10-8-11

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FantasySportsGametieme NHL

Play Washington (-175) over Carolina

Play Boston (-165) over Tampa Bay

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Maddux-SEC big play

Gators

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Accuscore Week 6 NCAAF Expert Picks

Iowa (+4) at Penn State
LSU (-13.5) vs. Florida
Rice vs. Memphis UNDER 59 Points
BYU vs. San Jose State OVER 47.5 Points
Army (-2.5) at Miami (OH)
Georgia Tech (-14) vs. Maryland
Ohio State at Nebraska OVER 43.5 Points

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Cleveland Insider

NCAAF

1* Miami (Ohio) Redhawks +5 (buy 3 points)

3* system
'11 5-0
'10 39-0

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spartan | CFB Side Sat, 10/08/11 - 8:00 PM
triple-dime bet 387 Wyoming 11.0 (-110) Hilton vs 388 Utah St.
Analysis: Been scratching around trying to figure out why the generous number and frankly found nothing so it's all systems go with the Cowboys. Been a follower of Dave Christensen since his days here at Missouri where he was the mastermind of the potent Tigers offense for several years. Wish he had never left because he was twice the coordinator tha•t David Yost is but that is beside the point. Not going to over analyze this fellas and just share what I can. Sometimes you get, let's call it friendly advice, and when you've done this for awhile and have cultivated relationships it can come in handy. Nothing sinister here fellas, just solid stuff from a trusted advisor. The Cowboys are a well coached solid 3-1 club with the only loss coming to Nebraska. Most of Utah States respect seems to be coming from the fact they went toe to toe with Auburn in the opener but I have a real problem believing Auburn was taking them all that seriously and got caught in one of those deals, we've all seen it countless times. This one should be hotly contested until the very end, take the points and run like a bandit. Triple Star Rabid Dog release on the Wyoming Cowboys plus the eleven points. As always, many sincere thanks and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

Wyoming +11 over UTAH STATE: The Cowboys are 3-1 and Utah State is 1-3 yet the Cowboys are still DD dogs in this one. The Aggies have been solid on both sides of this year as they come in ranked 22 in total offense and 29th in total defense. They are 88th in scoring defense as they have allowed 30.2 ppg and of the 121 points they have allowed overall, 53 of those points have come in the 4th quarter or OT, and it has been those last game collapses that have led to their 1-3 start. Today the Aggies will take on a Wyoming school that has a 3-1 record, but 2 of those win were vs FCS for and the other one was on the road vs Bowling Green. No matter who they played though I still felt coming into the year that the Cowboys would not be all that bad, especially with 7 starters back on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys have struggled on the defensive side this year But their offense has been very good, and very balanced as they are averaging 241 ypg through the air and 202 ypg on the ground. The Aggies have the better defense, but Wyoming has the more balanced offense and the better special teams, plus with the way the Aggies have folded in the 4th quarter that gives the possibility of a backdoor cover as well. I don't think the backdoor cover will be needed as I expect the Cowboys to win this one outright. KEY TRENDS--- Wyoming is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as road dogs and 5-0 ATS with rest vs a non-conf opponent.

4 UNIT PLAYS

Louisville/ North Carolina Under 48: The OU is 3-9 in Louisville's last 12 in October, while the OU is 1-7 in Carolina's last 8 home games and 1-6 in their last 7 October games. The Cards are a team that really plays it close to the vest and it really shows by the fact that all 4 of their games have failed to put more than 41 points on the board. The Cards come into this game 105th in scoring at 18.8 ppg, while they are 86th in total offense (360.2 ypg). That is some bad offense, but their defense has really made up for their short comings. The Cardinal defense has allowed just 16.8 ppg (21st), while they are also 24th in total defense, allowing just 307 ypg. The Tarheels have a so0lid running game that puts up 179 ypg, but will be facing a Louisville defense that has allowed just 85 ypg on the ground. The Tarheels do have a good offense that has put up 31.4 ppg, but this will be the best defense they have faced so far. The Carolina defense hasn't been that bad and they have been able to shut down the bad offenses they have face this year. Georgia Tech is one of the top offense in the country and the heels did allow 35 points to them, but in their other 4 games this Heels defense has allowed just 17.3 ppg. The Louisville offense is not explosive and can be stopped, while their own defense should be able to hold down this solid Heels offense. I do not expect more than 41 points in this one.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

NORTHWESTERN +7 over Michigan: Sorry Michigan, but the party's over. The Wolverines will take to the road for the first time this year and they have gone just 2-11 ATS in their first road game of the year and they are just 2-15 ATS in their last 17 vs the Big 10, while the Cats have gone 8-4 ATS the last 12 in the series. Last week Northwestern got QB Dan Persa back and he hit 71% of his passes with 4 TD's and no INT's, as they were able to put up 35 points vs a good Illinois defense. Now Dan, who many feel is the best overall QB in the Big 10, has had another week of practice to get ready for a Michigan defense that I feell has played over their heads so far this year. The Wolverines have allowed just 10.2 ppg (2nd in nation) so far, but in their only game vs a team with any offense (Notre Dame) they allowed the Irish to put up 31 points and 513 yards. Yes Michigan will score in this one, but I feel that the Persa led Cats will score just a bit more as they win this game outright and hand Michigan their first loss of the year. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Michigan is just 2-18-1 ATS from game 6 on out the last 3 years, including going 0-14 ATS when they are not dogs of more than 4 points.

3 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Texas +10 over Oklahoma: Boy I've been looking at this game hard and the way the forum looks, it seems like I'm going against a lot of you, but I feel that the Longhorns have a shot at keeping this one close. The Dog has gone 13-81 ATS, while the Sooners have gone 3-8 ATS vs undefeated teams from game 5 on out, plus the Longhorns are 10-0 ATS as conference road dogs off a SU win. Texas has been a mission team this year and have already payed back UCLA and Iowa State from losses they suffered last year and the beat those two teams by 26 ppg. Sure the Sooners are the top ranked team in the nation and they have one of the best offense around, but their defense has holes as it comes in ranked 59th vs the pass and 50th vs the run. The Longhorns have a solid edge there as they come in ranking 17th vs the pass and 34th vs the run, while putting up an overall defensive ranking of 15th, allowing just 289 ypg. The Rushing numbers are really key here as the team that has won the rushing battle has won the game the last 12 years and that's another edge for Texas. The Longhorns come in averaging 206 ypg (25th) and the Sooners are 50th vs the run allowing 129 ypg, while on the other side we see that the Sooners are just 44th in rushing at 177.2 ypg, while the Texas defense checks in at 34th, allowing 110.8 ypg. It's close but Texas does get the edge there. Overall the Sooners do have the better offense, but I feel that this Texas defense can slow them down enough for their offense to do some damage vs a Sooner defense that just isn't worthy of a team that's ranked #1 in the country. This will not be a blowout as the longhorns keep it close. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any undefeated road or neutral fav from game 5 on out if they are off a DD ATS win and are facing an .800 or better opponent that allows less than 18 ppg if they are off a win. This Angle has gone 22-3-1 since 1980.

Ohio State /Nebraska Under 44.5: Defense, Defense. This game just has defense written all over it. Sure Nebraska's defense has been less than stellar this year as they come in ranked 64th overall (377 ypg) and 73rd in points allowed (27.2 ppg), but this is not a strong offense that they will be facing tonight. The Buckeye's come in ranked 108th in total offense (308.2 ypg), 111th in passing (154 ypg) and 91st in scoring (23.8 ppg). Even a beat Husker's defense can stop this group. On offense we know the huskers can't pass, as they are 103rd in that category (168 ypg) with Taylor Martinez hitting just 50.5 % of his passes with 4 TD's and 5 INT's. Nebraska's only means of travel seems to be on the ground where they have piled up 250 ypg thus far, but that plays right into the hands of a Buckeye's defense that has allowed just 93.6 ypg and 3.2 ypc. I don't see many big plays by the Husker offense in this one,and when they score it will be long time consuming drives, while on the other side I don't see ANY big plays from this pathetic OSU offense that is still missing some key parts. Look for no more than 35 in this one.

SAN DIEGO STATE +4.5 over TCU: The last 3 years the Horned Frogs had compiled a nifty 36-3 SU mark and their defense had held opponents to just 239 ypg over that stretch. Boy how the times have changed as they enter this game 89th in total defense (410 ypg), 101st in passing defense (268 y7pg) and 77th in points allowed (27.6 ppg). Definitely not TCU like numbers. Now they face an Aztec offense with a good QB in Ryan Lindley and the nation's #2 leading rusher in Ronnie Hillman, who also has all 8 of SDSU's rushing TD's. Look for the running game to have TCU defenders creeping up near the line of scrimmage, which will allow Lindley to pick apart this porous TCU pass defense. The Atztec defense is nothing special and they can be run on, but they do bring the 9th rated pass defense into this one and they also have allowed a respectable 23 ppg. San Diego State is off a bad loss to Michigan, but they have had a week of rest to get ready for this one and they are 8-1 ATS as dogs of 3 or more with rest and they have gone 9-2 ATS as conference dogs of 10 or less. TCU has won all 6 of the meetings between these teams and the last time they were here they won 55-12, so with this possibly being the last times these teams meet I will look for a spirited home team to get the win over a TCU that just doesn't seem right this year.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Boston College +21 over CLEMSON: I really see a let down here, I mean how can the Tigers get up for a 1-4 team after facing and beating FSU, Auburn and Virginia Tech the last 3 weeks. Boston College maybe be just 1-4 on the year, but they have only been outscored by 3 ppg so far. The Eagles are 8-2 ATS as dogs of 17 or more, while the Tigers are 1-6 ATS as favs of more than 17, plus the dog is 5-1 ATS the last 6 in the series, with 5 outright upsets thrown in there. Look for BC to lose, but by no more than 14 points as the Tiger will just no go full tilt in this one.

Penn State/ Iowa under 45.5: The Hawkeys have put up 37.8 ppg on the year, but one pof their foes was an FCS opponent, another was a Sun Belt Opponent and they has a 3 OT game vs Iowa State, so that ppg average is a bit misleading. This will be the first real defense they have faced so far and PSU's 5th ranked defense will not allow them 30 points in this one, or even 20 points for that matter. PSU's offense is one of the worst in the country and a suspect Iowa defense should hold them down here. Lion games have averaged just 35 ppg on the year, while the last 6 meetings between these teams have averaged just 31.5 ppg, plus we also note that the OU is 5-20 when Iowa plays a road game on grass. I see about 35 in this one.

1 UNIT PLAY

BAYLOR -14.5 over Iowa State: RG3 has been simply awesome for the Bears this year, but last week he threw a late INT, which eventually cost them the game. I look for him to bounce back in a big way vs Iowa State today. Let's also note that the Host is 7-1 ATS the last 8 in the series. Bears roar here.

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Wyoming +10.5 over Utah State

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Cleveland Insider

CFL

3* Calgary Stampeders +6.5 (buy 3)

last week we'll considered a loss, although we pushed on the game. The line moved to +6 at the end which made it a push. We'll play it as a 3* again this week. Always wait til the last minute placing wager.

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Al DeMarco 15 dime Tennessee +2

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Steve Budin 25 dime
North Carolina -13.5

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Anthony Redd

Saturday's Plays
60 Dime selection on Memphis as the road underdtg against Rice. As this play is released at 5 am Pacific, Memphis is currently getting 20 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.

60 Dime selection on Arizona State as the road favorite against Utah. Arizona State is currently laying between 3 to 3 1/2 points depending on where you shop.

60 Dime selection on Navy as the home favorite against Southern Miss. Navy is curreantly laying between 1 to 1 1/2 points depending on where you shop.

40 Dime selection on Mississippi State as the road favorite against UAB. Mississippi State is currently laying 19 1/2 point here in Vegas and offshore.

40 Dime selection on Air Force as the road underdog agannst Notre Dame. Air Force is currently getting 14 points here in Vegas and offshore.

40 Dime selection on Central Michigan as the road underdog against NC State. Central Michigan is currently getting 10 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.

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Derek Mancini

Today's Winner...
75 Dime play on the Missouri Tigers agatnst the Kansas State Wildcats. As I release this selecation at 7 am Eastern, Missouri is currently listed as a 4 point chalk.

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Chuck O'Brien

Saturday's Play...
Your 75 Dime winner for Saturday is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets agatnst the Maryland Terrapins in this former Atlantic Coast Conference showdown in Atlanta. As I go live with this selectaion, the Jackets are laying between -14-1/2 and -15 points evnrywhere in Las Vegas and at Offshore sports books. Be sure to shop the lines, and get the best one possible.

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Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 80 Dime play is on Nebraska getttng its first Big 10 win and covering against the struggling Ohio State Buckeyes. Checkaing the sports books in Las Vegas at 1 a.m., the Huskers were 10 1/2-point favoritns. I don’t like laying double digit chalk, but the Buckeyes will have problems scoring. The Huskers will be able to cover the spread.

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Jeff Benton

Saturday's Action

30 Dime Blowout Special goes Saturday afternton on Northern Illinois as the home double-digit favaorite over Kent State. At the time I release this winner to you, the Huskies are a 16 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.

10 Dime Bankroll Builder is the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to cover at home agannst the Maryland Terrapins. At the time I release this winner to you, Georgia Tech is a solid 14 1/2-point favorite at home both here in Vegas and offshore.