11-6-11

[timbob]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Pittsburgh -3 over Baltimore

[timbob]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Blackhawks -142 over Vancouver Canucks

[timbob]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Bills -2.5

[timbob]

Arthur Ralph Sports

748- 548 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play Sun Denver + 8

[timbob]

Falcon Sports

San Fran -3 (-1.30) 2 units
Giants +9 (-1.10) 2 units
Steelers (-1.70) 2 units

[timbob]

SB Professor

Original NFL Picks
Sunday's NFL Picks:

1 PM EST
417. Seattle Seahawks +11*

8:20 PM EST
429. Baltimore Ravens +3.5*

Rest of Games
415.San Francisco 49ers -4
414. Kansas City Chiefs -4


Reloaded Picks
1 PM EST
412. Buffalo Bills -2.5*

[timbob]

NC Power Sweep

4* New Orleans
3* Houston
2* San Diego

[timbob]

Today's NHL Picks
Tampa Bay at Florida

The Lightning look to take advantage of a Florida team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Tampa Bay is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Dallas at Carolina (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.847; Carolina 11.580
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-120); Over

Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Florida (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.167; Florida 10.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 55-56: Winnipeg at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.198; NY Rangers 11.876
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Under

Game 57-58: Vancouver at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.526; Chicago 11.480
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+130); Over

Game 59-60: Calgary at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.911; Colorado 11.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Over

[timbob]

THE SHEPPARD:

SF
KC

Under BALT
Under DENVER
Under ST LOUIS
Under KC
Under TENN

[timbob]

Platinum Plays

Premier (Top)

SF
GB

500K (Medium)

Buff
Pitt

Regular

Atl
NO
Clev
KC
Tenn
Rams
NE
Pitt OVER

[timbob]

Totals 4 U

Top Play

NYJ/Buff OVER

Regular Play

Clev/Hous UNDER
Mia/KC UNDER
SF/Wash UNDER
Seatt/Dall UNDER
Den/Oak UNDER
Cincy/Tenn UNDER
NYG/NE OVER
GB/SD UNDER
Balt/Pitt UNDER

[timbob]

Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
30 Dime Division Rivalay Lock on the Buffalo Bills as the home favlorite against the New York Jets. As I release this winner to you, Buffalo is a 2 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore



10 Dime bonus on San Francisco as the road favorite vercus Washington. As I release this winner to you, San Francisco is the 4-point favorite over the Skins both here in Vegas and offshore.

[timbob]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 100 Dime play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover against their AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens. Checkang the sports books in Las Vegas at 4 a.m., the Steelers are a between a 3 and 3 ½-point favorite. If the hook remlains, you will want to buy the half-point to bring it down to three. I also have a 40 Dime play on the over for the New York Giants-New England Patriots game. The numbcer in Las Vegas is set at 51.

[timbob]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 42 bet. St.Louis and Arizona

[timbob]

SPORTS WAGERS

BUFFALO –2 over N.Y. Jets

Everyone expects the Bills to come crashing down to earth but it just hasn’t happened and may not. Buffalo remains underrated while the Jets are still a public team that is perceived to be better than they are. The Jets are coming off back-to-back wins over Miami and San Diego and that’s fresh in the betting public’s mind. What’s not fresh is that both those games were hosted by the Jets and prior to that they dropped three straight, allowing 30 or more in each. Buffalo will host its first ‘true’ home game in three weeks, prior to embarking on a three-game road trip. The Jets really aren’t much at all. They have no running game, Mark Sanchez has been brutal on the road and Ralph Wilson Stadium gets tougher to play at every week the weather gets colder. The Bills made the Redskins look like amateurs last week. Buffalo’s offense is vastly superior and the Jets are 0-3 on the road while the Bills are 4-0 at home. The Bills have scored more and allowed less points than all teams in this division and let’s also not ignore that the Jets put two beatings on the Bills a year ago by scores of 38-14 and 38-7. What a difference a year makes and the Bills prove once again that they’re for real. Play: Buffalo –2 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).

Miami +188 over KANSAS CITY

While the Dolphins remain winless and the Chiefs are on a four-game winning streak, there isn’t that much that separates these two. Kansas City’s three wins, prior to Monday night’s miracle, were against the Donovan McNabb led Vikings, the winless Colts and the quarterback-less Raiders. San Diego dominated the Chiefs on Monday but came up short after a myriad of gaffs. Play that game 100 times and San Diego wins 38-3 99 times; that’s how one-sided it was. Now the Chiefs are off that big Monday night win with one less day to prepare and with games against Denver, New England and Pittsburgh on deck. The Chiefs are the biggest 4-3 fraud in a long, long time. This marks the first time since opening day that Kansas City is favored, a game they were lambasted in by a 41-7 count. Miami is on the verge of a win. They probably should’ve won its last two after blowing a 15-0 lead against Denver and just missing against the Giants last week. Matt Moore is playing well and the Fish just keep missing. That all ends here for the Fish, as they’re the better team and they’re in a favorable spot too. Play: Miami +188 (Risking 2 units).

INDIANAPOLIS +7½ over Atlanta

You Colts fans are the luckiest folks on the planet! You got the first overall in ’98, and picked Peyton Manning over Ryan Leaf. Manning carries you for over a decade, gets you a championship and a quality product to watch on a weekly basis. Then, the year he finally misses a game, he misses the whole damn season, the team falls apart, and it just happens to be the year before the next Peyton Manning is available in the draft. That aside, this one actually sets up beautifully for the Colts. The Falcons are coming off a bye after that huge win in Detroit. Atlanta is in big danger of taking its eyes off the task at hand here. The infamous "trap game" is the buzz word surrounding Atlanta this week, as the Falcons look ahead to a visit from the rival Saints next week. Atlanta’s run game, a key component for them, suffered a significant blow with the loss of fullback Ovie Mughelli. Colts return home after three weeks away and a close look at their home games reveals three close losses. They were beaten by Pittsburgh by three and they also had a 17-0 lead over KC before a late collapse. This is another one that has all the danger flags of an upset. Play: Indianapolis +7½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Chicago +8 over PHILADELPHIA

We should thank the Cowboys for this one. Think about it. What would this line have been prior to Philly’s Sunday night dismantling of the enigmatic Cowboys? Four? Maybe five? Now we’re being handed a slew of extra points with a rested Bears team that had won two-straight and appeared quite solid in doing so. Chicago’s Cover-2 defensive scheme and strong linebacking corps will not allow receivers to roam freely as they did against Dallas. Philadelphia’s defense has been susceptible to top-tier running backs and none is more versatile than Chicago’s Matt Forte. This is a huge overreaction to the “Dream Team” finally getting off the mattress and putting a whipping on somebody. Not that the Bears need any more motivation but this line is a big insult to them and you can be damn sure they’ll have a response. This is a ridiculous line based on one strong win by Philadelphia and an upset would not surprise one bit. Play: Chicago +8 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

The rest (with no wagers).

HOUSTON –10½ over Cleveland

The Texans are not the type of team to continually be spotting double-digits with but as long as the schedule keeps presenting opponents with limited scoring ability, we have no choice but to give the points away. Cleveland’s only victory since September was a 6-3 home win over Seattle. Play: Houston –10½ (No bets).

DALLAS –11½ over Seattle

The Cowboys continue to disappoint but this visitor is more their speed, as evidenced by Dallas’ last win, a 34-7 romp over the Rams. Don’t expect the Cowboys to take this one lightly as they were humiliated in front of national audience on Sunday night and Uncle Jerry is miffed. The Seachickens travel badly, they were smoked at home by Cincinnati, they can’t move five yards and Pete Carroll is clueless. Play: Dallas –11½ (No bets).

NEW ORLEANS –8 over Tampa Bay

No problem figuring out these Saints after they won a game 62-7 and then lost to the 0-6 Rams. Doh! Perhaps New Orleans had sights on avenging loss to Tampa Bay from first division clash, just three weeks ago. Tampa’s depleted secondary allows the tables to be turned here. Play: New Orleans –8 (No bets).

WASHINGTON +3½ over San Francisco

Okay, so Kyle Shanahan spent the summer pimping John Beck as the next big thing, and we rolled our eyes. Then Rex Grossman was named the starter and we rolled our eyes. And now we are eight games in and the Redskins are keen to the fact that they are in a “lesser of two evils” situation at quarterback. Either that or Kyle Shanahan himself is defective as an offensive coordinator. Or both. Probably both. However, this is the NFL and despite the Redskins wretched performance last week, funny things happen to teams when they are asked to spot road points for first time, despite any recent success. The small, enticing line also warns of danger of laying the points. Play: Washington +3½ (No bets).

St. Louis +2 over ARIZONA

Okay, so Kevin Kolb has turf toe. Gee, we hope he doesn’t start playing like crap now. We hope they don't have to replace him with someone that sucks. Actually Kolb is out for the Cardinals, putting John Skelton at QB and that’s a big issue, as John Skelton past performances were no better than Red Skeleton’s. How did Monday night schedulers let this one slip through? While both have terrible records, the Rams can provide better excuses having played four of its seven games against division leaders and it’s actually somewhat absurd to lay points with Cardinals. Play: St. Louis +2 (No bets).

Denver +7½ over OAKLAND

Are we over this Tebow thing now? Yeah, you can spot the Dolphins 15 and live to tell but coming back from down 30 to the Lions is like trying to push a camel through the eye of a needle. So, can we take down the billboards and just pretend none of this ever happened? If you really love Tebow, you will drop to your knees and pray that he is benched and spared the degradation of these weekly public humiliations and mockings. Apparently likeability and faith fall somewhere behind accuracy, footwork, the ability to read complex defenses, protecting the football and mechanics as it pertains to being a successful NFL QB. John Fox gave into public pressure but it’s hard to imagine hiom leaving Tebopw out there for any length of time. We’re guessing that Tebow isn’t in for entire game and with prohibitive points to play with and Oakland still without star RB Darren McFadden, we’ll lean Broncos. Play: Denver +7½ (No bets).

Cincinnati +3 over TENNESSEE

The Titans are terrible and should not be favored against any winning team. Even last week’s home win over the woeful Colts was due largely in part to a blocked field goal and a pair of long field goals. Cincinnati is no fluke and with better players on both sides of ball, they take this one. Play: Cincinnati +3 (No bets).

NEW ENGLAND +8½ over N.Y. Giants

The ‘other’ Manning is playing quite well as Eli appears to be in a groove with his Giants. However, that cannot mask New York’s vulnerable run-stopping inabilities and with the Patriots off a loss and Bill Belichick’s master planning, expect the Patriots to exploit said weakness. Play: New England –8½ (No bets).

SAN DIEGO +6½ over GREEN BAY

The Chargers can be agonizing to watch, or even worse, invest in but with the champs coming to town and the bitter taste of Monday’s fiasco fresh on the betting public’s palate, this one gets over adjusted. Green Bay’s defense has just enough holes in it to allow this contest to stay close. Chargers have all the talent in the world to beat anyone but lack all the intangibles. Still, the last time they were a dog a home was in 2003. Play: San Diego +6½ (No bets).

Baltimore +3½ over PITTSBURGH

We know the story. Steelers on a roll. Steelers embarrassed by earlier 35-7 whipping in Baltimore, Steelers undefeated at home. We get it. However, the Ravens are at their best when facing this hated rival and with Pittsburgh hurting in some key spots, have to take any points being offered. Far too many folks on Steelers and while it may appeal like they woke up big time with rather easy win over New England, this pressure defense of the Ravens is a whole different animal. Play: Baltimore +3½ (No bets).