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Free Play Thursday
NY Islanders +130
Free Play Thursday
NY Islanders +130
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Hondo
Hondo failed classically in the Fall Classic opener, getting nipped with the Rangers to raise the debt to a chubby 3,255 pendletons.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch is stickin' with 'em 20 units on Lewis and the Rangers. Also, he'll try another 20 on UCF over UAB, just because of the huge edge the Knights have with exNotre Dame legend George O'Leary at the helm.Comment
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David Banks
UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats
ESPN’s Thursday night college football telecast takes us to Arizona Stadium for another Pac-12 battle between the UCLA Bruins (3-3, 1-5 ATS) and the Arizona Wildcats (1-5, 2-4 ATS); kick-off for this divisional tussle is set for 9:00 ET and can be seen live on ESPN, ESPN 3D and ESPN3.com.
UCLA went into its off week with a bit of momentum by toppling the Washington State Cougars 28-25, but failed to cover the closing four-point spread. The win evened head coach Rick Neuheisel’s squad at 3-3 SU for the year, but dropped them to a very poor 1-5 against the closing number. The Bruins have ventured away from the Rose Bowl three times to date going 1-2 SU & ATS with losses to Houston and Stanford to go along with a win against Oregon State. The Bruins have failed to cover each of their L/6 following their bye, but they still have plenty to play for currently sitting in 3rd place within the Pac-12 South with games still remaining against both USC and Arizona State.
After going 7-6 SU and qualifying for a bowl game for the third straight season a year ago, the Wildcats poor start to their 2011-12 campaign wasn’t enough to allow former head coach Mike Stoops to hold onto his job. So with the Stoops era over in Tucson, U of A will look to finish the season out on a high starting with tonight’s home tussle in the desert. It could all start with a bang tonight with the Wildcats holding extreme offensive advantages with the Bruins’ defense getting gouged to the tune of 413.3 YPG (#91) while the Wildcats offense has been the only impressive component of Arizona’s arsenal to date; especially through the air where QB Nick Foles has lit opposing defenses up for an average of 382.2 YPG (#3).
Arizona has won and covered each of these conference rivals L/4 meetings as favorites which includes last year’s 29-21 win as 7.5-point chalk in Los Angeles. The home team has covered six of the L/8 overall meetings with the ‘over’ playing out to a 4-3-1 tally during that stretch. UCLA has dropped each of its L/3 trips to Tucson by an average of nearly 20 PPG, but the Wildcats have lost and failed to cover each of their L/2 under the Thursday night lights. Arizona has covered eight of its L/11 following its bye, but stands just 3-12 ATS the L/15 times it was favored at home in the 3.5-10 point range.
PICK: UCLA/ARIZONA OVERComment
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Safestwagering
2011 Record (31-16) both NFL & NCAAF
The Knights vs The Blazers
I discussed on Tuesday that I wasn't that impressed with Central Florida, but just like in
horse racing, it depends who you're racing against. UAB has issues that need to be discussed.
Tonight The Blazers, will be without their leading rusher, Pat Shed. But..... he hasn't been that
productive, and I am not sure that his replacement, Greg Franklin, is much different.
UAB ranks 111th in total defense, and that's against mediocre competition.
Central Florida almost beat BYU and just missed the cover against Marshall because
they held the ball in the 2nd half on a water logged field. The Knights have an adequate pass defense that failed against SMU last week, while UAB only averages 209 passing yards/gm.
Tonight's line opened with UCF -14, has moved to -16, and should settle around -15.5.
The Knights are 0-4 ATS while The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. This gives
the UAB line a little value.
What pushes the game in favor of Central Florida ?
1) A bounce back from last week, with better efforts from Special Teams and Defense.
2) A QB controversy. Starter Jeff Godfrey has a run first mentality. His backup, Blake Bortles,
is more of a prototypical quarterback, and his coach may want to test him tonight.
3) UAB coach Callaway, is 15-38, and may be on his way out the door.
Take The Central Florida Knights -15.5Comment
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Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
POWER ANGLE PLAY
UCF -16 over UAB: UAB is is winless on the year yet they have won 4 in a row ATS, still I don't feel they will be able to hang with the Knights here. UAB has one of the worst offense in the nation, as they are 106th overall (313 ypg) and 117th in scoring, putting up just 13.2 ppg. They have some really bad offensive numbers all around and tonight will be facing on of the best defenses in the Nation. UCF checks in with the 3rd rated defense in the Nation, allowing just 221.3 ypg and 14.7 ppg, plus they are ranked in the top 10 in rushing defense, passing defense and yards per play against. This is a very balanced defense and its hard to get anything off of them and I don't see this pathetic UAB offense getting more than 10 points here. As bad as this offense is, there defense is even worse. The Blazers check in at 118th over, allowing 514 ypg and 102nd in points allowed at 33 ppg. They are also ranked in defensive passing and 113th in rushing. This is an overall bad defense and even though the Knights possess an average offense I don't see how they won't be able to unload on this bad Blazers defense here. The Knights are off a bad loss last week to the mustangs so they will be fully focused and in bounce back mode here. I see at least a 21 point win by the Knights here, thanks mainly to a defense that won't allow more than 7 points in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any road team after going under the toatl by 35 points in their last 5 games combined and they have a winning pct of 45 to 55. This play has gone 28-4 the last 5 years.
Arizona/ UCLA Under 62: The last 5 times these teams have met there hasn't been a game score more than 61 points, while the OU is 8-24-1 in UCLA's last 33 conference games. The Bruins defense has been bad this year, ranking 91st overall (413 ypg) and 97th in points allowed (32.2 ppg), plus they are 77th in passing defense, allowing 231.8 ypg and they have allowed teams to connect on 68% of their passes and only 5 other teams in the FBS have a worst % against. Now UCLA knows that they can't contain Nick Foles with their defense, who is second in the nation in passing, so they will look to use their 30th ranked ground game (194.5 ypg) to keep Foles off the field and that will eat clock. It's a good thing also that Arizona is 99th vs the run this year, so it should be easy for UCLA to use that ground game here. The Arizona defense, on the surface looks bad, but a closer look shows that they have taken on 3 of the top 5 scoring offenses and tonight they will be taking on a mediocre at best UCLA offense that was forced to go back to Prince after Brehaut broke his leg last time out. Neither defense is any good, that's true, but I expect UCLA to run a lot, while the Arizona defense will play it's best game of the year. I feel 62 is to high here and really see this one landing no higher than 54.
1 UNIT PLAY
ARIZONA -4 over UCLA: I do expect some stops in this one keeping the score down a bit, but Arizona will grab more of those stops as a weak UCLA offense will just not put enough points on the board to keep this one close. Arizona by 10+Comment
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Today's NHL Picks
Chicago at Colorado
The Avalanche look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Colorado is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 1-2: Montreal at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.553; Pittsburgh 11.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 3-4: Washington at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 13.146; Philadelphia 12.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); OverGame 5-6: Toronto at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.531; Boston 11.946
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); OverGame 7-8: Winnipeg at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.547; Ottawa 9.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+110); UnderGame 9-10: NY Islanders at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.927; Tampa Bay 11.128
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); OverGame 11-12: Buffalo at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.809; Florida 11.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-140); UnderGame 13-14: Chicago at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.484; Colorado 13.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); OverGame 15-16: NY Rangers at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.100; Calgary 11.582
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105); UnderGame 17-18: Minnesota at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.483; Edmonton 11.043
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-120); UnderGame 19-20: Nashville at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.462; Vancouver 11.281
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+150); OverGame 21-22: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.250; Phoenix 12.215
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+105); OverComment
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