9-1-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

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Note:

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[Mr. IWS]

DCI

Sun Belt Conference
FIU 43, North Texas 28

FBS Non-Conference
ARIZONA STATE 39, UC Davis 12
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 27, South Carolina State 23
CONNECTICUT 41, Fordham 3
GEORGIA TECH 42, Western Carolina 6
IDAHO 36, Bowling Green State 19
Kentucky 37, Western Kentucky 18
LOUISVILLE 44, Murray State 10
Mississippi State 45, MEMPHIS 10
New Hampshire 29, TOLEDO 21
RUTGERS 41, North Carolina Central 3
SYRACUSE 26, Wake Forest 16
UTAH 36, Montana State 14
Villanova 26, TEMPLE 19
WISCONSIN 62, Unlv 16

Patriot League
JACKSONVILLE STATE 28, Tennessee-Martin 20

FCS Non-Conference
Drake vs. NORTH DAKOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Illinois State 33, EASTERN ILLINOIS 28
Massachusetts 27, HOLY CROSS 25
Western Illinois 27, SAM HOUSTON STATE 24

[Mr. IWS]

DUNKEL

Game 131-132: UNLV at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 67.182; Wisconsin 115.746
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 48 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 35; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-35); Under

Game 133-134: Mississippi State at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 100.307; Memphis 62.941
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 37 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 27 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-27 1/2); Over

Game 135-136: Wake Forest at Syracuse (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 79.714; Syracuse 84.359
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 4 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Bowling Green at Idaho (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 62.141; Idaho 77.803
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 15 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Idaho by 8; 53
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-8); Under

Game 139-140: North Texas at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 72.005; Florida International 82.407
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Florida International by 14; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+14); Over

Game 141-142: Western Kentucky vs. Kentucky (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 63.913; Kentucky 84.755
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 21; 47
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 19; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-19); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond


NCAAF
30 Dimes MEMPHIS +28 -120

30 Dimes NORTH TEXAS +14

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#204 - Florida Gators -31.5

#140 - Florida International -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Greatest Sports Picks

Wisconsin -35

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard

Wake Forest at Syracuse
Play: Wake Forest

To show the lack of enthusiasm for this Orangemen team the Stadium which seats 50,000 is expected to have just 37,000 in attendance for the season opener. After five straight seasons of four wins or less Syracuse managed a solid 8-5 season including a bowl win over Kansas State. While Doug Marrone has done a fine job we expect this club to regress this season. They were very healthy last year and they benefitted in close games going 4-0 in contests decided by 7 points or less. The non-conference slate was much easier last season while they face the likes of USC on the road this campaign. The offense returns eight starters but they only produced 22.2 points last season. The defense was very good last year but only five starters return on that side of the ball. Syracuse has been a far better team the last few years on the road so they don't deserve the traditional home field advantage.

Jim Grobe has done more with less than just about any coach in the country. Coaching at a university which is known for their basketball and not football prowess is a major challenge. That said in his ten year career in Winston-Salem he has posted five winning seasons. Off back to back losing campaigns and with 17 returning starters we expect the Demon Deacons to return to respectability. This is the most experienced team Grobe has had in the last decade, and after a huge 9.5 ppg defensive drop last year we expect Wake to be much better defensively. Grobe is 34-24-2 ATS getting points at Wake Forest and the line here is much higher than we projected.

Mid level squads like Syracuse and Wake Forest tend to have a certain level of play based on history and talent. Syracuse exceeded that level last year while Wake Forest regressed. That gives us plenty of pointspread value to open the year as we grade out Wake Forest as the slightly better team catching a touchdown.

[Mr. IWS]

Football Sack

Mississippi State v.s. Memphis OVER 50 (5 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

LINES2WIN

2* NFLX Detroit Lions -1.5 (-110)
2* NFLX Green Bay Packers -3 (-105)
2* NCAAF Mississipi St -29 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

Week 1 Play: #140 Florida Intl -13.5 for 1.0 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Money Managers

Thursday 9/1

3* Syracuse -6.5

1* Florida International -14

1* Mississippi St. -29

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

Florida International -13.5

Florida -32

Rice +24

Tulsa +25

Mississippi St -27.5

Alabama -37

USC -21.5

West Virginia -21

Baylor +5.5

Bowling Green +7

[Mr. IWS]

3* Chicago Syndicate Power Plays

South Florida +10

Northern Illinois -10 (-120) Buy the hook

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Davis (of powerhousepicks) free play
9-3-1 in preseason. does anyone have his paid play for tonight?

Play is on the Patriots.

The Giants (1-2) head into Foxborough to face the Patriots (2-1) in the final preseason game for both teams.

New England was very flat last week as Detroit attacked them early and often. Brady and his offensive bunch had a tough time getting going and the defense was just as putrid. This didn't look like the Patriots team that had annihilated it's first two preseason opponents. Although Belichick hasn't said how much (or if) Tom Brady and the other starters will play, it wouldn't shock me to see them out there for at least a quarter. Last year in the preseason finale, Brady played the entire first quarter.

However, my selection is not predicated on how long (or if) the Patriots' starters are going to play (if they do, it certainly favors the Pats). My play is more about how much better the Patriots' back-ups are than the Giants, the fact that the G-Men have had only 2 days rest, and I like the Patriots scheme and back-up quarterbacks better. Also, the Patriots are very deep at running back and you could see 2nd round draft pick Shane Vereen make his pro debut this week.

Add to it the fact that Belichick wasn't happy at all with last week's effort and you have a combination that I can't pass up.

My free play is on the Patriots for 1*

[Mr. IWS]

NFL PRESEASON NEWS AND NOTES
NFL: Packers Host KC Chiefs
By: Matty Simo


Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers (-2, 37)

The defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers will wrap up the 2011 preseason at home on Thursday night against the winless Kansas City Chiefs.

The Packers (2-1) earned a 28-20 victory against the Arizona Cardinals in their only game at Lambeau Field this preseason two weeks ago. They will be looking to take a three-game winning streak into their regular-season opener against the New Orleans Saints next Thursday night.

Green Bay is a 3-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen with the total set at 38. Game time is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. (ET).

Despite coming off a successful regular season, the Chiefs (0-3) have lost five straight games both straight up and against the spread dating back to last year. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in those games, as they have totaled only 23 points this preseason.

Kansas City is the defending AFC West champion but has looked nothing like the team that won 10 games in 2010. A lot of that has to do with the lack of playing time for starters in the first three games, including quarterback Matt Cassel, running backs Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones and wide receiver Dwayne Bowe.

Cassel has thrown just 27 passes while Charles and Jones have totaled 15 carries between them and Bowe has made four catches.

Bettors can expect more of the same in the preseason finale from both teams, with reserves logging most of the playing time to avoid injuries and give young players one last opportunity to win a spot on the final roster. Veteran quarterback Tyler Palko and rookie Ricky Stanzi figure to split the snaps under center for the Chiefs. The Packers will likely turn to Matt Flynn and Graham Harrell to run the offense in place of reigning Super Bowl MVP Aaron Rodgers.

Green Bay wide receivers Greg Jennings and Randall Cobb did not play in last week’s 24-21 win at Indianapolis due to bruised knees, and both will probably rest again to get ready for the Saints. Neither of them was needed as the team rallied back from a 14-10 halftime deficit behind Harrell and kicker Mason Crosby, who connected on three field goals including the game-winner from 50 yards out as time expired.

Harrell had thrown a touchdown pass and converted a two-point conversion to Ryan Taylor with 35 seconds on the clock to tie the score at 21.

Rodgers did not play in last year’s preseason finale, and the NFL’s top-rated passer is expected to watch from the sideline this Thursday after spraining his foot against the Colts. He enjoyed a phenomenal preseason for the second year in a row, completing 34 of 43 passes for 375 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions to help the ‘over’ cash in all three of the Pack’s preseason games.