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Free Play Monday
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Free Play Monday
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Today's MLB Picks
Texas at Tampa Bay
The Rays look to build on their 7-1 record on David Price's last 8 Monday starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, OCTOBER 3
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. ESTGame 967-968: Texas at Tampa Bay (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.613; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.109
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); UnderGame 969-970: NY Yankees at Detroit (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.955; Detroit (Verlander) 15.744
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+110); OverComment
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FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Monday
Play Texas (+125) over Tampa Bay (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 5:00 PM EST
Texas has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won 13 of the last 18 games when playing on a Monday. Texas has won 39 of the last 55 games when batting .290 or better over the last twenty games and they have also won 50 of the last 80 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
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Play Detroit (-125) over New York Yankees (Bonus)Comment
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Mike Anthony
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - Oct 3, 2011 5:00 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -135 Tampa Bay Rays Play Title: Free Pick
In these short series you gotta like the Rays chances with their ace on the hill in game 3. David Price will start for the Rays. Price had a up and down year with a 12-13 record but decent 3.49 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Price had a rough outing last time out against the Yankees, and you can expect him to bounce back big here on Monday afternoon. PLAY THE TB RAYS in the early 5pm EST start.Comment
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TheSportsCapper.com Football
Monday
100* Play Tampa Bay (-10) over Indianapolis (NFL TOP PLAY)*
Tampa Bay has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games coming off a home game and they have also covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games after allowing 30 or less rushing yards in their last game. Indianapolis has lost 6 of the last 7 games as an underdog and they are only averaging 15 points a game on offense this season.
TheSportsCapper Baseball Plays
50* Play Texas (+125) over Texas (TOP BASEBALL PLAY) 5:00 PM EST
Colby Lewis has won 11 of the last 17 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 2-0 vs. Tampa Bay over his career with an ERA of 3.27.
50* Play Detroit (-125) over New York (TOP BASEBALL PLAY) 8:30 PM EST
Detroit has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 41 of the last 58 games as a favorite of -125 to -175. Detroit has won 16 of the last 21 games when batting .315 or better over the last five games and they have also won 59 of the last 96 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Comment
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JIM FEIST
10* NFL* Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Colts (0-3 SU/1-2 ATS) have even more problems than just QB Peyton Manning's neck. Veteran QB Kerry Collins (2 TDs, 1 INTs) hasn't been the answer and got a concussion Sunday, nor has Curtis Painter, who was forced in Sunday night in a 23-20 home loss to Pittsburgh. Curtis Painter will make his first NFL start at quarterback for the Colts at Tampa Bay on Monday night. Kerry Collins is still recovering after suffering concussion-like symptoms last Sunday against Pittsburgh, and his status is uncertain for Monday's game. The Colts scrapped and played hard, but in the end they were outgained 408-241 and allowed 341 yards passing. The final Colts QB numbers: 18-for-40 for 153 yards. And that's in a league when everybody is throwing for 300-plus. This offensive line is bad and hurting: RG Ryan Diem and DT Fili Moala both have ankle injuries. The defense looks thin. Defending NFL rushing champion Arian Foster didn't play because of a hamstring injury, but Houston rushed for 167 yards on two touchdowns and Cleveland ran for 106 yards. Beyond the starters, Colts defensive backs are mostly unproven. Tampa Bay (2-1 SU/ATS) has a young QB in Josh Freeman (2 TDs, 4 INTs) and invested heavily in what they hope will be a strong offensive line. That line was awful in a 27-20 home loss to Detroit, with just 56 yards rushing, but got 105 yards rushing (5.5 ypc) in an impressive 24-20 comeback win at Minnesota, down 17-0 at the half. Still, Tampa Bay QB Josh Freeman has been sacked only once in 79 attempts this season. They come off a 16-13 home win over Atlanta, so this offense is conservative, like last season. Freeman completed 22 of 32 passes but for just 180 yards with 2 picks, so it's a short passing/running offense. Tampa Bay posted only 26 sacks last season, prompting the Bucs to choose Clayborn and Bowers with their first two draft picks. I don't see the Colts getting many points here against a decent Bucs defense. The Bucs are conservative on offense, but should have plenty to cover this line on Monday Night against a hurting Colts club.Comment
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JOHN RYAN
25* Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) - 8:30 PM EDT
Pick: Point Spread: -10.0/-110 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game set to start at 8:20 PM ET on Monday Night Football. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Tampa bay will win this game by 11 or more points. The Colts were a big winner for me last week against the Steelers, but I just do not see them putting on another massive effort this week. Teams, who play against the very physical style of the Steelers are just 23-40 ATS in the next contest. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-5 ATS for 82.1% winners since 1983. Play on favorites off a home win against a division rival when playing on Monday night. More impressive is that 19 of these plays or 70% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. The system has lost just once since 2000 sporting an incredible 11-1 ATS mark for 92% ATS winners. Unlike last week where the Colts defensive front was able to stymie the Steeler running game, the sim shows a very high probability that the Bucs will gain 125 to 150 rushing yards in this game. TB is a solid 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards since 1992. TB is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Moreover, the Colts already without Manning and Kerry Collins dealing with concussion-like symptoms from last Sunday’s Steelers game, the Colts decided Friday to give Curtis Painter his first NFL start with Dan Orlovsky as his backup. Last Sunday Dallas Clark was used as a blocking TE instead of the elite receiver he has been for his career. One formation the Colts may use is a two TE set with Brody Eldridge used to block and then get Clark out in the slot manned up against a linebacker. That may work, but TB will not have to blitz to get pressure on Painter. If TB was forced to blitz then this Clark matchup would very significant. No doubt in my mind the Bucs will attack the Colts defense between the tackles. This negates the speed on the Colts perimeter defense and will force them to bring safety help to stop the run. As I so often say, when the safety(s) are in the box, then the play action pass in man coverage is a high percentage play with big play potential. The Colts play action will not work given that the Bucs may blitz only a handful of times in this game. Take the Bucs.Comment
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