UFC 145

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  • Luke
    10 year vet
    • Oct 2006
    • 30060

    #76
    Originally posted by SPX
    Fuck that shit.

    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


    Comment

    • mike
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2010
      • 541

      #77
      from what i see, huge favorites tend to get worse and vice versa. close fights can go either way.

      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #78
        Originally posted by mike
        from what i see, huge favorites tend to get worse and vice versa. close fights can go either way.

        huh?
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


        Comment

        • poopoo333
          MMA *********
          • Jan 2010
          • 18302

          #79
          I will be buying tickets to this event this week.

          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #80
            Originally posted by poopoo333
            I will be buying tickets to this event this week.

            Didn't know BWW started charging admission.
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


            Comment

            • edman5555
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2010
              • 6628

              #81
              I agree with Luke on researching and waiting. That seems to be the best policy but spx is also correct about vitor.
              1 unit = 300 $

              Comment

              • SPX
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2009
                • 23875

                #82
                Originally posted by Luke
                huh?
                I think he means that a lot of the guys who end up around -500 or worse start out at -365 or better and then quickly travel in that direction.
                I heart cock

                Comment

                • mike
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2010
                  • 541

                  #83
                  Originally posted by SPX
                  I think he means that a lot of the guys who end up around -500 or worse start out at -365 or better and then quickly travel in that direction.
                  yep. thats whats im saying. its not often to see a huge fav's line get worse and then get back to the original opening line. i too think belfort line will only get worse but i havent bet him yet. the other books have him at -270 while bmaker has him at -345? shiet

                  Comment

                  • poopoo333
                    MMA *********
                    • Jan 2010
                    • 18302

                    #84
                    Rashad Evans vs Jon Jones - 5 rounds - UFC 145 propositions
                    Sat 4/21 1003 Evans/Jones goes 5 round distance +170
                    9:00PM 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -230

                    Comment

                    • SPX
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 23875

                      #85
                      Word on the street is that Stephen Thompson vs Matt Brown has been added to this card.

                      I hope to get Thompson at good odds.
                      I heart cock

                      Comment

                      • Ludo
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 4931

                        #86
                        Thompson probably gets worked in that fight.
                        2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                        Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                        Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                        Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                        2012: +20.311u

                        Comment

                        • SPX
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2009
                          • 23875

                          #87
                          Why?

                          It's not like Brown is a great striker OR a great grappler.
                          I heart cock

                          Comment

                          • edman5555
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2010
                            • 6628

                            #88
                            He is vastly more experienced though.
                            1 unit = 300 $

                            Comment

                            • Ludo
                              Senior Member
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 4931

                              #89
                              Originally posted by SPX
                              Why?

                              It's not like Brown is a great striker OR a great grappler.
                              No, but he is the classic representation of the kind of fighter who beats fighters like Stephen. Thompson as we saw is a side stance straight up TMA-er. Anyone with a decent clinch or single may very well fuck his world up. Brown is a pure grinder, he's going to make this ugly, which was something Stephen's last opponent was unable to do.
                              2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                              Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                              Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                              Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                              2012: +20.311u

                              Comment

                              • SPX
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2009
                                • 23875

                                #90
                                Originally posted by Ludo
                                Anyone with a decent clinch or single may very well fuck his world up.
                                They keyword there is MAY. That's speculation. We really don't know much about Thompson's grappling. We DO know that he is a black belt in a form of jiu-jitsu that at least claims to be 50% groundwork and that his brother-in-law is Carlos Machado. Personally, I think that it will probably take a grappler other than I-get-subbed-every-time-the-fight-hits-the-ground Matt Brown to exploit whatever weakness may be there.
                                I heart cock

                                Comment

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