 Dodger road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Norris starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Latos starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Masterson starts stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Chen starts stayed under the total.
-- Colon's last three home starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Lackey starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Simon starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-2 in Buehrle's last eleven starts.
Hot Teams
-- Milwaukee won 23 of its last 26 games.
-- Cincinnati is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
-- Phillies won 17 of their last 22 games.
-- Washington won nine of its last twelve home games.
-- Braves won 14 of their last 18 games. Cubs won nine of their last 13 games at Wrigley.
-- Rockies won four of last five games, scoring 41 runs.
-- Padres won their last four games, allowing eight runs.
-- Tampa Bay won ten of its last thirteen games. Detroit won its last four games, scoring 27 runs.
-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Toronto won six of its last nine games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last thirteen road games. Texas is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last nine road games. Angels won their last four games, scoring 26 runs.
Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost 15 of last 17 games, are 6-29 without Hanley Ramirez.
-- Mets lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost 13 of their last 19 home games.
-- Arizona lost its last six games, scoring seven runs.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games. Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost 19 of their last 22 road games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Seattle lost 20 of its last 24 road games. Indians lost their last four games, allowing 25 runs.
-- Oakland lost 11 of its last 13 road series openers.
-- Royals lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Baltimore lost 20 of its last 26 road games. Twins lost 12 of their last 15 home games.
Umpires
-- Mil-Pitt-- Six of last nine Holbrook games stayed under total.
-- Az-Wsh-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Hudson games.
-- NY-Phil-- Six of last eight TWelke games stayed under total.
-- Atl-Chi-- 11 of last 15 Nelson games went over the total.
-- LA-StL-- Over is 11-2-2 in Wolf's last fifteen starts.
-- Hst-Col-- Under is 13-4 in last 17 Timmons games.
-- Sea-Clev-- Favorites won 11 of last 13 Hallion games.
-- Det-TB-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Campos games.
-- Bos-Tex-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Eddings games.
-- Blt-Min-- Visiting team won last five Knight games.Comment
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Sports Wagers
WASHINGTON –110 over Arizona Pinnacle
The D-Backs are reeling. They’ve lost six straight and over that stretch they’re batting .153 with an OPS of .250 and a SLG of .230. ARI has scored seven times over those half dozen games. You might have to go back over 50 years of archives to find a team that has worse numbers than those over a six-game stretch. At the beginning of August, Nats management said that Jordan Zimmerman will be shut down at 160 IP and right now he’s sitting on 151. Conceivably, this could be his final start of the season and he’ll lay it all on the line knowing that. Besides that, he’s very good. Zimmerman has an ERA of 3.12. He’s walked 28 batters in those 151 frames while striking out 114 and he couldn’t have handpicked an easier target for this start. Ian Kennedy is also very good. However, he’s pitching for a team that’s seeing BB’s and figures he has to throw a shutout to have any shot. Those are tough conditions and it also doesn’t hurt that the Snakes pen is awful. As mentioned yesterday, the Diamondbacks have overachieved for the past 4½ months to the highest degree and as Dennis Green would say, “The Diamondbacks are who we thought they were”! Play: Washington –111 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
TEXAS –1½ +127 over Boston Pinnacle
John Lackey has given up two jacks each to the Rays, Royals and Indians in three of his last five starts. The guy has 11 wins with an ERA of 6.05 and a BAA of .301. Two starts ago he allowed 10 hits and four runs to the Mariners and the only thing that’s keeping him afloat is the Red Sox offense, otherwise he might be 5-15 as oppose to his current 11-9 record. He’s won six straight and his 11 wins is the same as John Lester’s. That’s absurd, truly absurd because Lackey’s numbers are in line with the worst pitchers in the game. This park is unforgiving to those who throw batting practice out there and after facing the likes of the M’s twice, the Rays twice, the Indians and the O’s recently, Lackey’s win streak is going to end unless the Red Sox can score another eight runs in support of him. That could happen but one thing we know for sure is that guys with a delusional record like Lackey’s do not win seven games in a row. Play: Texas –1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
Oakland +183 over N.Y. YANKEES Pinnacle
The price here is too sweet to ignore. For one, the A’s own the second-best OPS in the league (.812) since the break and this is a park in which they can continue to hit the ball well. The whole key will be to get some men on base because Bartolo Colon has the largest none on/runners on skill split of any starter in the league. With the bases empty, only Zack Greinke has shown better skills but they completely fall apart with men on base. This is a good risk because of the high payout and while Colon has far exceeded expectations, he could fall apart at any time. Brandon McCarthy has pinpoint control, as his 18 walks in 118 innings will attest to. The Yanks are always tough to beat but they also have some serious pitching issues heading into the stretch and Colon could be one of the misfits on this staff. Price makes this one a must play. Play: Oakland +183 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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ACCUSCORE
MONEY LINE:
AccuScore gives the St. Louis Cardinals a 52.9% chance of winning.
TEAM TRENDS:
LAD 2010 Road Game WL Record: 26-36, -680
STL 2010 Home Game WL Record: 32-28, -510
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore ML Record in LAD games: 37-25, 59.7%, +472
AccuScore ML Record in STL games: 34-26, 56.7%, -239
MONEY LINE:
AccuScore gives the Milwaukee Brewers a 65.7% chance of winning.
TEAM TRENDS:
MIL 2010 Road Game WL Record: 30-37, -746
PIT 2010 Home Game WL Record: 30-36, -443
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore ML Record in MIL games: 41-26, 61.2%, +708
AccuScore ML Record in PIT games: 36-30, 54.5%, +226
MONEY LINE:
AccuScore gives the Toronto Blue Jays a 64.7% chance of winning.
TEAM TRENDS:
KC 2010 Road Game WL Record: 19-39, -885
TOR 2010 Home Game WL Record: 31-29, -68
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore ML Record in KC games: 36-22, 62.1%, +137
AccuScore ML Record in TOR games: 33-27, 55%, +132
MONEY LINE:
AccuScore gives the Los Angeles Angels a 57.1% chance of winning.
TEAM TRENDS:
CHW 2010 Road Game WL Record: 34-27, +1157
LAA 2010 Home Game WL Record: 36-28, -64
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore ML Record in CHW games: 34-27, 55.7%, +250
AccuScore ML Record in LAA games: 44-20, 68.8%, +1341
UNDER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7
TEAM TRENDS:
SEA Road Game Over-Under Record: 27-33, 45%
CLE Home Game Over-Under Record: 26-31, 45.6%
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore Record in Totals SEA games: 34-22, 60.7%
AccuScore Record in Totals CLE games: 30-19, 61.2%
OVER 8.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 9
TEAM TRENDS:
KC Road Game Over-Under Record: 27-27, 50%
TOR Home Game Over-Under Record: 35-25, 58.3%
DLR TRENDS:
AccuScore Record in Totals KC games: 22-22, 50%
AccuScore Record in Totals TOR games: 24-21, 53.3%Comment
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David Banks
Mon 0 -1
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
A pair of scorching hot squads are set to lock horns Tuesday night from The Trop for Game 2 of the crucial four-game series between the Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays; first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 ET.
The Tigers opened up some breathing room for themselves this past weekend after sweeping the Cleveland Indians at Comerica Park. After scoring the 4-1 win in the series opener on Friday night, manager Jim Leyland’s offense erupted plating a combined 18 runs over the weekend. Entering Monday’s series opener, the Tigers held a 4.5-game lead over the Tribe and a five-game lead over the Chicago White Sox atop the AL Central standings. That said; the Tigers have only managed a .500 record on the road (31-31) which has brought in a modest $99 for their wagering supporters overall.
If asked which team was the hottest in the AL East entering this week, without skipping a beat most would answer either Boston or New York as the two teams have been 1-2 in the division throughout most of the season. However, it is Tampa Bay that has refused to give up, and because of it, manager Joe Maddon’s outfit only finds itself eight-games out in the division and 7.5-games back in the AL Wild Card race. The Rays are off a home sweep of their own after taking care of business against Seattle over the weekend, and enter Game 1 of this series Monday night amidst a five-game winning streak. Though it sits six-games over .500 as a host to date, the Rays have cost their bettors some units (-$340).
The home team has been the way to go in the recent series between these AL rivals dating back to last season. With Detroit sweeping the only series played between these teams in 2011, the home team has now won eight of the L/10 overall meetings; the ‘under’ cashed in six of those contests. Brad Penny is 8-9 overall but has been at his worst toeing visiting bumps going 4-5 with a bloated 6.40 ERA and .285 BAA. However, Detroit has tallied wins in Game 2 of a series eight of the L/9 times. As for David Price, he’s been at his absolute best within the comfy confines of Tropicana Field posting a 3.59 ERA and 1.12 WHIP to go along with a .231 BAA. Tampa Bay has won each of its L/5 against AL Central opposition.
PICK: UNDERComment
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FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Tuesday
Play New York Yankees (-190) over Oakland (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST
Oakland has lost 21 of the last 25 games vs. New York and they have also lost 40 of the last 62 road games. Oakland has lost 22 of the last 29 games after having won four or five of the last six games and they have also lost 10 of the last 14 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs.
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Play Tampa Bay (-190) over Detroit (Bonus)
Play Toronto (-180) over Kansas City (Bonus)Comment
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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs – BRAVES TO WIN (-139)
(Note: I’m risking 2.78 units to win 2 units)
On the mound for the Braves will be Mike Minor, who is 2-0 with a 3.63 ERA since being recalled from Triple A. His last time out Minor pitched 6 innings allowing just 4 hits and 0 earned runs (with 9 strikeouts and 1 walk) to out duel Tim Lincecum for the 1-0 win against the Giants. On the season Minor is 3-2 with a 4.26 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .290 opponents batting average. Going for the Cubs will be Casey Coleman in spot of Carlos Zambrano. Coleman has allowed 10 runs and 17 hits in his 10 innings of work over three starts since the start of June, which all resulted in Chicago losses. He is 0-3 at home with a 12.27 ERA, where batters are hitting .394 against him. In Coleman’s last outing he lasted just 3.2 innings giving up 10 hits and 4 runs in a lost to Houston. Overall on the season Coleman is 2-5 with a 7.43 ERA, 2.04 WHIP and .330 opponents average. He will have it tough tonight against the Braves who have won 5 straight moving themselves to a solid 76-52 record on the season. The Braves are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 22-8 in their last 30 games as a small favorite of -110 to -150, and 5-1 in their last 6 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Braves are a perfect 6-0 in Minor’s last 6 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 starts with 4 days rest, and 5-1 in his last 6 vs NL Central opponents. The Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs left-handed starters, and just 16-33 in their last 49 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Note that the Cubs are just 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring runs or less in their previous game (the Braves pitching staff shut them out in last night’s 3-0 victory). The Cubs are also 1-4 in Coleman’s last 5 starts, and 1-8 in their last 9 games with a total set at 11 runs or higher. Also note that the Braves have won 5 of these two teams last 6 meetings in Chicago. Tonight we have a total set at 11.5 runs, and it surely isn’t because of the Braves pitching. Mike Minor has been pitching well as of late, and the same definitely cannot be said about Casey Coleman. The Braves keep rolling tonight at Wrigley Field against a struggling pitcher. Lay a bit of chalk with confidence on the Braves.Comment
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RICHIE CARRERA
Cincinnati/FLORIDA UNDER 7.5- 5 Dimes
Cueto has been untouchable this season, sporting a WHIP of 1.01 in 128 IP. Combine this with the fact that the Fish haven't been able to score more than 3 runs in their last 4, and we should be keeping this tally low. Nolasco is the wild card in this equation, but even still; there is a better chance of him keeping the Red's bats at bay than turning in a disaster. I'm looking for a 4-1, 3-2 type of game... Starter's both survive 7 and turn it over to the pen.Comment
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