9-25-11

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New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Seattle, Miami, Atl, NO, Wash(Monday)

2* San Diego, over in GBay/Chic game

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Calgary/Hamilton un 54

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Hondo

Hondo took a few steps in the wrong direction last night as his lone victory with Oklahoma State was overwhelmed by losses with the Marlins, Giants and Oklahoma, which boosted the NRN (nasty red num- ber) to 2,245 abramowiczes.

Today, Mr. Aitch will try to ride his NFL Best Bets to paydirt -- 20 units apiece on the Patriots, Saints and

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Bettor World

Sides:
Miami +1
Baltimore -4.5

Totals:
Miami/Cleveland Under 41.5
San Francisco/Cincinnati under 40

2 Team Teaser
New England -1
Atlanta +7

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FOOTBALL CRUSHER
Play of the Day:
Tennessee Titans -6.5 (BH)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Alabama Saturday.

Sunday it's the Texans. The deficit is 2,541 sirignanos

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Arthur Ralph Sports

724- 531 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one for Sun : Pats -8

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SOCCER CRUSHER
Play of the Day:
Queens Park Rangers + Aston Villa UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England - Premier League

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BASEBALL CRUSHER
Play of the Day:
Tampa Bay Rays -150 ML

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Cappers Access
Browns -1-
Vikings +3
Raiders +3
Steelers -10-

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THE WILDCAT(NY POST)

jaguars+3.5

jets/radiers-over-41

season record

4-0-1

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Today's NFL Picks
Miami at Cleveland

The Dolphins look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 25
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/22)

Game 395-396: San Francisco at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 129.360; Cincinnati 130.918
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

Game 397-398: New England at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.779; Buffalo 131.035
Dunkel Line: New England by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New England 8; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-8); Under

Game 399-400: Houston at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 137.228; New Orleans 142.532
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over

Game 401-402: NY Giants at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 130.443; Philadelphia 139.204
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 9; 43
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7 1/2); Under

Game 403-404: Miami at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.760; Cleveland 127.653
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Denver at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 125.693; Tennessee 134.086
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: Detroit at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 138.718; Minnesota 132.699
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6; 49
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Jacksonville at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 120.202; Carolina 125.310
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 411-412: Kansas City at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 123.764; San Diego 137.232
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: San Diego by 15; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+15); Under

Game 413-414: NY Jets at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 139.851; Oakland 132.635
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 7; 46
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Over

Game 415-416: Baltimore at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.917; St. Louis 125.600
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 10 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.914; Tampa Bay 132.905
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Arizona at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 123.927; Seattle 122.810
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

Game 421-422: Green Bay at Chicago (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 139.226; Chicago 134.909
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 4 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 423-424: Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.757; Indianapolis 125.115
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10 1/2); Over

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SPORTS WAGERS

SAN DIEGO –14½ over Kansas City

You could lay 28 points in this one and still feel pretty good about it. This is like Wisconsin v South Dakota. How desperate are the Chiefs? Last week in Detroit, they were down 17-3 seconds before the half and that clever Todd Haley tried to ice the always-reliable veteran kicker Jason Hanson on a 28-yard field goal. Yeah Todd, you really piled on the pressure there. Hanson had to be sweating bullets over a 28-yarder in the middle of a blowout. We’re still trying to figure out how that didn’t work. Usually teams bounce back from a blowout. Usually teams bounce back from back-to-back blowouts. The Chiefs aren’t capable of such. They have nothing and in fact, things are not better, they’re worse. The only player with a chance of making the season bearable was Jamaal Charles and now he’s gone for the year. Now the Chiefs have a coach they can’t stand, no QB, no RB’s, no playmakers and no defense. The Chargers have a horrible history of poor starts recently and this year is no different after a tough opener against Minnesota, a team they were supposed to whack and a loss last week in New England. They’re in no position to take anyone lightly and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs are one of their rivals. Last season the Chargers opened the year in KC on a Monday night and lost. The rematch in San Diego resulted in a 31-0 pasting by the host and this one has that same feel. The Chargers are loaded with nothing but talent and explosive players. There is no way the shorthanded Chiefs can match the Chargers in terms of anything. Chargers have been outscored 89-10 in two games so let’s call this final 89-10. Play: San Diego –14½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


CINCINNATI –2½ over San Francisco

The NFC West is a joke. The only time we should expect close games with teams from that lame division is when they face each other. Just two weeks into the season, the NFC Worst sits at 2-6 as a group with the only wins being the Niners over Seattle (divisional) and Arizona slipping by the Panthers in Cam Newton’s NFL debut. Now the Niners must travel for first time this season for an early kickoff in the east. They are led by their seven-year itch, QB Alex Smith. The Bengals are guided by rookie QB Andy Dalton, whose numbers show a respectable 413 yards passing, three touchdowns to zero interceptions, a 105.7 rating and a 66% completion rate. It isn't a commonly known fact, but the Bengals' defensive front of Michael Johnson, Carlos Dunlap and Jonathan Fanene is very young, talented and active. You can count on them making life miserable for Alex Smith. Frank Gore is having little or no impact right now. Home opener for Cincinnati will be filled with renewed enthusiasm and support, as the Bengals are 1-1, they could be 2-0 and they’re playing with a huge chip on their shoulders after being labeled the laughing stock of the league. Play: Cincinnati –2½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).


OAKLAND +3 over N.Y. Jets

After losing some key players in the off-season and being led by a humdrum quarterback, we thought Oakland was in for a long season. However, this appears to be a gritty club that will do battle weekly and this visitor is about to learn that. The Jets may be undefeated but they were completely outplayed by Dallas in opener before lopsided score with Jaguars was significantly more impressive than they were. There is concern with New York ’s running game and they can hardly rely on the limited arm of Mark Sanchez. The Raiders are home after rainy Monday nighter in Denver followed by short week to Buffalo, where they simply ran out of gas. Also note that the Jets have the Ravens on deck in Sunday night prime time affair and this Jets team loves the spotlight more than any other. Play: Oakland +3 +100 (Risking 2 units).


INDIANAPOLIS +10½ over Pittsburgh

This is getting out of hand. We know that Peyton Manning is out. Peyton’s Place is becoming quite a Peyton Place, no? We get it. We know that the Colts were trounced in opener and then soundly defeated by the visiting Browns. We recognize that. But for the Steelers to be a double-digit favorite, in Indianapolis, in a prime-time featured game is simply absurd. The Steelers are more smoke than fire and Indy’s pass-rushers can inflict damage on a gimpy Ben Roethlisberger playing behind a suspect offensive line. When a starting QB goes down the oddsmakers adjust the line and usually take away four to five points. For instance, if Michael Vick weren’t playing against the Giants this week, Philly would be a -4½-point choice. With Vick they’re –8. If Peyton Manning were playing this game, the Colts would be a –3 or –3½-point favorite. So, instead of awarding the Colts the usual three or four points for the injury, the books have gone way over the top and overcompensated by giving the Colts an incredible extra 13 points. Colts QB Kerry Collins is a relic but with a couple of games to acclimate and his familiarity with the visitor, this one can stay competitive and even the unthinkable can occur. Play: Indianapolis +10½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).


Jacksonville +4/+160 over CAROLINA

Cam Newton? Wow! He’s the next Superman! The guy is unbelievable! He’s the talk of the NFL. His two starts have been impressive in terms of yards passed but c’mon folks, let’s put this into perspective. Cam Newton has a QB rating in the 80’s. Andy Dalton’s QB rating is 105. Newton is one of four QB’s in the league that has thrown more picks than touchdowns. The other three are Jon Kitna, Luke McCown and Matt Cassells. The Panthers were projected to win between three and five games all year and they’re right on track to do just that. The media overhype on Newton is rearing its ugly head and we’re not ready to make his feeble team more than a field-goal favorite until they win some games. Rookie Blaine Gabbert will start for Jacksonville and that can’t be any worse than what was. Gabbert was ranked second to Andrew Luck. He was a stud at Missouri (40 TD’s in two years) and was the 10th pick of the draft. He’s been impressive everywhere he’s played with his arm strength, pocket presence, situational awareness and speed. Yeah, the NFL is a whole different level but the Jags need a boost and they’ll get back to being a running team with one of the best backs in the business in Maurice Jones-Drew. Teams are going to take Newton a little more seriously now and while he may turn out to be very good, he’s not yet and as a whole, the Panthers are not better than the Jags. Media plus Newton hype has the price on this game out of sorts. Play: Jacksonville +4 (Risking 1.1 units to win 1) Play: Jacksonville +160 (Risking 1 unit).

THE REST:

Patriots (2-0) at Bills (2-0)

First place on the line. What??? While it’s the norm for the Patriots to feel good about themselves, the Bills have suddenly found their own swagger. Surely, Buffalo is not in this class but as a divisional home dog in this price range, they could keep it close. Having said that, the Bills beat a horrible Chiefs team, they were getting crushed before Oakland ran out of gas and they could be a fraud. Don’t go nuts here. TAKING: BILLS +9

Texans (2-0) at Saints (1-1)

Sorry, not willing to trust the Texans quite yet. Yes, they did what was required in handling the Colts and Dolphins as they aim for first ever 3-0 start. But this is a much tougher assignment as stopping Chad Henne and Kerry Collins is a far cry from halting Drew Brees and the Saints’ arsenal. TAKING: SAINTS –4

Dolphins (0-2) at Browns (1-1)

Most people enjoy Florida. The Dolphins can’t wait to leave. Miami has now dropped 11 of 12 in own stadium while covering 11 of 14 away from there. After being pelted by the Patriots and Texans, the Fish won’t mind dealing with the Browns’ pedestrian offense. TAKING: DOLPHINS +2½

Broncos (1-1) at Titans (1-1)

Seems that beating Baltimore stands for something. We don’t quite get it but after Tennessee’s upset win last week, oddsmakers have anointed the Titans as a near touchdown chalk. Denver is every bit that their hosts are and they expect to get a bunch of injured dudes back this week. TAKING: BRONCOS +6½

Giants (1-1) at Eagles (1-1)

Eagles will be miffed after tough loss in Atlanta on Sunday night and that should spell trouble for this banged up Giants team. The G-Men showed little in win over Rams and with this being Philly’s home opener, this one could get away early. TAKING: EAGLES –7½

Lions (2-0) at Vikings (0-2)

What do Charlie Sheen and the Lions have in common? That’s right, winning! Detroit has now won 10 straight including last year’s final four, four pre-season and two games this year. QB Matthew Stafford has yet to be sacked and these felines have the best for-against differential in the league. Why then, are the Lions only a 3½-point choice when the Pats and Steelers are 9 and 10½-point choices respectively? Before you pull the trigger on Detroit, like everyone else, you had better ask yourself that. We wonder too how the Vikes will compete but we also recognize a trap when we see one. Be very careful here. TAKING: VIKINGS +3½

Ravens (1-1) at Rams (0-2)

Just who are the Ravens? The team that manhandled the Steelers in opener or the squad that was firmly whipped by the ordinary Titans? Until we see the Ravens play with the same intensity that they muster up for Pittsburgh, we’ll fade them spotting road points. TAKING: RAMS +4½

Falcons (1-1) at Buccaneers (1-1)

Atlanta seems a bit off and only some fortunate circumstances allowed it to escape a 0-2 start. A win and travel scenario may be ill timed, especially against a division mate that is looking to avenge five straight losses in this series. Tampa needs to, and should be focused for four quarters. TAKING: BUCCANEERS –1½

Cardinals (1-1) at Seahawks (0-2)

The Seahags are an offensive disaster, having penetrated their opposition’s 20-yard line just twice this season. However, despite having a win, the Cardinals defense is amongst the league’s worst and cannot be trusted to keep any team away from the end zone. TAKING: SEAHAWKS +3½

Packers (2-0) at Bears (1-1)

Chicago QB Jay Cutler may get hit like a piñata in this one but still prefer home-town Bears against their arch-rivals. Packers were fortunate to defeat Saints in opener and had to work harder than expected to take down Panthers. Spirited matchup should remain close. TAKING: BEARS +3½

This week’s SURVIVOR pick:

Used so far: Arizona, Detroit.

SAN DIEGO over Kansas City

You can play against these Chiefs every week because they really are that bad. This is about as safe a play as you’ll ever see. Chargers will not lose.

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Allen Eastman Football

$$$$$$Play. Take #419 Arizona (-3) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System and it is my NFL Game of the Month.
I think that Seattle is one of the worst teams in football. I know that they have a big home field advantage. But even the best home field advantage is only as good as the players that are actually playing on the field. The Seahawks were shutout last week and they only managed 17 points against San Francisco in Week 1. Their offense is not moving with Tarvaris Jackson and they are starting to have a quarterback controversy. Arizona has double-revenge here after being swept by the Seahawks last season. They have already gotten a win under their belts and they went out and played Washington tough on the road last week. They put up a much better effort in a tough spot on the road than the Seahawks did. This play also comes down to quarterback play. The Cardinals have the better quarterback in Kevin Kolb and the best player on the field in Larry Fitzgerald. I think that Arizona is the best team in this division right now and here is a chance for them to make a statement.

$$$$Play. Take #421 Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System.
The Packers have just far exceeded the Bears. I know that these teams played three close games last year but I think that Green Bay just keeps improving and I do not think that Chicago is as good as they were in 2010. The Bears are off a blowout loss in New Orleans last weekend and the Packers are a team that can put the same type of pressure on with their passing agme and with their blitzing. Chicago's offensive line can't block and can't protect the quarterback. The last time they faced the Packers Jay Cutler was knocked out of the game and I could see the same thing happening. Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 trips to Chicago and they are 5-2 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings. This number is short and you need to jump on it now. Because it will be 4.0 by Saturday and should be up to 4.5 by kickoff. Great value on the better team and I think that the Packers win this one going away.

$$$Play. Take #410 Carolina (-3.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
Jacksonville will be starting rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert this weekend in Carolina. The Panthers now have the edge at the QB position because Cam Newton has already gotten the jitters out after two games and he has been brilliant in those pair of games against Arizona and Green Bay. Carolina looked great last week while building a 13-0 lead over Carolina. If the Panthers are good enough to take it to the defending Super Bowl champions like that they should have more than enough here to dominate a bad Jaguars team. Newton will keep it going against the worst defense that he has faced yet and I like the home team to win this one big.

$$$Play. Take #398 Buffalo (+9.5) over New England (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Bills are ready to compete! After getting blown out many times over the last several years the Bills have their best team yet and they are ready to compete with the Patriots. Orchard Park will be rocking this weekend when Tom Brady comes to town. That extra energy will help to keep the momentum from last weekend's last-second win over Oakland. The Patriots will be taking all of the action in this game but I will side with the books on this one. Buffalo may not win but I expect them to hang around in the fourth quarter and they will take advantage of a weak New England secondary to get some points on the board. This one stays within the number. Take the points.

$$$$. Take #396 Cincinnati (-2.5) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Bengals have quietly put themselves in a position to earn a tie for the AFC North lead after three weeks. This team was able to get rid of a lot of guys with bad attitudes during the offseason and I think that they have better chemistry in the locker room. After two straight road games I think that the Bengals will get a big boost from being at home. San Francisco has to travel across the country and is playing in a big letdown spot. They had Dallas beaten and could have gone to 2-0. But they gave that game away late and now they have no motivation for this game here against the Bengals. I like the home team to win by a touchdown.

$$Play. Take #413 New York Jets (-3) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Jets defense looks the best that it has in three years. I think that they are going to shut down the Oakland running game just like it was able to shut down Jacksonville's strong running game last week. This Jets team is physical and won't have a problem pushing the Raiders around. Oakland has gotten outgained in both of its games and was fortunate to get a win in Denver in Week 1. They should be 0-2. This team collaposed last week in Buffalo and gave away that game in the second half. If they can be outplayed like that and shoot themselves in the foot like that against a bad Buffalo team they will get beaten by a good Jets team. The Jets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games and this team is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Raiders have been one of the worst bets in football for a decade and I don't think anything has changed. The Raiders are just 5-21-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less.



ARIZONA AND GREEN BAY ARE 411 PLAYS AKA 99 SYSTEM PLAYS