Saturday 11/2/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**rocky57** · 10-30-2024, 12:29 PM

Teddy Covers CFB Oregon -15

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2024, 06:21 AM

Race of the Week: Del Mar's Goldikova | Saturday, 11/2

October 30, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
The 1/ST Breders' Cup Wager Guide has you blanketed with great coverage of this weekend's 14 championship races at Del Mar, including my picks for the Juvenile Fillies Turf and Turf Sprint. We'll use this space to identify a key undercard play to get your Breeders' Cup Saturday off to a fast start.

Don't forget that horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can play in the $20,000 Exacta-Thon promotion for Friday and Saturday full-card at Del Mar. It's free and could add significantly to your winnings.

Field Depth:
ASPEN GROVE is a Grade 1 winner, while SACRED WISH, FLUFFY SOCKS and KATHMANDU are Grade 1-placed. Graded/Group stakes winners include MOUFFY, NADETTE, RAQIYA and UNCORKED. European raider KATHMANDU arguably has kept the best company lines, while FLUFFY SOCKS could get that consideration among the Americans.

Pace:
OMAHA GIRL may be the lone US runner committed to the front, though SACRED WISH and UNCORKED have some ability to press. KATHMANDU has shown pacemaking ability overseas and should be prominent in a race that would seem to favor a filly or mare near the front.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-ASPEN GROVE: Three close calls in stakes this year for the '23 Grade 1 Belmont Oaks Invitational winner as she seeks a signature victory at 4. Solid try at Santa Anita last out shows she can handle top of ground running like Del Mar. Should be well-positioned and in contention.

#2-SACRED WISH: Aggressive jockey Paco Lopez likely puts this one right into the mix from post 2 and it would be no shock if she leads them early. Her Monmouth efforts were solid over a course not far different than Del Mar.

#3-FLUFFY SOCKS: Fourth Del Mar road trip for 6-year-old who has never run a bad one there (won 2020 Jimmy Durante, third '21 Del Mar Oaks, second '23 Martriarch). Deep-closing style may not get a fleet pace set-up, which is a concern and her only win in her last 11 starts was on a marsh of a course Preakness Day at Pimlico.

#4-MOUFFY: East coaster tries Del Mar for the first time, but was rock-solid twice at Santa Anita this past winter. Lacks any sort of early speed, which could work against her in this race set-up, but she's classy and capable.

#5-FUENTE OVEJUNA: Inconsistent and well-traveled sort hasn't had much success in 3 Del Mar bids, though was second at 15-1 in the Yellow Ribbon. That 0-9 record in turf miles stands out in the negative.

#6-OMAHA GIRL: 3-year-old filly was off the board in Del Mar's San Clemente at long odds this summer and now faces tougher older fillies and mares. Trainer George Papaprodromou has been red-hot and she'll show some speed for a bit.

#7-LUCKY GIRL: Trainer Phil D'Amato has won the Goldikova Stakes 2 of the last 3 years and looks for more with this Mabee Stakes runner-up from summer. The kicker is that effort was her only in-the-money finish in 7 tries at Del Mar. Mike Smith rode her that day and returns after a fading performance at Santa Anita under Tyler Baze.

#8-NADETTE: From-the-clouds closer easily has the best BRIS late pace figures in this field if the race is to be won from off the pace. Veteran horseman Neil Drysdale has campaigned her all over the country, but her lone Del Mar start was a solid third a year ago vs. lesser foes. Stacks up very similar with Goldikova entrant and past rival Mouffy.

#9-KATHMANDU: The Brian Meehan barn knows Breeders' Cup success, winning the turf with Red Rocks and Dangerous Midge, and he'll have Jayarebe as one of the favorites later Saturday. But French 1000 Guineas runner-up KATHMANDU could play a lot of the bills for this road trip if she brings her best form. She has set the pace overseas in multiple starts and will be dangerous without much speed involved here.

#10-RAQIYA: Shrewd of trainer Owen Burrows to turn to Frankie Dettori to pilot his first-ever US starter. The former Sir Michael Stoute assistant brings this 3-year-old filly stateside after a DQ victory at Goodwood in the Grade 3 Oak Tree. She's a strong 4-for-7 lifetime but hasn't shown the same early foot that Kathmandu when comparing the Euros. Their Timeform Ratings are both very consistent and evenly matched, however.

#11-UNCORKED: Since coming to Phil D'Amato's barn this year, she's won the G3 Royal Heroine at Santa Anita and a hard-fought second in Del Mar's Yellow Ribbon among 4 inconsistent runs. Midpack running style will be challenged with a likely wide trip here from the outer draw.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
NADETTE is 10 for her last 11 in the superfecta and will come with a run for a share.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
MOUFFY at 10-1 morning line has a solid 5: 2-2-0 turf mile mark and should like the firm going.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$40 exacta box KATHMANDU and RAQIYA ($80). $10 exacta part-wheel KATHMANDU, RAQIYA over NADETTE ($20).

**rocky57** · 10-31-2024, 11:59 AM

Marco D'Angelo CFB
Syracuse +4
Nebraska -6

**rocky57** · 10-31-2024, 02:43 PM

Colin CFB
Ohio State/Penn State Under 46.5
Nebraska -6
Washington +2.5

JMac CFB
Ohio State -3.5
Minnesota -3
Michigan State +7.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:52 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 11/2/24

November 2, 2024

Jeff Siegel’s Breeders’ Cup “What You Need to Know”
Saturday, November 2, 2024
Del Mar

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 4: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Valva
Back-ups: 9-Ways and Means
Toss Ins: none

Forecast: The pace should be relatively quick in this year’s edition of the BC Filly & Mare Sprint, so let’s go the trip handicapping route and expect Valva to draft into a comfortable second flight early position and then have every chance to go after the leaders when called up at the head of the lane. Yesterday, the track wasn’t particularly kind to speed (except in the BC Juvenile in which the early splits were pedestrian), so this seven furlong specialist appears to have much in her favor. She shows z healthy work tab for her first start since late August and is fast enough on pure numbers to win with her best effort. Ways and Means is the likely favorite and one to beat. She projects to be a pace stalker outside of Society but we wonder how hard she’ll have to work to get by when the pressure is turned on. Her last two wins were accomplished over a wet track, and she’s beaten beat twice at odds-on in the past, so may not be totally trustworthy. We’ll include her, but at her price she’s only worth using as a saver.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 5: Post: 12:41 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 9-Cogburn
Backups: none
Toss Ins: 6-Star of Mystery (GB); 2-Motorious (GB).

Forecast: Yesterday’s BC Juvenile Turf Sprint over this course and distance played for the deep closers, so if you like a runner or two in here from off the pace, don’t be afraid to play him. You’ll certainly get your price with most of the money likely going to Cogburn, and for good reason. A nice grass sprinter until this year, the son of Not This Time has become virtually unbeatable, having won all three of his 2024 outings by daylight and with total domination. If he somehow misses the break, well, he can come from off the pace if required, so even at a short price (he’s 7-5 on the morning line the S. Asmussen-trained 5-year-0ld may not be worth trying to beat. Exacta/trifecta players should consider using the best of the late runners – Star of Mystery (GB) and Motorious-GB) – but in a no value type of race you probably should tread lightly.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 6: Post: 1:21 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 2-Thorpedo Anna
Backups: 9-Awesome Result
Toss ins: none

Forecast: Thorpedo Anna certainly looks odds-on in this year’s renewal of the BC Distaff and almost certainly will be on the tote. She was well below form when winning the Cotillion S.-G1 all out at 10 cents on the dollar, though it wasn’t surprising she regressed off her taxing runner-up effort in the Travers S.-G1 facing the boys in her previous outing. Freshened and training quite well, the daughter of Fast Anna can be expected to return to her best form, and anything close to it should be more than good enough. The unbeaten (seven-for-seven) Japanese invader Awesome Result hasn’t been beating the best of competition, but she’s done it in style. Who knows how good this daughter of Justify really in. We’ll have a ticket or two with her for protection but that’s about it.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 7: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 5-Jayarbe
Backups:11-Rebeld’s Romance
Toss ins: 2-Emily Upjohn

Forecast: Jayarbe is a rapidly developing 3-year-old colt from France with the likelihood of continuing his improving pattern in this year’s renewal of the BC Turf. He shows two superb victories in his last three starts, with a strong runner-up effort behind top class Economics sandwiched in between, and he brings with him Timeform Ratings that continue to rise and are good enough to beat this field. In a race that projects to have a soft early pace, the son of Zoffany should inherit a cozy stalking early position, just galloping along, and then take control when given his cue entering the lane. Sure, he’ll have to Rebel’s Romance, who won this race two years ago and is every bit as good now and then, but with four wins from just seven start we suspect we haven’t seen anywhere near the best yet from this B. Meehan-trained sophomore. We have him at 4-1 on the morning line and would be happy with odds in that vicinity at post time.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 8: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 3-City of Troy; 14-Next
Backups: none.
Toss ins: none.

Forecast: We’ll admit it’s a bit risky using just two in this year’s BC Classic – one who has never run on the dirt and the other who has never won or placed in a Grade-1 – but we’re willing to be right or wrong and just leave it at that. Nobody knows for sure if City of Troy will act over conventional dirt – he has trained well overseas on synthetic but that really doesn’t count – but as a son of Justify he certainly has a right to handle the main track and there’s no question that he’s the most accomplished runner in the field. Trainer Aidan O’Brien has called him “the best colt he’s ever trained,” and if you strictly by the form he’d be right, but none of that matters if the colt gets mad after taking kickback that he’s never been subjected to. Next has won his last seven races by more than 91 lengths, and he’s been taking a knee at the furlong pole in most of them, and his numbers have been through the roof. We suspect this devoted marathoner will cope with the turn back to 10 furlongs, and we love his far outside draw (no kickback there), but if there’s anything we’re concerned about is the much faster early pace than what he’s been used to seeing. If he can settle in the second flight under a hold to the far turn before being put to pressure, the Not This Time gelding could make a serious run for it.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 9: Post: 3:25 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 4-War Like Goddess; 7-Content (Ire); 3-Cinderella’s Dream (GB)
Backups: 8-Hang the Moon; 2-Full Count Felicia.
Toss ins: 10-Moira.

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go three-deep on our main ticket, but nothing would surprise us, so use as many as your budget allows. War Like Goddess is seven now and may have lost a step but she certainly will appreciate the firm ground that she’s been missing in her last two starts. By all rights, the daughter of English Channel should have won the ’21 edition of the BC Filly & Mare Turf over this course and distance but was moved way to soon and got nailed late after hitting the front in mid-stretch. Let’s hope she gets the patient ride she needs today. Content (Ire) hated the mush in her last two outings overseas that seriously darkens her form. Runner-up in the Irish Oaks-G1 last spring and successful in the Yorkshire Oaks-G1 over top of the ground at York in August, she’s a thoroughly proven stayer with for A. O’Brien and R. Moore, so if she shows up with her “A” game the daughter of Galileo will be heard from. Cinderella’s Dream (GB) will be facing older for the first time and is unproven around three times, but she may have the best turn of foot in the field, so we’re expecting to see her switch off early and blast home late. She’s had her issues and missed her intended prep at Woodbine

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 10: Post: 4:05 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 10-Mullikin; 3-Federal Judge
Backups: 9-Remake (Jpn); 1-Raging Torrent
Toss-ins: 2-Gun Pilot

Forecast: Federal Judge is as quick as anything in this year’s renewal of the BC Dirt Sprint but if he’s hooked early by the likes of Straight No Chaser and Skelly, he could be softened up enough to enable a stalker or a closer to tag him late. The son of Army Rule is fast enough on figures (and they’re rising with each start) to wire the field if the main track doesn’t play against this running style, which it arguably did yesterday. With just six career starts on his resume, the B. Cox-trained gelding certainly has room for further development. Millikin is almost a carbon copy of Federal Judge. Lightly raced with rising speed figures and improving with every outing, the son of Violence may be a bit more versatile than his chief rival, as he’s not a need the lead type and in fact may benefit from a stalk and pounce strategy. Given the projected race flow, the R. Brisset-trained colt maybe a tad better price, so we’ll give a slight edge on top but use both equally in our rolling exotics. Remake (Jpn), Raging Torrent, and Gun Pilot each have credentials should a pace meltdown occur.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 11: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 6-Notable Speech (GB); 7-Porta Fortuna (Ire)
Backups/savers: 9-Johannes
Toss in: 8-More Than Looks

Forecast: Notable Speech (GB) is another firm ground specialist seeking to regain his winning form over the pool top table Del Mar grass course, and if he brings the same type of acceleration that he did when winning the English 2000 Guineas and the Sussex S.-G1 earlier this year the British-bred son of Dubawi should outclass this field. The C. Appleby-trained sophomore and world class jockey W. Buick make a marvelous team and from a comfortable 6-hole draw this Godolphin homebred should have no excuses. Porta Fortuna (Ire) has strung together three consecutive Group-1 victories, though this clearly will be her toughest test yet. Her instant acceleration should play extremely well over this tight course and its short run in. Johannes has to be respected, though he, too, is unproven at this level. The California-bred son of Nyquist always seems to enjoy a perfect due to his handy tactical speed, and his turn of foot from the quarter pole home is notable and impressive. More Than Looks will be rolling late, though he tends to give himself too much to do. Ee’ll toss him in at a price

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:53 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

November 2, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

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The Meadowlands has a 14-race card, and the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10 (10:05 PM EST)

3-Elektra A (7/2)-Comes off a win at Philly and can dance with this kind on a larger oval. Corey Callahan should be racing near the top of the stack and looks like a player in its Big M debut. The Callahan-Cullipher combo posts 27% winners when they team up.
4-Talk Curdy To Me (5/2)-This is the other Cullipher trainee and Tim Tetrick posts 27% winners when driving for this barn. The mare has done good work at the Big M hitting the board in 4 of 7 with 2 pictures. This is a fast mare and will be tough to beat with a top effort.

Race 11 (10:30 PM EST)

5-Cold Feet (6-1)-The Walner 3-year-old makes its 1st start at M1 but has raced well at VD and now gets the services of Dexter Dunn. Should relish the company and could roll by them all down the long stretch.
7-Blarney Castle (3-1)-Raced evenly on 10-18 in the 1st start in East Rutherford after being off about 3 weeks between starts. Raced well from post 8 at Yonkers on Wednesday and will look for another strong try on the quick turn-around.

Race 12 (10:55 PM EST)

5-Papi's Rocket (6/5)-Has 5 pictures in 12 starts this year but hasn't strung wins together. Comes off a win against this kind on 10-25. This will be the 3rd straight start at M1 and should have her way with this field if brings its best try.

Race 13 (11:20 PM EST)

5-Alta Blues A (7/2)-This is a formless group except for #10 who was scratched sick in last but will still be bet down tonight with Dunn in control. My play will be to fade the chalk and look for Scott Zeron to leave hard to land in a close-up seat. If that is the case, a suck-around win could be in the cards as this pilot knows how to skim the cones down the lane.
6-Passa-Grille Beach (10-1)-Using this price shot as Yannick Gingras should have the pedal down to try to get the jump on the program chalk. Could land on top without burning a lot of gas. If so, can win off a well-rated mile if the opening quarter goes well.

2.00 Late Pick 4

3,4/5,7/5/5,6
Total Bet=$16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:53 AM

Scott Shapiro: Breeders' Cup Saturday Exacta-Thon Bets

November 1, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

Hopefully by the time some of you are reading this, you already took down your share of $10,000 that was up for grabs during Friday’s Breeders’ Cup card through 1st/Bet and XpressBet’s Exacta-Thon promotion. If not, you have another chance and an outstanding card to attack. Just remember to register before taking your swing at connecting on as many exactas as possible over the full Saturday card. If you connect on six, you split $7500 with all others who do and then the horseplayer with the most exactas will get $2500 more.

Here are three races I will be including amongst my Breeders’ Cup Saturday Exacta-Thon plays:

Race 10: Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1)

As is usually the case, this year’s Sprint should see a fast early pace. With #1 Raging Torrent and #3 Federal Judge drawn on the inside and #8 Straight No Chaser and #11 Skelly on the outside, it would be a big surprise if this did not at least give closers a fair shake when they turn for home.

#10 Mullikin also draws to the outside and will likely need to avoid getting caught up in that early battle if he wants to have enough left late to earn his fifth consecutive victory. With Flavien Prat aboard, you would expect him to try to settle just off the pace, but being drawn between Straight No Chaser and Skelly could make things a bit tricky. If he can relax early, he is the clear one to beat. If not, I think it sets things up for a runner from further off the pace.

#9 Remake was dominant in his prep in the Korea Sprint (G3). I love the way he settled and finished. The 5YO clearly fits against the best sprinters in the world and could get the right setup to earn his tenth career victory. #4 Nakatomi also might get the run of the race. The son of Firing Line comes in off a runner-up effort to Federal Judge in the Phoenix (G2), but that came on a day where speed was very good at Keeneland. Nakatomi makes plenty of sense but his morning line is a bit shorter than I would be willing to swallow.

Plays:

$5 Exacta Box 9+10
$5 Exacta Wheel 9+10 with 4+9+10

Race 11: Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1)

European-based runners have dominated the Mile over the last several years with Master of The Seas being the recent Charles Appleby/Godolphin runner to capture the Grade 1 event. Therefore, it stands to reason that the public will likely flock to their strong contingent again in 2024. I do not necessarily blame them, but do think a Stateside runner has a big chance this year as well.

#9 Johannes has been awesome throughout his career, but especially in 2024. The Nyquist colt has rattled off four straight wins over Southern California turf courses and done so in impressive fashion. There is little question that he has not faced the caliber of horse he meets in the Mile, but I believe he will be up for the challenge. Hopefully, we get more than 9-2 on the Win end, but I will key him on top from an Exacta-Thon perspective.

There is a slew of options to include underneath, but I will keep it to three. #6 Notable Speech who comes in off a fifth-place effort in the Prix de Moulin de Longchamp (G1) and aims to give trainer Charles Appleby his fourth consecutive win in this event, #7 Porta Fortuna who has rattled off three consecutive Group 1 wins in the United Kingdom, and longshot #8 More Than Looks who should be rolling late if the pace is honest.

Play:

$10 Exacta Wheel 9 with 6+7+8

Race 12: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

Breeders’ Cup ’24 concludes with another two-turn edition of the Dirt Mile where it is difficult to imagine anything, but a quick first half-mile. #1 Saudi Crown, #2 T O Saint Denis, and #3 Full Serrano all want to be prominent, as well as #7 Tumbarumba, #13 Pipeline, and #14 Skippylongstocking. This bodes very well for #8 Post Time. The Maryland-bred has had almost all of his success in one-turn races, but I thought he proved he can handle a route of ground when he ran a solid third to Arthur’s Ride in the Whitney (G1) this summer. Hopefully, regular rider Sheldon Russell finds his way to the rail early and has a ton of horse when they turn for home. He is my key horse in the finale.

I will key Post Time with #9 Domestic Product who I think has a stronger punch at one-turn, but still should get a favorable setup and #12 Mufasa who hopefully can avoid a wide voyage into that first-turn.

Play:

$10 Exacta 8 with 9+12
$5 Exacta 9+12 with 8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:54 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #4

#7 Ask Isaac	He seemed to find the right kind of level last out against cheaper claimers on the main track, and this even softer spot should be enough to get him home. The price won't be much, but I'm assuming he handles this local crew.
#4 Turbo Trip	There isn't a ton of serious pace lined up in here, so it wouldn't be a total shock to see him stretch them out a little bit while moving around two turns. Dangerous if he stays.
#3 Macassar	Not much to write home about so far, but he has been in with better groups in Florida and has some obvious room to improve today. Logical, but not all that inspiring as maybe the second choice?
Race Summary	Ask Isaac can probably be tough here while tracking Turbo Trip throughout, and I'm not sure he'll catch anything quite like the easy winner of his last in today's lineup.

Mahoning Valley - Race #5

#6 Poseidon's Son	Not a whole lot of reliable finishing punch lined up here, and this guy's reliable tracking speed should leave him in a good spot to try to grind past late. He did some good work here last season. Look out.
#8 Beach Front	He wouldn't be the biggest surprise, as he has some positional pace and occasionally plugs along to stay for a share. Midrange price chance behind the chalk?
#4 K W Captain Hook	He's not impossible from close range, but I worry that someone might be able to come pick him up late if he moves into the speed. One of the ones.
Race Summary	Posedion's Son is probably supposed to hit hard here on overall form and race flow -- especially if he comes anywhere close to any of those races here last season.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8

#5 Hillerito	Dangerous pace may have a little bit of company, but I think she can shrug that off around the turn and stick around a little bit better today.
#4 Stacy Attack	Wouldn't argue too hard with anyone landing here with a good tracking trip looming behind the top choice, and her local debut was decent enough at a level that can translate to this one.
#3 Flower Mound	She looks for a third in a row and has some speed to mix things up with the top choice early, but I'm not sure the price is going to accurately reflect the way the top two stack up with her.
Race Summary	Hillerito might still have a little upside after just three starts, and she's a pretty committed pace player while might be able to hassle Flower Mound early as the other pace threat.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:54 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #2

#2 LILLY LIGHTNING (6-1)	Shocked odds-on co-faves but hasn’t raced in six months since then.
#1 HOT DANCE (3-1)	Rallied to win 2 of last 3 starts on the main track at this distance.
#4 UNKEPT SECRET (2-1)	Tries to recapture winning form in California, working well for return.
Race Summary	LILLY LIGHTNING ‘eagerly drew away’ from the 4-to-5 co-favorites in a three-horse field when last seen at Laurel Park in April. She shows a four-month workout gap since then but could spring another upset if she duplicates her winning effort. Bet to win and place.

Laurel Park - Race #4

#6 ALIFEROUS (7-2)	Disappointed in latest but can’t be discounted off prior running lines.
#4 GAMBLING TZAR (9-5)	DQ short of winning three of last five on the dirt, gets class relief.
#7 SOUTHERN DISTRICT (2-1)	Still going strong at age 6, earned most of $411k at this distance.
Race Summary	ALIFEROUS has two wins and two seconds from his last seven starts on the main track. He should get the jump on his main rivals at a level which he last won. Bet to win and place and play 6-4 and 6-7 exactas.

Laurel Park - Race #6

#7 BOLD TALK (5-2)	Sped away to maiden win in longer sprint, hit the repeat button.
#2 BRUDER (9-2)	Finished 1-2 in half of Laurel Park starts, all in tougher spots.
#6 J J VALENTIN (9-5)	Romped on class drop at Monmouth as odds-on choice two back.
Race Summary	BOLD TALK’S speed mission was successful, as he increased a clear lead on the turn to break his maiden at the $12,500 level. He draws a good post and shortens up a half-furlong in his third start of a cycle. Bet to win and place and play a 2,7/2,6,7/ALL trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:55 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Breeders' Cup Special
PURCHASE

Breeders' Cup Special - Race 1	Special Daily Double (Distaff/Classic)
Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 112 • Purse: $2,000,000 • Post: 1:21P
LONGINES BREEDERS' CUP DISTAFF DMR - R6 - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. $30,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2,000,000 PURSE INCLUDING TRAVEL AWARDS OF WHICH 52% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 17% TO SECOND, 9% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH, 2% TO SIXTH, 1% TO SEVENTH, 1% TO EIGHTH, 1% TO NINTH, 1% TO TENTH; PLUS TRAVEL AWARDS TO STARTERS NOT BASED IN CALIFORNIA. THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF STARTERS IS FOURTEEN WITH FOUR ALSO ELIGIBLES.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. THORPEDO ANNA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THORPEDO ANNA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	THORPEDO ANNA	4/5	5/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	CHE EVASORA (ARG)	10	30/1	Alternator/Front-runner	105	105	75.8	63.5	48.5
2	THORPEDO ANNA	2	4/5	Stalker	108	111	107.4	104.0	97.5
7	HONOR D LADY	7	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	98	98	89.0	92.0	81.5
1	CANDIED	1	15/1	Trailer	103	98	81.4	97.6	87.6
5	SUGAR FISH	5	20/1	Trailer	101	108	80.9	97.2	82.2
6	RAGING SEA	6	7/2	Trailer	105	99	77.8	98.8	90.8
8	MISS NEW YORK	8	20/1	Trailer	98	95	71.0	87.0	69.0
3	BATUCADA	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	100	95	82.6	91.6	76.1

Unknown Running Style: ALICE VERITE (JPN) (30/1) [Jockey: Frey Kyle - Trainer: Nakatake Kazuya], AWESOME RESULT (4/1) [Jockey: Take Yutaka - Trainer: Ikee Yasutoshi].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:55 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for FanDuel Horse Racing
PURCHASE

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race 7	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 7-8) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) .10 Cent Superfecta
Optional Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 10:18
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING 10,000 FOR HORSES THAT HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALL ABOUT TONITE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SPEIGHTIEMAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPIN THE BOULEVARD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TIZWOW: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
10	ALL ABOUT TONITE	3/1	5/1
5	SPEIGHTIEMAN	7/2	6/1
8	DAPPER DUDE	8/1	7/1
1	SPIN THE BOULEVARD	4/1	8/1
3	TIZWOW	5/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	ALL ABOUT TONITE	10	3/1	Front-runner	72	72	87.0	65.3	57.8
6	TALLAPOOSA	6	8/1	Front-runner	62	65	71.6	50.2	36.7
3	TIZWOW	3	5/1	Front-runner	72	65	63.4	69.6	60.6
1	SPIN THE BOULEVARD	1	4/1	Front-runner	74	67	60.2	64.4	56.4
5	SPEIGHTIEMAN	5	7/2	Stalker	78	70	43.5	64.0	56.5
9	CAPTAIN PARTY	9	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	74	66.9	47.0	39.0
8	DAPPER DUDE	8	8/1	Trailer	87	79	56.9	70.2	60.2
4	SKYLANE	4	6/1	Trailer	79	73	50.3	41.5	31.5
7	SOLOMON VANDY	7	8/1	Trailer	66	55	28.1	57.7	42.2
2	PETE'S LEGACY	2	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	62	46	14.0	41.6	24.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:55 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26400 Class Rating: 89

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FLOWER MOUND 5/2
# 5 HILLERITO 7/2
# 6 A KISS FOR KHOZAN 4/1

My pick in this competition is FLOWER MOUND. Could best this group of animals based on the speed rating - 83 - of her last race. Her 77 average has this filly with among the top Equibase Speed Figs in this race. She has a formidable distance/surface win record - 3 out of 7. HILLERITO - With a +40 return on investment, this jockey and conditioner combo has produced formidable returns as of late for gamblers. Should go to the lead and could never look back. A KISS FOR KHOZAN - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hetrick running at this distance are the best in this group of animals. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the front end recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:55 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:28pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#6 CANDY'S CHROME (ML=6/1)
#4 KEEP IT COMING (ML=12/1)
#9 FINNERS GOLDNSENSE (ML=6/1)

CANDY'S CHROME - This race horse is racing on the turf for the first time. He should be tough, coming off a second place finish in his race on Oct 2nd on a sluggish track. I like the piece of information that this gelding's last fig, 86, is tops in this bunch. This gelding is utmost in (EPS) earnings per start. Take a long look at this horse in the saddling ring. KEEP IT COMING - Finished outside the top 3 last out at Fresno, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 12/1 makes me think he's got a chance. FINNERS GOLDNSENSE - Zip is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. I seem to always make money betting Silva horses on the turf. That barn has a solid win pct for this distance/surface.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FURTHER EVIDENCE (ML=3/1), #10 RUN BRYCE RUN (ML=9/2), #3 DRIVE TRAIN (ML=5/1),

FURTHER EVIDENCE - Can't play this questionable contender in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance affair recently. When examining today's class rating, he will have to garner a better speed figure than last time out to be competitive in this turf sprint. RUN BRYCE RUN - This steed ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last race out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's race running that number. DRIVE TRAIN - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint events. Tough to bet on him in this contest.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 CANDY'S CHROME to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2024, 06:55 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:32pm - Maiden Special - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,500 Class Rating: 52

Rating:

#1 ITSAPRINCESSPARTY (ML=5/2)
#2 LIL MISS HONKYTONK (ML=9/5)
#6 GOLDEN CIRCLES (ML=5/1)

ITSAPRINCESSPARTY - Trainer Grigsby moves this one down the ladder based on class rating points to face a lower class field. Look for a solid effort in here. It looks like Maldonado had to become familiar with this filly on October 11th when riding her for the initial time. Back atop again today. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the second time using it, like we have with this horse. LIL MISS HONKYTONK - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Undeniably on edge for a good one today. The ROI when Hiraldo and Grams hook up is out of sight. The 'x-factor' at work here is that this filly has been working over this track getting ready for her first start. Grams is giving this one Lasix for the first time. Nice. GOLDEN CIRCLES - 1st timer here. An overlooked stat is the breeding, especially the dam. Dam's foals have won 50 percent of the time as first timers. I like the fact that this first timer has been working over the same track she'll be making her debut on. A solid handicapping angle is 1st time on Lasix. Lewis gives it to this one for this clash.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 I'M FLYING UP (ML=2/1),

I'M FLYING UP - Will not be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 ITSAPRINCESSPARTY to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass