UFC 146

[poopoo333]

What do people think about the +200 line on Dunham vs. Barboza?

Consider that Barboza could have easily lost the decisions to Njokuani and Pearson, and Dunham probably should have won his against Sherk.

Dunham should be like +115 at best...I got 3u on him @+240

[SPX]

I think the line is way off. Dunham is really solid all around and if you disagree with the Sherk decision then he's only lost one fight, against Guillard, who just swarmed him which is not really something that Barboza does.

If it stays on the feet and ends up just being a kickboxing match then Barboza will probably take it, but if Dunham mixes it up and brings his A game he can definitely win. At +200 I think Dunham is a no brainer.

[poopoo333]

JDS is going to murk Murr. I really don't see how Mir gets it done here. He won't be able to take JDS down or outstrike him. Mir has one chance...to get some crazy win like he usually does in round 1.

Cain is going to murk Big Head. Cain is too fast and will make Big Head look silly.

^^all in on JDS/Cain parlay. Maybe wait for JDS ITD to make the odds a bit better.

What do you guys think about Hunt/Struve, Gonzaga/Fat Boy, and Stipe/SDR?

At first thought I think Struve will be able to get the sub against Hunt, but Hunt does not seem that easy to take down for a guy like Struve.

I think Fat Boy stops Gonzaga.

Stipe will beat SDR..will be sloppy with both guys gassed and Stipe getting the TDs

[MMA_scientist]

I think Cain will win easy. I think JDS will win. Gonzaga/Country could go either way IMO. Alledgedly GG has sworn a blood oath to get back to using his grappling to fight, he stood by it in the last fight. I think Del Rosario/Miocic could go either way. I am looking to bet SDR at + odds. I will take Dunham all day @ + odds.

[Mr. IWS]

I agree 100% on JDS raping Mir. Im not sold on Cain over Bigfoot though. Im laying off that one. I would lean Cain, but I wouldnt be suprised if Bigfoot won.

[poopoo333]

Glad to see it's out on a book I don't have

[poopoo333]

BOLZ, Cain from -335 to -450 in minutes

[poopoo333]

Stipe opened as the dog... 5d releases the best lines..too bad I have no $ in there

[poopoo333]

Gonzaga near +200 looks good..that's an off line

[poopoo333]

Frank Mir vs Junior Dos Santos - 5 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
Sat 5/26		1003 Mir/Dos Santos goes 5 round distance		+325
11:00PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-475

[SPX]

You never know about JDS's fights. Everyone was just SURE his fight with Carwin wouldn't go the distance and it did. Same with Nelson.

Though I would be pretty damn surprised if it went all five rounds. Not gonna take it -475, though.

[MMA_scientist]

I am not so much thinking about JDS there, but Mir. His fights almost never go the distance. He has only gone the distance 3 times, once in his first fight, once when he was fat Mir, and Roy took him to the cards. Out of 21 fights, that is 14% going to the cards... for a line conversion, that is -614 for any Frank Mir fight to go to the cards.

JDS has gone to decision twice in 15 fights, 13% of the time. Line conversion is -669 for any JDS fight to go to a decision. So -475 really doesn't seem that bad to me. Of course, they weren't fighting each other, so none of that matters. Just sayin.

[SPX]

I imagine JDS is gonna just knock him out within the first round or two. Mir's chin is below average, as we know. But with Mir, you just never do know what you're going to get. It's some Forrest Gump box-o-chocolates kind of shit.

[MMA_scientist]

I could see it looking like the crocop Mir fight, with Mir on the other side of the exchanges. Mir probably can't get him down, so his striking might look a little different.

[poopoo333]