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Game #1
Western Michigan (0-0) at Michigan (0-0) 3:30 pm EST
BW Write-Up: Inside Information Play
BW Pick: 160 Michigan -13 (-120) (buy the hook) *****5 UNITS***** (5 Dimes)
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Game #2
No. 3 Oregon (0-0) vs No. 4 Louisiana State (0-0) 8:00 pm EST
BW Write-Up: Oregon has an explosive offense and a lot of motivation to win the National Championship. LSU has to play their backup QB who is prone to throwing interceptions (18 last year). Oregon will overpower LSU all game long, both offense and defense. Oregon wins by 14.
BW Pick: 189 Oregon -3 (-110) ****4 UNITS**** (5 Dimes)
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Game #3
San Jose State (0-0) at No. 6 Stanford (0-0) 8:00 pm EST
BW Write-Up: Are you kidding me? Stanford will score 28 points in the first half. I expect the score to be somewhere around 55-7.
BW Pick: 168 Stanford -28 (-120) (buy the hook) ****4 UNITS**** (5 Dimes)
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Game #4
No. 7 Boise State (0-0) vs No. 22 Georgia (0-0) 8:00 pm EST
BW Write-Up: Pending
BW Pick: 187 Boise State OVER 51 (-110) *****5 UNITS***** (Bookmaker)
The 50 Dime play is on the Fresno State Bulldogs against the Cal Golden Bears. As of 6 a.m. Saturday in Las Vegas, FresnoState is a 10-point underdog. The game, which is slated for a 7 p.m. (EST) kickoff, will be played at CandlestickPark in San Francisco. Cal's normal stadium is under renovetions. That should mean Cal will not have as much a home-field advovantage as it normally does. The 30 Dime play is on the Pitt-Buffalo over 54 1/2. That's the number in Las Vegas at 6 a.m. The style of play dictoaes the reason for this play.
Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action 60 Dime winner #10 of 14 is my BCS Implicetion Lock on Oregon over LSU. The game opened near a pick, but with the LSU suspoensions, the Ducks are now priced right around a -4 point favorite both here in Vegas and offsoore.
Indiana Hoosiers -6 -110 (Risk 11 units to win 10 units) 7:00 P.M. EST
Indiana is the worst team in the Big 10, even worse than Minnesota. Well, Purdue isn’t very good (yes, Purdue lost at home to Indiana last year ending the Hoosiers’ road conference losing streak and giving them their first road win since 2007 in Big 10 play). Tonight Indiana’s players get to live a dream they never else would get to do—play on the same field that the Colts do. Let’s admit they aren’t going to play in the NFL, so beating up on MAC cellar dweller Ball State will have to do. Indiana was 5-7 last year, and they were a couple of plays away from an 8 win season—something that would’ve assured Bill Lynch a contract extension. They lost star QB Ben Chappell, but they return 7 starters on offense including NFL prospect Demarlo Belcher, who caught 78 balls last season. They have a new coach in Kevin Wilson, a guy who is a very creative offensive mind and spent 9 years on the staff at Oklahoma, and he has what it takes to make Indiana relevant. Ball State on the other hand is downright awful. They were 4-8 and 3-5 in the MAC West last year, and they return only 11 starters from last year’s club that lost to Liberty at home in Muncie. They also lost to Eastern Michigan, and if you know anything about college football—you know that is bad news. They were 106th in total offense last year with 305.8 yards per game, and they averaged only 22 points per game. They gave up 30.4 points per game, good for 88th nationally. New coach Pete Lembo inherits a program that has only won 6 games in the past two seasons, and they’ve only had 2 winning seasons in the past 14. They aren’t poised for much of a turnaround any time soon. They have a 3rd team all-MAC running back that will lead their trio of running backs, but they won’t be able to slow down Indiana, and this spread just won’t be enough at the end of the day for the Cardinals. Indiana to win 10 units.
Northwestern Wildcats +3.5 -110 (Risk 7.7 units to win 7 units) 12:00 P.M. EST
Dan Persa is questionable, but the kid is tough and I fully expect him to play—because this team needs him. However, since I believe he is going to be in the lineup, I absolutely believe the wrong team is favored here. Boston College averaged 18.5 points per game last year, good for 12th in the ACC and 109th nationally. They only averaged 299.1 yards of offense per game, 109th nationally, and they were 90th in rushing yards and 97th in passing yards. It should say something about their defense tht this team was able to win 7 games and get to a bowl, but Northwestern has too much fire power to be slowed down today, and the NU defense will be able to keep this anemic BC offense in check. Boston College generally is way overvalued when playing at home early in the season, and this is a perfect example. Northwestern has historically been a great September team, and their nonconference slate is usually packed with winnable games in which they simply find ways to grind out wins. This will not be a super high-scoring game, but the Wildcats have 9 starters back on offense and 7 back on defense, so this team is seasoned and smart. They execute very well, which is why this team was 7-3 last year before Dan Persa went down with a season-ending injury. Their defense actually suffered tremendously once Persa left the field, because their drives were shorter which led to more field time for the defense—something a thin NU bunch could not handle. This team brings back 4 starters on the offensive line, and they are primed for a huge year—but it has to start with a win at Boston College today, because we all know their new Big 10 schedule is not doing them any favors. The biggest factor for me in this game is Montel Harris—BC’s only legit offensive threat, and he is out for 3-4 weeks with an injury. This team will have a tough time generating offense, and the Chesnut Hill will be disappointed again in this team that is a year away from seriously competing for the ACC Atlantic Crown. Take Northwestern +3.5 to win 7 units, as this is tremendous value for a team I expect to win outright.
Highest Rated 100,000 Unit Must Win Move
Boise State Broncos -3 over Georgia
I know they have some players suspended but the bottom line still is they are the better, faster team. They lost some talented WRs but they still have more then enough to beat a Georgia team that simply is not very good.
I do not care that Georgia is an SEC team. They are a middle of the road SEC team. Theres no way around that. They arent LSU, Alabama, or Auburn. They probably arent even in Florida or South Carolinas class this year.
Boise State will jump all over this team and they will not let them back into it like they did with Va. Tech last year. Boise by 21, 38-17. Minimum.
LSU is a perfect 12-0 SU all-time versus Pac-10/12 opponents. Did you see anything in last year's NCAA championship that should suggest a Pac-10 team be favored over an SEC team? LSU has won 14 of their last 15 season openers and in all six under Coach Miles they have tallied 30 points or more. Oregon is 23-69 ATS when they allowed 30-plus points winning outright just 28 of those. Oregon's no-huddle high-potent offense won't impress LSU, which allowed 18 points per game under coordinator John Chavis last year. Still can't find too much success in "big games" for Ducks coach Chip Kelley considering he's 0-2 in bowls at Oregon and lost to Boise State in '09 opener. Key statistic: Against physically-superior teams like Boise State, Ohio State, and Auburn the past two seasons, Oregon has been out-rushed 684-187. I don't see a signficant drop-off in production with fifth-year senior Jarrett Lee replacing Jordan Jefferson (7-10 ratio touchdowns to picks) especially considering Lee is a native of Texas and now returning to Arlington. Oregon's offense not nearly as productive with time off. The Ducks have averaged 18 points per game in their last two bowl appearances and tallied just eight points in their opener at Boise State two years ago. I vividly remember LSU with time to prepare a few years ago against an explosive rushing-offense in Georgia Tech with Coach Paul Johnson. The Tigers came to Atlanta in the Chick-fil-A Bowl and held the Jackets to 164 yards rushing in a 38-3 LSU slaughter. That year Tech almost weekly went for 300-plus rushing yards. Look for more of the same tonight. Free play is 2* LSU +3 1/2.
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