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WUNDERDOG
CBB 10-6 Season-to-Date +$610 1 OF 3 Game: Georgia Tech at St. Joseph's (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Georgia Tech +2 (-110)
The Yellow Jackets return 10 players from last season's roster, six of which played significant minutes. New Georgia Tech basketball coach Brian Gregory has stepped up the intensity level, a change from former coach Paul Hewitt, who was known for his laid-back style. The new coach seems determined to bring a new fire to this struggling program and it's paid off early with two blowout wins, led by 6-8 soph Kammeon Holsey and guard Dan Miller. The Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Georgia Tech has played two games and one was 3 days ago; St. Joe's, on the other hand, has played only one game and has had 5 full days off. They will not be in mid-season form for this one and should be a bit rusty. All of which gives the dog several edges. Play Georgia Tech.
WUNDERDOG 1 OF 9 Game: S. Mississippi at U A B (Thursday 11/17 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: S. Mississippi -23 (-110)
The Golden eagles have been an under-the-radar team for over a decade. This team has been .500 or better now for 17 years and Coach Larri Fedora may have his best team yet at 9-1 this season. Southern Miss should be unbeaten, but a 6-turnover debacle against Memphis resulted in their only blemish on the season. This team is for real. And, they will be motivated here as they are seeking revenge for two straight losses to UAB. The Blazers lost at home to Houston 56-13, and have given up 50 points per game over their last three. They are allowing over 37 per game on the season and over 41 in conference games. They are going to be hard pressed to not only score here, but keep the well balanced Golden Eagles' attack out of the end zone. The Golden Eagles are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 as road chalk and know how to get it done on the road. Under head coach Larry Fedora, this team is 11-2 ATS in November games and 22-12 ATS when playing wiht short rest. Take Southern Miss.
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Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild: MINNESOTA WILD TO WIN (-125)
(Note: I’m risking 0.63 units to win 0.50 units)
The Avalanche have dropped 8 of their last 10 games, while Minnesota has won 7 of their last 9 games. After a great start to the season on the road Colorado has now lost 4 straight road games coming into tonight. Minnesota is 5-2-1 at home this season, and 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Colorado turns to it’s backup JS Giguere in hopes of a win tonight. Giguere is 3-1 with a 2.18 GAA and .920 SV%. The Wild haven’t confirmed their starting goalie for tonight, but both Backstrom and Harding have excellent numbers at a 2.13 GAA and 1.78 GAA respectively. Minnesota has won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams, and 6 of 8 against the Avalanche at home. Note that the Wild are coming home after a road trip, but are 11-4 in their last 15 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. These two teams are heading in different directions right now, and I like the Wild to win.
Phoenix Coyotes @ Philadelphia Flyers: PHOENIX COYOTES TO WIN (+160)
(Note: I’m risking 0.5 units to win 0.8 units)
The Coyotes have won 5 straight road games, putting them an impressive 5-1-1 on the road this season. Overall Phoenix is 9-4-3. The Flyers have won 5 of their last 7 games and are 10-4-3 on the year. The storyline in this game is Ilya Bryzgalov facing his former team for the first time since signing with Philadelphia in the off season. Ilya has had a rough start to the year with a 7-4-2 record, 2.78 GAA and .899 SV%. On the other side of things Mike Smith has enjoyed the starting role for the Coyotes, going 8-2-3 with a 2.19 GAA and .933 SV%. He hasn’t lost in regulation in his last 9 starts going 7-0-2. Note that the Coyotes are 7-2 in their last 9 vs Eastern Conference opponents, and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The Flyers are just 3-7 in their last 10 home as a big home favorite between -151 and -200, and are also just 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Phoenix has taken 4 of these two teams last 5 meetings, and I see no reason why they can’t win tonight. Take Phoenix as a nice size underdog tonight.
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Boston Bruins: BOSTON BRUINS -1.5 [Puck Line] (+130)
(Note: I’m risking 0.5 units to win 0.65 units)
The Blue Jackets enter tonight with a NHL’s worst 3-13-1 record, and have yet to win a game on the road (0-7). The Bruins are 9-7 on the year and 7-5 at home. After a bit of a slow start the Bruins have won 6 straight games, scoring 34 goals over those 6 games (5.66 per game). The Blue Jackets are giving up 3.71 goals against per game, and 5 goals against per game on the road. The Blue Jackets got a bit of spark from the return of Jeff Carter in their last game outshooting the Wild 45-23, but still lost 4-2. Steve Mason has a 3.63 GAA and .875 SV%. Take note that on the Bruins 6 game winning streak they have won by 2 or more goals in 5 of the 6 games. I see no reason that the Bruins don’t continue their scoring on maybe the leagues worst goaltender right now, and the Bruins shouldn’t have much problems controlling the Blue Jackets offense. Take Boston to win by 2 or more tonight with generous odds.
Montreal Canadiens @ New York Islanders: MONTREAL CANADIENS TO WIN (+104)
(Note: I’m risking 0.5 units to win 0.52 units)
Montreal comes off a 4-0 win against Carolina last night, improving them to 8-7-3 on the season. They are 5-3 on the road. The Islanders have gone through a lot of struggles, and are just 4-8-3 on the season (4-4-1 at home). The Islanders have won just once in their last 11 games. Montreal is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and 4-1 in their last 5 road games. In net for the Canadiens will be Peter Budaj who is 1-1 on the season with a 1.48 GAA and .947 SV%. Budaj has already led the Canadiens to a big underdog win in Nashville on November 12th. Evgeni Nabokov looks for his second win of the season as he is just 1-5 on the year with a 2.89 GAA and .910 SV%. Take note that the Canadiens are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in New York, and 12-5 in their lat 17 meetings overall. Montreal has been the much better team lately, and are only getting the underdog price because of Budaj in net who has been solid in his two starts. I’m on Montreal tonight.
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