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7* Arizona / Colorado Over 61
7* Arizona / Colorado Over 61
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PRIVATE PLAYERS CLUB of Costa Rica - COLLEGE FOOTBALL
SATURDAY NOV 12
ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Heartbreak for ‘Bama last week as they lost 9-6 in overtime to #1 LSU as -4½ point home favorites. Trent Richardson shouldered the load for Alabama, amassing 169 yards from scrimmage. A.J. McCarron threw for 199 yards with an interception on 16-of-28 attempts in the loss. The matchup was the first of its kind in SEC regular season history and was full of suspense despite neither team finding the end zone. Alabama had a 295-239 edge in offense and had their chances. They missed four field goals, including a 52-yard attempt after the Tide got the ball first in the overtime. The loss didn’t necessarily knock Alabama out of the national title picture, but they will need a few breaks down the stretch. Mississippi State routed FCS Tennessee-Martin last Saturday in a 55-17 home win as -32 point favorites. Vick Ballard rushed for 102 yards and two touchdowns to lead the Bulldogs, who never trailed, posted 570 yards of total offense and averaged 8.3 yards per play. Tennessee-Martin racked up 454 yards offense, but struggled on third down against Mississippi State's defense. Ballard rushed only 11 times and averaged 9.2 yards a carry. The game was Ballard's fourth 100-yard outing of the season, and his first multi-touchdown performance since the Bulldogs' season opener against Memphis. Mississippi State again used both starter Tyler Russell and senior Chris Relf at quarterback, and both had success. Russell completed 9-of-18 passes for 183 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Relf finished 5-of-6 for 61 yards and threw two touchdowns. Alabama beat the Bulldogs last season in a 30-10 home win as -13 point chalks. The Tide had a 452-299 edge in offense and Mississippi State didn't get into the end zone until midway through the fourth quarter. Alabama is 18-6 ATS as a double-digit favorite and 6-0 ATS as a DD chalk on the road. Meanwhile, Mississippi State is 5-11 ATS as a DD ‘dog and 4-9 ATS in November games; and the home team is 2-8 ATS the last 10 meetings between these two SEC foes. TIDE BIGComment
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Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAY
SOUTHERN MISS -8.5 over Central Florida: Southern Miss is rolling right now as they come in having won 7 in a row after their upset loss to Marshall. The Golden Eagles have outscored their opponents by 23.7 ppg during their 7 game win streak and they have outscored their last 4 Conference USA opponents by 21.5 ppg. Souther Miss has really played well at home as they are 4-0 and have outscored those teams by 24 ppg and have outgained them by 219 ypg. The Eagles defense has allowed just 12.5 ppg at home and that's not good for a UCF offense that has averaged just 17 ppg on the road this year. The Knights defense has been very good this year as they are 4th overall (267 ypg) and 5th in points allowed (15.3), but most of that was done at home, as they have allowed 26.2 ppg and 35 ypg on the road. The UCF defense will have their hands full today vs a S. Miss offense that is in high gear. The Golden Eagles have averaged 37.6 ppg on the year, but in their 7 game win streak they have put up 42.7 ppg, including 38.5 ppg in their last 4 vs Conference USA. UCF has struggled away from home with stunning losses vs UAB and FIU, plus they have losses at BYU and SMU as well and this will be the best team they meet on the road this year. These teams are heading in opposite directions and I see Southern Miss coming up with a nice easy DD win.
4 UNIT PLAY
Penn State/ Nebraska Under 43: A scandal aside there is still a game to be played on Saturday as I see this one going low. A lot of people I see are expecting an easy win by Nebraska as there are a ton of distractions on the PSU sideline and that may very well be, but I see an intense State dsefense taking the field and that will really help keep the score low. The Penn State defense has been very good this year as it ranks 8th overall (282 ypg), 7th vs the pass(170 ypg) and 3rd in points allowed (12.4 ppg). This is a solid defense and with a very weak offense they know they will have to step up big if they hope to win this one. The State offense is 88th (355 ypg) overall and 100th in scoring (21.8 ppg) and they will have a tough time vs a Nebraska defense that has allowed just 23.1 ppg (41st) and 349 ypg (42nd). Nebraska is also 18th vs the pass, but Penn State is nnot a passing team, so I look for the Lions to really used their ground game to control the clock and keep this good Nebraska offense off the field. Nenn State home games have averaged just 33 ppg this year, while their Big 10 home games have averaged just 24 ppg. Penn State will play with more intensitty than you would think and it will begin with their defense, while Nebraska's dfense will also have a great gam. I barely expect 35 points in this one.
3 UNIT PLAYS
UCLA +7 over UTAH: Last week I had the Bruins as a lesser play and they came up with the outright upset. Well Im gonna come right back to them with a bigger play. The Bruins had a slow start to their year, but this team still has a shot at winning the PAC-12 South. The Bruins come in a very confident team as they are off BB upset wins over ASU and California. Today they get to play a utah team that hsa played well of late, but playing a PAC-12 schedule will begin to take its toll on this team. The Utah offense has really struggled in the PAC 12, as they have averaged just 293 ypg and 18.8 ppg. The Utah dfense has allowed just 340 ypg overall (29th) and 20.7 ppg (20th), but within the Conference they have allowed 388 ypg and 25.3 ppg. This UCLA offense has struggled for much of the year, but they have been getting better as they have put up 30 ppg and 400 ypg in their last 2 games. UCLA's defense has also been getting better as they have allowed just 21 ppg in their last 2 games. The Bruins control their own destiny in the PAC-12 South and they are playing with confidence on both sides of the ball now, so I look for them to come up with another outright upset here.
GEORGIA -12 over Auburn: The Auburn Tigers are the defending National Champs , and they are 6-3 on the year, but it hasn''t been that impressive as they have been still outgained on the year by 46 ypg and even in games where they did win big like vs Miss State and FAU, they where only able to outgain those foes by a combined 40 yards. The Tigers have also struggled on the road this year, going just 1-3 and they have been outscored by 17.5 ppg and outgained by 77 ypg in the process. Today they face va Georgia team that has its sites set on winning the SEC East and a win here and a win next week will give them that title. Both of these teams have solid offenses but Georgia has something that Auburn doesn't and that's a great defense and solid special teams play. The Bulldogs are ranked 7th overall (282 ypg) and 7th vs the run (91.3 ypg), which is what auburn does best, plus they have allowed just 19.9 ppg (23rd), including allowing just 16.6 ppg in their last 5 SEC games. The Bulldogs have also outgained opponents by 140 ypg and have outscored them by 17.8 ppg at home on the year. Georgia has the edge on offense (#37 to #90) and they have a big edge on defense #7 to # 72), plus an edge in specials, the home field edge and they have revenge on their minds after last years 49-31 loss to the Tigers. Too many edges for the Bulldogs here as they win by 17+ and move ever close to clinching a berth in the SEC title game.
2 UNIT PLAYS
NC State/ Boston College Under 45.5: The OU is 5-22-1 in BC's last 28 home games and 5-13 in their last 18 conference games. BC Averages just 21 ppg at home, while NC State puts up just 17 ppg on the road. I see a low scoring game in BC today.
TCU/ Boise State Under 58: Not many people talk about it, but this Boise team has a very good defense as theyb have the 12th ranked defense overall allowing just 303 ypg and they are 12th in points allowed at 16.8 ppg. TCU's defense isn't as strong as in years past, but they are still 38th overall and they allow just 22.3 ppg. These temas have met twice in the last 3 years and an averabge of just 30 ppg have been scored. I don't see this one hitting over 50.
1 UNIT PLAYS
Wyoming +16.5 over AIR FORCE: The Cowboys are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road dog, while the Falcons are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 as a favorite of 10.5 or higher. Wyoming is also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Falcons and they have really been playing better of late. I look for them to keep it close here.
OLE MISS +2 over Louisiana Tech: The Bullgogs are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games ve a team with a winning record, while the Rebels are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Comment
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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks
Saturday's NCAA Picks:
12 PM EST
120. Purdue +8*
3:30 PM EST
173. Auburn +12*
7:30 PM EST
190. Mississippi +2*
10:30 PM EST
Washington St. +12*
Rest of Games:
160. Missouri +1.5
166. Iowa +3
132. Boston College +2.5
138. Akron +5.5
204. Colorado +10
129. Duke +10.5
147. San Jose St. +10
136. Kansas St. +5.5
145. Navy +8.5
153. Miami Fla +9
158. Army +9
171. Washington U +11.5
175. Oregon St. +9
197. UCLA +7
196. New Mexico St. +7
199. Central Florida +9
206. New Mexico +7Comment
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