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Steelers/Ravens UNDER 36.5 -105
Falcons/Bears UNDER 41 -108
Titans -105 ML
Redskins +120 ML
Seahawks/49ers UNDER 38 -105
Vikings +8.5 -104
Cowboys/Jets UNDER 40 -105
2-Team, 6-point Teaser -110 (ANY Tie is No Action – Heritage)
Redskins+8.5/Cardinals-0.5
Pittsburgh +1.5 over BALTIMORE 25 Dimes
This play just feeds to my notion that the Steelers have maintained the poll position, while the Ravens are left trying to figure out where they went wrong. I anticipate Pittsburgh coming out passing and Baltimore just having no answer. History tells us that these games are low scoring slugfests and that may scare some of you, but remember that Joe Flacco is 0-6 vs. Big Ben. Both O-lines are admittedly suspect, but Pittsburgh has the better pass rush. Both secondaries are questionable as well, but Pittsburgh should feature the better passing attack. To me, this game feels more like Pittsburgh -1.5. Baltimore just hasn't done anything to improve in the off-season, while getting worse at key positions. I like the Steelers by double digits in my first 25 dime release this fall... (And first in a while)
Sunday free pick is 3* Pittsburgh +1:
In his rookie season Joe Flacco won two playoff games. Yet I feel like Flacco has actually degressed the past two years when it comes to winning the "big" game. The Ravens are 0-2 in the 2nd round of the playoffs the last two years, 0-2 versus New England in the regular season, and have now lost FIVE STRAIGHT to Pittsburgh w/ Ben Roethlisberger in the lineup. That is essentially the difference. Sure both of these defenses are starting to show age along with wear and tear. But the Steelers were #1 in the league in defending the run last year by a large margin and I'm just not sure Flacco will beat Pittsburgh without Ray Rice having a great game on the ground. The Steelers allowed 62.8 yards a game rushing. In 2nd was Chicago at 90.1. That is COMPLETE DOMINATION and it came with a few Steeler injuries. The Ravens had only 126 total yards of offense in last year's playoff game against the Steelers. Again you have to ask, how does Baltimore move the chains if they can't run? Flacco usually craps his pants when facing a top-rated defense. Yeah some will point to playoff revenge and some system about Super Bowl losers in their opening game. But if I know the Steelers, they are the exception to almost any system. I sense this team is really driven and hungry and I usually nail this team throughout the years with spread accuracy. Last year Ray Rice had rushing games of 20, 32, and 32 yards. "Big Ben" looked awesome in the preseason and I think he's in for a huge year. Flacco looked miserable as did the Ravens #1 offense. Pitt is 7-2 ATS as a road underdog recently. They have more total speed than the Ravens on both sides of the ball. Lee Evans is a decent pick-up for the Ravens but I don't view him as a difference-maker against the Steelers. Historically these games are usually close but Ben always seems to beat this team. Plus many a jarhead/spin-master on ESPN has picked Baltimore this week. That alone is enough for me to play Pittsburgh.
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