UFC on Fox 2

[MMA_scientist]

If that is the line, I will be on Bisping. Sonnen won't finish him, but Miller was able to get a takedown on Bisping, so I have to thing that Sonnen is going to take him down whenever he wants. Bisping is better than Stann off his back and has better TDD. At +300, I will take it.

Maia vs. Weidman is a great fight. I hate it because those are two of may favorite MWs. Weidman could win that one with top control, but I still have to take Maia. Weidman by decision is probably good.

[MMA_scientist]

I think Dunham will beat Lentz, but I don't like betting big against Lentz.

Who is Oliveira's opponent? Wisely? Never heard of him. Oliveira is going to win.

This has a lot of grapplers and a lot of bettable fights for me. Sad to see Munoz vs. Sonnen go though. I was going to take Munoz and laugh all the way to the bank while you guys called me a hater.

[edman5555]

hater. I am hoping maia comes in as the dog again.

[MMA_scientist]

^ Maia gets no respect from the oddsmakers. He should definitely be the favorite though IMO. I will take Maia to -170. I like Weidman alot, but he could definitely get subbed if he chooses to grapple. Maia maaay be able to get a takedown, but I kinda doubt it. But Maia also has better striking IMO. Weidman could definitely get on top and avoid submissions and win a decision. I think even if he keep Maia pinned for 15 minutes, it is going to be one of those fights that could be scored for the bottom man, like Torres v. MM, Maia does gas out though, he pretty much always loses the 3rd round, something to consider.

[High5]

Weidman -285
Maia +225

@Bodog

[poopoo333]

Weidman -285
Maia +225

@Bodog

WTF?

[Svino]

Do you really think Weidman will try to take it to the ground? I imagine this getting mostly contested on the feet.

[High5]

WTF?

Maia now down to +205

I threw a value unit on him @ +225

[Vandelay]

lol at weidmans hype....sonnens line is stupid. also may have value if it comes down to -400

[SPX]

Just grabbed Maia at +160.

[Mr. IWS]

All in on Chael. I had a chubby when I heard this fight was going down.

[MMA_scientist]

I really wish I had Bodog. I would have unloaded on Maia. WTF at that line. A lot of people think Maia beat Munoz (self included) he could be one fight away from a 2nd title shot. And Weidman is taking a HUGE step in competition here, on short notice. Maia is down to +175, and I still find that absolutely ridiculous.

[MMA_scientist]

A lot of Weidman's hype comes from his closely contested ADCC match with Galvao. He matched up will with Galvao, but in that same ADCC:

Swept at :44

Tapped out with a beauty of a flying armbar @ 1:25

Maia can definitely tap this kid. Not that he will, but it can definitely happen. The problem is that Maia has all but abandoned his guard game. He pretty much always goes for the half guard underhook to single leg. It is really hard to reverse a wrestler with that particular sweep, since it is also a really common position in wrestling (whizzer, dogfight).

[Thewisemann]

Apparently Palhares turned down the fight with Maia.

[MMA_scientist]

I would think he would need more than 10 days to get ready for one of the biggest fights of his career. It is also a tough style match-up, it would have been dumb to take teh fight and possibly kill his momentum. He is going to get a big fight in his next outing either way.