9-3-11

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Money Managers
Saturday 9/3

3* Northwestern +3
2* Clemson -16.5
2* South Florida +10.5

Sunday 9/4
2* Texas A&M/SMU Over 56.5

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
1 OF 11
Game: Utah State at Auburn (Saturday 9/03 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Auburn -23.5 (-110)

Utah State may have had a flashy offense last fall and gave Oklahoma a scare, but they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers in this one. That Utah State team had a dynamic QB in Diondre Borel, who is gone. Sophomore QB Jeremy Higgins and junior QB Adam Kennedy step in, but they threw a combined seven passes in 2010. This is a long road trip and the Aggies had a small, terrible defense last season. They faced good offenses in San Diego State, Hawaii, Nevada and Boise and lost by scores of 41-7, 45-7, 56-24 and 50-14. Those scores will be similar to the final score in this one, taking on defending champion Auburn. The Aggies struggled against the run and that will be the biggest concern here against the Tigers and brilliant offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn, the architect of wide-open spread attacks. They won the national title with an offense that averaged 41.2 points per game. Many key players are off to the NFL, but there is talent with junior QB Barrett Trotter and junior
WR Emory Blake. The ground game averaged 284.8 yards, No. 5 in the country, with the help of 5-9 sophomore RB Michael Dyer (1,093 yds., 6.0 yards per carry) and junior

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Cincinnati +141 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
After an unlikely sweep in Milwaukee to narrow the gap to nine games, the Cardinals went on to lose to the Reds last night and that surely could’ve halted any steam they built up, especially with the Brewers winning. The “Genius” and the Cards had a point to prove in Milwaukee and they did. All LaRussa cares about is not being “shown up” and that three-game sweep is as satisfying to him as winning the division. Jamie Garcia has pretty much shut it down for the year and is now running strictly on fumes. The Reds have been dominant against LHPs (.814 OPS vLHPs - 2nd in MLB) all season long and should have their way with Garcia. Garcia's skills show in-game erosion, as he’s been completely shredded over the past month in the second and third times through the order. Over his past five starts, covering just 21 frames, Garcia has walked 11 and struck out 12 and has posted an ERA of 7.17 and a 1.92 WHIP. These are all strong signs of a guy in trouble. Meanwhile, Homer Bailey is the complete opposite, as he missed all of April and June and has only been healthy since early July. That’s two months of consistent starting so for Bailey, pitching now is like pitching in mid-June. He’s allowed three runs or less in five of his past six starts including his last in which he went eight full against the Phillies and allowed just six hits. Bailey is simply much fresher than Garcia and the Cardinals are a great fade as a big favorite. Play: Cincinnati +141 (Risking 2 units).

Northwestern +3½ +155 over Boston College PINNACLE
12:00 PM EST. Boston College is the second best team here, period. The only edge they have is that they’re playing at Alumni Stadium but the Wildcats are always prepared to play anywhere and they have a pretty good history of winning their opener. Northwestern is loaded and primed to make some noise this year. The Wildcats have an amazing 19 fifth-year seniors on the team and they also have an outstanding QB in Dan Persa. All Persa did was complete over 73% of his passes while only throwing four picks all season. The defense of the Wildcats did get somewhat gashed last year but expect this season to be much better and it’s not like they’re playing some offensive juggernaut either. Boston College’s offense is a joke. They averaged 18 points a year ago and this year they won’t be better. They really don’t even have a starting QB yet because coach Spaziani can’t find one or can’t decide who is worse. So, for the Eagles to compete, it’s going to have to be the defense that holds up the fort. The problem with that is not many are returning from last year’s stellar group. B.C.’s biggest weakness on defense is its secondary, which allowed over 63% completions last year. They’ve already had one guy in the secondary quit and one other guy transfer. Again, the Wildcats strength is the passing game. Offensively is where they have a huge, huge edge in this game. Play: #147 Northwestern +3½ (Risking 1.06 units to win 1) Play: Northwestern +155 (Risking 1 unit).

Western Michigan +14½ over MICHIGAN SportsInteraction
3:30 PM EST. Michigan used to be a power and they’ll very likely return to one someday soon but that day isn’t coming this year. The Wolverines are retooling. They have a new coach, a good one but still new and for the fifth season in a row, the defense is under a different system. There is just no continuity in Ann Arbor these days. Then there’s Michigan QB Denard Robinson. Robinson is a work in progress and a big work he is. He makes a ton of bad decisions and he’s not a good passer either. The kid can run but so what. He’s a bad decision maker that can’t throw and no way are we laying 14½-points with those credentials. In fact, just about everything for the Wolverines is new. They’re going to need some games to get familiar with Hoke’s system and they may even get upset here. Western Michigan will come in jacked up and raring to go, knowing that the Wolverines are going through a transition period and could be ripe to get beat. Besides, the Broncos are a pretty decent MAC team and MAC teams are always dangerous. QB Alex Cader threw for over 3300 yards and 30 touchdowns a season ago and he returns along with nine out of 10 receiving corps. Both defenses are a little suspect and that’s ok because if the Broncos fall behind they Wolverines defense is not strong enough to keep this dangerous offense at bay. The Big House can be an intimidating place, however, it can also be a motivating place for the visitor because they’ll be playing in front of 100,000 fans, not to mention on National TV. So, expect the Broncos to hold nothing back and play their hearts out for a full 60 minutes. Expect the same for the Wolverines but the difference is absolutely the two-touchdown head start in our favor. Play: #159 Western Michigan +14½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

50* UCLA +2.5

100* A's -135

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet
POD - Rangers/RedSox over

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

Utah State Aggies +24

Middle Tennessee St. Blues Raiders +16.5

South Florida Bulls +10.5

Minnesota Golden Gophers +24.5

Ohio Bobcats -6.5

Boise State Broncos -3

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels

25 Dime Pittsburgh Panthers

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

Totals

LSU/Org Under 54.5
MTNST/Pur Under 48.5
OU/NMST Under 54
Boise St/GA Over51

Small College

Stoneybrook +18
Sac St +26.5
Duke -9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Nothing But Winners

NCAA Football 5 Unit GAME OF THE MONTH- Oregon (-3) Vs. LSU

First off I am not one of the cappers that comes out with five “Game of the Month” picks, this will be my only game of the month. My subscribers know im true to this. Before all of the suspensions I still thought Oregon was the better team, and with Jefferson not playing in this game it was an easy decision. People seem to forget how great this Oregon team was last year. They ran through their entire schedule last season, and their only loss was obviously in the Championship game. LaMichael James is one of the best players in the entire country, and will have a field day with an LSU defense who has lost a lot of talent since last season. LSU has all the distractions in the world right now, and im not sure if Jarrett Lee will be able to handle it. LSU was a great home team last year, but did lose a couple games away from home last year including a late season loss to Arkansas. Look for both teams to score some points, but I don’t see LSU getting many stops. 5 Unit Play- Oregon (-3)

NCAA Football 3 Unit Dog of the Day- Northwestern @ Boston College (-3.5)

This game immediately jumped out at me when I started researching this weeks card. Northwestern ended the season pretty badly after Dan Persa got hurt, but with Persa this is a very good team. Dan Persa is one of the most underated quarterbacks in the entire county, and when healthy this team can move the ball with ease. His last game before the injury he was able to take down a very good Iowa team. Even if Persa does end up missing this game, I think Northwestern will be too much for BC and take it to them. Boston College is without its best player today, Running Back Montel Harris. They are also very thin in the secondary, and Northwestern should be able to pick them apart. I think Northwestern takes this game on the road. 3 Unit Play- Northwestern (+3.5)

NCAA Football 2 Unit Road Warrior- South Florida @ Notre Dame (-10.5)

I still have no idea what all this preseason hype regarding Notre Dame is all about. This is the same team who has struggled with everyone they have played. All I need to see in this one is that Notre Dame lost at home to Tulsa, and also lost to Navy. South Florida is returning a lot of starters including quarterback BJ Daniels. I think this is the season that Daniels finally puts all of this skills together, and has a very strong season. Last season South Florida took down Miami and Clemson on the road. Im not sure if they will win this game, but it will be a very close one. 3 Unit Play- South Florida (+10.5)

NCAA Football 3 Unit Blow out of the Day- UCLA @ Houston (-2.5)

This Houston team will shock a lot of people this year, and will be much better than last year. Both of these teams ended the season very poorly last year, but Houston has the best weapon on the field in Case Keenum. He missed most of last year with an injury, which is the main reason why Houston had such a bad season. UCLA lost 6 of their last 7 games, and they have showed no signs of improvement under Rick Neuheisel. I think Keenum will move his team up and down the field all game, and put up a lot of points. Even with a shaky defense Houston should be able to contain UCLA’s weak offensive attack. 3 Unit Play- Houston (-2.5)
NCAA Football

2 Unit Linemaker's Mistake- BYU (-2) @ Ole Miss
I know that BYU is not in the SEC, but they are a much better team then Ole Miss. Mississippi had a very bad season last year dropping 6 of their last 7 games. I know they are in a tough conference, but they looked miserable last year. BYU finished their season strong winning 5 of their 6 games. Quarterback Jake Heaps struggled at the start of the season last year, but finished very strong. BYU is also returning a staggering 19 starters, and should be in line for a great season. BYU should be able to move the ball fairly easily against the 107th ranked defense last year. 2 Unit Play- BYU (-2)

[Mr. IWS]

Harry Bondi - (Free Selection)


SATURDAY, SEPT. 3
COLLEGE FOOTBALL

HAWAII (-6.5) over Colorado
10:15 p.m. -- ESPN2







Harry Bondi's College "Kickoff Lock" WINS today!
Give Harry a call personally at 1-877-332-0077. Today IS THE LAST DAY to take advantage of our $300 Early Bird Discount.
Colorado is getting a fresh start with an entirely new coaching staff, as well as new starters in a number of key positions so the schedule-makers didn't do them any favors by sending them to Hawaii for the opener. Not only is this one of the most difficult road trips to make in college football because of the long flight, distractions in paradise and the time change, but the Rainbows are a tough team to prepare for as well. Look for Hawaii's sleeper Heisman candidate QB Bryant Moniz and his team’s wide-open attack to put up some big numbers against a Colorado secondary that lost two players to the NFL and is as green as grass. Here's a little-known fact: Colorado hasn't won a road game since 2007 and its not about to break that streak here, especially since Hawaii is looking to avenge a disappointing loss at Colorado last year. The Rainbows flourish at home and send the Buffs packing with their 18th straight loss on the highway.

[Mr. IWS]

Dwayne Bryant | CFB Side Sat, 09/03/11

*triple-dime bet #159 WESTERN MICHIGAN +14

2* #182 BALL STATE +6

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

Late phone plays

SJST +29.5
Tex -24.5
Miss +3
Fres St +10.5
Ohio St -31.5

Opinions

Mizz -20
USC -23.5
Okla -24.5
Ark St +20.5
S. Miss -12
Ind -6
LSU +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

advantage sports
miami ohio
south florida

[Mr. IWS]

Defeat Your Bookie

North Johnson III

3.5* Boise State -2.5

2.5* OVER 64 - UL Lafayette / Oklahoma St

2.5* Houston -2.5

2.5* BYU -2.5

2.5* Boston College -3

Mat Earlson

5* Ohio St -33.5

5* Notre Dame -11

MLB
6* Oakland A´s ML -135

3* St. Louis Cardinals ML -155

Jhonny Palumbo

3* Oregon -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS
1* Tenn Tech +39.5