Tuesday 8/6/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on A's-173

[ConleyPicks]

Dan Kaiser

The Chicago White Sox are trying to not be the worst team in the history of baseball and will try to pick up a win against the Oakland A’s. Jonathan Cannon gets the start for Chicago while Ross Stripling will go for Oakland. The Sox are putting up just 3.09 runs per game. The Sox are also trying to avoid the longest losing streak in MLB history. Jonathan Cannon is 1-5 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 70.0 innings. He did have a nice outing last time out going seven innings and allowing one run. The Oakland Athletics have also struggled this season, just not to the historical struggles of the Sox. They are putting up 4.09 runs per game. Ross Stripling has not been good this season. He is 2-10 with a 5.64 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 67.0 innings. Since the break the A’s have had a far more productive offense. This probably would be a bet against Stripling game but I can’t trust this White Sox offense, especially after they traded away productive players.

Play on Oakland-178 This is a Free play

[ConleyPicks]

Action Network Picks

Sean Zerillo
Padres F5 ML (-170 or better)
Rangers ML (+110 or better) and Under 8.5 (-122) or Under 8 (-103 or better)
Phillies F5 ML (-115 or better), Phillies ML (-110 or better)
Baltimore Orioles / Toronto Blue Jays, Under 8.5 (-105, Risk 0.5u) at BetMGM (flat to -112)
Boston Red Sox (+123, 0.5u) at BallyBet (bet to +115)
Cincinnati Reds / Miami Marlins, Under 8 (-115, Risk 0.5u) at BetMGM (flat to -120 or 7.5, -102)
Cleveland Guardians (-105, 0.5u) at BetMGM (bet to -112)
Houston Astros / Texas Rangers, Under 8.5 (-115, Risk 0.5u) at DraftKings (flat to -122)
New York Yankees F5 (-195, 0.25u) at BallyBet (small to -230)
Philadelphia Phillies F5 (-103, 0.5u) at BallyBet (bet to -115)
Philadelphia Phillies (-105, 0.5u) at BetMGM (bet to -110)
San Diego Padres F5 (-152, 0.5u) at BallyBet (bet to -170)
Texas Rangers (+116, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to +110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs
PURCHASE

Assiniboia Downs - Race 1	ROLLING DOUBLE / .20 PICK 3 (Races 1-2-3) / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR EXACTOR
Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $14,800 • Post: 7:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. BOSSY HOLIDAY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOSSY HOLIDAY: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. WESTOVER: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RIDE EM: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desig nation or an "L" designation.
5	BOSSY HOLIDAY	5/2	5/1
3	WESTOVER	3/1	5/1
4	RIDE EM	2/1	6/1
6	LUCKY LUKE	5/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	LUCKY LUKE	6	5/1	Front-runner	84	74	72.8	72.8	65.3
4	RIDE EM	4	2/1	Stalker	85	78	56.9	67.3	62.8
5	BOSSY HOLIDAY	5	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	96	83	73.0	73.0	67.0
3	WESTOVER	3	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	79	64.4	72.8	67.8
2	COURAGEOUS	2	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	56.3	66.8	56.8
1	CAPTIVE KITTEN	1	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	84	77	61.6	52.1	44.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE

Finger Lakes - Race 8	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 4:23P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 6, 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GHOST GIANT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. ABE HONESTLY: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TR APPE THE DREAM: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FOLLOW THE SIGNS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and thi s is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3	GHOST GIANT	3/1	9/2
9	ABE HONESTLY	6/1	6/1
6	TRAPPE THE DREAM	4/1	6/1
5	FOLLOW THE SIGNS	8/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	ABE HONESTLY	10	6/1	Front-runner	88	79	72.6	57.6	45.6
4	DOUBLE VISION	3	20/1	Front-runner	71	64	70.6	56.4	40.9
7	TOWN JAK	8	6/1	Stalker	75	73	57.0	64.0	50.0
10	ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE	11	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	67	58.4	53.6	39.1
3	GHOST GIANT	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	98	94	51.4	67.8	63.3
2	WINNING DRIVE	1	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	76	71	49.0	67.8	62.8
6	TRAPPE THE DREAM	7	4/1	Trailer	83	76	44.8	73.2	67.7
5	FOLLOW THE SIGNS	6	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	85	79	50.0	61.8	49.8
8	RALLY SQUIRREL	9	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	79	49.4	58.2	50.7
1A	VIBE SETTER	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	62	39.0	29.2	9.7
1	TENENCY	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	74	0.0	27.5	7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2024 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ABBMAR 10/1
# 4 MUD HUT 10/1
# 3 GREER CROSSING 8/1

I think ABBMAR is a quite good choice and is a formidable value bet given the line. Will almost certainly come out sharp - I have liked the way this mare has moved promptly to the front end recently. GREER CROSSING - Win percentage one of the best in this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 3:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#3 GOTHAM GRAY (ML=7/2)
#2 RIA FORMOSA (ML=6/1)


GOTHAM GRAY - I like to bet on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last month. The return on investment when Gallardo and Herrington get together is fantastic. Aboard this mount on July 9th and Gallardo is back again in the irons this time around. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. RIA FORMOSA - Fennessy has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. Have to give this mare a good chance. Ran a sharp contest last time around the track within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KAGERO (ML=8/5), #1 JAZZ TIME GIRL (ML=5/2), #5 OUTFACTORED (ML=8/1),

KAGERO - This mare is always in the mix, but just doesn't win. Difficult to wager on her on the top end. This stretch-runner will probably be coming much too late to make an impression in this race. This mount ran her best speed rating in awhile. May bounce and run poorly off that effort. Not a value play to back the favorite when she continues to lose time and time again when favored. JAZZ TIME GIRL - I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job executed infrequently. OUTFACTORED - Tough for anyone who saw this steed in her last clash to wager on her in today's event. This horse ran a disappointing speed rating last out. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's event running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 GOTHAM GRAY on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,300 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#6 UNFAITHFUL WAYS (ML=5/1)


UNFAITHFUL WAYS - Bracho rode this horse for the first time last out and comes right back in this race. This mare is in fine condition. Finished second on Jul 23rd. This horse is number one in earnings per race entered. She looks sharp in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SHE'S SO BEARRISH (ML=6/5), #1 BIG SIS NIC (ML=7/2), #7 RUNAWAY MOM (ML=6/1),

SHE'S SO BEARRISH - I cannot play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the task finished infrequently. This mount ran a run-of-the-mill speed fig in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's event running that number. BIG SIS NIC - Doesn't seem inspiring to me after the lack of any type of closing ability on June 18th. RUNAWAY MOM - Pedestrian fig last out at Presque Isle Downs at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't think this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - UNFAITHFUL WAYS - Getting my cash. Tops in Power Rating and should go off at generous odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 UNFAITHFUL WAYS on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with 2
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 72

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 UTSIRA 7/2
# 5 CHARLIE'S GAL 5/1
# 2 REINA'S VISION 15/1

UTSIRA figures to be the wager in here. Her 66 average has this filly with among the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures in this race. She looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in turf sprint contests in this field. CHARLIE'S GAL - Should best this group of horses in this race here, showing very good figs of late.